In the run up to the 2009 Portuguese local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 9 October 2005, to the day the next elections were held, on 11 October 2009.

Polling Alcobaça Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU BE CDS IND Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.9 20.9 15.3 2.6 5.2 6.7 4.424.0 IPOM 24–25 Sep 2009 59642.8 21.4 16.0 6.6 2.2 7.6 3.4 21.4 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 55.1 17.1 16.0 3.4 2.8 5.638.0

Aveiro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 53.8 33.1 3.7 5.1 4.420.7 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 53.2–58.8 29.8–35.4 1.7–4.3 3.4–6.0 –23.4 Gemeo/IPAM 24–27 Jun 2009 50055 27 2 8 828 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 47.5 39.3 4.4 3.5 5.28.2

Barcelos Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS BE CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 43.4 44.5 4.7 1.8 1.5 4.21.1IPOM1–3 Oct 2009 78947.0 36.5 4.1 7.6 3.0 1.8 10.5 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 47.2 41.8 2.9 1.9 1.4 4.95.4

Braga

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSPPM CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.7 42.0 6.3 4.0 2.92.7 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 45.2–50.8 38.0–43.6 3.4–7.0 2.3–4.9 –7.2 IPOM 5–6 Oct 2009 794 30.031.5 4.2 3.1 20.1 1.5 Eurosondagem 1–2 Oct 2009 53046.9 36.9 6.9 6.0 3.3 10.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 44.5 38.9 7.1 4.4 5.25.6

Faro

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSMPTPPM CDU BE IND Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 42.342.7 5.3 3.0 4.1 2.70.4 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 38.0–43.6 41.0–46.6 3.6–6.2 1.9–4.5 2.8–5.4 –3.0 Eurosondagem 6 Oct 2009 503 37.0 40.5 6.1 4.8 8.0 3.6 3.5 Intercampus 3–6 Oct 2009 600 38.5 36.2 7.9 6.7 6.7 4.0 2.3 Aximage 2–4 Oct 2009 500 39.1 41.1 6.1 2.6 4.9 2.2 2.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 41.1 39.8 8.9 4.6 5.61.3

Horta Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDU CDS BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 45.2 40.6 9.2 1.5 1.2 2.34.6 Eurosondagem 1–2 Oct 2009 505 40.0 36.9 15.3 2.2 3.6 2.0 3.1 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 38.1 30.0 26.7 2.0 1.0 2.08.1

Leiria

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS BE CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 37.6 44.9 7.7 3.4 2.4 4.17.3 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 41.1–46.7 36.5–42.1 7.0–10.6 1.4–4.0 0.6–3.2 –4.6 IPOM 29–30 Sep 2009 59649.9 40.7 4.0 2.6 1.1 1.8 9.2 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 42.6 35.5 9.3 3.4 2.5 6.87.1

Lisbon

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSMPTPPM PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 38.7 44.0 8.1 4.6 4.65.3 UCP–CESOP 11 Oct 2009 ? 34–38 44–48 8.5–10.5 3–5 –10 Eurosondagem 11 Oct 2009 ? 36.9–41.1 41.2–45.4 6.6–8.8 3.9–6.1 –4.3 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 34.7–40.3 42.8–48.4 7.1–10.7 3.0–5.6 –8.1 Aximage 6–8 Oct 2009 802 38.444.4 6.4 6.0 4.8 6.0 Marktest 5–7 Oct 2009 510 37.945.0 7.3 5.4 4.4 7.1 UCP–CESOP 3–6 Oct 2009 2,221 3345 9 8 5 12 Eurosondagem 1–6 Oct 2009 1,022 36.941.9 8.4 8.0 4.8 5.0 Intercampus 28–30 Sep 2009 800 33.141.4 10.4 8.3 6.8 8.3 Marktest 31 Aug–2 Sep 2009 500 32.743.8 7.0 9.2 7.3 8.3 UCP–CESOP 28 Jun–4 Jul 2009 716 3738 7 9 9 1 2007 by-election 15 Jul 2007 20.529.5 9.5 6.8 33.89.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 48.4 26.6 11.4 7.9 5.721.8

Loulé Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS BE CDU CDS Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 57.0 32.6 2.9 1.9 2.6 2.924.4 IPOM 3–4 Oct 2009 69560.5 16.2 0.9 0.4 0.4 21.6 9.2 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 51.4 37.4 2.7 2.2 1.6 4.714.0

Lousada Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDS CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 57.7 37.6 2.9 1.820.1 Gemeo/IPAM 7–8 Set 2009 40065 28 1 637 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 61.4 33.2 3.0 2.528.2

Mangualde Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 35.958.6 2.4 1.1 2.022.7 Domp 24–30 Sep 2009 778 29.1 57.3 6.0 5.4 2.2 28.2 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 47.8 44.8 2.7 1.4 3.33.0

Matosinhos

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDS CDU BE NM Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 42.3 17.1 4.4 2.7 30.7 2.811.6 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 38.0–43.6 11.9–16.5 2.6–5.2 1.4–4.0 32.2–37.8 –5.8 Aximage 4–6 Oct 2009 50043.0 19.1 4.1 6.7 23.5 3.619.5 Eurosondagem 4–5 Oct 2009 53435.3 21.1 6.0 4.7 30.2 2.75.1 UCP–CESOP 2–4 Oct 2009 1,25739 22 4 4 27 412 IPOM 30 Jun–1 Jul 2009 796 32.6 20.9 4.5 5.234.5 2.21.9 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 47.3 30.9 8.6 7.0 6.216.4

