The 2022 Bahia state election took place in the state of Bahia, Brazil on 2 October 2022. The elections saw voters choose a Governor and Vice Governor, one Senator, 39 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 63 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, Rui Costa, of the Workers' Party (PT), was not eligible for a third term since he ran for governor in 2014 and 2018. In a significant upset, PT nominee and Secretary of Education Jerônimo led Mayor of Salvador ACM Neto in the first round of elections despite the vast majority of registered opinion polls indicating the leadership or even outright victory of Neto. In the end, Jerônimo obtained 49.45% of valid votes to ACM's 40.8%; less than a percentage point within of winning the election in the first round. Nevertheless, as no candidate obtained a majority of the vote, there will be a second round election on October 30 2022.
In the election for Federal Senate from the state of Bahia, incumbent Senator Otto Alencar (PSD) whose seat was up for election ran for re-election. and was successfully re-elected with 58.3% of valid votes.
Electoral calendar
+Electoral calendarMay 15Start of crowdfunding of candidatesJuly 20 to August 5Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitionsAugust 16 to September 30Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first roundOctober 2First round of 2022 electionsOctober 7 to October 28Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to a possible second roundOctober 30Possible second round of 2022 electionsuntil December 19Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2022 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice
Gubernatorial candidates Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.
Candidates in Runoff
PartyCandidateMost relevant political office or occupationPartyRunning mateCoalitionElectoral numberRef. Brazil Union (UNIÃO) ACM Neto Mayor of Salvador(2013–2021) Republicans Ana Coelho To Change Bahia Brazil Union (UNIÃO) Republicans Progressistas (PP) Always Forward Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) Cidadania Social Christian Party (PSC) Brazilian Labour Party (PTB) Democratic Labour Party (PDT) Podemos (PODE) Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB) Solidariedade Party of National Mobilization (PMN) Christian Democracy (DC)44 Workers' Party (PT) Jerônimo Secretary of Education of the State of Bahia(2019–2022) Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB) Geraldo Júnior For Bahia, for Brazil Brazil of Hope Workers' Party (PT) Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB) Green Party (PV) Social Democratic Party (PSD) Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) Avante Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB)13
Candidates failing to make Runoff
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) Kleber Rosa Teacher. Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) Ronaldo Mansur Let's Govern Together PSOL REDE Federation Popular Unity (UP)50 Liberal Party (PL) João Roma Minister of Citizenship(2021–2022) Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) Leonídia Umbelina Bahia, Hand in Hand with Brazil Liberal Party (PL) Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) Patriota Act (AGIR) Republican Party of the Social Order (PROS)22 Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) Giovani Damico Teacher. Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) João Coimbra None.21'Workers' Cause Party (PCO)Marcelo MilletApp driver.'Workers' Cause Party (PCO)Roque Vieira Jr.None.29
Senatorial candidates Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.
Potential candidates PartyCandidateMost recent political officeDetailsRef. Social Democratic Party (PSD) Otto Alencar Senator for Bahia(since 2015) Born in Ruy Barbosa, Bahia in 1947. Teacher, medical doctor, former Governor of Bahia (2002-2003) and Vice Governor of Bahia for two periods (1999–2002) and (2011–2015) . Progressistas (PP)Cacá Leão Federal Deputy from Bahia(since 2015) Born in Salvador, Bahia in 1979. Businessman and former state deputy of Bahia (2011–2014). Liberal Party (PL)Raíssa Soares Health Secretary of Porto Seguro(2021) Born in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais in 1970. Medical doctor and Former Health Secretary of Porto Seguro (2021). Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)Tâmara AzevedoProfessor MaxZen Costa(group candidacy) No prior public office Tâmara: Sociologist.José Ademaques dos Santos (Professor Max): Geographer and physical education teacherZen Costa: environment and culture activist. Party of National Mobilization (PMN)Marcelo Barreto Luz Para TodosNo prior public officeBorn in Salvador, Bahia in 1966. Administrator
Withdrawn candidates João Leão (PP) - Vice Governor of Bahia since 2015; Federal Deputy from Bahia 1995–2015 and Mayor of Lauro de Freitas 1989–93. The Vice-Governor of Bahia said that the reason he gave up running for the Federal Senate is due to his advanced age and the difficulty in keeping up with the pace of the candidate for the government of Bahia, ACM Neto. José Ronaldo (Brazil Union) - Former Mayor of Feira de Santana, former Federal Deputy, and candidate for governor of Bahia in 2018. He decided to coordinate ACM Neto's campaign for governor instead, supporting the coalition candidate Cacá Leão.
Legislative Assembly The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly of Bahia is given below:
Affiliation Members+/– Elected Current 10 13 3 New 1212 9 7 2 7 6 1 5 4 1 4 4 0 4 4 2 4 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 1 0 1 1 0 1101 101 2 0 2 7 0 7 Total 63 –
Opinion polls
Governor
First round The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.
