Opinion polling for the 2017 Portuguese local elections

In the run up to the 2017 Portuguese local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 29 September 2013, to the day the next elections were held, on 1 October 2017.

Polling

Alcobaça Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 44.0 21.6 15.3 7.6 3.0 8.622.4 IPOMSeat projection 20–21 Sep 2017 71444.44 20.41/2 14.71 10.20/1 2.6– 7.6– 24.0 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 36.1 19.8 17.5 12.0 2.1 12.516.3

Aveiro Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSPPM PS IND BE CDU Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 48.5 31.0 6.8 4.0 9.717.5 UA-CIMADSeat projection 14–20 Sep 2017 50054.46/7 12.72/3 2.6– 3.1– 27.2– 41.7 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 48.6 24.4 10.1 4.0 3.7 9.224.2

Braga Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDSPPM PS CDU IND BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 52.1 27.9 9.6 4.8 5.624.2 IPOM 18–19 Sep 2017 74852.5 27.3 8.1 5.9 6.2 25.2 EurosondagemSeat projection 10–13 Sep 2017 71150.06/7 27.73 10.01 6.00/1 6.3– 22.3 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 10–13 Sep 2017 848465/7 334/5 70/1 60/1 8– 13 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.7 32.8 8.8 5.3 6.413.9

Batalha Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 53.8 20.0 12.0 3.6 10.633.8 IPOMSeat projection 21–22 Sep 2017 65854.25 17.91 12.81 2.8– 12.3– 36.3 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 55.2 15.7 11.3 4.0 13.739.5

Chaves Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS IND CDU CDS BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 35.0 51.4 5.7 2.4 1.3 4.316.4 IPOM 10–12 Jul 2017 71453.2 34.3 6.6 2.5 0.6 3.0 24.0 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 39.4 29.7 15.0 6.2 3.2 6.59.7

Coimbra

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSPPMMPT CDU CpC CDS SC Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 35.5 26.6 8.3 7.0 16.1 6.68.9 UCP–CESOP 1 Oct 2017 5,960 32–36 26–29 7–9 8–10 16–19 –6–7 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 3,276 37.0–42.0 27.6–31.6 5.7–8.7 5.2–8.2 11.1–15.1 2.4–5.49.4–10.4 G.Triplo 19–22 Sep 2017 67834.2 14.2 2.4 5.0 7.736.6 20.0AximageSeat projection 18–21 Sep 2017 60028.74 25.73/4 7.21 8.11 13.41/2 16.9– 3.0UCP–CESOPSeat projection 16–17 Sep 2017 895354/5 253/4 91 91 161/2 6– 10EurosondagemSeat projection 11–13 Sep 2017 71733.14 26.73 8.31 9.01 15.22 7.7– 6.4 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 35.5 29.7 11.1 9.3 3.9 6.65.8

Évora Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size CDU PS PSD CDSPPMMPT BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 40.5 26.4 14.9 5.9 4.8 7.514.1 EurosondagemSeat projection 10–12 Sep 2017 70338.93/4 29.62/3 17.51 5.3– 3.0– 5.7– 9.3 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 49.3 26.0 14.7 3.9 6.1 23.3

Fafe Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS IND PSDCDS CDU CDS BE FS Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 37.3 18.4 2.4 1.7 36.7 4.30.6 EurosondagemSeat projection 18–19 Sep 2017 76934.03/4 21.92 3.3– 3.5– 33.33/4 4.0– 0.7 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 35.2 35.1 21.3 3.0 1.4 4.10.1

Funchal Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDS CDU Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 42.1 32.1 8.6 3.6 13.710.0 EurosondagemSeat projection 20–21 Sep 2017 77743.86 31.84 10.01 5.0– 9.4– 12.0 EurosondagemSeat projection 12–14 Jul 2017 708 42.56 30.84 10.01 5.0– 11.7– 11.7 EurosondagemSeat projection 12–13 Jan 2017 717 48.06/7 25.83/4 8.71 6.30/1 11.20/1 22.2 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 39.2 32.4 14.6 8.4 5.46.8

Gondomar Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDS CDU BE VL Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 45.5 11.0 15.4 3.6 19.9 4.625.6 DOMP 28 Aug–22 Sep 2017 89050 5 13 2 23 6 27 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.4 22.1 12.2 3.6 15.724.3

Guimarães Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDCDSPPMMPTPPV CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 51.5 37.9 5.2 2.4 2.913.6 EurosondagemSeat projection 22–23 Sep 2017 70853.57 31.04 6.7– 3.3– 5.5– 22.5 EurosondagemSeat projection 10–11 Sep 2017 71055.17 30.04 6.5– 3.0– 5.4– 25.1 IPOM 30 Aug–1 Sep 2017 854 45.3 43.1 6.5 1.4 3.7 2.2 EurosondagemSeat projection 25–26 Jun 2017 708 54.17 30.74 6.0– 4.2– 5.0– 23.4 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 47.6 35.6 8.3 2.0 6.412.0

