In the run-up to the 2025 Dutch general election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Dutch general election, held on 22 November, to the present. Four main pollsters have performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands during this period, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Peil.nl and Verian. I&O Research and Ipsos merged in January 2024, polling separately until July when they decided to poll together under the name Ipsos I&O. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.

Political polling in the Netherlands The political polling industry in the Netherlands is generally considered reliable. Absolute Total Raw Error in selected past elections has ranged from 11.8% to 16.0%, comparable to the European average. Documented conflicts of interest are rare, although peil.nl has been criticized for underrepresenting certain demographic groups in its samples.

Projections Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).

Seats There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.

Polling firm Fieldwork date SamplesizePVVVVDNSCD66BBBCDASPDenkPvdDFvDSGPCUVoltJA2150+ Lead Ref2025 election – 26 20 22 0 26 4 18 3 3 3 7 3 3 1 9 2Tie Ipsos I&O – 25 20 23 0 27 4 19 3 3 3 6 3 2 1 9 2 2 Peil.nl ~8,000 23 23 22 0 22 4 20 4 4 3 7 3 2 2 9 2 Tie Verian 1,151 292516024319532633282 4 Ipsos I&O 2,505 23 23 17 1 23 5 19 4 3 4 6 3 3 2 11 3 Tie Peil.nl 7,500+ 29 24 20 0 17 4 22 4 4 3 6 3 2 2 9 1 5 Ipsos I&O 2,745 26 23 16 0 22 4 20 4 3 4 5 3 3 3 12 2 3 Verian 1,473 34 25 15 0 16 2 23 4 3 3 4 3 2 3 12 1 9 Peil.nl 7,500– 28 24 16 0 17 4 24 4 4 3 6 3 3 2 11 1 4 Ipsos I&O 2,455 2922140184254344333122 4 Verian 1,566 31 25 14 0 14 4 23 4 2 3 5 3 3 4 13 2 6 Peil.nl 7,000+ 31 25 15 0 14 4 22 4 4 3 5 3 3 3 13 1 6 Ipsos I&O 2,079 31 22 13 0 14 4 24 4 4 5 4 4 2 4 13 2 7 Peil.nl – 30 27 13 0 12 4 23 6 4 3 5 3 3 3 13 1 3 Verian 1,074 34 23 14 0 11 3 23 7 3 4 4 4 4 4 11 1 11 Ipsos I&O 1,935 31 23 14 0 15 5 25 4 4 4 4 3 2 4 11 1 6 Peil.nl – 29 27 15 0 11 4 23 6 4 3 5 3 3 3 13 1 2 Peil.nl – 29 26 16 0 12 4 22 7 4 3 5 3 3 3 12 1 3 Ipsos I&O 1,920 32 23 14 0 13 4 24 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 12 1 8 Peil.nl – 28 28 15 0 10 6 24 7 4 3 5 3 3 3 11 0 Tie Ipsos I&O 1,991 31 23 15 1 11 6 25 6 4 6 3 3 3 4 9 0 6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Eddy van Hijum is chosen as lead candidate of NSC style="border-right-style:hidden;" Lidewij de Vos succeeds Thierry Baudet as lead candidate of FvDVerian 1,574 33261501042274443549 0 7 Peil.nl 6,000 30291501072274344339 0 1 style="border-right-style:hidden;" NSC leaves the government coalitionPeil.nl – 28 281601162484444337 0Tie Ipsos I&O 1,735 27 24 20 1 12 4 24 6 4 6 3 4 4 4 7 0 3 Verian 1,505 30 29 23 1 10 2 23 7 2 4 4 3 3 2 7 0 1 Peil.nl – 29 27 19 0 10 5 21 8 4 5 4 4 3 3 8 0 2 Peil.nl – 29 28 20 0 9 4 21 7 4 4 4 4 3 3 10 0 1 Verian 1,796 32 26 26 1 8 3 20 5 3 4 3 3 3 4 9 0 6 Peil.nl – 30 29 22 0 8 3 21 7 4 4 4 4 3 3 8 0 1 Ipsos I&O 1,969 30 29 24 2 11 4 21 5 3 6 3 3 3 3 3 0 1 Verian 1,594 33 25 26 1 10 3 20 6 4 5 3 3 5 4 2 0 7 Peil.nl – 31 30 24 1 8 2 19 7 4 4 4 4 3 4 5 0 1 Ipsos I&O 1,957 30 26 23 2 12 4 18 5 3 8 5 4 3 3 4 0 4 style="border-right-style:hidden;" PVV leaves government coalition, and the Schoof cabinet becomes demissionary Peil.nl – 31 30 25 1 8 2 18 7 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 0 1 Verian 1,567 28 28 30 2 10 2 18 8 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 