Opinion polling for the 2027 New South Wales state election

In the lead-up to the 2027 New South Wales state election, opinion polling has taken place to gauge voter sentiment of politics in New South Wales at various points in time. These opinion polls also gauge leader favourability.

Graphical summary

Voting intention Legislative Assembly

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND Others ALP L/NP ONP 9–15 Aug, 7–12 Sep 2026 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,650 29% 24% 11% 25% 5% 5% 55.2% 44.8% 19–26 August 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,028 ±3.9% 32% 25% 13% 23% 7% 57% 43% 5–12 Aug 2026 Insightfully Minerals Council of Australia 1,000 29% 18% 13% 29% Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 29% 23% 11% 25% 8% 4% 55.6% 44.4% 15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National rowspan="3" 1,038 ±3.6% 32% 20% 13% 27% rowspan="3"; 8% 59.7% 40.3% 56.2% 43.8% 20 May 2026Resolve 1,000 32%26%10%22%6%4%55%45% 9–14 Mar 2026 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 29% 25% 10% 23% 8% 5% 52.8% 47.2% 24 Feb–4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,032 ±3.6%34% 23% 15% 21% 7% 61% 39% 16–19 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan rowspan="3" 2,108 rowspan="3"; 25% 19% 12.5% 30% 2.5% 11% 54% 46% 52.5% 47.5% 50.5% 49.5% 17 Jan 2026Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,145 37% 27% 10% 11% 15%60% 40% 14 Dec 2025 Spectre Strategy 34% 26% 11% 16% 13%56% 44% 24 Nov–8 Dec 2025 Redbridge/Accent Daily Telegraph 1,293 38% 30% 10% 4% 18%57% 43% 21 Nov 2025 Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 9 Nov 2025Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,145 37%28%10%15%11%58.5%41.5% 17–22 Oct 2025DemosAU/Premier National 1,016 ±4.0%37% 30% 13% 20%59% 41% 9–13 Sep 2025Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 38%28%10%11%12%59%41% 13–18 Jul 2025Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,054 38%32%13%8%10%57%43% June 2025 Redbridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 43% 32% 58.5% 41.5% Mar–14 Apr 2025Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,123 33%36%11%14%6%51%49% 18–23 Feb 2025Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 29%38%14%11%8%49% 51% 8 Dec 2024Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 33%37% 11% 13% 7% 6–20 Nov 2024RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 1,088 ±3.4% 37%41% 9% 13% 50.5% 49.5% Sep–Oct 2024Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,111 32%37%11%14%6%50%50% 6–29 Aug 2024Wolf & Smith ±2.2% 32%38% 12% 14% 4% 50% 50% 11 Aug 2024Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,000 30%38%12%14%6%49% 51% 16 Jun 2024Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,000 32%35%11%15%7%52%48% Feb–May 2024RedBridge/Accent Daily Telegraph 1,376 35%40% 11% 14%50.5% 49.5% 21 Mar – 21 Apr 2024Resolve 1,000 33%36%12%14%5%52%48% 25 Feb 2024Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,035 34%38%12%12%5%51.5%48.5% 11 Nov 2023Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,100 36%32%13%12%7%57%43% 10 Sep 2023Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,019 38%36%9%13%4% 54%46% 16 Jul 2023Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,012 41% 32% 10% 11% 5% 58% 42% 14 May 2023Resolve Sydney Morning Herald 1,102 44% 31% 9% 10% 5%60% 40% 25 Mar 2023 2023 election 37.0% 35.4% 9.7% 1.8% 8.8% 9.2% 54.3% 45.7%

Legislative Council

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP LCA LBT SFF AJP FFP Others 19–26 August 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,038 ±3.9%31% 25% 14% 24% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 15–18 June 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,038 ±3.8%30% 20% 13% 27% 1% 1% 1% 8% 24 Feb–4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,032 ±3.6%29% 21% 13% 21% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 8% DemosAU/Premier National 1,016 ±4.0%30% 21% 13% 15% 3% 2% 1% 3% 5% 7% 25 Mar 2023 2023 election 36.6% 29.8% 9.1% 5.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.1% 2.2% 1.3% 4.8%

Preferred premier

DatePolling firmClientBetter Premier Minns SloaneDon't knowNet 9–15 Aug, 7–12 Sep Resolve The Sydney Morning Herald27%15%50%12% 19–26 Aug 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 44%26%30%18% Resolve Sydney Morning Herald36%16%48%20% 21 May 2026 Resolve 38%18%44%20% 9–14 Mar 2026 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald38%17%45%21% 24 Feb – 4 Mar 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 48%24%28%24% 16–19 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan 60.5% 31.5% 8%29% 17 Jan 2026 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald40%18%42%22% 14 Dec 2025 Spectre Strategy 41%26%33%15% 21 Nov 2025 Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the oppositionDatePolling firmClient Minns SpeakmanDon't knowNet 9 Nov 2025 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald31%19%50%12% 17–22 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 44%25%31%19% 9–13 Sep 2025 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald37%16%47%21% 13–18 Jul 2025 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald35%16%49%19% Mar–22 Apr 2025 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald40%15%45%25% 24–26 Mar 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 42%24%34%18% 23 Feb 2025 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald35%14%51%21% 6 Oct 2024 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald37% 14% 49%23% 11 Aug 2024 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald38% 13% 49%25% Resolve Sydney Morning Herald38%13%49%25% 21 Apr 2024 Resolve 37%16%47%19% 25 Feb 2024 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald35%16%51%19% 5 Nov 2023 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald35%13%52%22% 10 Sep 2023 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald41%14%45%27% 16 Jul 2023 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald39%12%49%27% 14 May 2023 Resolve Sydney Morning Herald42%12%46%30%

Leader satisfaction

DatePolling firmClientMinnsSloane Satisfied DissatisfiedDon't knowNet Satisfied DissatisfiedDon't knowNet 19–26 Aug 2026DemosAU/Premier National 37%22%41%+15%25%20%55%+5% 16–19 Feb 2026Roy Morgan 56%41%3%+15%46%45%9%+1% Kellie Sloane becomes Liberal leader and leader of the oppositionDatePolling firmClientMinnsSpeakman Satisfied DissatisfiedDon't knowNet Satisfied DissatisfiedDon't knowNet Feb – May 2024RedBridge/Accent 40%20%40%+20%19%21%60%-2% By language Only English spoken at home Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND Others ALP L/NP DemosAU/Premier National 29% 25% 12% 27% 7% DemosAU/Premier National 29% 20% 11% 31% 9%

Other language spoken at home Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND Others ALP L/NP DemosAU/Premier National 43% 23% 17% 10% 7% DemosAU/Premier National 43% 20% 19% 12% 6%

Individual electorate polling Cessnock Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2CP vote ALP NAT GRN ONP Others ALP ONP Early August 2026 Private 24% 50% 33% 67% 25 Mar 2023 2023 election 48.7% 11.1% 6.6% 15.3% 9.2% 73.4% 26.6%

Notes

References