Leiria Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSDMPT CDS CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 54.5 27.0 5.0 2.4 2.7 8.427.5 IPOMSeat projection 22 Sep 2017 74449.97 26.33 7.51 4.3– 3.2– 8.8– 23.6 EurosondagemSeat projection 2–9 May 2017 1,069 52.07/8 26.63/4 3.0– 4.9– 4.2– 9.3– 25.4 Eurosondagem 14–17 Oct 2016 1,010 36.8 39.6 5.3 3.0 5.2 10.1 2.8 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.3 27.9 4.7 4.4 3.3 13.518.4

Lisbon

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDSPPMMPT CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 42.0 11.2 20.6 9.6 7.1 9.421.4 UCP–CESOP 1 Oct 2017 11,694 43–47 9–11 18–21 9–11 7–9 – 25–26 Eurosondagem 1 Oct 2017 8,761 41.4–46.0 8.4–11.0 16.2–20.0 10.0–12.1 7.7–9.6 – 25.2–26.0 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 5,238 44.3–49.3 8.1–12.0 15.5–19.5 8.3–12.3 6.2–9.2 4.6–10.6 28.8–29.8 EurosondagemSeat projection 24–26 Sep 2017 1,01043.39 12.52 17.53 10.12 5.71 10.9– 25.8 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 23–26 Sep 2017 1,185478/10 122 152/3 81/2 81/2 10– 32 AximageSeat projection 17–20 Sep 2017 60047.09/10 10.92/3 12.62/3 8.52 5.51 15.5– 34.4 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 16 Sep 2017 764417/9 163/4 173/4 81/2 81/2 10– 24 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 50.922.4 9.9 4.6 12.328.5

Loures Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size CDU PS PSDPPM BE CDS Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 32.8 28.2 21.6 3.6 2.9 11.04.6EurosondagemSeat projection 17–19 Sep 2017 71036.65 28.24 18.22 5.0– 2.8– 9.2– 8.4 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 34.7 31.2 16.0 3.2 3.1 11.8 3.5

Maia Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSDCDS PS CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 40.0 36.6 4.6 5.8 13.03.4 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 9–10 Sep 2017 718415/6 324/5 70/1 5– 15– 9 IPOM 26–29 Aug 2017 88248.3 27.0 7.8 5.9 11.0 21.3 Intercampus 19–26 May 2017 800 27.131.1 3.6 2.635.5 4.0 GTriplo 20–30 Apr 2015 750 24.0 26.4 3.5 2.5 44.1 2.4 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 50.2 25.6 7.7 6.0 10.624.6

Marinha Grande Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS CDU MPM +C PSDMPT BE CDSPPM Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 29.4 24.5 22.1 7.6 4.9 4.8 0.8 5.94.9 IPOMSeat projection 22 Sep 2017 61639.04 28.42 16.11 3.20 3.5– 0.6– 8.8– 10.6 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 29.9 24.8 12.0 11.0 10.6 2.8 1.1 7.95.1

Matosinhos

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IND PS PSD CDU BE CDS NM SIM Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 36.3 11.9 6.7 4.6 16.2 15.2 9.220.1 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 4,266 – 34.8–39.8 8.0–11.0 4.9–7.9 3.1–6.1 – 14.5–18.5 16.9–20.9 5.3–9.317.9–18.9 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 23–24 Sep 2017 1,143 385/6 111 81 5– 152 131/2 10– 23 EurosondagemSeat projection 18–20 Sep 2017 707 31.94/5 10.21 6.10/1 5.0– 25.83/4 13.52 7.5– 6.1 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 16–17 Sep 2017 1,364 334/5 91 81 5– 212/3 171/2 7– 12 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 43.4 25.3 9.3 7.3 3.6 1.9 9.218.1

Odivelas

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS CDU PSD BE CDS PSDCDS Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 45.1 14.8 6.1 21.7 12.3 23.4 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 3,555 43.2–48.2 12.6–16.6 – 5.6–8.6 – 20.2–24.2 8.9–11.9 23.0–24.0 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 39.5 21.3 18.5 5.0 4.1 11.6 18.2

Oeiras

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IOMAF PSD PS CDU CDS BE IN-OV PSDCDSPPM Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 14.2 13.4 7.8 3.141.7 8.8 11.027.5 UCP–CESOP 1 Oct 2017 7,570 13–15 – 12–14 8–10 – –42–46 8–10 –29–31 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 3,782 15.0–19.0 – 11.1–15.1 5.1–8.1 – –42.2–47.2 5.9–8.9 9.7–12.727.5–28.5 EurosondagemSeat projection 22–25 Sep 2017 708 16.82 14.02 8.01 3.0–36.75 10.01 11.5– 19.9 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 23–24 Sep 2017 1,195 152 152 101 2–375 71 14– 22 AximageSeat projection 21–23 Sep 2017 600 23.43 11.21 7.61 36.85 7.51 13.5– 13.4 Consulmark2Seat projection 21–30 Jul 2017 604 21.03 10.01 5.0– 1.0–45.06 9.01 9.0– 24.0 EurosondagemSeat projection 4–6 Apr 2017 1,008 22.53 10.11 20.02/3 6.90/1 2.1– 3.3–27.63/4 7.5– 5.1 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 33.5 19.2 18.3 9.2 3.8 3.7 12.414.3

