Opinion polling for the 2013 Portuguese local elections

In the run up to the 2013 Portuguese local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 11 October 2009, to the day the next elections were held, on 29 September 2013.

Polling Alcobaça Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU CDS BE Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 36.1 19.8 12.0 17.5 2.1 12.516.3 IPOM 17–18 Sep 2013 59647.3 16.7 13.7 10.4 4.2 7.7 30.6 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.9 20.9 15.3 5.2 2.6 11.124.0

Aveiro Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSPPM PS BE CDU IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 48.6 24.4 4.0 3.7 10.1 9.224.2 EurosondagemSeats projection 16–17 Sep 2013 510 42.95 27.53 4.8 – 5.0 – 14.8 1 5.0 – 15.4 EurosondagemSeats projection 18–19 Jul 2013 510 41.24/5 25.92/3 5.2 – 4.9 – 18.1 2 4.7 – 15.3 Gemeo - IPAM 27 Jun–2 Jul 2013 400 41 12 1 1 7 38 29 EurosondagemSeats projection 28–29 May 2013 505 48.05/6 32.93/4 7.1 – 4.9 – 7.1 – 15.1 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 53.8 33.1 5.1 3.7 4.420.7

Barcelos Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS BE CDU PSDCDSPPM IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.0 1.9 1.6 35.0 10.2 5.311.0EurosondagemSeats projection 23–24 Sep 2013 71139.35 3.5 – 1.9– 36.7 4/5 14.81/2 3.8– 2.6 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.5 43.4 4.7 1.8 1.5 2.61.1

Batalha Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 55.2 15.7 11.3 4.0 13.739.5 IPOM 7–9 Sep 2013 49859.1 15.5 11.9 5.9 7.6 43.6 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 68.3 14.1 12.0 1.7 4.054.2

Braga Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSPPM CDU BE IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 32.8 46.7 8.8 5.3 6.413.9 EurosondagemSeats projection 22–24 Sep 2013 81039.0543.85/6 7.50/1 5.2 – 4.5 – 4.8 IPOM 18–19 Sep 2013 99736.7 47.5 4.1 7.2 4.4 10.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 27–28 Aug 2013 51539.15 42.95 8.81 5.2 – 4.0 – 3.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 23–24 Jul 2013 61040.85/6 44.25/6 7.00/1 4.4 – 3.6 – 3.4 Intercampus 8–14 Jul 2013 80241 407 4 8 1 EurosondagemSeats projection 26–27 May 2013 61141.15 43.35 8.01 4.9 – 2.7 – 2.2 IPOM 13–17 May 2013 1,98627.3 35.1 3.8 1.7 32.0 7.8EurosondagemSurvey where voters were first asked which party or coalition they would vote for and secondly, which candidate they would cast their ballot for. 3–5 Dec 2012 1,025 41.7 44.2 6.9 4.1 3.1 2.5 1,025 39.6 46.1 7.0 4.6 2.7 6.5 Aximage 9–12 Oct 2012 506 37.8 42.6 3.5 3.6 12.5 4.8 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.7 42.0 6.3 4.0 2.92.7

Bragança Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS IND CDS CDU BE Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 47.2 26.0 16.5 2.1 2.0 1.0 5.121.2 Pitagórica 15–17 Sep 2013 61245.4 26.4 21.1 1.5 1.9 1.7 7.1 19.0 EurosondagemSeats projection 16–17 Sep 2013 50142.93/4 32.12/3 13.1 1 3.6 – 3.3 – 1.9 – 3.1 10.8 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 48.2 27.8 16.1 2.4 1.6 1.3 2.920.4

Cascais Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 42.7 21.6 11.2 4.6 7.6 12.321.1 EurosondagemSeats projection 18–19 Aug 2013 51741.65/6 28.73/4 7.8 1 5.2 – 10.5 1 3.8 – 12.9 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 53.0 26.7 9.2 6.2 4.926.3

Chaves Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU CDS IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 39.4 29.7 6.2 3.2 15.0 6.59.7 IPOM 19–20 Jun 2013 696 32.9 19.5 3.9 2.6 4.3 36.8 13.4 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 58.2 31.1 4.8 2.7 3.227.1

Cinfães Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS CDU PSDCDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 57.7 2.4 36.5 3.421.2 Eurosondagem 11–12 Sep 2013 50556.5 3.7 36.6 3.2 19.9 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 60.9 26.6 6.2 3.5 2.934.3

Coimbra Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSPPM PS CDU BE PSDPPMMPT CDS IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 35.5 11.1 29.7 3.9 9.3 10.55.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 13–15 Sep 2013 606 36.24/5 11.01 32.64 6.80/1 7.61 5.8 – 3.6 EurosondagemSeats projection 5–6 Aug 2013 512 34.84/5 12.51/2 34.14/5 6.30/1 8.51 3.8 – 0.7 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 41.6 34.6 9.8 5.9 8.2 7.0

