The Kothmale Polling Division is a polling division in the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District of Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential election results

Summary

The winner of Kothmale has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kothmale is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 NDF NDF 3.57% SLPP 11.33% 2015 NDF NDF 4.49% NDF 8.29% 2010 NDF NDF 1.61% UPFA 11.24% 2005 UNP UNP 6.12% UPFA 15.70% 1999 PA UNP 2.01% PA 2.81% 1994 PA PA 5.80% PA 10.34% 1988 UNP UNP 6.11% UNP 4.10% 1982 UNP UNP 4.17% UNP 3.84% Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 4.23% 8/8 8.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 36,901 54.70% 277,913 58.28% 5,564,239 41.99% SLPP 27,572 40.87% 175,823 36.87% 6,924,255 52.25% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,929 2.86% 17,237 3.61% 345,452 2.61% NMPP 1,057 1.57% 5,891 1.24% 418,553 3.16% Valid Votes 67,459 98.78% 476,864 98.52% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 833 1.22% 7,155 1.48% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 68,292 85.22% 484,019 85.06% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 80,139 569,028 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 36,343 59.48% 272,605 63.88% 6,217,162 51.28% UPFA 23,821 38.99% 145,339 34.06% 5,768,090 47.58% Other Parties (with < 1%) 935 1.53% 8,822 2.07% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 61,099 98.36% 426,766 98.31% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 1,018 1.64% 7,329 1.69% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 62,117 79.57% 434,095 79.25% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 78,068 547,766 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 26,727 50.84% 180,604 52.14% 4,173,185 40.15% UPFA 24,120 45.88% 151,604 43.77% 6,015,934 57.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,192 2.27% 10,040 2.90% 165,268 1.59% DUNF 531 1.01% 4,134 1.19% 39,226 0.38% Valid Votes 52,570 98.03% 346,382 98.17% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 1,057 1.97% 6,462 1.83% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 53,627 75.82% 352,844 75.65% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 70,730 466,440 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 33,073 64.16% 250,428 70.37% 4,706,366 48.43% UPFA 17,645 34.23% 99,550 27.97% 4,887,152 50.29% Other Parties (with < 1%) 830 1.61% 5,897 1.66% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 51,548 98.89% 355,875 98.50% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 576 1.11% 5,410 1.50% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 52,124 78.98% 361,285 79.49% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 65,998 454,528 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 22,068 49.23% 147,210 46.88% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 20,984 46.82% 152,836 48.68% 3,602,748 42.71% Other Parties (with < 1%) 945 2.11% 8,065 2.57% 176,679 2.09% JVP 826 1.84% 5,879 1.87% 343,927 4.08% Valid Votes 44,823 97.41% 313,990 97.21% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 1,193 2.59% 8,997 2.79% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 46,016 77.56% 322,987 80.23% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 59,333 402,589 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 22,034 51.58% 168,929 57.14% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 19,708 46.14% 116,928 39.55% 2,715,283 35.91% Ind 2 555 1.30% 6,314 2.14% 58,888 0.78% Other Parties (with < 1%) 419 0.98% 3,459 1.17% 78,152 1.03% Valid Votes 42,716 96.28% 295,630 96.15% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 1,651 3.72% 11,840 3.85% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 44,367 77.87% 307,470 78.19% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 56,977 393,221 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 17,822 56.32% 112,135 62.15% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 13,549 42.82% 64,907 35.98% 2,289,857 44.95% Other Parties (with < 1%) 272 0.86% 3,371 1.87% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 31,643 98.75% 180,413 98.19% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 401 1.25% 3,320 1.81% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 32,044 81.76% 183,733 79.44% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 39,194 231,278 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 18,684 59.19% 109,017 63.10% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 12,036 38.13% 57,093 33.05% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 616 1.95% 4,569 2.64% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 229 0.73% 2,090 1.21% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 31,565 99.00% 172,769 98.83% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 320 1.00% 2,048 1.17% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 31,885 85.89% 174,817 85.71% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 37,124 203,968 8,235,358

