Opinion polling for the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election held on 3 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Poll trackers Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:

Europe Elects Politico Politpro ERR (in Estonian) Reitingud (in Estonian)

Graphical summary

Polling results

2023

Polling firmFieldwork DateSamplesizeRefKeskEKREIsamaaSDEE200EERParem Others Lead Election Results 5 Mar 31.215.316.18.29.313.31.02.33.315.148.7 37 16 17 8 9 14 0 0 8.0 47Norstat28 Feb-3 Mar1,00017.548.1Kantar Emor28 Feb-2 Mar1,61329.016.014.37.211.515.32.22.42.213.047.7Turu-uuringute AS20-28 Feb600–70030171589142321347Norstat21-27 Feb1,00024.819.0 25.28.88.69.50.81.71.40.442.2Faktum & Ariko20-27 Feb9592417228813213240Kantar Emor20-22 Feb1,57728.213.918.19.110.413.42.92.20.810.148.7Norstat14-20 Feb1,00029.017.921.710.36.69.72.21.31.37.345.9Kantar Emor13-16 Feb1,59531.016.217.27.38.613.42.52.11.813.846.9Norstat7-13 Feb1,00027.520.621.18.47.110.21.61.71.86.443Kantar Emor6-9 Feb1,49331.815.818.68.88.012.12.71.80.413.248.6Norstat31 Jan - 6 Feb1,00031.918.122.87.07.18.41.91.81.09.146Kantar Emor30 Jan - 2 Feb1,55430.316.419.37.08.313.12.41.61.711.045.6Norstat24-30 Jan1,00027.719.521.57.86.713.01.41.31.06.242.2Turu-uuringute AS27 Jan600–7002616257713213140Kantar Emor19-26 Jan1,63931.516.019.15.67.612.42.92.02.912.444.7Norstat17-23 Jan1,00031.721.318.45.47.712.51.11.40.510.444.8Norstat10-16 Jan1,00030.417.820.08.39.510.72.30.70.410.448.2Kantar Emor5-11 Jan1,63928182171011310745Norstat2-9 Jan1,00034.216.923.34.88.49.22.20.60.58.947.4

2022

Polling firmFieldwork DateSamplesizeRefKeskEKREIsamaaSDEE200EERParem Others Lead Norstat20-27 Dec1,00031.016.522.89.15.610.62.11.21.18.245.7Norstat13-19 Dec1,00031.515.224.66.57.79.62.10.41.66.945.7Kantar Emor8-16 Dec1,51030161889143101247Norstat6-12 Dec1,00031.315.127.18.36.08.61.40.81.44.245.6Turu-uuringute AS6 Dec600–70035142177111131449Norstat29 Nov-5 Dec1,00034.015.524.05.47.510.31.61.10.610.046.9Norstat22-28 Nov1,00033.617.023.77.05.410.61.50.90.39.946.0Norstat15-21 Nov1,00032.518.124.38.75.98.41.20.30.68.247.1Kantar Emor10-17 Nov1,5123115226814310945Norstat8-14 Nov1,00033.716.823.65.97.99.11.10.71.210.147.5Turu-uuringute AS9 Nov600–7003211246912213847Norstat1-6 Nov1,00033.515.125.78.95.28.41.31.10.87.847.6Norstat26-31 Oct1,00031.014.928.07.06.99.01.01.01.23.044.9Norstat18-25 Oct1,00034.215.326.36.86.28.60.50.81.37.947.2Kantar Emor13-19 Oct1,4692814257814211343Norstat11-17 Oct1,00032.211.628.88.96.49.01.70.31.13.447.5Turu-uuringute AS12 Oct600–7002912288712103144Norstat4-10 Oct1,00032.213.927.06.27.79.11.70.82.25.246.1Norstat27 Sep-3 Oct1,00033.511.927.88.35.59.41.40.71.55.747.3Norstat20–26 Sep1,00028.319.627.45.96.38.71.50.61.70.940.5Norstat13–19 Sep1,00030.516.727.76.06.59.31.21.30.82.843.0Turu-uuringute AS16 Sep500–700331518791220.83.21547.8Kantar Emor8-14 Sep1,43129142381111311648Norstat6-12 Sep1,00030.415.424.78.48.38.11.7—3.15.740.1Norstat27 Aug-5 Sep1,00031.113.622.98.19.311.12.1—1.88.236.5Norstat23-29 Aug1,00032.016.024.97.56.59.61.50.91.17.146Turu-uuringute AS25 Aug600–700281517811142—51146Norstat16-22 Aug1,00035.115.220.19.97.49.02.2—1.18.647.6Kantar Emor11-22 Aug1,514311618711132—1124918 AugDissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed

