2024 United States presidential election in Maryland

The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Maryland voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Due to the progressive influence of the Baltimore-Washington metropolitan area—home to the majority of Maryland's population and most of Maryland's significant African American population—Democrats have consistently won Maryland's electoral votes by double-digit margins since 1992. While relatively rural regions like Western Maryland and the Eastern Shore remain more conservative, their impact is outweighed by the state's urban centers. In 2020, Joe Biden from neighboring Delaware won Maryland by 33 points. Maryland was widely expected to remain a safe blue state in 2024.

Harris comfortably won the state by about 28.5%, but by a margin almost 5 points lower than Joe Biden. Maryland was Harris's second-strongest state, after Vermont. Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to surpass one million votes in Maryland since George W. Bush in 2004. Larry Hogan, who was concurrently running for the U.S. Senate, ran 17 points ahead of Trump.

Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without winning Frederick County since Abraham Lincoln in 1860, and Harris the first unsuccessful Democrat to ever win the county.

Only one county, Garrett County, shifted towards Harris from 2020. Maryland also had the closest county in the nation, Talbot County, which was decided by just 6 votes.

With 1.1% of the total vote share, Maryland was Green Party candidate Jill Stein's best state.

Primary elections Democratic primary

The Maryland Democratic primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.

Republican primary

The Maryland Republican primary was held on May 14, 2024, alongside primaries in Nebraska and West Virginia.

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill December 14, 2023 CNalysis December 30, 2023 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist June 12, 2024538 June 11, 2024RCP June 26, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024

Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedMorning ConsultMorning ConsultOctober 22–31, 2024490 (LV)± 5.0%64%31%5%ActiVoteActiVoteOctober 6–30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%64%37%–Braun ResearchBraun ResearchOctober 17–22, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.6%61%33%7%1,000 (RV)± 3.6%59%34%7%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeOctober 19–21, 2024865 (LV)± 3.2%64%34%2%63%33%4%Morning ConsultOctober 10–15, 2024490 (LV)± 4.0%64%31%4%ActiVoteActiVoteSeptember 8 – October 14, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%63%37%–Braun ResearchBraun ResearchSeptember 19–23, 20241,012 (LV)± 3.5%64%32%5%1,012 (RV)± 3.5%62%32%6%Morning ConsultSeptember 9–18, 2024516 (LV)± 4.0%61%33%6%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D)September 16–17, 2024543 (RV)± 4.2%64%33%3%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeSeptember 12–13, 2024890 (LV)± 3.2%65%33%2%63%32%5%Morning ConsultAugust 30 – September 8, 2024516 (LV)± 4.0%62%34%4%Gonzales ResearchGonzales ResearchAugust 24–30, 2024820 (RV)± 3.5%56%35%10%Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)August 14–20, 2024700 (LV)± 4.0%64%32%4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. ChaseOliver JillStein UndecidedChism StrategiesChism StrategiesOctober 28–30, 2024510 (LV)± 4.34%56%33%0%0%1%10%YouGovYouGovOctober 23–27, 2024500 (LV)± 5.2%61%34%–0%2%5%University of Maryland, Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore CountySeptember 23–28, 2024863 (LV)± 3.3%57%35%2%0%1%5%Braun ResearchSeptember 19–23, 20241,012 (LV)± 3.5%63%31%–1%1%5%1,012 (RV)± 3.5%61%31%–1%1%6%Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)August 14–20, 2024700 (LV)± 4.0%59%29%5%1%1%5%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)June 19–20, 2024635 (V)± 3.9%56%30%15%Emerson CollegeMay 6–8, 20241,115 (RV)± 2.9%56%35%9%Public Policy Polling (D)May 6–7, 2024719 (V)± 3.7%60%32%8%Emerson CollegeFebruary 12–13, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%55%32%13%Gonzales ResearchJanuary 23 – February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%53%32%15%Gonzales ResearchSeptember 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%30%13%Gonzales ResearchMay 30 – June 6, 2023841 (RV)± 3.5%52%35%13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. CornelWest JillStein Other /UndecidedEmerson CollegeMay 6–8, 20241,115 (RV)± 2.9%50%33%6%4%1%6%Emerson CollegeFebruary 12−13, 20241,000 (RV) ± 3.0%47%32%6%1%1%13%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedGonzales ResearchJanuary 23 – February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%45%28%18%9%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden NikkiHaley Other /UndecidedGonzales ResearchJanuary 23 – February 2, 2024815 (RV)± 3.5%50%36%14%Gonzales ResearchSeptember 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%53%36%11%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden RonDeSantis Other /UndecidedGonzales ResearchSeptember 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%35%9%Gonzales ResearchMay 30 – June 6, 2023841 (RV)± 3.5%51%37%12%