Oeiras

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IM PSDCDSPPM PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 41.5 16.4 25.8 7.3 3.9 5.115.7 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ?40.0–45.6 14.2–18.8 23.3–28.9 5.0–8.6 2.4–5.0 –16.7 UCP–CESOP 2–5 Oct 2009 1,30742 16 25 7 6 417 Eurosondagem 29–30 Sep 2009 54841.1 18.8 23.1 8.3 5.2 3.518.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 34.1 32.1 15.6 7.9 4.8 5.52.0

Oliveira do Bairro Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD CDS PS CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 53.6 31.5 10.7 1.2 3.022.1Gemeo/IPAM16–18 Sep 2009 40023 11 2 1 63 12 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 44.2 41.2 9.0 1.7 3.93.0

Paços de Ferreira Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 52.4 41.6 2.4 1.9 1.710.8Gemeo/IPAM14–15 Sep 2009 40059 31 3 2 5 28 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 59.0 29.7 5.5 2.8 3.029.3

Paredes Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 57.8 26.5 8.5 3.3 1.5 2.431.3Gemeo/IPAM16–17 Sep 2009 40059 21 13 2 2 3 38 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 50.9 30.3 9.2 4.2 1.9 3.420.6

Penafiel Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 64.2 29.7 3.0 1.3 1.834.5 Gemeo/IPAM 8–9 Sep 2009 40066 28 2 1 338 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 62.0 30.1 3.8 1.4 2.731.9

Porto

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 47.5 34.7 9.8 5.0 3.012.8 UCP–CESOP 11 Oct 2009 ?45–49 33–37 8.5–10.5 4–6 –12 Eurosondagem 11 Oct 2009 ?43.3–47.1 35.5–39.9 7.9–10.1 3.9–5.7 –7.2–7.8 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ?44.9–50.5 31.3–36.8 7.8–11.4 3.3–6.9 –13.6–13.7 Marktest 2–7 Oct 2009 40051.0 31.0 7.8 5.7 4.720.0 UCP–CESOP 2–5 Oct 2009 2,57147 33 9 7 414 Aximage 2–4 Oct 2009 50046.4 34.3 9.7 5.8 3.812.1 Eurosondagem 28–30 Sep 2009 73648.0 33.3 9.4 5.8 3.514.7 Intercampus 28–30 Sep 2009 80044.4 35.9 8.2 7.9 3.68.5 Marktest 3–6 Sep 2009 39944.7 31.1 9.6 7.8 6.813.6 IPOM 16–19 Jun 2009 79755.2 23.5 9.2 8.1 4.131.7 UCP–CESOP 8–9 Jun 2009 1,00254 23 4 7 1231 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 46.2 36.1 9.0 4.2 4.510.1

Santa Cruz Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU JPP Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 41.9 13.0 5.0 32.0 8.19.9 Eurosondagem 2 Oct 2009 31051.1 28.2 4.9 10.2 5.6 21.4 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 46.8 40.4 3.3 9.66.4

Santa Maria da Feira Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 48.1 40.6 3.5 2.5 2.6 2.77.5 GTriplo 15–16 Sep 2009 502 30.131.7 2.2 2.0 3.2 30.8 1.6 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 49.0 39.5 3.1 2.6 2.0 3.89.5

Santarém Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU BE CDS Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 64.2 21.2 5.7 2.4 3.6 2.943.0 Intercampus 3–6 Oct 2009 60053.2 27.2 8.6 4.2 4.4 2.4 26.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 41.4 37.8 12.2 2.5 2.3 3.83.6

São João da Madeira Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 56.0 26.4 7.2 5.8 2.7 2.129.6 Domp 21–26 Sep 2009 60466.7 15.3 7.4 4.7 3.3 2.6 51.4 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 56.3 19.8 12.7 5.0 2.6 3.636.5

Setúbal

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size CDU PSD PS BE CDS Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 38.8 14.5 29.8 6.1 5.8 5.09.0 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 40.3–45.9 11.8–13.4 23.1–28.7 4.3–7.9 5.1–8.7 –17.2 Eurosondagem 28–29 Sep 2009 51037.9 16.2 29.4 7.8 5.2 3.5 8.5 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 40.4 25.4 21.2 5.2 1.5 6.315.0

Trofa Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 43.4 46.2 5.7 2.4 2.32.8IPOM28 Aug–1 Sep 2009 79654.4 31.4 5.8 2.7 5.8 23.0 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 48.4 37.1 6.9 3.6 4.111.3

Valongo Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE IND Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 34.3 27.2 4.6 2.7 22.9 8.37.1 IPOM 20–22 Jul 2009 79926.2 10.3 1.8 1.5 9.4 50.8 15.9 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 44.2 40.6 6.6 3.9 4.73.6

Viana do Castelo

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 50.2 35.1 6.6 4.8 3.315.1 Intercampus 11 Oct 2009 ? 49.8–55.4 30.4–36.0 5.2–8.8 3.5–6.1 –19.4 Intercampus 3–6 Oct 2009 60048.9 40.5 5.5 3.9 1.2 8.4 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 49.0 35.6 5.5 3.1 6.813.4

Vila Nova de Gaia Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE Lead 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 62.0 25.3 6.3 3.2 3.236.7 IPOM 10–15 Jul 2009 80062.1 20.5 8.7 5.2 3.6 41.6 2005 local election 9 Oct 2005 55.0 28.0 8.3 3.8 4.927.0

Notes

External links ERC - Official publication of polls Marktest Polls local elections 2009 2009 local election results 2005 local election results