Opinion polling for the 2023 Czech presidential election

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2023 Czech presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

Since nominations were closed Date Agency Andrej Babiš Petr Pavel Danuše Nerudová Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Josef Středula Karel Janeček Jaroslav Bašta Denisa Rohanová Tomáš Zima Karel Diviš Others13–14 Jan 2023 1st round result 35.0 35.4 13.9 6.8 2.6 4.4 0.6 1.4 8 Jan 2023 Středula withdraws, endorses Nerudová 5–9 Jan 2023 Median 26.5 29.5 21.0 6.0 4.0 2.5 7.0 0.5 2.5 5–8 Jan 2023 Ipsos 28.6 27.8 24.6 5.0 3.3 2.2 5.8 0.6 2.0 2–5 Jan 2023 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 26.5 27.5 22.0 8.0 3.5 3.0 7.0 2.5 2–4 Jan 2023 STEM 27.9 26.7 24.4 6.4 3.4 3.0 5.4 1.4 1.6 27–29 Dec 2022 Median 28.5 28.7 25.1 4.3 4.4 2.4 3.5 0.7 2.3 13–19 Dec 2022 Sanep 30.1 24.8 22.9 7.1 4.5 3.8 4.7 1.4 0.7 8-19 Dec 2022 Median 24.5 28.0 27.5 5.5 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 5–14 Dec 2022 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 26.5 26.5 27.0 6.0 4.0 3.0 3.5 3.513 Dec 2022 Court disqualifies Rohanová and Janeček, Diviš registered by court 29 Nov–9 Dec 2022 STEM 30.1 23.0 26.5 6.2 5.1 3.9 2.9 1.5 0.9 9 Nov–7 Dec 2022 Median 26.5 23.5 28.0 5.5 3.5 3.5 2.0 2.5 0.5 4.5 25–28 Nov 2022 Ipsos 29.7 25.3 25.0 6.4 4.2 3.1 3.6 1.5 1.2 14–23 Nov 2022 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 27.0 26.5 23.5 5.5 4.0 4.0 2.5 7.0

January—October 2022

Date Agency Andrej Babiš Petr Pavel Danuše Nerudová Pavel Fischer Miroslav Kalousek Marek Hilšer Jiří Drahoš Miroslava Němcová Miloš Vystrčil Václav Klaus Josef Středula Karel Janeček Vladimír Dlouhý Klára Long Slámová Jaromír Soukup Tomio Okamura Lenka Bradáčová Vít Rakušan Alena Vitásková Jiří Rusnok Michael Kocáb Marek Eben Dana Drábová Tomáš Zima Tomáš Pojar Ivo Mareš Alexandr Vondra Jaroslav Bašta Tomáš Březina Alena Schillerová Karel Havlíček 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 22.0 22.5 15.0 7.5 4.5 4.0 2.0 7.0 1.5 3.5 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 23.3 27.9 16.9 7.4 6.7 4.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 1.9 0.9 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark 17.0 23.0 14.08.0 6.0 6.0 3.0 8.0 7.0 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 23.5 24.0 10.0 8.0 5.5 5.5 3.5 7.5 3.5 1–31 Aug 2022 Median23.5 22.0 11.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 3.0 7.5 2.5 2.0 24 Jun–5 Aug 2022 Median25.5 21.0 7.5 6.5 7.5 5.5 3.0 7.0 3.5 1.5 3.0 18 Jun–8 Jul 2022 Median25.5 21.0 7.0 6.0 4.0 4.5 3.0 9.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 30 June - 7 July 2022 Ipsos31.7 23.8 10.8 6.5 7.5 4.8 5.4 3.2 1.5 6 - 13 June 2022STEM/MARK20 16 9 9 8 9 9 4 1 1 1 6 3 4 1 2 0 3 2 - 13 June 2022 Sanep27.2 15.1 4.7 9.5 6.3 5.2 3.5 6.2 4.3 1.2 2.5 1.7 5.7 0.4 1 May-4 June 2022 Median28.5 19.5 3.5 6.5 5.0 6.0 3.0 7.5 4.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 4-22 April 2022 Sanep25.7 20.4 6.5 9.6 5.3 3.9 2.1 6.1 4.5 5.8 1.6 0.3 1.1 1.9 1 March–4 April 2022 Median25 20 5.0 7.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 2–4 March 2022 Median26 16 5.5 7 5 8 4.5 3.5 5 3 1 3.5 3.5 3.5 2 17-22 February 2022STEM/Mark 17 13 7 10 9 9 11 10 8 7 4 14 9 17–19 January 2022 Kantar26 15 5 5 3 5 8 4 3 2 2 3 9 2 2–10 January 2022 Sanep26.1 20.2 11.3 7.2 7.1 5.2 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.2 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.4

