Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Catalonia)

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Catalonia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities Badalona Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 58.1 55.7 6.1 14.6 7.0 4.8 0.3 1.3 7.6 0.6 – 41.1 EM-Analytics/GMG 5 Apr–12 May 2023 2,753? 41.3 5.2 15.9 8.0 5.9 0.9 1.8 18.1 1.0 – 23.2 EM-Analytics/GMG 5 Feb–4 Apr 2023 2,295? 38.8 4.5 17.1 7.2 6.2 1.1 2.1 19.1 0.9 – 19.7 EM-Analytics/GMG 23 Oct–4 Feb 2023 1,881? 40.7 4.2 16.6 7.9 6.1 0.9 1.5 18.5 1.0 – 22.2 EM-Analytics/GMG 13 Jul–14 Aug 2022 1,234? 38.3 4.1 17.5 7.9 6.2 1.2 1.6 20.1 1.5 0.7 18.2 EM-Analytics/GMG 2–19 May 2022 802? 36.8 4.6 18.1 7.4 6.4 1.6 1.7 21.7 1.3 0.5 15.1 GAD3/PP May 2021?? 46.4 7.9 15.0 6.0 5.7 0.8 1.3 15.5 – – 30.9 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020?? 37.9 4.9 17.7 8.0 6.5 – – 20.1 – – 17.8 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 63.9 37.6 24.5 19.9 8.5 5.2 1.8 0.4 – – 13.1

Barcelona

Castelldefels Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout SFELS Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 56.7 42.1 15.2 10.6 8.2 0.5 5.0 3.6 0.6 10.8 26.9 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Apr–12 May 2023 900? 33.1 20.7 13.1 16.1 2.2 6.4 3.5 2.6 – 12.4 Taforasía/El Llobregat 3–10 Mar 2023? 63???? 2.7? – – –? NC Report/PP Nov–Dec 2022 600????? –? – – –? EM-Analytics/GMG 12 Jul–22 Nov 2022 480? 32.3 20.6 14.9 17.5 1.7 6.0 2.1 2.5 – 11.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.6 29.3 20.1 16.0 15.9 6.6 5.6 1.0 – – 9.2

Cornellà de Llobregat Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 51.7 43.4 12.9 2.4 3.5 10.1 9.6 3.3 3.1 8.4 1.5 30.5 Taforasía/El Llobregat 3–10 Mar 2023? 63 46.1 12.8 4.1 8.3 7.3 7.4 – – 6.3 – 33.3 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Jan–13 Mar 2023 427? 48.4 17.0 3.4 6.2 6.3 6.0 5.0 4.1 3.0 0.5 31.4 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.0 47.4 14.1 9.9 7.7 7.3 4.7 3.5 2.6 2.1 – 33.3

Girona

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 50.8 20.3 23.3 25.2 9.2 0.6 2.6 5.2 5.1 0.8 4.6 1.9 GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023 500? 26.0 13.0 25.0 13.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 4.0 – – 1.0 EM-Analytics/GMG 20 May–14 Aug 2022 764? 26.0 20.5 20.1 16.4 3.6 3.2 4.1 1.8 1.4 0.9 5.5 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 65.1 31.0 19.2 18.7 14.5 6.7 3.4 3.3 1.4 – – 11.8

L'Hospitalet de Llobregat Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 47.5 38.4 12.8 2.4 9.8 12.0 3.7 10.3 2.3 1.5 – 25.6 Taforasía/El Llobregat 3–10 Mar 2023? 63??????? – – –? EM-Analytics/GMG 22 Aug 2022?? 39.6 18.7 6.3 11.1 8.0 3.5 4.1 2.3 3.9 1.0 20.9 EM-Analytics/GMG 2–19 May 2022 801? 41.0 16.9 11.7 12.5 5.1 3.5 3.7 2.3 1.0 1.0 24.1 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 57.5 43.3 16.2 11.8 11.2 5.2 3.5 3.1 2.0 – – 27.1

Lleida

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 51.5 15.2 27.4 14.5 1.3 5.0 15.5 4.6 7.6 1.1 4.8 11.9 GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023 500? 19.0 26.0 15.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 6.0 8.0 – – 7.0 Infortécnica/UA1 Feb–Mar 2023 338????????? – –? EM-Analytics/GMG 15 May–12 Jul 2022 823? 27.5 25.1 17.5 1.7 6.8 8.3 5.1 5.1 2.1 0.5 2.4 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 13 May–15 Oct 2021 361? 26.7 26.5 18.5 2.8 6.5 7.9 4.9 4.1 – – 0.2 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 60.7 23.8 23.6 19.1 9.8 8.7 6.1 4.3 1.6 – – 0.2

Manresa Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 48.5 23.7 20.0 14.3 9.6 0.6 3.7 4.8 6.2 – 8.7 6.5 3.7 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Jan–13 Mar 2023 431? 24.8 27.9 17.3 11.1 3.5 3.9 5.1 1.4 0.3 – – 3.1 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.6 28.1 28.1 14.6 10.1 7.0 3.0 2.6 1.3 – – – 0.0

Mataró Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 51.5 33.2 14.8 7.4 9.3 2.5 5.4 12.6 8.6 1.4 18.4 EM-Analytics/GMG 15 Nov–4 Feb 2023 601? 36.1 27.7 5.9 6.8 1.7 5.8 6.0 5.2 2.5 8.4 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 63.6 38.7 26.2 6.7 6.5 6.1 4.7 4.1 3.8 – 12.5