Covilhã Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU CDS BE IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 15.0 37.5 11.0 1.8 28.3 6.49.2Domp 18–20 Sep 2013 385 18.0 37.4 7.6 1.3 28.4 7.3 9.0 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 56.7 26.8 7.5 2.8 2.5 3.729.9

Évora Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS CDU PSD BE CDS PSDCDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 26.0 49.3 3.9 14.7 6.123.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 19–20 Aug 2013 503 32.42/3 34.72/3 9.80/1 19.51/2 3.72.3 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 39.5 35.0 17.7 2.8 2.3 2.84.5

Faro Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSMPTPPM PS CDU IND BE Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 33.9 32.3 12.8 5.7 4.8 10.41.6 Sociologest 5–7 Sep 2013 500 39.0 34.7 8.2 7.9 5.5 4.7 4.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 2–3 Sep 2013 505 34.73/4 35.13/4 10.01 11.71 3.4– 5.1 – 0.4 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 42.7 42.3 5.3 4.1 3.0 2.70.4

Felgueiras Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS FF PS BE CDU PSDPPM CDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 25.9 1.7 2.258.3 7.2 4.832.4 Eurosondagem 2–3 Oct 2012 52552.5 43.3 1.0 1.7 1.5 9.2 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 48.7 25.7 19.0 1.3 1.3 4.1 23.0

Funchal Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS PND CDU BE PSPNDBEMPTPTPPAN Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 32.4 14.6 8.4 39.2 5.46.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 17–18 Sep 2013 52534.64/5 24.52/3 7.40/1 30.83/4 2.7 3.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 9–10 Sep 2013 71137.04/5 22.52/3 6.5 – 31.03/4 3.0 6.0 EurosondagemSeats projection 26–27 Aug 2013 51036.44/5 24.83 6.90/1 28.83/4 3.1 7.6 Eurosondagem 20–22 Nov 2012 70741.6 18.3 16.0 3.5 7.3 4.2 9.1 23.3 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 52.5 13.5 10.0 8.5 6.9 4.4 4.639.0

Golegã Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDU CDS BE PSDCDS IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 38.5 7.4 15.1 34.5 4.64.0 Consulmark2Seats projection 17–18 Sep 2013 512 49.03 10.0– 12.6– 25.82 2.623.2 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 60.9 13.3 7.9 5.0 0.5 12.547.6

Gondomar Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IND PS PSDCDS CDU BE Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.4 22.1 12.2 3.6 15.724.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 18–19 Sep 2013 603 48.06 33.0 4 10.41 4.6 – 3.015.0 Eurosondagem 5–7 Aug 2013 1,01138.2 33.0 13.1 7.1 3.9 4.75.2 Domp 15–26 Jul 2013 501 28.537.8 14.9 7.1 1.7 10.09.3 Aximage 17–21 Sep 2012 500 49.3 21.3 5.6 7.4 16.428.0 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 42.8 29.3 15.3 5.9 3.0 3.813.5

Guarda Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS BE CDU PSDCDS IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 30.4 3.7 3.9 51.4 10.628.5 EurosondagemSeats projection 17–18 Sep 2013 503 44.23/4 3.3 – 3.5 – 43.73/4 5.3 – 0.5 EurosondagemSeats projection 12–13 Aug 2013 501 27.52/3 5.3 – 5.0 – 30.22/3 27.72/3 4.3 – 2.5 Eurosondagem 10–12 Dec 2012 1,010 54.8 21.9 6.6 3.9 7.6 5.232.9 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 55.8 28.3 5.2 2.9 2.7 5.227.5

Guimarães Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDU CDS BE PSDCDSMPT Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 47.6 8.3 2.0 35.6 6.412.0 EurosondagemSeats projection 10–11 Sep 2013 611 48.06 10.01 3.8 – 34.24 4.0 – 13.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 12–14 Jul 2013 603 49.66 9.61 4.2 – 33.84 2.8 – 15.8 EurosondagemSeats projection 22–23 May 2013 610 51.06 11.01 2.2 – 33.04 2.8 – 18.0 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 53.5 27.4 8.8 4.7 2.6 3.126.1

Leiria Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS BE CDU Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.3 27.9 4.7 3.3 4.2 13.518.4 IPOM 21–23 Sep 2013 80053.3 31.4 4.0 4.4 3.2 3.6 21.9 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.9 37.6 7.7 3.4 2.4 4.17.3

