During the evening hours of Saturday, April 29, 2017, multiple tornadoes, some large, destructive, and deadly, moved through the East Texas counties of Henderson, Van Zandt, Rains, and Hopkins. Over the course of 3 hours and 15 minutes, the tornadoes killed four people, injured over 49, and wrought severe damage across the area. The strongest of the tornadoes were given mid-range EF4, low-end EF3, and mid-range EF2 ratings respectively by the National Weather Service (NWS) in Fort Worth/Dallas, Texas.
Although the environment that day otherwise would not have been in favor of any widespread tornado outbreak, previous thunderstorms left an outflow boundary in the region, which resulted in numerous favorable conditions coming together and allowing thunderstorms along the boundary to rapidly intensify into large tornadic supercells. Two minor EF0 tornadoes first formed in Van Zandt County prior to the strongest tornado of the event, a large, rain wrapped tornado that began in Henderson County. The tornado tracked north/northeastwards, reaching EF2 strength southeast of Eustace before weakening as it entered Van Zandt County. The tornado intensified back to EF2 strength shortly after, damaging or destroying multiple structures as it moved north-northeastwards towards the Canton area. Passing between Phalba and Tundra, the tornado rapidly intensified to EF4 strength, destroying a well-built two story brick home. Weakening to EF3 strength, the tornado began to turn towards the northwest, striking the community of Jackson. The tornado damaged or destroyed numerous structures southwest of Canton before rapidly weakening and dissipating near High, leaving two people dead and 25 more injured.
As the EF4 tornado was ongoing, another supercell produced a separate tornado in Henderson County. The tornado, moving northeastwards, first reached EF1 strength near Stockard. As it moved to the east of Eustace, the tornado intensified to EF2 strength and blew a house off of its foundation. The tornado then gradually weakened, causing tree damage before dissipating south of Big Rock, with multiple injuries attributed to the tornado. The same supercell then quickly cycled and produced another tornado on the Henderson-Van Zandt county border. The tornado moved north-northeastwards, reaching EF1 strength east of Denman Crossroads. Passing to the east of Tundra, the tornado strengthened further to EF2 strength, destroying multiple structures as it continued into the eastern side of Canton. There, many buildings, including a dealership, were damaged or destroyed as the tornado intensified to EF3 strength, and one woman was killed when her vehicle was thrown from the road. Exiting Canton, the tornado weakened back to EF2 strength, causing widespread tree damage. The tornado then turned northeast into Fruitvale, where multiple structures were damaged or destroyed before the tornado exited town and weakened to EF0 strength, turning north-northeastwards into Rains County. The tornado then intensified back to EF1 strength, causing tree damage and isolated damage to structures. The tornado briefly reached EF2 strength southeast of Emory, severely damaging multiple structures before weakening back to EF0 strength. The tornado turned almost due northwards and crossed the Lake Fork Reservoir before dissipating east of Dougherty, leaving two people dead and 24 others injured. Three more weak tornadoes touched down, two EF0 tornadoes in Van Zandt County and an EF1 tornado in Hopkins County.
Meteorological synopsis
Progression through April 26–28 On April 26, 2017, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlined a 30% risk for severe weather over northeastern Texas, southeastern Oklahoma, southwestern Arkansas, and northwestern Louisiana, encompassed by a larger 15% risk area. A shortwave trough was expected to amplify over the southern Rocky Mountains and move eastwards through the southern Great Plains, accompanied by a strong cold front. Severe thunderstorms were expected to develop along the boundary, moving eastwards through Texas and into the lower Mississippi Valley, where the atmosphere would be “moderately to strongly unstable”.
The following day, April 27, at 07:22 UTC, the SPC outlined an enhanced (3 out of 5) categorical risk, or 30% probabilistic risk, over the previous area of the 15% and 30% risks. Downstream from the aforementioned shortwave trough, an upper ridge was expected to build up over the eastern states. At the surface, a quasi-stationary front would extend from the Ohio Valley into Oklahoma. A cold front would then merge with the boundary and continue southeastwards through Oklahoma and Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. Storms ongoing in Arkansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma would pose threats of strong wind gusts and hail. A moist and strongly unstable warm sector will reside across east-central Texas into the lower Mississippi Valley. However, a capping inversion would also limit thunderstorm development across most of Texas prior to the arrival of deeper forcing for ascent accompanying the shortwave trough and cold front later in the afternoon. Strong vertical shear and large hodographs would be present in the warm sector, but initiation was expected to remain confined to the cold frontal zone where storms were more likely to be undercut as they evolved into linear modes. Despite the limited storm development, embedded supercells and bowing segments were likely. Large hail and damaging wind were of the primary threats, but a few tornadoes would also be possible as activity developed through eastern Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley.
