In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Castile and León are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities Almazán Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PPSO IDES Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 67.5 42.3 13.5 – – 41.1 1.2 Celeste-Tel/Diario de Soria 17–19 Sep 2014 350 65.5 39.4 34.0 18.3 3.6 4.8 – 5.4 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 70.7 46.1 38.0 11.2 1.3 – – 8.1

Aranda de Duero Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PCAS CCD SSPA RAP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 61.7 30.4 20.4 0.9 8.8 5.6 – 12.2 9.3 9.9 10.0 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 10 May 2015?? 34.3 22.5 – 9.4 3.7 – 9.6 14.4 3.6 11.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.2 36.7 30.1 10.1 8.5 5.6 5.4 – – – 6.6

Ávila Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout TC Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.8 33.0 15.5 6.0 10.1 10.4 18.0 15.0 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 21–22 Apr 2015 400? 34.7 9.0 4.9 9.2 8.7 30.8 3.9 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 65.9 51.7 17.4 14.3 10.4 – – 34.3

Bembibre Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.7 46.3 35.9 10.9 5.1 – 10.4 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 4–8 May 2015 262 76.0 56.2 30.7 10.0 3.0 – 25.5 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 12–15 Jan 2015 184 68.5 46.9 27.0 1.6 1.6 11.1 19.9 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 73.8 54.3 34.7 3.3 1.9 – 19.6

Benavente Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL BenC Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 63.8 36.0 27.8 15.6 4.9 2.4 3.8 8.2 Ipsos/La Opinión 27 Apr–4 May 2015 220 64 32.1 26.9 16.0 – 6.9 9.8 5.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.7 49.1 23.9 14.3 5.3 – – 25.2

Burgos Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PCAS PB Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 66.6 31.4 22.7 2.4 1.0 13.9 20.7 2.7 2.3 8.7 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 29–30 Apr 2015 600? 33.8 21.0 2.1 – 21.8 16.6 – – 12.0 Celeste-Tel/El Correo de Burgos 28–30 Apr 2015 500 60.2 41.3 23.6 4.6 – 15.5 7.4 3.9 0.4 17.7 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 23–24 Mar 2015 600? 41.0 18.6 3.9 – 16.7 15.8 – – 22.4 PP 13 Jan 2015????????? – – –? 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 65.5 46.2 25.6 11.8 5.1 2.3 – – – – – 20.6

Cacabelos Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout ACC Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 74.0 39.9 39.0 6.9 10.9 0.9 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 12–16 Jan 2015 182 61.4 27.1 25.3 8.2 16.2 1.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 75.7 41.4 35.9 12.4 – 5.5

Fabero Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout MASS Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 77.3 45.1 6.6 – 18.9 9.1 – 18.8 26.2 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 12–16 Jan 2015 181 71.8 31.6 18.5 – 5.4 0.8 8.5 – 13.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 80.2 44.8 20.9 15.7 15.0 2.1 – – 23.9

La Bañeza Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL ASP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 62.2 45.5 32.6 4.8 11.1 – 3.6 12.9 SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica 23–24 Feb 2015 486 78.2 42.1 23.9 1.6 11.5 3.7? 18.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 70.9 46.8 39.7 5.1 – – – 7.1

León Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL LD Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 62.4 31.8 24.8 5.3 7.1 1.2 1.8 8.2 13.3 0.8 7.0 SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica 2–3 May 2015 528 67.1 24.6 21.8 6.0 5.1 0.9 2.5 9.4 21.2 – 2.8 Celeste-Tel/Diario de León 21–24 Apr 2015 500? 33.9 21.6 1.9 5.5 2.0 – 11.6 17.9 2.1 12.3 ALN-Vector/leonoticias.com 11–13 Mar 2015 800? 36.2 30.6 1.7 3.9 0.4 0.4 5.7 17.9 0.4 5.6 SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica 6–8 Mar 2015 699 78.4 25.1 16.5 10.8 7.4 1.1 2.8 16.5 17.1 – 8.0 Celeste-Tel/Diario de León 1 Feb 2015 500? 36.3 25.1 6.5 3.9 4.0 – 17.0 5.8 – 11.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 64.6 44.6 31.0 6.9 4.2 3.1 2.4 – – – 13.6

Miranda de Ebro Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout MP GM Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 53.2 30.2 40.3 9.8 7.6 0.0 6.2 10.1 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 9 May 2015?? 30.8 38.3 8.1 7.6 10.5 – 7.5 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 60.6 43.8 40.0 9.7 – – – 3.8

Palencia Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout GP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 66.2 37.5 30.5 1.6 10.4 16.7 7.0 Madison MK/El Norte de Castilla 29 Apr–9 May 2015 633? 40.9 27.5 – 13.7 14.4 13.4 Sigma Dos/Grupo Promecal 1–4 May 2015 400? 40.7 26.6 – 12.2 14.1 14.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 66.6 49.3 37.1 6.8 2.3 – – – 12.2

Ponferrada Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IAP PRB PeC VP USE Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 60.5 23.3 20.9 – 9.0 5.2 1.2 9.3 7.9 1.7 18.6 0.8 2.4 Onda Bierzo 13 May 2015???? – ??? ?????? ECD/BierzoDiario 4–9 May 2015 670 62–66 25.9 22.2 – 8.6 3.1 3.1 14.0 6.4 – 12.8 0.6 3.7 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 4–9 May 2015 1,405??? – ? – – ? – –? –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de León 6 May 2015? 59.7 28.2 24.6 – 5.2 4.4 – 13.2 3.9 3.3 13.5 0.8 3.6 ALN-Vector/leonoticias.com 11–13 Mar 2015 800? 41.5 32.3 2.9 1.5 – – 4.8 8.7 1.5 – – 9.2 SyM Consulting/La Nueva Crónica 15 Feb 2015 562 75.7 28.3 19.7 4.4 12.9 – – 1.5 30.6 – – – – – 2.3 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 12–16 Jan 2015 401 79.6 17.1 31.2 4.9 4.3 3.9 – – 21.0 – – – – – 10.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 64.3 39.0 24.4 16.5 4.9 4.2 2.6 1.0 – – – – – – 14.6