Polling firmFieldwork DateSamplesizeRefKeskEKREIsamaaSDEE200EER Others Lead Norstat9-15 Aug1,00031.819.223.27.28.07.71.01.98.647Norstat2-8 Aug1,00035.514.519.17.6119.91.11.316.445.9Norstat25 Jul-1 Aug1,00035.516.621.89.08.56.71.70.213.747Norstat19-25 Jul1,00032.816.321.08.19.210.41.70.511.849.9Kantar Emor14–20 Jul1,501301518119133112 4918 JulKaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDENorstat12–18 Jul1,00033.918.016.810.78.88.31.71.815.933.9Norstat5–11 Jul1,00032.416.918.59.88.111.51.81.013.932.4Norstat27 Jun4 Jul1,00032.517.921.18.07.610.51.60.811.432.5Norstat14–20 Jun1,00034.116.022.67.65.89.92.11.911.534.1Turu-uuringute AS17 Jun600–70031171810812131331 Kantar Emor9–14 Jun1,5373215189815301432 Norstat7–13 Jun1,00035.016.621.38.46.59.11.80.813.735.0Norstat1–6 Jun1,00033.520.520.86.85.810.42.00.212.733.52 JunThe ministers of Kesk were dismissedNorstat24–30 May1,00034.716.719.46.47.013.70.71.415.347.6Norstat16–23 May1,00035.417.218.56.86.112.32.11.616.947.4Kantar Emor12–20 May1,4613316177717301649 Turu-uuringute AS19 May600–7003213196816241345 Norstat10–16 May1,00033.314.720.67.58.012.92.10.912.748.0 Norstat4–9 May1,00035.916.519.05.07.613.02.10.916.947.6Norstat26 Apr2 May1,00030.619.423.34.77.112.70.81.47.750.050.0Norstat19–25 Apr1,00034.016.721.05.66.214.22.00.313.049.3Kantar Emor14–20 Apr1,495251618792140441 Norstat12–18 Apr1,00030.918.522.55.35.912.52.12.38.449.4Turu-uuringute AS18 Apr600–7003014207718221044 Norstat6–11 Apr1,00032.116.020.85.75.916.62.10.811.348.1Norstat28 Mar4 Apr1,00029.316.621.44.26.319.32.30.67.945.9Norstat21–28 Mar1,00031.716.222.04.15.217.91.81.19.747.9Turu-uuringute AS19 Mar600–70023142178222.52.5137 Norstat14–18 Mar≥1,00028.017.620.65.19.316.51.61.37.445.6Kantar Emor10–16 Mar1274261818681940744 Norstat8–14 Mar≥1,00024.518.924.36.67.318.81.50.80.243.4Norstat1–7 Mar≥1,00031.213.718.95.88.119.71.31.311.544.924 Feb 2022Beginning of Russian invasion of UkraineNorstat22–28 Feb≥1,00026.514.922.66.37.720.41.00.62.941.4Norstat15–21 Feb≥1,00023.318.221.87.98.217.82.40.41.541.5Kantar Emor10–18 Feb1503202020792140140 Turu-uuringute AS18 Feb600–7001815227923–6133 Norstat8–14 Feb≥1,00023.118.619.57.28.120.92.10.51.241.7Norstat1–7 Feb≥1,00023.519.621.08.57.618.40.90.52.543.1Norstat25–31 Jan≥1,00018.223.1 27.76.55.916.02.10.54.641.3 Norstat18–24 Jan≥1,000 21.921.820.37.39.018.30.90.50.143.7 Kantar Emor13–21 Jan12201920 22972041239 Turu-uuringute AS12–17 Jan8731820 247820–3438 Norstat11–17 Jan≥1,00022.020.6 24.96.66.717.11.40.72.942.6 Norstat5–10 Jan≥1,000 24.418.623.95.98.715.91.80.80.543.0 Norstat27 Dec4 Jan≥1,000 27.421.220.56.96.415.01.90.76.248.6

