In the run-up to the 2022 Latvian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Latvia. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2018 Latvian parliamentary election, held on 6 October, to the present day. The next election was held on 1 October 2022. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Opinion polls Graphical summary

Vote share The following are opinion polls conducted for the parliamentary election, measuring the estimated percentage of the vote. Parties in bold successfully pass the 5% electoral threshold to win seats in the Saeima, and the highlighted party is in the lead.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize S AL K AP! NA ZZS JV AS LKS P KuK LPV R S! SV TVS TKL KPP VL Lead LTV/SKDS (exit poll)1 Oct 20221,825 -3.50.33.55.28.410.922.511.53.28.32.85.31.65.42.31.10.90.40.510.039.658.0SKDSSep 20221,825 -7.30.33.35.211.311.621.48.44.07.64.34.31.74.12.40.81.40.50.69.841.258.8Factum1,40651.38.00.34.66.39.37.022.69.04.88.84.05.01.06.21.40.40.90.20.113.342.857.2Factum4–6 Sep 20221,40651.29.00.34.76.910.27.521.99.25.27.33.34.81.15.81.40.50.70.10.111.743.756.3SKDSAug 20221,848 -9.54.77.912.610.115.17.84.68.83.73.55.52.12.540.359.7Factum1,071 -9.20.45.18.810.88.620.78.44.27.51.74.81.26.61.10.00.70.10.19.9 Factum878 -10.90.25.99.410.57.721.07.73.56.32.24.51.76.11.40.00.60.10.110.1 2 Aug 2022The Central Electoral Commission registers the 19 electoral lists that will participate in the election

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize S PCL/AL JKP/K AP! NA ZZS JV LRA/AS LKS P LuK/KuK LPV R S! NST SV Others Lead Factum20–24 July 20221,156 -10.35.710.711.36.820.54.93.86.43.15.01.95.30.31.32.69.2 SKDSJuly 20221,81860.210.84.09.013.37.715.75.65.78.14.55.42.45.41.90.52.4 Factum6–10 July 2022859 -10.66.29.012.36.520.33.65.56.82.27.52.53.20.30.92.98.0 SKDSJune 20221,79558.510.36.810.012.28.818.24.63.99.43.84.91.54.80.76.0 Factum27–31 May 20221,122 -10.60.16.910.212.88.420.02.97.16.92.64.61.90.30.42.77.2 SKDS13–24 May 20221,81457.911.80.75.99.615.29.517.65.14.37.72.03.41.84.21.12.4 10 May 2022LZP and LP leave ZZS and form the "United Latvian List" with LRASKDS1,81259.910.20.74.67.714.212.818.03.74.87.74.15.33.02.50.73.8 Factum26–29 April 2022969 -12.41.09.110.312.59.419.22.25.25.93.83.12.30.43.26.7 Factum29–31 March 2022832 -11.21.66.710.211.910.817.02.65.65.94.75.21.70.64.35.1 SKDSMarch 20221,8205811.50.55.39.312.313.216.24.15.48.33.24.31.73.51.23.0 24 Feb 2022Beginning of Russian invasion of UkraineFactum 1,325 -12.71.16.211.511.69.516.33.63.46.55.74.51.85.63.6 26 Feb 2022JKP renames itself to "The Conservatives" (K)SKDSFebruary 20221,81558.217.45.37.212.011.914.14.04.16.73.87.42.24.03.3 19 Feb 2022LuK renames itself to "For Each and Every One" (KuK)Factum637 -12.70.86.011.611.79.616.63.73.27.05.94.31.95.03.9 SKDSJanuary 20221,80557.418.44.98.010.214.313.14.55.15.74.44.72.62.31.85.3 Factum1–31 December 20211,410 -12.20.86.112.011.59.516.94.13.26.66.44.51.74.64.7 SKDSDecember 20211,81857.019.36.07.811.511.713.63.94.76.55.24.52.42.95.7 Factum866 -13.00.85.512.611.49.416.94.93.05.95.44.62.04.73.9 SKDS8–29 Nov 20211,80553.217.85.29.110.513.914.75.05.26.93.24.02.32.33.1 Factum1,871 -12.60.65.114.111.89.015.93.83.56.46.44.52.24.11.8 SKDSOctober 2021 -50.2 19.91.84.99.210.612.912.84.85.05.34.54.82.41.17.0 Factum 1,170 - 13.4 0.7 6.9 14.8 11.9 8.515.5 4.0 2.9 5.7 6.1 3.1 3.3 3.2 0.7 SKDS September 2021 1,806 60.1 20.0 0.7 4.9 8.0 11.4 13.8 13.7 5.2 4.4 5.8 6.1 4.9 1.1 6.2 Factum 27–31 Aug 2021 1,181 - 14.6 1.0 6.1 14.0 11.7 9.116.9 3.7 2.8 5.7 5.1 3.6 0.9 4.8 2.3 14–28 Aug 2021Two new parties - Latvia First and Republic - are established