Salamanca Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 61.8 39.2 23.9 1.0 13.7 13.6 4.1 1.0 15.3 Madison MK/El Norte de Castilla 29 Apr–9 May 2015 630? 38.4 22.3 – 19.7 12.5 – – 16.1 USAL/Salamanca24horas 15 Apr–1 May 2015 384? 39.0 17.5 3.0 14.5 14.0 4.0 0.5 21.5 Celeste-Tel/Diario de Castilla y León 21–24 Apr 2015 500? 44.1 27.4 1.7 16.7 6.3 1.9 0.4 16.7 CASUS/Tribuna Salamanca 16–24 Apr 2015 749 68 38.0 21.5 2.5 18.9 13.1 2.1 – 16.5 PSOE 23–31 Mar 2015 700? 46.5 23.3 2.4 2.8 11.5 9.7 – – – 23.2 USAL/Salamanca24horas 14 Nov–4 Dec 2014 390? 43.0 19.4 5.5 9.1 5.5 11.5 – – – 23.6 USAL/Salamanca24horas 6–20 Dec 2013 384 44 45.7 10.9 20.9 15.5 0.7 – – – – 24.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 62.6 52.9 28.9 4.3 3.3 2.5 – – – – 24.0

San Andrés del Rabanedo Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout UPL IxSA Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 60.8 23.5 26.3 8.6 – 6.9 16.9 1.3 12.5 2.8 Celeste-Tel/Diario de León 5 May 2015 290? 21.7 28.5 6.9 – 4.8 14.6 1.3 21.6 6.8 ALN-Vector/leonoticias.com 11–13 Mar 2015 800? 27.8 32.3 2.8 – 9.1 5.1 2.8 19.4 4.5 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 61.0 30.5 30.0 10.0 7.1 6.5 5.9 3.5 – 0.5

Segovia Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout SeC S Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 66.5 29.2 40.0 5.3 6.6 3.1 – 7.2 2.0 10.8 Audacia/Radio Segovia 11–13 May 2015 613? 26.6 36.3 5.0 3.8 1.1 – 17.4 2.4 9.7 Madison MK/El Norte de Castilla 29 Apr–9 May 2015 631? 32.0 32.4 5.7 2.8 – – 16.6 4.3 0.4 Javier Arranz 19–23 Jan 2015 600? 38.0 33.0 5.0 7.0 – 15.0 – – 5.0 Sigma Dos/PP Jul 2014????? – –? – –? 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 70.9 42.6 42.3 5.5 4.8 1.4 – – – 0.3

Soria Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IDES S Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 63.0 47.0 29.1 6.3 – 8.2 – 7.4 17.9 A+M/Heraldo de Soria 11–13 May 2015 500? 36.1 27.5 4.3 – 14.9 1.0 13.3 8.6 Celeste-Tel/Diario de Soria 21–24 Apr 2015 500 64.7 49.4 27.2 4.6 – 11.8 – 4.8 22.2 A+M/Heraldo de Soria 13–15 Apr 2015 500? 36.2 31.4 5.8 – 11.1 1.9 10.4 4.8 Celeste-Tel/Diario de Soria 3–8 Sep 2014 450 61.1 42.8 34.3 4.4 3.1 4.1 1.2 8.7 8.5 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.4 46.1 35.2 4.9 4.3 2.8 0.8 – 10.9

Toro Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CT Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 71.3 30.6 59.6 3.0 5.1 29.0 Ipsos/La Opinión 27 Apr–4 May 2015 200 76 40.0 45.2 4.3 7.1 5.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 74.1 49.2 42.3 – – 6.9

Valladolid Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout SIVA Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 67.8 35.7 23.3 13.4 1.6 10.0 7.6 12.4 Madison MK/El Norte de Castilla 29 Apr–9 May 2015 702? 41.5 21.1 10.8 – 7.6 14.7 20.4 Sigma Dos/El Día de Valladolid 4 May 2015?? 44.1 19.4 8.3 – 7.6 15.2 24.7 Celeste-Tel/Diario de Valladolid 21–24 Apr 2015 600 63.5 44.9 25.1 6.7 2.1 6.3 10.9 19.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 67.7 50.4 27.0 10.5 4.1 – – 23.4

Villafranca del Bierzo Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout MASS UPL Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 68.2 38.3 27.4 – 6.3 19.0 – 7.3 10.9 Huaris CC/InfoBierzo 12–16 Jan 2015 177 64.6 28.1 30.5 – 0.8 – 13.4 – 2.4 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 72.7 43.2 36.1 11.5 5.8 1.4 – – 7.1

Zamora Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout ADEIZA GZ Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 61.9 32.4 17.0 29.1 3.8 1.1 3.7 8.6 3.3 Ipsos/La Opinión 27 Apr–4 May 2015 500 64 36.1 18.8 19.7 3.0 2.0 4.1 12.2 16.4 PP 12 Jan 2014 600? 42.2 18.8 21.1 7.6 5.0 – – 21.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 61.8 46.9 23.2 16.1 6.1 2.8 – – 23.7

Notes

References