Statewide opinion polling for the March 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries

This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.

As of May 2012, both Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have led polls in multiple states. They have both also reached at least 20 percent in polls in multiple states. Before announcing that they would not run, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin were also leading polls in multiple states with numbers above 20 percent. Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum were also able to lead polls in multiple states earlier in the race, but Cain suspended his campaign on December 3 after multiple allegations of sexual impropriety,James Oliphant, "Herman Cain drops out of presidential race" (December 3, 2011). Los Angeles Times. Bachmann dropped out on January 4, one day after her poor showing in the Iowa caucuses, in which she came in sixth place and received just 5 percent of the vote,Sarah Wheaton, "Bachmann Says She Will Not Continue in the Race" (January 4, 2012). New York Times. Perry dropped out on January 19 after finishing fifth in Iowa with just over 10 percent of the vote, finishing sixth in New Hampshire with less than 1 percent of the vote and with "lagging" poll numbers ahead of the South Carolina primary, and Santorum suspended his campaign on April 10. Newt Gingrich announced he would drop out of the race after a poor showing in the northeast on April 24.

Haley Barbour of Mississippi, Jeb Bush of Florida, Chris Christie of New Jersey, Jim DeMint of South Carolina, Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and John Thune of South Dakota all succeeded in leading polls in their home states at some point in 2011, although only Pawlenty actually launched a campaign. Pawlenty exited the race on August 14, one day after finishing third in Iowa's Ames Straw Poll, citing a lack of campaign funds.Kate O'Hare, "Tim Pawlenty quits after third-place straw-poll finish" (August 14, 2011). Los Angeles Times.Robert J. Vickers, "Pawlenty to headline state GOP meeting" (January 3, 2012). The Patriot-News.

Polling for completed primaries

Washington (March 3)

Winner: Mitt Romney Caucus date: March 3, 2012 Delegates: 43

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd OtherCaucus results Turnout: 50,764March 3, 2012 Mitt Romney 37.65% Ron Paul24.81% Rick Santorum23.81% Newt Gingrich 10.28%, Others 3.44%SurveyUSA Margin of error: ±4.5% Sample size: 500Feb. 29 – Mar. 1, 2012Mitt Romney 38% Rick Santorum 24% Ron Paul 14% Newt Gingrich 10%, Barack Obama 6%, Other 3%, Undecided 6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.6% Sample size: 447Feb. 29 – Mar. 1, 2012Mitt Romney 37% Rick Santorum 32% Ron Paul 16% Newt Gingrich 13%, Someone else/Not sure 2%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400Feb. 16–19, 2012Rick Santorum 38% Mitt Romney 27% Ron Paul 15% Newt Gingrich 12%, Someone else/Not sure 8%Rick Santorum 49% Mitt Romney 28% Ron Paul 16% Not sure 7%SurveyUSASurveyUSA Margin of error: ±7.7% Sample size: 169 Jan. 16, 2012Mitt Romney 26%Newt Gingrich22%Rick Santorum 19% Ron Paul 7%, Rick Perry 5%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 2%, Undecided 18%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.7% Sample size: 712 Oct. 29–31, 2010Sarah Palin 19%Mitt Romney 18%Mike Huckabee 17% Newt Gingrich 15%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Mitch Daniels 2%, Mike Pence 1%, John Thune 0%, someone else/undecided 24%

Alaska (March 6)

Winner: Mitt Romney Caucus date: March 6, 2012 Delegates: 27

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd OtherCaucus resultsCaucus results Turnout: 13,219March 6, 2012 Mitt Romney 32.4% Rick Santorum29.2% Ron Paul24.0% Newt Gingrich 14.1%, Uncommitted 0.3%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy PollingMargin of error: ±3.6%Sample size: 743 Oct. 30–31, 2010Mike Huckabee17%Newt Gingrich16%Mitt Romney16% Sarah Palin 15%, Tim Pawlenty 5%, Mitch Daniels 2%, Mike Pence 2%, John Thune 2%, someone else/undecided 25%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy PollingMargin of error: ±3.5%Sample size: 805 Aug. 27–28, 2010Mitt Romney20%Mike Huckabee17%Sarah Palin17% Newt Gingrich 16%, Ron Paul 10%, someone else 9%, undecided 11%

Georgia (March 6)

