Opinion polling for the 1993 Canadian federal election

Polls leading up to the 1993 Canadian federal election.

National polls

Campaign period + Evolution of voting intentions at national levelLast day of survey LPC Reform PC BQ NDP Other Polling firm Sample Source Voting results41.2418.6916.0413.526.883.59October 22, 19934318181473Angus ReidPDFOctober 20, 19934419161272Gallup± PDFOctober 20, 19934317171472Angus ReidOctober 14, 19934016221372Comquest± 2.5PDFOctober 6, 1993371822128Angus Reid± 2.5 HTML September 28, 19933917251261Ekos± 2.5PDFSeptember 26, 19933814261282CompasHTML September 23, 19933713301082GallupPDFSeptember 23, 19933415281273LégerPDFSeptember 22, 19933613311172CROP± 2.0PDFSeptember 16, 19933511351162Angus ReidHTML September 14, 19933311361082ComquestHTML September 9, 199333113411102EnvironicsSeptember 9, 1993371035882Angus Reid± 2.5HTML Official call of federal elections (September 8, 1993)

During the 34th Parliament of Canada

+ Evolution of voting intentions at national levelLast day of survey LPC Reform PC BQ NDP Other Polling firm Sample SourceSeptember 3, 199333113411102Environics± 2.3August 16, 199340736683Gallup± 3.1PDFAugust 5, 1993399357Angus Reid± 2.51, 2,July 13, 199343733881Gallup± 3.1PDFJune 28, 199339735793Angus Reid± 2.5PDFKim Campbell becomes Prime Minister of Canada (June 25, 1993)April 17, 1993393113GallupPDFApril 2, 1993Assuming Kim Campbell leader of Progressive Conservative Party of Canada.2955069Galluprowspan=2 April 2, 1993393213PDFMarch 25, 199336933912Environicsrowspan="2" March 25, 1993Assuming Jean Charest leader of Progressive Conservative Party of Canada.421120915March 18, 1993251043811Angus ReidMarch 15, 199332104549ComquestMarch 15, 199342729139Gallup± 3.1PDFBrian Mulroney announces that he is leaving politics (February 24, 1993)February 15, 199349821316Gallup± PDFJanuary 30, 1993461817Angus Reid± December 6, 1992421217918Angus ReidPDFDecember 5, 19924015151218EnvironicsPDFNovember 16, 199247112214Gallup± 3.1PDFSeptember 14, 19924482118GallupCharlottetown Accord is rejected by referendum (October 26, 1992)July 11, 1992421022618Gallup1 2June 6, 19924411176212Gallup± 3.1PDFMay 26, 19923612207223Angus Reid± 2.5April 11, 1992361516922Gallup± 4.0PDFMarch 7, 199240141210222Gallup± 4.0PDFFebruary 5, 19923914168221Angus Reid± 2.5January 11, 1992391224Gallup± PDFDecember 7, 1991381223916Gallup± PDFDecember 5, 199140151512180EnvironicsNovember 9, 19913711141125Gallup± PDFOctober 7, 199139161510191EnvironicsSeptember 11, 1991321417925Angus Reid± PDFSeptember 7, 1991381216726Gallup± 1 2August 22, 19913913138251Gallup± PDFJuly 19913713178232Angus ReidPDFOfficial creation of Bloc Québécois (June 15, 1991)June 8, 19913516152311GallupJune 2, 1991341516627Angus Reid± 2.5May 7, 1991301716826Angus Reid± 2.5May 4, 19913413142811Gallup± 4.0April 13, 199132161410262Gallup± 4.0PDFMarch 20, 1991347174344Angus Reid± 2.5March 9, 1991397167301Gallup± 4.01 2February 23, 1991291119930Environics± 2.5PDFFebruary 9, 19913581234Gallup± 4.0January 21, 1991327204352Angus Reid± 2.5PDF January 5, 1991319125415Gallup± 4.0December 22, 1990341536Angus Reid± 2.5December 8, 199032814836Gallup± 4.01 2November 19, 199030111410323EnvironicsNovember 10, 1990341738Angus Reid± 2.5October 13, 199031915438Gallup± 4.0PDFSeptember 19, 199039183310Angus Reid± 2.5September 15, 1990397154323Gallup± 4.0PDF August 11, 1990466205221Gallup± 4.0PDF Start of Gulf War (August 2, 1990)July 14, 199050191910Gallup± 4.0PDFJean Chrétien becomes head of Liberal Party of Canada (June 23, 1990)Failure to ratify Meech Lake Accord (June 22, 1990)June 16, 199050717233Gallup± 4.0PDF June 12, 199050231710Angus Reid± 2.5May 5, 199047718244Gallup± 4.0April 7, 199049616245Gallup± 4.0April 2, 1990531523Angus Reid± 2.5March 10, 199050517253Gallup± 4.0February 10, 199047419273Gallup± 4.0PDF January 13, 1990482223GallupPDFDecember 21, 198940323303Angus Reid± 2.5PDF Audrey McLaughlin becomes leader of the NDP (December 5, 1989)November 11, 19894226257Gallup± 4.0October 5, 19894428226Gallup± 4.0September 9, 19894130245Gallup± 4.0July 8, 19893831256Gallup± 4.0June 21, 19893934252Environics± 2.5PDF May 30, 19893734263Angus Reid± 2.5May 20, 1989403225GallupPDFJohn Turner announces his intention to step down as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada. (May 14, 1989)March 30, 19892944234Angus Reid± 2.5March 25, 19893339244Environics± 2.5January 7, 19892648233Gallup± 4.0December 3, 19882849203Gallup± 4.0November 21, 198831.922.0943.02–20.382.59