Parliamentary election results

Summary

The winner of Kothmale has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Kothmale is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UNP UNP 1.95% UNP 6.35% 2010 UPFA UPFA 4.17% UPFA 2.10% 2004 UNP UNP 3.58% UPFA 11.74% 2001 UNP UNP 4.71% UNP 11.07% 2000 PA PA 3.41% PA 5.04% 1994 UNP UNP 2.58% PA 13.13% 1989 UNP UNP 1.64% UNP 6.94% Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 3.15% 7/7 8.05%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 31,373 57.12% 228,920 59.06% 5,098,916 45.77% UPFA 22,031 40.11% 147,348 38.02% 4,732,664 42.48% JVP 1,034 1.88% 5,590 1.44% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 487 0.89% 5,727 1.48% 87,743 0.79% Valid Votes 54,925 92.38% 387,585 92.12% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 4,482 7.54% 32,788 7.79% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 59,454 76.16% 420,734 78.77% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 78,068 534,150 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 24,790 61.45% 149,111 56.06% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 13,553 33.60% 96,885 36.43% 2,357,057 29.37% UPF 1,120 2.78% 13,189 4.96% 24,670 0.31% DNA 700 1.74% 3,984 1.50% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 177 0.44% 2,793 1.05% 34,436 0.43% Valid Votes 40,340 88.25% 265,962 87.64% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 5,327 11.65% 37,236 12.27% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 45,711 64.63% 303,470 64.94% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 70,730 467,332 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 25,390 52.96% 176,971 54.02% 3,486,792 37.73% UPFA 15,964 33.30% 82,945 25.32% 4,223,126 45.70% UPF 4,182 8.72% 49,728 15.18% 49,728 0.54% CDUA 1,563 3.26% 10,736 3.28% 10,736 0.12% JHU 593 1.24% 4,454 1.36% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.52% 2,775 0.85% 42,827 0.46% Valid Votes 47,942 94.30% 327,609 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 2,896 5.70% 24,413 6.94% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 50,838 78.16% 352,022 80.70% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 65,044 436,236 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 29,549 63.77% 215,157 68.28% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 14,421 31.12% 77,733 24.67% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 1,508 3.25% 11,080 3.52% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 859 1.85% 11,129 3.53% 143,834 1.61% Valid Votes 46,337 92.72% 315,099 91.74% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 3,638 7.28% 28,373 8.26% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 49,975 80.30% 343,472 82.32% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 62,232 417,264 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 21,623 49.94% 158,018 52.53% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 20,283 46.85% 126,486 42.05% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 950 2.19% 6,299 2.09% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 438 1.01% 10,003 3.33% 247,240 2.87% Valid Votes 43,294 N/A 300,806 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 26,542 59.58% 175,478 58.12% 3,498,370 44.04% PA 16,112 36.17% 97,658 32.35% 3,887,805 48.94% IND1 1,610 3.61% 27,374 9.07% 48,199 0.61% Other Parties (with < 1%) 284 0.64% 1,408 0.47% 158,616 2.00% Valid Votes 44,548 94.47% 301,918 93.33% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 2,607 5.53% 21,592 6.67% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 47,155 82.76% 323,510 82.37% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 56,977 392,770 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 18,712 63.76% 109,853 63.34% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 9,175 31.26% 47,128 27.18% 1,785,369 31.90% DPLF 710 2.42% 10,509 6.06% 19,150 0.34% SLMC 492 1.68% 1,720 0.99% 202,016 3.61% Other Parties (with < 1%) 260 0.89% 4,214 2.43% 141,983 2.54% Valid Votes 29,349 92.33% 173,424 92.73% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 2,439 7.67% 13,600 7.27% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 31,788 82.17% 187,024 81.49% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 38,688 229,519 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kothmale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (52.6%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (36.4%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Kothmale Polling Division) has an Indian Tamil majority (53.1%) and a significant Sinhalese population (39.6%)

Religion

The Kothmale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (52.3%) and a significant Hindu population (36.5%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Kothmale Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (51.0%) and a significant Buddhist population (39.1%)

References