Winner: Newt Gingrich Primary date: March 6, 2012 Delegates: 76

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd OtherPrimary resultsPrimary results Turnout: 900,434March 6, 2012 Newt Gingrich 47.2% Mitt Romney25.9% Rick Santorum19.6% Ron Paul 6.6%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 0.2%, Michele Bachmann 0.2%, Rick Perry 0.2%, Buddy Roemer 0.1%, Gary Johnson 0.1%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 600 Mar. 3–5, 2012Newt Gingrich 44% Mitt Romney 24% Rick Santorum 19% Ron Paul 9%, Undecided 3%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 728 Mar. 3–4, 2012Newt Gingrich 47% Mitt Romney 24% Rick Santorum 19% Ron Paul 8%, Someone else/Not sure 2%Mitt Romney 38%Rick Santorum 37% Ron Paul 14% Not sure 10%CNN/ORCCNN/ORC Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 527 Mar. 1–4, 2012Newt Gingrich47% Mitt Romney24% Rick Santorum15% Ron Paul 9%, None/No one 1%, No opinion 4%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 625 Feb. 29-Mar. 1, 2012Newt Gingrich38% Mitt Romney24% Rick Santorum22% Ron Paul 3%, Undecided 12%Rosetta StoneRosetta Stone Margin of error: ±3% Sample size: 950 Mar. 1, 2012Newt Gingrich42% Mitt Romney22% Rick Santorum16% Ron Paul 5%, Undecided 15%YouGovYouGov Margin of error: ±6.3% Sample size: 500 Feb. 25 – Mar. 1, 2012Newt Gingrich32%Mitt Romney27% Rick Santorum17% Ron Paul 10%, Not sure 14%Landmark/Rosetta StoneLandmark/Rosetta Stone Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 1,300 Feb. 23, 2012Newt Gingrich38% Rick Santorum25% Mitt Romney19% Ron Paul 5%, Undecided 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 750 Feb. 22, 2012Newt Gingrich33% Rick Santorum28% Mitt Romney20% Ron Paul 9%, Someone else 2%, Undecided 8%InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion ResearchInsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 721 Feb. 20, 2012Newt Gingrich25.9%Mitt Romney23.9%Rick Santorum22.8% Ron Paul 11.7%, Someone else 4.4%, No opinion 11.3%Rosetta Stone Communications/Landmark CommunicationsRosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications Margin of error: ±2.6% Sample size: 1,475 Feb. 9, 2012Newt Gingrich35% Rick Santorum26% Mitt Romney16% Ron Paul 5%, Undecided 18%Survey USASurvey USA Margin of error: ±4.7% Sample size: 459 Feb. 1–2, 2012Newt Gingrich45% Mitt Romney32% Rick Santorum9% Ron Paul 8%, Undecided 4%, Other 2%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 1,025 Dec. 12–14, 2011Newt Gingrich43% Mitt Romney21% Rick Perry7% Ron Paul 4%, Michele Bachmann 3%, Jon Huntsman 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 19%InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion ResearchInsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research Margin of error: Sample size: 516 Dec. 9, 2011 Newt Gingrich54.1% Mitt Romney12.4% Ron Paul5.5% Michele Bachmann 3.8%, Rick Perry 2.9%, Rick Santorum 1.7%, Jon Huntsman 1.5%, Someone else 0.7%, No opinion 17.4%SurveyUSASurveyUSA Margin of error: ±4.7% Sample size: 362 Dec. 6–7, 2011Newt Gingrich65% Mitt Romney12% Michele Bachmann5% Ron Paul 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 6%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage Margin of error: ±3% Sample size: 678 Oct. 3, 2011Herman Cain41% Newt Gingrich17% Mitt Romney10% Rick Perry 9%, Ron Paul 5%, Michele Bachmann 1%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Other 4%, No opinion/Undecided 12%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage Margin of error: ±5% Sample size: 425 Aug. 18, 2011Rick Perry24% Herman Cain15% Newt Gingrich9% Michele Bachmann 8%, Sarah Palin 8%, Mitt Romney 6%, Ron Paul 5%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Other 4%, No opinion/Undecided 20%Insider-Advantage-WSB-TV Margin of error: ±5% Sample size: 407 Jun. 3, 2011Herman Cain26% Michele Bachmann13% Newt Gingrich12% Sarah Palin 11%, Mitt Romney 10%, Ron Paul 1%, Tim Pawlenty 1%, Other 4%, Undecided 22%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.9% Sample size: 400 Mar. 31 – Apr. 3, 2011Mike Huckabee23%Newt Gingrich22% Herman Cain16% Sarah Palin 10%, Mitt Romney 8%, Michele Bachmann 4%, Ron Paul 3%, Tim Pawlenty 3%, someone else/undecided 11%Newt Gingrich31% Mike Huckabee24% Sarah Palin10% Mitt Romney 8%, Michele Bachmann 5%, Ron Paul 4%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Haley Barbour 3%, someone else/undecided 11%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies Margin of error: ±2.8% Sample size: 1,227 Jul. 8, 2010Newt Gingrich29.8% Mike Huckabee24.5% Mitt Romney14.4% Sarah Palin 12.0%, Haley Barbour 4.7%, Tim Pawlenty 2.7%, undecided 11.9%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.3% Sample size: 516 Feb. 26–28, 2010Mike Huckabee 38% Mitt Romney28% Sarah Palin25% undecided 9%