2021 Polling firmFieldwork DateSamplesizeRefKeskEKREIsamaaSDEE200EER Others Lead Norstat14-20 Dec≥1,000 24.222.119.97.85.816.71.61.92.146.3 Kantar Emor9-15 Dec12201917 227102041236 Norstat 7–13 Dec ≥1,000 27.1 18.7 22.4 7.8 8.0 14.5 1.0 0.5 4.7 45.8 Norstat 1–7 Dec ≥1,000 22.3 19.2 19.5 8.3 7.7 16.0 2.4 1.1 2.8 41.5 Turu-uuringute AS30 Nov-7 Dec1,0092120 22781821141 Norstat 23–29 Nov ≥1,000 19.8 22.3 21.3 8.2 9.3 16.0 1.3 1.8 1.0 42.1 Norstat 16–22 Nov ≥1,000 20.0 20.8 24.4 7.8 9.0 15.0 2.0 1.0 2.3 40.8 Kantar Emor 11–17 Nov 1,045 20 16 20 10 12 19 3 1 Tie 36 Norstat 9–15 Nov ≥1,000 22.0 23.6 23.0 7.3 8.7 12.8 2.0 0.6 0.6 45.6 Turu-uuringute AS 4–9 Nov 1,000 21 17 19 9 10 19 2 3 2 38 Norstat 2–8 Nov ≥1,000 20.5 20.5 25.5 8.0 9.4 12.7 2.7 0.8 5.0 41.0 Norstat 26 Oct–2 Nov ≥1,000 20.8 22.8 21.9 7.7 8.0 16.9 1.5 0.4 0.9 43.6 Norstat 20–25 Oct ≥1,000 22.8 20.3 24.0 8.3 7.3 14.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 43.1 Kantar Emor 14–20 Oct 1,218 23 18 21 8 10 16 4 1 2 41 Norstat 13–18 Oct ≥1,000 23.5 18.1 26.4 9.0 8.9 11.1 1.6 1.4 2.9 41.6 Norstat 5–12 Oct ≥1,000 26.7 19.7 22.0 6.7 8.3 11.9 2.4 2.3 4.7 46.4 Turu-uuringute AS 4–8 Oct 1,000 24 19 23 7 7 13 3 4 1 43 Norstat 28 Sep–5 Oct ≥1,000 22.8 19.8 26.3 7.0 7.9 12.5 2.3 1.4 3.5 42.6 Norstat 22–27 Sep ≥1,000 22.9 22.3 24.6 7.9 9.0 11.1 1.5 0.7 1.7 45.2 Kantar Emor 16–21 Sep 1,060 27 16 22 6 9 16 3 1 5 43 Norstat 14–20 Sep ≥1,000 24.1 15.4 26.1 5.9 10.1 14.0 2.0 2.4 2.0 39.5 Norstat 8–13 Sep ≥1,000 25.6 21.3 23.6 6.2 9.8 10.4 2.2 0.9 2.0 46.9 Turu-uuringute AS 6–15 Sep 1,003 24 17 22 8 7 16 3 3 2 41 Norstat 1–7 Sep ≥1,000 24.7 19.2 24.6 8.4 7.2 12.4 2.4 1.1 0.1 43.9 Norstat 25–31 Aug ≥1,000 28.2 17.7 22.0 7.7 7.6 13.6 2.2 1.0 6.2 45.9 Norstat 17–24 Aug ≥1,000 30.0 18.1 23.1 5.8 9.2 11.6 1.9 0.3 6.9 48.1 Kantar Emor 12–17 Aug 1,058 25 16 24 4 11 15 4 1 1 41 Norstat 9–16 Aug ≥1,000 32.1 17.3 18.3 5.0 8.5 14.7 2.7 1.4 13.8 49.2 Turu-uuringute AS 5–13 Aug 1,000 24 17 21 5 9 16 4 4 3 41 Norstat 3–7 Aug ≥1,000 29.9 18.8 23.5 5.9 8.9 10.2 1.8 1.0 6.4 48.7 Norstat 27 Jul–2 Aug ≥1,000 28.8 17.8 24.8 5.8 7.6 12.1 2.3 0.8 4.0 46.6 Norstat 20–27 Jul ≥1,000 33.9 15.0 23.2 5.4 7.2 13.2 2.3 0.7 10.7 48.9 Kantar Emor 14–22 Jul 1,001 23 20 25 4 9 15 3 1 2 43 Norstat 13–19 Jul ≥1,000 29.5 16.3 26.3 6.2 6.9 12.6 1.5 0.7 3.2 45.8 Norstat 6–12 Jul ≥1,000 28.8 17.7 24.4 6.3 7.0 12.7 0.8 2.3 4.4 46.5 Norstat 28 Jun–4 Jul ≥1,000 30.0 20.4 21.0 6.1 7.0 11.4 2.5 1.6 9.0 48.0 Norstat 15–21 Jun ≥1,000 28.7 18.9 21.1 4.7 9.2 13.5 