Joe Biden vs. Vivek Ramaswamy Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden VivekRamaswamy Other /UndecidedGonzales ResearchSeptember 18–28, 2023818 (LV)± 3.5%56%29%15%

Results

By county CountyKamala HarrisDemocraticDonald TrumpRepublicanVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal # % # % # % # % Allegany 9,231 28.72% 22,141 68.90% 765 2.38% -12,910 -40.18% 32,137 Anne Arundel 171,945 55.19% 128,892 41.37% 10,735 3.45% 43,053 13.82% 311,572 Baltimore 249,958 60.53% 149,560 36.22% 13,397 3.24% 100,398 24.31% 412,915 Baltimore City 195,109 84.55% 27,984 12.13% 7,661 3.32% 167,125 72.42% 230,754 Calvert 23,438 43.25% 29,361 54.18% 1,392 2.57% -5,923 -10.93% 54,191 Caroline 4,860 29.76% 11,053 67.69% 417 2.55% -6,193 -37.93% 16,330 Carroll 36,867 35.91% 62,273 60.66% 3,511 3.42% -25,406 -24.75% 102,651 Cecil 17,628 33.37% 33,871 64.11% 1,332 2.52% -16,243 -30.74% 52,831 Charles 63,454 68.90% 26,145 28.39% 2,498 2.71% 37,309 40.51% 92,097 Dorchester 6,954 41.46% 9,390 55.99% 428 2.55% -2,436 -14.53% 16,772 Frederick 82,409 52.79% 68,753 44.04% 4,952 3.17% 13,656 8.75% 156,114 Garrett 3,456 21.82% 11,983 75.66% 399 2.52% -8,527 -53.84% 15,838 Harford 62,453 41.61% 83,050 55.33% 4,587 3.06% -20,597 -13.72% 150,090 Howard 124,764 68.44% 49,425 27.11% 8,102 4.44% 75,339 41.33% 182,291 Kent 5,251 47.19% 5,561 49.97% 316 2.84% -310 -2.78% 11,128 Montgomery 386,581 74.45% 112,637 21.69% 20,003 3.85% 273,944 52.76% 519,221 Prince George's 347,038 85.90% 45,008 11.14% 11,963 2.96% 302,030 74.76% 404,009 Queen Anne's 11,273 34.85% 20,200 62.45% 874 2.70% -8,927 -27.60% 32,347 St. Mary's 23,531 39.91% 33,582 56.96% 1,841 3.12% -10,051 -17.05% 58,954 Somerset 4,054 39.99% 5,805 57.27% 278 2.74% -1,751 -17.28% 10,137 Talbot 11,119 48.70% 11,125 48.73% 586 2.57% -6 -0.03% 22,830 Washington 27,260 37.17% 44,054 60.07% 2,018 2.75% -16,794 -22.90% 73,332 Wicomico 21,513 45.86% 24,065 51.30% 1,334 2.84% -2,552 -5.44% 46,912 Worcester 12,431 37.81% 19,632 59.71% 818 2.49% -7,201 -21.90% 32,881Totals1,902,57762.62%1,035,55034.08%100,2073.30%867,02728.54%3,038,334 Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Kent (county seat and largest municipality: Chestertown) Talbot (county seat and largest municipality: Easton)

By congressional district Harris won seven of eight congressional districts. District Harris Trump Representative 40.17% 56.99%Andy Harris57.48%39.17%Dutch Ruppersberger (118th Congress)Johnny Olszewski (119th Congress)59.84%36.30%John Sarbanes (118th Congress)Sarah Elfreth (119th Congress) 85.00% 11.77%Glenn Ivey 65.11% 32.03%Steny Hoyer51.25%45.51%David Trone (118th Congress)April McClain Delaney (119th Congress) 77.68% 19.12%Kweisi Mfume 76.01% 20.17%Jamie Raskin

See also 2024 Maryland elections United States presidential elections in Maryland 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links