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize S KPV LV JKP AP! NA ZZS JV LRA LKS P LuK Others Lead SKDS August 2021 1,825 56.9 22.1 0.8 5.5 8.9 12.5 12.9 11.9 5.0 5.8 6.3 5.6 2.8 9.2 Factum 27–31 Jul 2021 1,181 - 15.8 0.6 5.8 11.5 14.4 11.616.2 4.1 3.4 6.5 4.1 6.0 0.4 SKDS July 2021 1,801 59.5 19.0 1.5 6.7 9.4 12.3 12.9 12.8 5.9 5.9 5.0 5.7 2.9 6.1 SKDS June 2021 1,793 62.6 19.3 0.9 6.0 8.9 14.8 14.9 11.5 4.4 5.3 6.9 5.3 1.8 4.4 4 Jun 2021KPV LV renames itself to "For a Humane Latvia" (PCL)3 Jun 2021The Saeima approves the government reshuffle, KPV LV officially leaves the government Factum 26–31 May 2021 1,089 - 17.1 0.6 7.8 11.1 13.3 12.5 15.9 3.5 3.8 6.1 3.3 5.0 1.2 SKDS May 2021 1,816 56.3 18.3 1.5 8.3 8.6 14.2 13.7 11.8 3.4 6.3 6.6 5.7 1.7 4.1 Factum 26–30 Apr 2021 1,089 -15.2 1.0 7.4 12.2 11.9 10.1 16.8 4.3 4.1 6.4 5.6 5.1 1.6 Latvijas Fakti 19–29 Apr 2021 - 48.3 19.0 2.3 7.7 11.0 12.8 15.1 12.8 4.6 3.7 5.4 5.6 0 3.9 SKDS April 2021 - 59.7 20.1 6.5 9.4 13.4 12.9 11.7 3.4 7.0 7.5 7.0 1.0 6.7 Factum 990 -13.5 1.3 8.3 13.4 12.2 10.7 15.7 3.5 3.2 5.6 5.7 6.8 2.2 Latvijas Fakti March 2021 - 49.3 21.3 2.6 8.9 10.5 13.4 12.6 12.4 4.5 2.8 5.7 5.3 0 7.9 SKDS March 2021 - 54.2 18.3 7.2 9.4 13.5 11.8 11.6 4.8 5.4 7.7 6.8 3.5 4.8 Factum 1–28 Feb 2021 1,903 -12.0 1.9 8.0 14.6 11.1 11.9 15.1 3.6 3.9 7.0 4.3 6.5 0.5 Latvijas Fakti February 2021 - 55.9 20.5 1.8 8.2 12.9 10.2 17.5 11.6 4.1 3.2 5.0 4.8 0 3.0 Factum 28–31 Jan 2021 1,250 - 11.8 2.5 7.5 14.0 12.4 12.3 13.7 3.0 4.1 6.8 3.5 8.3 0.3 7 Jan 2021A new party - LuK - is established