By geographic area In the Atlantic provinces Evolution of voting intentions in the Atlantic provincesLast day of survey LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample SourceOctober 20, 19935953052GallupPDFOctober 20, 199356102851Angus Reid± October 14, 19934642ComquestPDFOctober 6, 19935732Angus Reid± 10.0Official call of federal elections (September 8, 1993)July 13, 199359229110GallupPDFFebruary 5, 199253621182Angus ReidJune 8, 1991311029282GallupMay 7, 19913942629Angus ReidMarch 9, 1991651322GallupFebruary 9, 199160828GallupAugust 11, 1990591817GallupJuly 14, 1990641315GallupPDFMay 5, 19906818122GallupFebruary 10, 1990591714GallupNovember 11, 19895437GallupOctober 5, 19896117157GallupJune 21, 19895232151Environics

In Québec

Campaign period Last day of survey BQ LPC PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample Source Voting results49.333.013.51.52.7October 20, 199355281322SOMPDFOctober 20, 199350311432Gallup± PDFOctober 20, 199352301322Angus Reid± October 19, 199354281422SOMPDFOctober 18, 199355281511SOMPDFOctober 17, 199351291730SOMPDFOctober 16, 199351301621SOMPDFOctober 15, 199350301811SOMPDFOctober 14, 1993522616Comquest± 5.1PDFOctober 14, 1993502720Léger± 3.1PDFOctober 14, 19935030173Includes the NDPSOMPDFOctober 13, 19935028175SOMPDFOctober 12, 199352261732SOMPDFOctober 11, 19935227183Multi-Réso± 3.1October 11, 199350271733SOMPDFOctober 10, 199352271722SOMPDFOctober 9, 199350281723SOMPDFOctober 8, 199349291822SOMPDFOctober 7, 199350271922SOM± 3.1PDFOctober 6, 1993462720Angus Reid± 5.0October 6, 199347282023SOMPDFOctober 5, 199347262223SOMPDFOctober 4, 19934426242SOMPDFOctober 3, 19934626231SOM± 3.4PDFSeptember 28, 1993472325Ekos508± 4.3PDFSeptember 28, 19934424271SOMPDFSeptember 23, 1993382929Gallup268± 6.0PDFSeptember 23, 199343282243Léger745PDFSeptember 22, 199345242731CROPPDFSeptember 14, 199340203253ComquestSeptember 9, 199343232833EnvironicsSeptember 9, 1993322836Angus ReidOfficial call of federal elections (September 8, 1993)