On April 28, at 17:41 UTC, the SPC extended their enhanced risk to stretch into southern Missouri, now accompanied by a smaller 45% probabilistic risk for severe weather in Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Severe thunderstorms were expected to form and pose threats of large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. Weather vapor imagery denoted an amplifying mid-level trough situated over the western United States, as a ridge built over the Southeast coast. A mid-level low would develop and move eastwards from the Four Corners into the Texas Panhandle and western Oklahoma. In the lower levels, a surface low initially situated over the southern Plains would slowly move northeast into the Ozarks, while a stationary frontal zone sat east-northeast from central Oklahoma through Missouri and into the Ohio Valley. An arctic cold front moved southwards into the Permian Basin, and a Pacific cold front combined and accelerated southeastwards across Texas and into the lower Sabine Valley by Sunday, April 30. Strong low-level southerly flow would advect a maritime tropical airmass, consisting of lowest 100-mb mean mixing ratios (at or above 16 g/kg) and translating to 70-74 degree F surface dewpoints, into much of the warm sector across Arkansas, Louisiana, Texas, and northeastwards into northern portions of the lower Mississippi Valley. Ongoing thunderstorms were likely across portions of Oklahoma near the terminus of a 60-kt low level jet as the cold front encroached on the warm sector. Isolated severe hail and severe gusts were possible with the initial activity.
An elevated mixed layer and capping inversion allowed a very unstable boundary layer (MLCAPE 2500-4000 J/kg) to develop to the south of convective outflow and cloud debris across southeast Oklahoma & Arkansas and into east-central Texas. Weather models indicated storm development moving southwestwards into north-central Texas during the afternoon of April 29 in association with a couple of storm clusters. The more substantial severe risk was to be timed with the ejection of a strong mid-level vorticity maximum moving eastwards into the southern Plains during the late afternoon and through the overnight. More uncertain was the potential development of quasi-discrete storms developing ahead of the front. Any supercells that managed to develop and sustain themselves in the moisture-rich environment with a sizable hodograph were probable to pose a tornadic threat. As the mid-level wave turned into the region, strengthening effective shear profiles from 30-kt to 45-60 kt produced favorable conditions for a mature squall line moving eastward across this region and moving into Arkansas and Louisiana. The threat for severe gusts and associated wind damage were expected to become more widespread in Arkansas, Louisiana, and Texas after nightfall.
April 29
On April 29, at the 06:00 UTC outlook, the SPC continued their enhanced risk, alongside a 5% risk for tornadoes, lasting through the 1300, 1630, and 2000 UTC outlooks. Strong winds associated with the aforementioned upper low would translate across west Texas and the southern Plains that night, alongside by 150–180 m height falls at 500 mb. At lower levels in advance of the upper low, a broad low-level jet was placed over parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Arkansas, with 50-60 kt winds in the 1–2 km agl level. This would provide strong low-level shear on April 29, with strengthening deep-layer shear progressing eastward across the southern plains towards the lower Mississippi Valley that night.
A ridge of high pressure centered over the Atlantic Ocean, allowing high levels of atmospheric pressure originating from the Gulf of Mexico to focus along the front. This caused thunderstorm training (clusters of heavy rain and thunderstorms slowly progressing eastwards). For the next six hours, the front remained mostly indifferent as it moved slightly eastwards, although a squall line was beginning to form, increasing the threat for large hail, damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes. Although the overall setup that day was not favorable for a widespread tornado outbreak, thunderstorms from earlier in the day left behind an outflow boundary across northeastern Texas, resulting in a localized area of enhanced low-level helicity. Deep moisture, high levels of CAPE, and low LCL heights were also present in the area as multiple thunderstorms rode the boundary and dramatically intensified into large tornadic supercells, going on to produce the East Texas tornadoes.
Event summary Eustace–West Canton tornado
At 5:29 p.m. CDT (UTC−05:00), the third and strongest of eight tornadoes to strike Eastern Texas initiated in northwestern Henderson County, north of Log Cabin, three miles due south of Eustace, and just off of the Cedar Creek Reservoir, prompting a particularly dangerous situation (PDS) tornado warning. Moving northeastwards, this rain-wrapped tornado initially caused minor EF0 damage, snapping branches off of hardwood trees along County Road 2813. On County Road 2858, hardwood trees were uprooted, and a manufactured home sustained minor roof damage. The tornado then crossed FM 2329, continuing to cause minor tree damage and downing a wooden fence before turning due northwards, intensifying to mid-range EF2 strength as it impacted multiple houses on Goodell Lane. One house had the majority of its roof system torn away, and just to the north, hardwood trees had their bark stripped away (although branches remained), and another house lost a considerable portion of its roof system. The tornado then turned northeastwards, maintaining its strength and rapidly widening as it crossed US 175 W to the southeast of Eustace, collapsing a microwave tower. The tornado weakened to EF1 strength as it crossed FM 2709, where a double-wide manufactured home slid off of its CMU block piers, wood poles were broken, and hardwood trees were snapped. The tornado then turned back northwards, widening once again as it snapped and uprooted softwood & hardwood trees and removed part of the roof system along FM 1861. The tornado then entered southwestern Van Zandt County.