2018–2021 Date Agency Andrej Babiš Marek Eben Jiří Drahoš Petr Pavel Marek Hilšer Václav Klaus Jr. Pavel Rychetský Miroslava Němcová Pavel Fischer Dana Drábová Lenka Bradáčová Miloš Vystrčil Tomio Okamura Danuše Nerudová Vít Rakušan Václav Klaus Miroslav Kalousek Josef Středula Karel Janeček Vladimír Dlouhý December 2021 Ipsos23.2 12.5 6.6 6.8 6.0 4.9 4.2 7.1 2.3 8.3 3.0 2.5 5.2 2.5 30 November 2021 Median26.5 7.5 15.5 4.5 7.0 6.5 3.0 8.5 5.0 3.5 25–30 September 2021Median 8.0 7.013.0 6.0 6.0 7.0 2.0 23 April 2021 STEM/Mark6.016.09.010.09.07.012.08.08.07.06.06.0 26 October 2020 STEM/Mark 9.0 11.0 10.0 11.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 5.0 7.0 6.0 5 May 2020 STEM/Mark 15.0 14.0 11.0 12.0 11.0 7.0 8.0 13.0 8.0 14 November 2019 STEM/Mark 17.0 16.0 16.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 11.0 11.0 10.0 9.0

Hypothetical polling

+ Polls with Stropnický as ANO nomineeDate Agency Petr Pavel Martin Stropnický Danuše Nerudová Jaroslav Bašta Tomáš Březina Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Josef Středula Alena Vitásková Tomáš Zima 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos32.2 5.4 19.9 2.9 1.6 9.3 7.8 8.3 4.2 1.0 4–10 Oct 2022 Sanep19.9 15.9 13.8 13.4 11.3 11.2 7.4 7.1 28.8 23.7 26.1 21.4

+ Polls with Schillerová as ANO nomineeDate Agency Petr Pavel Danuše Nerudová Alena Schillerová Pavel Fischer Karel Janeček Marek Hilšer Josef Středula Alena Vitásková Jaroslav Bašta Tomáš Zima Tomáš Březina 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos30.5 19.4 12.4 9.2 7.5 7.3 6.1 3.1 2.5 1.0 0.8

+ Polls without ANO nomineeDate Agency Petr Pavel Danuše Nerudová Pavel Fischer Josef Středula Karel Janeček Alena Vitásková Marek Hilšer Jaroslav Bašta Tomáš Zima Tomáš Březina 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos31.9 21.6 10.1 9.4 8.2 8.0 5.3 3.5 1.1 0.9

+ Other pollsDate Agency Andrej Babiš Miloš Vystrčil Marek Hilšer Pavel Fischer Jaroslav Bašta Jiří Paroubek Danuše Nerudová Miroslava Němcová Lenka Bradáčová Alena Schillerová Alena Vitásková Denisa Rohanová Petr Pavel Tomáš Březina Josef Středula Karel Janeček Michael Kocáb Tomáš Zima Note Sep–Oct 2022 Phoenix Research24 12 6 5 5 2 Male politicians 19 15 14 8 5 2 Female politicians 26 11 10 9 4 2 Other personalities

Opinion polls for the second round Babiš vs Pavel

Date Agency Andrej Babiš Petr Pavel 27–28 Jan 2023 2nd round result 41.7 58.320-22 Jan 2023 Median 42.157.920-22 Jan 2023 Ipsos 41.258.816-19 Jan 2023 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 38.053.0 16-18 Jan 2023 STEM 42.4 57.613-14 Jan 2023 1st round of election 5–9 Jan 2023 Median 41.0 59.0 2–5 Jan 2023 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 41.0 58.0 2–4 Jan 2023 STEM 43.0 57.0 27–29 Dec 2022 Median 39.0 61.0 8-19 Dec 2022 Median 37.0 63.05–14 Dec 2022 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 42.0 56.0 29 Nov–9 Dec 2022 STEM 47.0 53.0 9 Nov–7 Dec Median 41.0 59.0 1–15 Nov 2022 IPSOS 31.0 38.0 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 41.0 59.0 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 38.0 62.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark 30.5 52.5 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 41.0 59.0 1–31 Aug 2022 Median 42.058.0 24 Jun–5 Aug 2022 Median 40.559.5 6 - 13 June 2022STEM/MARK 3249 2 - 13 June 2022 Sanep51.7 48.3 4-22 April 2022 Sanep51.2 48.8 2–10 January 2022 Sanep51.7 48.3 December 2021 Ipsos 46.054.07–14 Dec 2021 STEM 32.041.0

Hypothetical polling The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.

