The Polgahawela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Polgahawela has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Polgahawela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 0.08% SLPP 5.13% 2015 UPFA UPFA 1.55% NDF 4.09% 2010 UPFA UPFA 0.11% UPFA 5.00% 2005 UPFA UPFA 0.65% UPFA 1.17% 1999 PA PA 0.82% PA 1.51% 1994 PA PA 2.23% PA 5.22% 1988 SLFP UNP 5.24% UNP 5.75% 1982 UNP UNP 0.58% UNP 2.59% Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.41% 8/8 3.81%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 36,836 57.98% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 23,458 36.92% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99% NMPP 2,085 3.28% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,150 1.81% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61% Valid Votes 63,529 99.26% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 472 0.74% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 64,001 84.41% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 75,819 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 31,108 51.92% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 28,365 47.34% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 446 0.74% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 59,919 99.28% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 435 0.72% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 60,354 78.06% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 77,321 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 34,501 63.24% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 19,328 35.43% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 726 1.33% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 54,555 99.43% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 311 0.57% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 54,866 74.87% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 73,283 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 27,581 51.59% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 25,317 47.35% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 569 1.06% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 53,467 99.19% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 437 0.81% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 53,904 77.20% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 69,821 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 22,890 50.22% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 20,537 45.06% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 1,353 2.97% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 799 1.75% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 45,579 98.05% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 908 1.95% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 46,487 75.12% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 61,882 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 23,447 57.10% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 17,030 41.47% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 585 1.42% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 41,062 98.45% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 647 1.55% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 41,709 74.65% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 55,872 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLFP 15,872 52.36% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95% UNP 13,915 45.90% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43% SLMP 528 1.74% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 30,315 98.78% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 375 1.22% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 30,690 59.75% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 51,363 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,384 55.77% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 16,625 41.42% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 911 2.27% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 214 0.53% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 40,134 98.44% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 637 1.56% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 40,771 85.27% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 47,812 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Polgahawela has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Polgahawela is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UPFA UPFA 0.92% UNP 3.01% 2010 UPFA UPFA 0.58% UPFA 2.37% 2004 UPFA UPFA 1.08% UPFA 4.00% 2001 UNP UNP 1.00% UNP 4.04% 2000 PA PA 2.52% PA 2.33% 1994 UNP PA 3.92% PA 3.57% 1989 UNP UNP 6.09% UNP 4.03% Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.30% 7/7 3.34%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 26,517 48.34% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48% UNP 25,705 46.86% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77% JVP 2,395 4.37% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 240 0.44% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75% Valid Votes 54,857 95.62% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,493 4.35% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 57,370 74.20% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 77,321 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 25,485 63.41% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 12,519 31.15% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 2,070 5.15% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.29% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43% Valid Votes 40,190 93.35% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 2,835 6.58% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 43,054 58.75% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 73,283 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 24,473 50.62% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 20,435 42.27% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 3,237 6.70% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 204 0.42% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70% Valid Votes 48,349 95.83% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 2,090 4.14% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 50,453 74.10% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 68,091 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 24,494 50.12% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 20,487 41.92% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 3,223 6.59% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 670 1.37% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49% Valid Votes 48,874 95.65% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 2,224 4.35% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 51,098 77.31% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 66,099 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 21,421 46.17% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 20,788 44.81% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 2,374 5.12% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03% NUA 769 1.66% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 527 1.14% 9,730 1.32% 93,655 1.09% SU 516 1.11% 6,691 0.91% 127,859 1.49% Valid Votes 46,395 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,167 50.92% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04% PA 20,829 47.85% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94% Other Parties (with < 1%) 537 1.23% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00% Valid Votes 43,533 96.15% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 1,745 3.85% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 45,278 81.04% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 55,872 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 19,458 51.92% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 15,847 42.29% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90% ELJP 1,687 4.50% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21% Other Parties (with < 1%) 482 1.29% 13,907 2.59% 232,463 4.15% Valid Votes 37,474 95.02% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 1,964 4.98% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 39,438 78.47% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 50,258 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Polgahawela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (93.5%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Polgahawela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%)

Religion

The Polgahawela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (91.8%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Polgahawela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%)

References