In 1993 (before the election campaign) Last day of survey BQ LPC PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample SourceSeptember 3, 199343232833EnvironicsAugust 24, 199340312441CROP± 3.1PDFAugust 16, 199328194751Gallup± 6.0PDFAugust 5, 1993263036Angus ReidPDFJuly 13, 19933333294Gallup± 6.0PDFJune 28, 1993293033Angus ReidPDFKim Campbell becomes Prime Minister of Canada (June 25, 1993)June 22, 19934025225Léger± 3.1June 21, 199335312680CROPPDFJune 17, 199334223545SOMPDFMay 18, 199340302181CROPPDFApril 19, 1993362726101SOM± 3.9PDFApril 19, 1993Assuming Kim Campbell leader of Progressive Conservative Party of Canada.34243850April 19, 1993Assuming Jean Charest leader of Progressive Conservative Party of Canada.35243191April 2, 19932517523Galluprowspan="2" rowspan="2" PDFApril 2, 1993261952March 15, 19933532284Gallup267± 6.1PDFBrian Mulroney announces that he is leaving politics (February 24, 1993)February 16, 1993432415108SOM± PDFFebruary 15, 199316492111Gallup535± PDFJanuary 30, 19933337Angus Reid± November 25, 1992432913121CROP± PDFNovember 16, 19923340196GallupPDFNovember 8, 199247231911SOM961± PDFCharlottetown Accord is rejected by referendum (October 26, 1992)September 14, 19923734189GallupJuly 11, 199232332111GallupPDFJune 14, 1992412816132CROP± PDFMay 26, 1992292919203Angus ReidApril 11, 1992352915Gallup280± 7.0PDFMarch 7, 199240301416IQOP± PDFMarch 7, 19924331138Gallup284± PDFFebruary 5, 1992333220123Angus ReidJanuary 11, 199232381512Gallup259± PDFDecember 7, 19914128188GallupPDFNovember 17, 199138291418CROPPDFNovember 9, 199142251615Gallup± PDFSeptember 12, 199142271517IQOP± PDFSeptember 11, 199135251915Angus ReidPDFSeptember 7, 199132341913GallupPDFJune 8, 1991402815134GallupMay 7, 199133212118Angus ReidMay 4, 1991363413134GallupApril 21, 199137291417CROP± 3.0PDFApril 13, 1991412616115GallupPDFMarch 9, 1991293815GallupPDFFebruary 23, 199136301814Environics398± 5.0PDFFebruary 18, 1991353215172CROP± 3.0PDFFebruary 9, 199123372217Gallup PDFJanuary 5, 1991263117233GallupDecember 16, 1990373014182CROP± 3.0PDFDecember 8, 199032271919GallupPDFNovember 14, 199040301219IQOPPDFNovember 2, 199039231720Lepage961± 3.0PDFOctober 22, 1990322616232CROP± 3.0PDFOctober 13, 1990193426162Gallup270± 6.0PDFSeptember 19, 1990142932232Angus Reid± 2.5Gilles Duceppe is elected independent member in the by-election of Laurier—Sainte-Marie (August 13, 1990)August 11, 199022352914GallupPDFJuly 14, 1990393419GallupPDFStart of Oka Crisis (July 11, 1990)Failure to ratify Meech Lake Accord (June 22, 1990)June 18, 19904029237CROP± 3.0PDFJune 16, 1990502712GallupPDFJune 12, 19903541Angus Reid± 4.5Lucien Bouchard resigns from his post as minister and leaves the Conservative caucus (May 22, 1990)May 5, 19904826GallupApril 29, 19904124332Sorécom± 3.0PDFApril 7, 1990502320GallupMarch 26, 19904129264Sorécom965± 3.0PDFMarch 21, 19905028185CROPPDFMarch 10, 1990522319GallupPDFFebruary 19, 1990393128Sorécom966± 3.0PDFPhil Edmonston becomes the first NDP member elected In Quebec during a by-election in Chambly (February 12, 1990)February 10, 1990502522GallupPDFJanuary 13, 1990492913GallupPDF

In 1989 Last day of survey LPC PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample SourceDecember 18, 19893636262Sorecom936± 3.1PDFNovember 19, 19893540233Sorecom± 3.0PDFNovember 11, 19894241GallupOctober 22, 19893537243SorecomPDFQuebec general election (September 25, 1989)September 9, 19895132152GallupAugust 26, 1989303830SorecomPDFJuly 8, 19893644164GallupJune 26, 1989363725Sorecom940PDFJune 21, 1989493614EnvironicsJune 18, 19894029237CROPPDFMay 30, 1989393525Sorécom986PDFMay 25, 198940322622CROP± 3.0PDFApril 30, 1989294425Sorécom993PDFMarch 25, 1989334619EnvironicsMarch 21, 19895028185CROPPDFElection 198830.352.714.42.6

In Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions in OntariocenterLast day of survey LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample Source Voting results52.920.117.66.03.4October 20, 199356211833GallupPDFOctober 20, 199355181971Angus Reid± October 14, 199351192271ComquestPDFOctober 6, 1993482024Angus Reid± 4.5September 23, 19934413318GallupPDFSeptember 23, 199350274LégerPDFSeptember 22, 19934612346CROPPDFSeptember 9, 199345113482Angus ReidOfficial call of federal elections (September 8, 1993)September 3, 1993371338102EnvironicsJuly 13, 1993509318GallupPDFApril 17, 199347103490GallupPDFNovember 16, 199253112214GallupPDFMay 26, 1992451221202Angus ReidFebruary 5, 1992451414252Angus ReidJune 8, 1991451814212GallupMay 7, 199137171512Angus ReidMay 4, 1991391315321GallupMarch 9, 1991401738GallupFebruary 9, 199134616422Gallup January 5, 1991303856GallupNovember 19, 199032812435EnvironicsThe NDP led by Bob Rae wins a majority government (September 6, 1990)August 11, 1990541825GallupJuly 14, 1990611522GallupPDFMay 5, 1990521625GallupApril 7, 1990541327GallupFebruary 10, 1990561726GallupDecember 21, 1989481930Angus ReidNovember 11, 1989502324GallupOctober 5, 1989463613GallupSeptember 9, 1989472724GallupJune 21, 1989403127EnvironicsMarch 25, 1989383425EnvironicsElection 198838.9–38.220.12.8

In the Prairies Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)Last day of survey LPC Reform PC NDP Other Polling firm Sample SourceOctober 20, 1993432219133Angus Reid± October 14, 1993551615150Comquest± 9.3PDFOctober 6, 199334202121Angus Reid± 10.0January 30, 199338435Angus Reid±

In Alberta