Lisbon

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSMPT CDU BE Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 50.9 22.4 9.9 4.6 12.228.5 UCP–CESOP 29 Sep 2013 9,663 51–55 21–24 9–12 4–6 –30–31 Eurosondagem 29 Sep 2013 7,597 52.0–56.2 21.2–25.0 8.7–11.5 4.8–7.0 –30.8–31.2 Aximage 23–27 Sep 2013 60549.5 31.7 7.9 6.7 4.2 17.8 UCP–CESOPSeats projection 21–23 Sep 2013 1,223489/10 265 111/2 71 8 – 22 EurosondagemSeats projection 8–10 Sep 2013 82550.09/10 26.95 11.01/2 6.61 5.5 – 23.1 EurosondagemSeats projection 4–5 Aug 2013 70750.59/10 29.55/6 8.81 6.31 4.9 – 21.0 EurosondagemSeats projection 15–16 Jul 2013 82552.59/10 27.55/6 9.01 6.90/1 4.1 – 25.0 Sociologest 14–18 Jun 2013 600 57.5 20.1 9.9 3.5 8.9 37.4 EurosondagemSeats projection 16–19 May 2013 811 52.19/10 30.05/6 8.61 5.30/1 4.0 – 22.1 Sociologest 6–11 May 2013 600 49.7 33.8 6.7 5.7 5.1 15.9 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 44.0 38.7 8.1 4.6 4.65.3

Loures Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS CDU PSDPPMMPT BE CDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 31.2 34.7 16.0 3.2 3.1 11.83.5 EurosondagemSeats projection 25–26 Aug 2013 52138.05 33.24 15.22 4.8 – 3.6 – 5.2 – 4.8 Eurosondagem 21–25 Jun 2013 1,01143.2 30.1 12.5 5.5 4.2 4.5 13.1 1,01141.0 33.7 12.9 4.9 3.8 3.7 7.3 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 48.2 23.0 16.1 4.2 3.8 4.825.2

Lousada Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDS CDU Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 49.7 44.8 2.7 2.84.9 Gemeo 12–14 Sep 2013 400 44.4 50.0 2.4 3.25.6 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 57.7 37.6 2.9 1.820.1

Marinha Grande Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS CDU PSD BE CDS MPM +C Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 29.9 24.8 10.6 2.8 1.1 12.0 11.0 7.95.1 IPOM 14–16 Sep 2017 59938.4 15.7 12.3 0.4 2.6 10.4 11.6 8.6 22.7 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 36.1 31.4 17.7 5.7 9.14.7

Matosinhos Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS NM PSDCDS CDU BE IND PSD CDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 25.3 7.3 3.643.4 9.3 1.9 9.218.1 Domp 23–26 Sep 2013 513 13.9 5.7 0.543.5 6.8 1.6 28.0 29.6 EurosondagemSeats projection 19–20 Sep 2013 715 32.84/5 7.2 0/1 3.6 – 34.44/5 14.41/2 4.1 – 3.5 – 1.6 Pitagórica 25–30 Aug 2013 506 24.9 4.7 1.536.2 10.0 1.7 20.8 11.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 20–21 Aug 2013 511 31.04 7.6 1 4.0 – 32.94 16.42 4.3 – 3.8 – 1.9 GTriplo 6–7 Aug 2013 400 25.5 2.5 2.027.5 24.0 0.5 18.0 2.0 EurosondagemSeats projection 21–22 Jul 2013 710 30.94 8.4 1 3.7 – 33.04 16.72 3.8 – 3.5 – 2.1 Domp 20 May–6 Jun 2013 788 27.1 12.0 6.3 3.842.4 8.6 15.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 29–30 May 2013 707 27.53/4 16.72 8.01 5.0 – 35.04/5 7.8 – 7.5 Eurosondagem 13–19 Mar 2013 1,02247.3 10.3 4.2 22.5 4.9 10.8 24.8 1,022 26.1 10.2 4.131.1 16.8 4.1 7.2 5.0 IPOM 25–30 Jan 2013 79426.8 3.2 1.4 8.8 1.2 55.4 18.0 794 7.9 15.9 23.5 4.0 48.7 7.6 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 42.3 30.7 17.1 4.3 2.7 2.811.6

Mogadouro Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.3 46.5 2.0 0.8 4.50.2 IPOM 10–12 Sep 2013 589 40.1 17.1 0.3 42.5 23.0 589 40.6 22.1 5.3 1.4 30.6 18.5 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 54.3 24.5 15.7 1.1 4.329.8

Oeiras Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IND PS PSDCDSPPM CDU BE PSD CDS Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 33.5 18.3 9.2 3.7 19.2 3.8 12.414.3 EurosondagemSeats projection 13–14 Aug 2013 51128.54 21.23 10.3 1 4.0– 25.23 5.9– 4.9 – 3.3 Sociologest 21–25 May 2013 600 21.5 14.6 5.8 2.9 41.5 6.5 7.2 20.0 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 41.5 25.8 16.4 7.3 3.9 5.115.7

Ourém Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS CDU PSDCDS IND Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 38.9 3.2 38.4 11.4 8.30.5 IPOM 19–20 Sep 2013 600 46.6 3.3 37.3 10.4 2.59.3 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 47.4 43.3 4.6 3.2 2.84.1

Paços de Ferreira Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 44.4 46.9 1.4 2.7 4.62.5 Gemeo 21–23 Sep 2013 40047.9 43.5 0.6 1.9 6.1 4.4 2009 local election 11 Oct 2009 52.4 41.6 2.4 1.9 1.810.8

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