Sabadell Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 50.3 46.1 11.1 10.3 1.1 8.1 7.3 5.9 6.5 0.4 35.0 Opinòmetre/ERC 27 Apr–5 May 2023 600? 33.0 27.1 10.2 2.0 8.6 – 8.4 5.8 3.0 – 5.9 Opinòmetre/ERC 30 Mar–12 Apr 2023 600? 32.7 24.1 10.4 2.8 8.0 – 7.8 7.3 – – 8.6 EM-Analytics/GMG 18 Jan 2023?? 31.5 22.1 10.7 2.2 10.3 – 5.8 5.9 3.3 1.3 9.4 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 62.5 29.9 20.0 11.1 10.2 9.3 5.2 4.0 2.9 1.9 – 9.9

Salou Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout SxS USAP Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 47.7 29.5 16.2 4.6 9.9 11.7 – 5.2 4.2 9.1 13.3 GESOP/PSC 12–23 May 2022 400? 27.0–28.0 20.0–21.0 12.0–13.0 7.5–8.5 6.5–7.5 8.5–9.5 4.5–5.5 – – 7.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 55.1 26.0 17.2 16.2 14.5 5.4 4.3 4.2 3.6 – 8.8

Sant Adrià de Besòs Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout SEC MAS Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 44.9 43.3 14.7 2.0 7.9 – – 13.3 3.1 10.2 0.6 – 28.6 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Sep–22 Oct 2022 842? 29.5 21.7 3.7 8.4 6.9 7.7 10.3 5.6 4.2 1.7 0.3 7.8 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 52.0 31.4 18.7 16.0 9.4 6.8 5.7 4.5 3.9 2.6 – – 12.7

Sant Cugat del Vallès Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 58.5 28.2 12.4 11.2 2.8 8.7 10.6 5.9 6.2 2.4 15.8 EM-Analytics/GMG 12 Jul–22 Nov 2022 504? 26.7 21.9 14.1 2.2 12.6 5.1 4.4 3.6 2.7 2.9 4.8 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 70.6 27.5 19.5 12.1 11.8 11.0 4.4 3.9 2.7 2.0 – 8.0

Santa Coloma de Gramenet Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 51.5 51.2 7.6 4.9 15.0 6.8 1.3 6.6 0.2 – 36.2 ERC 12 May 2023 400?????? –? – –? EM-Analytics/GMG 22 Oct–5 Jan 2023 1,144? 47.5 3.9 10.6 15.4 11.0 4.9 4.3 1.6 – 32.1 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Sep–22 Oct 2022 793? 49.6 4.2 11.5 14.1 10.5 4.7 4.2 0.9 0.1 35.5 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 57.9 50.9 14.1 10.8 9.9 4.3 2.1 1.9 – – 36.8

Tarragona

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 52.1 27.6 18.8 1.7 8.6 6.0 5.0 13.9 10.6 2.3 – 8.8 GAD3/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023 500? 30.0 19.0 – 9.0 5.0 – 15.0 11.0 – – 11.0 Infortécnica/Diari Més 22 May 2023?? 35.4 32.0 ? 8.4 ? ? 10.0 ? ? ? 3.4 GESOP/Diari Més 26 Dec 2022?? 27.5–28.5 20.0–21.0 – 10.5–11.5 7.0–7.5 6.0–7.0 9.0–9.5 5.5–6.5 – – 7.5 EM-Analytics/GMG 2 May–15 Jun 2022 758? 24.8 22.1 7.3 10.6 8.9 8.8 6.5 5.6 3.4 1.1 2.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 62.8 23.4 22.6 14.7 11.1 8.0 6.4 6.3 3.0 – – 0.8

Terrassa Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 50.8 33.5 20.9 7.6 1.6 7.2 4.6 3.4 6.6 10.5 0.3 – 12.6 GESOP/Món Terrassa 4–8 May 2023 800? 31.4 22.3 9.9 2.0 8.3 6.6 4.0 4.5 7.5 – – 9.1 EM-Analytics/GMG 8 Dec–4 Apr 2023 1,629? 26.2 23.8 17.9 1.2 7.7 4.8 4.1 7.1 3.9 1.8 – 2.4 EM-Analytics/GMG 13 Jul–7 Dec 2022 1,147? 26.8 23.2 18.1 1.8 7.5 4.5 3.9 7.3 3.6 1.9 – 3.6 EM-Analytics/GMG 15 May–12 Jul 2022 752? 27.1 22.7 17.3 2.3 7.3 4.7 3.8 7.5 3.3 1.6 0.8 4.4 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.3 29.3 20.5 14.9 8.1 7.6 4.8 3.6 3.1 2.3 – – 8.8

Vilafranca del Penedès Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 54.9 20.9 20.9 30.1 11.1 5.6 0.7 4.1 4.3 0.3 9.2 Opinòmetre/ERC 12 May 2023 400? 22.1 26.1 25.2 9.5 7.1 – 5.1 – – 0.9 GESOP/Eix Diari 4 May 2023?? 23.0–24.0 23.0–24.0 24.5–25.5 8.5–9.5 6.0–7.0 – – – – 1.5 Celeste-Tel/JxCat 9–22 Mar 2023 500 65.9 32.0 19.6 21.5 11.1 6.9 2.4 6.1 0.3 – 10.5 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Jan–13 Mar 2023 418? 29.0 19.3 18.1 13.0 7.8 2.7 5.4 3.0 0.4 9.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 66.2 29.2 21.9 19.8 11.8 7.6 5.7 3.3 – – 7.3

Notes

References