2.1 1.8 7.6 47.6 Kantar Emor 10–16 Jun 997 25 18 20 4 13 16 2 2 5.0 43 Norstat 8–14 Jun ≥1,000 26.6 18.8 25.5 5.6 8.5 10.9 1.7 2.4 1.1 45.4 Turu-uuringute AS 3–10 Jun 1,000 24 19 23 7 9 13 3 2 1 43 Norstat 1–7 Jun ≥1,000 29.6 20.5 21.1 5.2 7.0 14.0 1.5 1.1 8.5 48.8 Norstat 26–31 May ≥1,000 29.3 21.0 19.9 5.9 8.2 11.2 2.8 1.8 8.3 48.0 Norstat 19–25 May ≥1,000 31.8 17.9 20.6 5.5 7.1 13.7 2.4 1.0 11.2 49.3 Kantar Emor 12–18 May 1,050 28 16 19 7 11 16 3 2 9 44 Norstat 12–17 May ≥1,000 32.5 18.1 21.2 4.8 7.7 13.2 1.2 1.3 11.3 48.1 Turu-uuringute AS 6–11 May 1,002 26 20 21 5 8 15 2 3 5 46 Norstat 4–10 May ≥1,000 30.4 18.7 20.5 4.4 8.4 15.2 1.4 1.0 9.9 49.1 Norstat 27 Apr–3 May ≥1,000 29.1 20.7 23.9 4.8 6.0 11.9 1.9 1.7 5.2 48.5 Norstat 20–26 Apr ≥1,000 33.4 22.3 15.6 5.7 6.9 12.1 1.9 2.1 11.1 42.2 Kantar Emor 15–21 Apr 1,110 27 19 21 5 8 14 3 3 8 46 Norstat 13–19 Apr ≥1,000 29.7 19.3 17.4 5.9 6.9 16.9 2.1 1.8 10.4 49.0 Turu-uuringute AS 8–14 Apr 1,010 27 19 23 5 7 13 2 3 4 46 Norstat 7–12 Apr ≥1,000 30.5 17.3 21.2 5.7 8.2 13.5 1.6 2.0 9.3 47.8 Norstat 30 Mar–5 Apr ≥1,000 34.4 20.1 19.6 5.1 6.3 10.9 1.7 1.9 14.3 43.6 Norstat 23–29 Mar ≥1,000 35.2 20.7 18.2 5.4 5.7 12.4 1.9 0.5 14.5 43.6 Norstat 17–22 Mar ≥1,000 33.3 19.4 17.7 6.6 6.6 12.2 2.5 1.7 13.9 45.6 Turu-uuringute AS 9–15 Mar 1,005 26 20 19 6 9 15 3 2 6 46 Norstat 10–15 Mar ≥1,000 31.5 23 20.5 4.7 6.2 10.1 2 1.6 8.5 43.5 Kantar Emor 11–16 Mar 1,114 28 18 19 5 9 16 4 1 9 46 Norstat 2–8 Mar ≥1,000 36.7 17 20.3 6.2 5.3 10.5 2.9 1.1 16.4 45.2 Norstat 23 Feb–1 Mar ≥1,000 35.4 18.8 20.5 4.9 6.2 11.2 1.9 1.1 14.9 44.7 Norstat 16–22 Feb ≥1,000 35.3 19.3 18.1 5.4 6.1 12.5 2.1 1.2 16 44.2 Turu-uuringute AS 10–15 Feb 1,005 28 17 20 6 7 16 2 4 8 45 Kantar Emor 11–15 Feb 1,124 30 17 20 5 9 15 2 2 10 47 Norstat 9–15 Feb ≥1,000 35.2 15.5 20.2 4.8 7.6 13.7 1.9 1.1 15 48.2Norstat 2–8 Feb ≥1,000 34.6 20.7 19.1 6.1 5 11.7 1.6 1.2 13.9 41.9 Norstat 26 Jan–1 Feb ≥1,000 32.3 18.6 17.1 5.1 7.7 15.4 2.5 1.3 13.7 47.826 JanKaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk Norstat 18–25 Jan ≥1,000 31.6 20.7 19.2 5.2 5.1 15.0 2.4 0.8 10.9 45.1 Turu-uuringute AS 12–21 Jan 1008 27 20 17 6 8 14 3 5 7 43 Norstat 12–18 Jan ≥1,000 28.7 21.8 16.3 7.0 7.5 14.2 2.7 1.8 6.9 45.1 Kantar Emor 14–19 Jan 1,219 27 19 14 8 9 17 4 1 8 41 14 JanJüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved Norstat 5–11 Jan ≥1,000 29.5 20.9 15.1 5.2 8.7 15.2 1.9 3.5 8.6 41.2 Norstat 29 Dec–4 Jan ≥1,000 29.6 22.1 14.7 5.5 8.8 15.2 2.0 2.1 7.5 42.3

2020