This article lists European Union-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election.

Seat projections This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states. 361 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority.

OrganisationReleasedateRef.The LeftS&DG/EFARenewEPPECRPfEESNNIOthersLeadDer Föderalist20 Aug 2026511184068175779945192857Europe ElectsAug 202664116406717282974627956Europe ElectsJul 202665118396817381964428855Der Föderalist18 Jun 2026491224071181749839192759Europe ElectsJun 202661121387017480964427953Europe ElectsMay 20265912539671768210039211251Der Föderalist23 Apr 20265212439701737810336212449Europe ElectsApr 20265712539681778110040211252Europe ElectsMar 2026551273867176841063722849Europe Elects27 Feb 2026571274069173831004023846Der Föderalist26 Feb 20265412437641758310437241851Europe Elects30 Jan 2026561263970174861014323248Der Föderalist12 Jan 20265312237711778010438271155Europe ElectsDec 202557126397217584994224249Der Föderalist13 Nov 20255112437711758110539241351Europe ElectsNov 2025571283672177841014319349Europe ElectsOct 2025581293767178851034219249Europe Elects27 Sep 2025601263774179861003818253Der Föderalist1 Sep 20255512340661768510537211253Europe Elects31 Aug 202560125387618083983721255Europe Elects25 Jul 202560127367718083983621253Der Föderalist1 Jul 2025511244473181809936201257Europe Elects25 Jun 202558130367818381963521253Europe Elects31 May 202558132348218277963523150Der Föderalist22 May 2025491304076179791003523949Europe Elects25 Apr 2025581303379176791023724246Europe Elects29 Mar 2025551293385175781033325446Der Föderalist27 Mar 2025521314173177799933241146Europe Elects28 Feb 2025541313485174791043124443Der Föderalist30 Jan 2025481304381185779329241055Europe Elects25 Jan 2025491313685177811042922646Europe Elects24 Dec 2024491313784179761042925648Der Föderalist2 Dec 20244313141831867310027241255Europe Elects30 Nov 2024531343681183771002924349Europe Elects31 Oct 202452137348218376982828246Der Föderalist7 Oct 202444136417918674962629950Europe Elects30 Sep 202446141407318582932731244Europe Elects31 Aug 202445140447218680922632346Der Föderalist12 Aug 2024441374577191738825319542024 European Parliament election6–9 June 202446136537718878842533–52

Popular vote projections

Graphical Summary

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national European election polls, national election polls, and election results from all member states.

OrganisationReleasedateRef.The LeftS&DG/EFARenewEPPECRPfEESNNIOthersLeadEurope ElectsAug 202610.7%15.9%6.8%9.0%21.1%10.4%11.0%8.5%3.4%3.1%5.2%Europe ElectsJul 202610.4%16.0%6.9%9.0%21.1%10.3%10.9%8.2%3.5%3.9%5.1%Europe ElectsJun 202610.3%16.2%6.6%9.3%21.4%10.4%11.0%8.2%3.4%3.2%5.2%Europe ElectsMay 20269.7%16.6%7.0%8.9%21.5%10.5%11.2%7.2%3.8%3.5%4.9%Europe ElectsApr 20269.8%16.9%6.9%8.8%21.7%10.7%11.3%7.0%3.8%3.1%4.8%Europe Elects29 Mar 20269.5%17.1%6.8%8.5%22.0%10.9%11.7%6.6%3.9%3.0%4.9%Europe Elects27 Feb 20269.9%17.3%6.6%8.9%21.5%10.9%11.3%6.8%3.9%2.9%4.2%Europe Elects30 Jan 202610.0%17.1%6.7%9.0%21.6%11.1%11.5%7.1%3.3%2.6%4.5%Europe ElectsDec 202510.0%17.1%6.7%9.0%21.6%11.2%11.5%7.0%3.6%2.4%4.5%Europe ElectsNov 202510.3%17.1%6.3%9.3%22.0%11.3%11.7%7.1%3.1%1.9%4.9%Europe ElectsOct 202510.4%17.4%6.4%8.7%21.9%11.4%11.8%7.1%3.1%1.7%4.5%Europe ElectsSep 202510.6%16.9%6.4%9.6%21.9%11.5%11.4%6.9%3.1%1.6%5.0%Europe ElectsAug 202510.3%16.7%6.6%10.0%22.2%11.2%11.1%6.7%2.9%2.2%5.3%Europe ElectsJul 202510.5%16.8%6.7%9.9%22.4%11.1%11.0%6.6%3.2%1.9%5.6%Europe Elects25 Jun 202510.4%17.2%6.6%9.9%22.4%11.0%10.8%6.4%3.4%1.8%5.2%Europe Elects25 Apr 202510.3%17.3%6.3%10.3%21.5%10.6%11.2%6.8%3.7%2.0%4.2%Europe Elects29 Mar 20259.7%17.3%6.2%10.7%21.7%10.7%11.4%6.3%3.6%2.5%4.4%Europe Elects28 Feb 20259.3%17.7%6.2%10.8%21.9%10.8%11.4%5.8%3.3%2.8%36.12%Europe Elects25 Jan 20258.3%17.6%6.7%10.8%22.7%10.9%11.5%5.5%3.2%2.8%5.1%Europe Elects24 Dec 20248.1%17.6%6.9%10.6%23.0%10.3%11.5%5.3%3.4%3.3%5.4%Europe Elects30 Nov 20248.7%18.1%6.5%10.2%23.7%10.4%11.1%5.2%3.6%2.5%5.6%Europe Elects31 Oct 20248.5%18.3%6.4%10.5%23.4%10.2%10.7%5.1%4.0%2.9%5.1%Europe Elects30 Sep 20248.1%18.9%7.1%9.4%23.6%9.3%9.9%5.2%4.4%3.5%4.7%Europe Elects31 Aug 20246.7%17.7%6.0%8.4%22.8%9.3%9.1%5.1%3.9%7.8%5.1%2024 European Parliament election6–9 June 20246.77%15.63%6.59%9.15%19.65%8.93%10.54%4.94%Not reported8.64%4.02%

Notes

References