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize S KPV LV JKP AP! NA ZZS JV LRA LKS P Others Lead Factum 1–17 Dec 2020 2,421 - 13 2 8 13 13 13 13 3 4 8 9 Tie SKDS December 2020 900 51.2 22.1 3.7 10.4 9.4 11.3 15.6 8.0 5.9 4.1 7.6 2.0 6.5 Factum 11–30 Nov 2020 817 - 15 1 9 15 13 12 13 4 4 6 8 Tie SKDS November 2020 - 57.1 20.3 1.9 8.6 15.1 14.4 12.3 8.8 5.6 6.3 5.1 1.8 5.2 Factum 26–30 Oct 2020 853 - 15 1 9 17 13 11 14 3 4 6 8 2 SKDS 9–20 Oct 2020 889 57.9 19.5 3.3 11.1 15.4 11.1 13.5 9.3 5.2 4.8 5.7 1.2 4.1 Factum 442 - 15 2 8 17 13 9 15 4 3 7 8 2 SKDS 11–22 Sep 2020 888 58.9 17.3 3.7 10.4 12.9 10.5 16.6 11.2 5.9 4.4 5.1 1.9 4.4 Factum 1–24 Aug 2020 637 - 15 2 9 16 13 10 15 3 4 5 7 1 SKDS 7–20 Aug 2020 900 56.4 21.6 3.4 8.2 13.8 9.2 19.0 11.7 6.7 2.7 2.5 1.9 2.6 Factum 8–31 Jul 2020 1,975 - 16 2 9 15 11 10 16 4 3 8 6 Tie SKDS July 2020 884 55.5 27.9 4.0 7.0 10.1 12.3 15.0 10.5 5.2 3.8 4.0 0.4 12.9 Factum 1–30 Jun 2020 1,461 - 15 2 9 15 11 10 17 5 3 8 7 2 SKDS June 2020 891 51.6 25.0 3.5 8.1 11.2 10.9 17.2 9.9 5.4 4.3 3.3 1.2 7.8 SKDS 23 May – 2 June 2020 902 50.5 26.1 4.0 7.3 9.9 10.9 16.0 12.1 5.1 4.6 3.0 1.0 10.1 Factum 18–31 May 2020 1,182 - 16 2 9 13 11 9 18 4 3 8 7 2 Factum 7–26 Apr 2020 1,182 - 17 2 11 14 12 11 16 5 4 6 4 1 Factum 4–28 Mar 2020 1,994 - 18 2 13 13 12 12 13 5 4 7 4 5 SKDS March 2020 903 54.1 27.5 4.1 8.9 10.4 10.8 16.0 10.8 5.4 2.8 2.8 0.7 11.5 Factum 24–28 Feb 2020 783 - 18 3 11 12 12 13 14 5 4 6 3 4 SKDS February 2020 873 50.8 24.2 2.6 8.1 10.6 10.6 15.6 12.6 6.5 3.9 4.3 1.0 8.6 Factum 684 - 21 2 11 11 12 10 16 5 3 7 3 5 SKDS January 2020 900 56.2 24.2 3.6 10.9 9.6 11.2 15.5 10.9 5.2 4.4 3.2 1.4 8.7 Factum 18–31 Dec 2019 1,153 - 20 2 12 10 14 10 14 5 5 6 3 6 SKDS 887 54.1 24.8 3.3 10.9 8.5 12.8 14.8 12.6 3.7 4.1 4.4 0.2 10.0 Factum 21–24 Nov 2019 966 - 20 3 13 10 12 10 16 4 4 6 3 4 SKDS 2–12 Nov 2019 884 55.1 20.3 5.4 9.8 10.1 15.9 13.6 11.7 5.1 3.6 3.8 0 4.4 Factum 15–22 Oct 2019 966 - 20 3 14 9 11 11 15 4 4 6 3 5 SKDS 5–16 Oct 2019 909 56.8 23.1 4.5 12.0 9.3 13.1 14.3 11.6 3.9 3.9 5.0 0.9 8.8 Factum 27–30 Sep 2019 489 - 19 2 15 10 10 10 17 5 4 5 3 2 SKDS 900 61.8 23.5 4.5 11.7 9.9 14.4 13.6 13.4 4.0 3.4 1.6 9.1 Factum 27–30 Aug 2019 1,152 - 18 4 16 10 11 11 17 4 4 4 2 1 SKDS August 2019 - 63.3 25.4 4.1 10.0 9.8 11.4 13.1 13.9 4.6 3.9 3.3 0.5 11.5 Factum 22–29 Jul 2019 989 - 18 2 15 10 15 10 15 4 6 4 2 3 SKDS July 2019 - 57.9 25.4 2.8 8.6 9.8 10.9 13.1 14.7 6.2 4.0 3.6 0.9 10.7 Factum 26–30 Jun 2019 860 - 17 4 10 12 15 9 17 6 4 6 1 Tie SKDS 7–17 Jun 2019 891 63.1 25.0 5.4 7.3 10.8 12.2 10.0 16.6 4.8 2.5 4.8 0.6 8.4 Factum 1–28 May 2019 1,079 - 17 4 10 10 16 8 16 4 4 7 4 1 SKDS May 2019 - 64.8 27.0 3.7 12.2 9.1 13.3 13.6 9.4 6.2 2.3 2.9 0.3 13.4 Factum 1–30 April 2019 1,236 - 20 4 15 10 12 11 10 6 3 7 3 5 SKDS April 2019 - 64.8 31.5 4.5 13.8 9.0 10.7 11.0 9.3 4.8 2.6 2.4 0.5 17.8 Factum March 2019 - - 15 4 13 11 14 10 11 6 5 6 4 1 SKDS March 2019 873 61.2 28.9 6.7 13.1 10.1 8.2 12.4 8.7 4.7 2.6 3.8 0.8 15.8 SKDS February 2019 872 61.2 29.7 5.5 14.9 9.2 9.9 8.9 10.2 3.8 3.1 4.2 0.6 14.8 23 Jan 2019The Kariņš cabinet is formed and wins the Saeima confidence vote SKDS 11–23 Jan 2019 906 68.4 25.4 10.4 17.7 9.8 11.3 11.8 5.8 7.7 7.7 SKDS 1–12 Dec 2018 900 71.2 28.9 14.6 12.5 8.7 9.1 9.3 5.9 4.2 3.4 3.2 0.1 14.3 SKDS 3–15 Nov 2018 833 71.2 26.8 14.4 15.0 9.9 8.7 9.4 6.9 3.8 2.4 2.6 0.1 11.8 SKDS 13–23 Oct 2018 900 75.4 25.5 15.3 13.4 11.8 11.1 7.2 5.8 5.6 1.9 2.3 0.3 10.2 2018 election 6 Oct 2018 - 54.619.8 14.3 13.6 12.0 11.0 9.9 6.7 4.2 3.2 2.6 2.7 5.5

Turnout

+Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutFactum23-28 Feb 20211,49950.3Factum1 Jan-2 Feb 202134449.7Factum1-31 Dec 202181848.5Factum1-30 Nov 202150848.7Factum1-31 Oct 20211,14750.2Factum1 Sep-1 Oct 202167950.9Factum27-31 Aug 202171052.4Factum27-31 Jul 202161254.1Factum26-31 May 202157652.1Factum26-30 Apr 202168050.62018 election6 Oct 2018 -54.6

See also Kariņš cabinet § Opinion polling

References