Massachusetts (March 6)

Winner: Mitt Romney Primary date: March 6, 2012 Delegates: 41

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd OtherPrimary resultsPrimary results Turnout: 367,438March 6, 2012 Mitt Romney 72.2% Rick Santorum12.0% Ron Paul9.5% Newt Gingrich 4.6%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 0.6%, No Preference 0.5%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Michele Bachmann 0.2%YouGovYouGov Margin of error: ±8.7% Sample size: 400 Feb. 25 – Mar. 1, 2012Mitt Romney56% Rick Santorum16% Newt Gingrich5% Ron Paul 5%, Not sure 17%Suffolk University Margin of error: ±% Sample size: 172 Feb. 11–15, 2012Mitt Romney64% Rick Santorum16% Ron Paul7% Newt Gingrich 6%, Undecided 6%, Refused 1%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±6.1% Sample size: 255 Sep. 16–18, 2011Mitt Romney50% Rick Perry14% Michele Bachmann7% Herman Cain 5%, Newt Gingrich 5%, Ron Paul 5%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Gary Johnson 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, someone else/not sure 10%Mitt Romney63% Rick Perry26% – not sure 10%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±6.3% Sample size: 244 Jun. 2 – Jun. 5, 2011Mitt Romney49% Michele Bachmann10% Sarah Palin9% Herman Cain 8%, Tim Pawlenty 6%, Ron Paul 5%, Newt Gingrich 4%, Jon Huntsman 1%, Someone else/not sure 9%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±5.7% Sample size: 300 Nov. 29 – Dec. 1, 2010Mitt Romney47% Sarah Palin12% Newt Gingrich11% Mike Huckabee 10%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Ron Paul 3%, John Thune 2%, Mitch Daniels 1%, someone else/undecided 9%

Ohio (March 6)

Winner: Mitt Romney Primary date: March 6, 2012 Delegates: 66

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd OtherPrimary resultsPrimary results Turnout: 1,203,403March 6, 2012 Mitt Romney 37.9% Rick Santorum37.1% Newt Gingrich14.6% Ron Paul 9.2%, Rick Perry 0.6%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 0.5%Merriman River GroupMerriman River Group Margin of error: ±3.4% Sample size: 832 LV Mar. 4, 2012Mitt Romney 38% Rick Santorum 33% Newt Gingrich 18% Ron Paul 8%, Unsure 1%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 750 Mar. 4, 2012Rick Santorum 32%Mitt Romney 31% Newt Gingrich 13% Ron Paul 13%, Undecided 6%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500 Mar. 3–4, 2012Rick Santorum 37%Mitt Romney 33% Newt Gingrich 16% Ron Paul 8%, Undecided 6%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 600 Mar. 3–4, 2012Mitt Romney 35% Rick Santorum 28% Newt Gingrich 18% Ron Paul 13%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±3.8% Sample size: 666 Mar. 3–4, 2012Mitt Romney 37%Rick Santorum 36% Newt Gingrich 15% Ron Paul 11%, Someone else/Not sure 2%Rick Santorum 40%Mitt Romney 39% Ron Paul 14% Not sure 8%QuinnipiacQuinnipiac Margin of error: ±3.6% Sample size: 753 Mar. 2–4, 2012Mitt Romney 34%Rick Santorum 31% Newt Gingrich 15% Ron Paul 12%, None/No one 2%, No opinion 8%CNN/ORCCNN/ORC Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 546 Mar. 1–4, 2012 Mitt Romney 32%Rick Santorum 32% Newt Gingrich 14% Ron Paul 11%, None/No one 2%, No opinion 8%Reuters/IpsosReuters/Ipsos Margin of error: ±4% Sample size: 917 Mar. 1–3, 2012Mitt Romney 32%Rick Santorum 32% Newt Gingrich 17% Ron Paul 6%NBC News/MaristNBC News/Marist Margin of error: ±3.4%