Ovar Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU BE CDS Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 65.1 18.6 4.2 3.4 4.4 4.4 46.5 IPOM 25–26 Sep 2017 595 60.9 20.7 8.0 4.0 2.4 4.0 40.2 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 43.9 35.1 6.0 4.8 3.0 7.3 8.8

Paredes Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU CDS BE MPP Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 36.2 50.4 2.9 3.7 1.3 2.2 3.5 14.2 IPOMIf PSD candidate is Joaquim Neves. 21–24 Nov 2016 695 24.2 22.4 2.3 1.9 49.1 1.8 IPOMIf PSD candidate is Rui Moutinho. 695 17.3 24.6 2.6 3.6 51.9 7.3 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 41.1 40.9 6.4 3.7 1.8 6.1 0.2

Paços de Ferreira Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PS PSD CDU CDS BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 64.8 29.0 1.3 1.1 3.8 35.8 Domp 26–30 Sep 2015 601 50.4 20.6 2.0 0.9 1.1 25.1 29.8 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 46.9 44.4 2.7 1.4 4.6 2.5

Pedrógão Grande Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDU CDS IND Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 38.0 55.8 1.4 1.3 3.4 17.8 IPOMIf PSD candidate is Valdemar Alves. 2–3 Mar 2017 415 26.3 8.4 20.544.8 5.8 IPOMIf PSD candidate was João Marques. 415 19.5 24.855.7 5.3 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 56.6 36.6 1.3 5.5 20.0

Pombal Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE NMPH Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 46.3 11.7 6.4 1.2 2.3 24.4 7.6 21.9 IPOMSeat projection 14–15 Sep 2017 70341.04 13.91 1.5– 1.0– 0.5– 36.34 5.8– 4.7 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 55.0 26.8 6.2 3.2 8.9 28.2

Ponta do Sol Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS IND BE CDU Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 38.7 40.3 14.2 1.8 0.8 4.3 1.5 EurosondagemSeat projection 21–22 Sep 2017 25550.43 33.62 6.4– 3.6– 1.4– 4.6– 16.8 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 56.0 20.6 8.2 6.9 1.8 1.1 5.5 35.4

Porto

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size RM PS PSDPPM CDU BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 44.5 28.6 10.4 5.9 5.3 5.4 15.9 UCP–CESOP 1 Oct 2017 11,592 43–48 28–31 8–10 6–8 5–7 – 15–17 Eurosondagem 1 Oct 2017 7,657 37.7–42.0 30.3–34.0 7.7–11.0 4.8–7.2 4.8–7.2 – 7.4–8.0 Intercampus 1 Oct 2017 4,354 42.0–47.0 27.7–31.7 8.1–11.1 5.0–8.0 4.2–7.2 1.0–7.0 14.3–15.3 EurosondagemSeat projection 24–26 Sep 2017 72540.86/7 30.84/5 11.01/2 6.91 5.40/1 5.1– 10.0 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 23–25 Sep 2017 1,239 345/6 345/6 91/2 81 70/1 8– Tie AximageSeat projection 16–19 Sep 2017 60039.96/7 20.83/4 11.82 8.91 5.30/1 13.3– 19.1 UCP–CESOPSeat projection 16–17 Sep 2017 1,239344/6 334/6 131/2 81 60/1 6– 1 EurosondagemSeat projection 19–21 Jul 2017 1,52546.97 22.53 12.12 8.21 5.5– 4.8– 24.4 EurosondagemSeat projection 15–17 May 2017 1,01144.86/7 22.23 15.12 6.91 6.00/1 5.0– 22.6 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 39.3 22.7 21.1 7.4 3.6 6.0 16.6

Póvoa de Lanhoso Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU MAI Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 43.5 42.5 0.9 10.6 2.5 1.0 IPOM 22–23 Sep 2017 55144.6 37.2 13.5 4.7 7.4 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 51.1 40.3 4.2 1.4 3.1 10.8

Ribeira Brava Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size PSD PS CDS CDU BE JPP RB1 Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 32.4 4.5 0.9 0.7 6.2 51.8 3.5 19.4 EurosondagemSeat projection 13–14 Sep 2017 280 27.62 13.21 2.4– 2.8– 10.01 36.43 7.6– 8.8 EurosondagemSeat projection 7–8 Sep 2017 26.42 10.81 2.0– 2.8– 10.01 37.63 10.4– 11.2 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 41.6 21.8 20.0 3.5 2.7 10.5 19.8

Santa Cruz Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size IND PSD CDU JPP PS CDS BE Lead 2017 local election 1 Oct 2017 17.1 1.5 60.0 6.9 4.9 1.4 8.3 42.9 EurosondagemSeat projection 25–26 Sep 2017 480 20.01/2 4.0–50.54/5 10.00/1 4.2– 2.5– 8.8– 30.5 2013 local election 29 Sep 2013 64.4 23.1 4.3 7.8 41.3