Babiš vs Nerudová Date Agency Andrej Babiš Danuše Nerudová 5–9 Jan 2023 Median 40.0 60.0 2–5 Jan 2023 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 41.0 57.0 2–4 Jan 2023 STEM 43.0 57.0 27–29 Dec 2022 Median 39.0 61.0 8-19 Dec 2022 Median 36.0 64.05–14 Dec 2022 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 38.0 60.0 29 Nov–9 Dec 2022 STEM 43.0 57.0 9 Nov–7 Dec Median 40.0 60.0 1–15 Nov 2022 IPSOS34.034.0 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 43.0 57.0 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 37.0 63.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark 31.0 46.0 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 45.0 55.07–14 Dec 2021 STEM 33.041.0

Pavel vs Nerudová Date Agency Petr Pavel Danuše Nerudová 5–9 Jan 2023 Median 56.0 44.0 2–5 Jan 2023 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 50.0 45.0 2–4 Jan 2023 STEM 50.0 50.0 27–29 Dec 2022 Median 51.0 49.0 8-19 Dec 2022 Median 46.0 54.05–14 Dec 2022 Data Collect and Kantar CZ 41.0 54.0 29 Nov–9 Dec 2022 STEM 44.0 56.0 1–15 Nov 2022 IPSOS 33.0 27.0 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 55.0 45.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark40.0 27.0

Babiš vs Fischer Date Agency Andrej Babiš Pavel Fischer 9 Nov–7 Dec Median 48.0 52.0 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 48.0 52.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark 33.0 44.0 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 46.0 54.0 December 2021 Ipsos50.6 49.4

Babiš vs Hilšer Date Agency Andrej Babiš Marek Hilšer 9 Nov–7 Dec Median 48.0 52.0 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 47.0 53.0 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 46.0 54.0

Pavel vs Fischer Date Agency Petr Pavel Pavel Fischer 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark42.5 19.5

Nerudová vs Fischer Date Agency Danuše Nerudová Pavel Fischer 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark34.0 24.0

Babiš vs Středula Date Agency Andrej Babiš Josef Středula 9 Nov–7 Dec Median55.0 45.0 1–31 Oct 2022 Median 50.0 50.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark 30.5 34.5 1–30 Sep 2022 Median 47.0 53.07–14 Dec 2021 STEM36.0 21.0

Pavel vs Středula Date Agency Petr Pavel Josef Středula 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 74.0 26.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark50.5 18.0

Nerudová vs Středula Date Agency Danuše Nerudová Josef Středula 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark42.0 18.0

Fischer vs Středula Date Agency Pavel Fischer Josef Středula 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark37.5 22.5

Babiš vs Vystrčil Date Agency Andrej Babiš Miloš VystrčilDecember 2021 Ipsos53.6 46.4

Babiš vs Němcová Date Agency Andrej Babiš Miroslava NěmcováDecember 2021 Ipsos51.9 48.1

Babiš vs Rakušan Date Agency Andrej Babiš Vít RakušanDecember 2021 Ipsos 49.650.4

Babiš vs Kalousek Date Agency Andrej Babiš Miroslav KalousekDecember 2021 Ipsos60 40

Pavel vs Schillerová Date Agency Petr Pavel Alena Schillerová 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 71.0 29.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark56.0 21.5

Nerudová vs Schillerová Date Agency Danuše Nerudová Alena Schillerová 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 68.0 32.0 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark46.0 22.0

Pavel vs Stropnický Date Agency Petr Pavel Martin Stropnický 7–12 Oct 2022 Ipsos 75.0 25.0

Středula vs Schillerová Date Agency Josef Středula Alena Schillerová 27 Sep–3 Oct 2022 STEM/Mark34.0 21.5

Other polls

Date Agency Danuše Nerudová Petr Pavel Andrej Babiš Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Jaroslav Bašta Josef Středula Tomáš Zima Denisa Rohanová Karel Diviš 1 Dec 2022–16 Jan 2023 Pirate Party Survey 30.036.0 1.0 5.0 15.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12–13 Dec 2022 Student Election54.1 25.7 9.9 3.6 2.6 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.8 Prediction of who would win Date Agency Jiří Dienstbier Andrej Babiš Tomio Okamura Miroslava Němcová Bohuslav Sobotka Václav Klaus Václav Klaus Jr. Pavel Fischer Jiří Drahoš 24 December 2018 Betting Agencies 10.0 8.0 20.0 15.0 6.0 4.0 3 December 2013 Czech Radio 15.0 8.6 7.0 4.5 3.8

References