2022 Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoJerônimoRomaRosaDamicoMilletAbst. UndecLeadParaná Pesquisas14-18 Sep 20221,54051.2%24.2%10.4%1%0,4%1%11.8%27%DataFolha/Metrópole12–14 Sep 20221,21249%28%7%1%1%1%14%21%Paraná Pesquisas1-5 Sep 20221,54052.9%20.5%11.6%0.8%0.6%1%12.7%32.4%Real Big Time Data2-3 Sep 20221,20049%24%9%–––18%25%IPEC/TV Bahia23-25 Aug 20221,00856%16%8%1%–2%20%43%DataFolha/Metrópole22-24 Aug 20221,00854%16%8%–1%1%20%38%Paraná Pesquisas11-15 Aug 20221,64053.5%18.2%11.1%0.2%0.4%0.9%15.7%35.3%9 August 2022The Workers' Cause Party launches Marcelo Millet as candidate for Bahia State Government in 2022.Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoJerônimoRomaRosaDamicoOthersAbst. UndecLeadAtlasIntel/A Tarde30 Jul–4 Aug 20221,60038.8%37.8%13.2%1.4%0.1%–8.6%1%Instituto França de Pesquisas18–28 Jul 20221,21353.72%12.78%8.47%0.07%1.07%–23.89%40.94%44.95%23.86%13.89%––17.3%21.09%Séculus23–26 Jul 20221,52660.94%13.04%7.86%–––18.16%47.8%Quaest/Genial9–12 Jul 20221,14061%11%6%1%0%–21%50%65%13%–2%––19%52%63%12%7%–––18%51%43%38%11%––8%5%Real Time Big Data6–7 Jul 20221,50056%18%10%1%–15%38%EXAME/IDEIA1–6 Jul 20221,00051%18%13%2%––16%33%Paraná Pesquisas30 Jun–4 Jul 20221,64058%15.8%9.1%0.4%0.1%–16.7%42.2%Séculus6–9 Jun 20221,52660.55%12.19%7.14%–––20.12%48.36%56.42%19.92%8.52%––15.14%36.5%Real Time Big Data7–8 Jun 20221,50056%18%10%1%––15%38%Real Time Big Data14–16 May 20221,50055%18%10%1%––16%37%Quaest/Genial13–16 May 20221,14067%6%5%1%––20%61%70%8%–2%––19%62%47%34%10%––10%13%Opnus28 Apr–2 May 20221,50044%32%12%1%–11%12%Paraná Pesquisas19–24 Apr 20221,82055.4%16.1%10.1%1%0.5%–16.7%39.3%Séculus20–22 Apr 20221,52661.54%11.26%5.47%0.77%0.45%–8.3%50.28%Séculus24–26 Mar 20221,52663.48%6.54%5.69%1.83%––22.45%56.94%55.63%20.29%6.54%––17.54%35.34%Quaest/Genial16–19 Mar 20221,14066%4%5%2%––23%62%69%6%–3%––22%63%43%37%9%––11%6%Opnus16–18 Mar 20221,50065%6%8%1%––20%57%11–25 March 2022Jerônimo Rodrigues is announced as the official candidate for thegovernment by the Workers' Party (PT), along with other official candidates.João Roma leaves Republicanos and decides to join the Liberal Party (PL).Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoJaquesRomaBernadeteOttoOthersAbst. UndecLeadReal Time Big Data21–22 Feb 20221,20045%30%9%5%––11%15%48%–10%7%17%–18%31%8 Feb 2022Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL)'s merger, Brazil Union (UNIÃO), is approved by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoJaquesRomaRaíssaMendesOthersAbst. UndecLeadBN/Séculus24–27 Jan 20221,52654.72%24.57%4.26%0.59%–3.68%12.19%30.15%55.7%25.56%5.57%––1,05%12.12%30.14%Opnus/Metrópole19–22 Jan 20221,50052%29%5%–1%–13%23%33%46%11%–1%9%13%
2021 Pollster/client(s)Date(s) conductedSample sizeNetoJaquesRomaRaíssaMendesOthersAbst. UndecLeadParaná Pesquisas24–28 Nov 20212,00254.8%23.1%3.9%2.6%0.3%0.9%14.3%31.7%55.1%23.3%4%2.7%0.4%–14.4%31.8%56.2%23.5%5.2%––15.1%32.7%36.6%36.8%13.6%13%0.2%Real Time Big Data24–25 Nov 20211,00043%30%9%3%15%13%45%30%––25%15%Paraná Pesquisas4–7 Aug 20212,00850%24.1%3%3.7%1.3%16.9%25.9%52.3%25.4%4.5%––17.8%26.9%37.9%35%13.7%13,5%2.9%Real Time Big Data13–15 Jul 20211,20041%27%4%2%26%14%35%29%15%2%19%6%Instituto Ranking10–14 Jul 20212,00027.35%18.15%0.75%1.75%0.55%5.45%46%9.2%42.15%27%1.05%3.1%0,85%8.3%17.55%15.15%Paraná Pesquisas12–15 May 20212,00238%33.6%15.2%–––13.2%4.4%
Second round The second round (if necessary) is scheduled to take place on 30 October 2022.
ACM Neto vs. Jerônimo Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoJerônimoAbst. UndecLeadDataFolha/Metrópole12–14 Sep 20221,21260%33%7%27%DataFolha/Metrópole22–24 Aug 20221,00868%23%1045%AtlasIntel/A Tarde30 Jul–8 Aug 20221,60042.7%39.9%–2.8%Quaest/Genial9–12 Jul 20221,14066%17%17%49%EXAME/IDEIA1–6 Jul 20221,00058%19%23%39%Quaest/Genial13–16 May 20221,14073%11%16%62%
ACM Neto vs. João Roma Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeNetoRomaAbst. UndecLeadAtlasIntel/A Tarde30 Jul–8 Aug 20221,60049.7%25.3%–24.4%Quaest/Genial9–12 Jul 20221,14068%13%18%55%EXAME/IDEIA1–6 Jul 20221,00061%14%25%47%Quaest/Genial13–16 May 20221,14073%10%20%63%
João Roma vs. Jerônimo Pollster/client(s)Date(s)conductedSamplesizeRomaJerônimoAbst. UndecLeadAtlasIntel/A Tarde30 Jul–8 Aug 20221,60023.8%48.2%–24.4%Quaest/Genial9–12 Jul 20221,14023%26%52%3%EXAME/IDEIA1–6 Jul 20221,00030%46%24%16%Quaest/Genial13–16 May 20221,14024%22%55%2%
Senator
2022