0 2 Ipsos I&O 1,877 29 28 26 1 12 4 17 6 4 6 4 3 3 3 4 0 1 Verian 1,574 29 27 28 1 12 3 18 6 4 5 4 3 5 3 2 0 1 Peil.nl – 28 29 26 1 8 3 19 8 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 0 1 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Nicolien van Vroonhoven succeeds Pieter Omtzigt as NSC leader Ipsos I&O 1,990 28 27 26 2 10 5 18 6 4 7 4 3 3 4 4 0 1 Peil.nl – 29 29 25 2 9 3 19 7 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 0 Tie Peil.nl – 29 28 26 2 9 3 18 7 4 4 5 4 3 4 4 0 1 Verian 1,564 31 27 28 2 10 2 15 8 4 5 4 4 4 4 2 0 3 Ipsos I&O 2,127 30 27 25 2 11 3 18 6 4 7 3 3 4 3 4 0 3 Peil.nl – 30 27 23 3 11 4 18 7 4 4 5 4 3 4 3 0 3 Verian 1,578 34 27 24 2 13 4 14 8 3 5 2 4 4 4 2 0 7 Peil.nl – 32 24 21 3 12 4 17 8 4 5 5 4 4 4 3 0 8 Ipsos I&O 2,382 34 24 20 3 11 4 16 8 3 8 4 4 3 5 3 0 10 Verian 1,556 38 24 22 3 11 4 16 7 3 5 4 3 3 5 2 0 14 Peil.nl – 34 24 21 3 12 5 16 7 4 5 5 4 4 4 2 0 10 Ipsos I&O 2,267 35 24 21 2 13 6 16 7 5 6 3 3 3 4 2 0 11 Verian 1,583 38 26 23 2 10 4 16 6 4 5 4 2 3 5 2 0 12 Peil.nl – 35 25 20 3 11 6 15 7 4 5 5 4 4 4 2 0 10 Ipsos I&O 1,925 37 23 22 3 13 5 14 7 4 7 3 3 3 4 2 0 14 Verian 1,551 41 26 22 3 11 5 13 7 3 5 3 3 4 3 1 0 15 Peil.nl – 38 25 19 3 11 7 14 6 4 4 5 4 4 4 2 0 13 Ipsos I&O 2,020 38 26 22 3 12 5 12 8 4 7 3 3 3 3 1 0 12 Peil.nl – 38 25 19 4 11 7 13 6 4 4 5 4 4 4 2 0 13 Verian 1,604 39 24 23 4 10 7 12 6 4 7 3 3 4 3 1 0 15 Ipsos I&O 2,143 38 25 21 4 11 5 11 7 3 8 4 3 4 4 2 0 13 Peil.nl – 37 26 20 4 11 7 13 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 0 11 Peil.nl – 40 26 19 5 11 7 12 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 0 14 Ipsos I&O 1,950 41 25 18 6 10 5 11 5 4 7 4 3 4 5 2 0 16 Verian 1,607 4127233971063543441 0 14 Ipsos I&O 2,208 42 24 20 7 11 5 10 6 3 6 5 2 4 4 1 0 18 Peil.nl 5,000+ 38 26 20 7 11 7 11 6 4 4 3 4 4 4 1 0 12 Verian23–26 Aug 20241,594 3927239116874433330 0 12Ipsos26–29 Jul 20241,016 40272111108934533231 0 13 Peil.nl5–6 Jul 2024– 38251981181164434441 0 13 style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Schoof cabinet is sworn in Peil.nl – 41 261781081164434341 0 15 Ipsos 1,017 44 27 20 12 12 6 6 3 3 5 3 3 2 3 1 0 17 I&O Research 1,979 42 27 18 7 11 7 9 5 3 7 3 4 3 4 0 0 15 style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2024 European Parliament election in the Netherlands Peil.nl – 43 251981081053443341 0 18 Peil.nl – 42 251971081063453341 0 17 Ipsos 2,048 48 241911107633633331 0 24 I&O Research 2,141 46 26 17 8 10 7 7 5 3 5 3 4 4 4 1 0 20 Peil.nl –45251871081063443331 0 20 I&O Research 1,839 47 26 18 8 10 6 7 5 2 5 3 4 4 4 1 0 21 Peil.nl –4625178108973343331 0 21 Ipsos 1,011 45 232011118544544321 0 22 Peil.nl 8,5005025158107973333331 0 25 Ipsos 1,016 49242011106643433322 0 25 Peil.nl –4925159107973333331 0 24 Peil.nl – 49251510107973333321 0 24 Ipsos 1,022 49 251911118634433211 0 24 I&O Research 2,752 49 25 17 9 9 7 7 5 2 5 3 4 3 4 1 0 24 Peil.nl 6,00052251311108863333320 0 27 Peil.nl 4,500+ 50 25 13 15 10 7 7 6 3 3 3 3 3 2 0 0 25 Ipsos 1,025 45251918116533433221 0 20 Peil.nl 5,500+ 49231217109663333330 0 26 Peil.nl – 48221318119653333330 0 26 Ipsos 1,052 4722181998434533320 0 25 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Jimmy Dijk succeeds Lilian Marijnissen as SP leader I&O Research 2,952 43231620108552533340 0 20 Peil.nl – 422216191110653333331 0 20 2023 election – 3725242097553333321 0 12

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