In the 2025 Canadian federal election, 14 members of Parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of Manitoba (4.1% of all members).

2022 electoral redistribution The 2025 Canadian federal election was the first election to utilize the electoral districts established following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution. The House of Commons increased from 338 seats to 343 seats. Manitoba's seat allocation stayed the same at 14 seats. This ensures that the average population per constituency in Manitoba is 95,868 (according to the 2021 Canadian census), which is 11,980 less people per electoral district than the national average.

Timeline

+ Changes in Manitoban seats held (2021–2025) Seat Before Change Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party Winnipeg South Centre December 12, 2022 Jim Carr Died in office June 19, 2023 Ben Carr Portage—LisgarFebruary 28, 2023Candice BergenResignedJune 19, 2023Branden LeslieElmwood—TransconaMarch 31, 2024Daniel BlaikieResigned to work with Premier of Manitoba Wab KinewSeptember 16, 2024Leila Dance

Predictions

Polling firm Last dateof polling Link LPC CPC NDP GPC PPC Others Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead Probe Research 43 40 15 1 1 ± 3.5 pp 800 IVR + online 3 Probe Research 44 42 9 2 2 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 2 Probe Research 28 45 22 3 2 ± 4.0 pp 600 IVR + online 17 Probe Research 19 52 24 2 2 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 28 Probe Research 21 50 24 2 3 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 26 Probe Research 23 47 26 2 1 ± 3.1 pp 1,000 IVR + online 21

Results

Summary +Manitoban summary seat results in the 2025 Canadian federal electionPartyVotesVote %Seats 296,166 7.1pp 0 260,610 12.9pp 2 70,574 12.0pp 2 6,103 6.6pp 0 4,678 1.0pp 0 1,151 0.5pp 0 Total 639,282 – 0 https://enr.elections.ca/Provinces.aspx?lang=e

Comparison with national results + PartyPopular vote %Seats in caucus 46.3 41.3 +5.0 40.8 43.7 -2.9 11.0 6.3 +4.7 1.0 0.7 +0.3 no caucus 0.7 1.2 -0.5   Total – – –

Student vote results The student vote is a Mock election that runs parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by Student Vote Canada. These are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results.https://studentvote.ca/canada/ +Manitoban summary results in the 2025 Canadian Student VotePartyVotesVote %Seats 14,806 11.0pp 3 12,142 7.6pp 3 8,890 11.7pp 6 2,885 1.9pp 0 2041 3.0pp 0 79 0.8pp 0 Total 41,430 – 0 Source: Student Vote Canada

See also

Canadian federal election results in Winnipeg Canadian federal election results in Rural Manitoba

Notes

References