Opinion polling for the 2021 Israeli legislative election

In the run up to the 2021 Israeli legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Israel during the term of the 23rd Knesset. This article lists the results of such polls.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 2 March 2020, to the present day. Due to the political deadlock which resulted after the previous election, and the possibility of a fourth consecutive snap election, polling for the 2021 election started 10 days after the previous election. The election is scheduled on 23 March 2021. No polls may be published from the end of the Friday before the election (19 March in this case) until the polling stations close on election day at 22:00.s:he:חוק הבחירות (דרכי תעמולה)#סעיף 16ה (ח) (in Hebrew)

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the highest figures. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

Seat projections This section displays voting intention estimates referring to the 2021 Knesset election. The figures listed are Knesset seat counts rather than percentages, unless otherwise stated.

Polling graph This graph shows the polling trends from the 2 March 2020 Israeli legislative election. Scenario polls are not included here.

For parties not crossing the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) in any given poll, the number of seats is calculated as a percentage of the 120 total seats. Labor-Meretz-Gesher and Labor-Meretz are shown as Labor before the splits; Yesh Atid-Telem is shown as Yesh Atid before the split.

Polls Poll results are listed in the table below. Parties that fall below the electoral threshold of 3.25% are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%), rather than the number of seats they would have gotten.

61 seats are required for a majority in the Knesset.

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidBlue &WhiteJointListShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuMeretzRa'amYaminaNewHopeLaborReligiousZionistNewEconomic23 Mar 21Election results30 17 8 6 9 7 7 6 4 7 6 7 6 Pre-election seats37 16 12 11 9 7 7 4 4 3 2 2 2 – 23 Mar 21Camil FuchsChannel 1332 16 8 8 8 7 8 7 0 7 5 7 7 0 23 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1230 18 7 9 9 6 7 7 0 7 6 8 7 0 23 Mar 21KantarKan 1130 18 8 8 9 7 7 6 0 7 6 7 7 0 19 Mar 21Election silence starting end of Friday before election day19 Mar 21Camil FuchsChannel 1330 18 4 8 8 7 6 4 4 10 10 6 5 18–19 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1232 18 4 8 8 7 7 4 4 9 9 6 4 18 Mar 21Panels PoliticsMaariv30 19 5 8 8 6 8 4 4 10 8 5 5 – 17–18 Mar 21Direct Polls–32 17 7 7 9 7 9 4 4 8 7 4 5 17–18 Mar 21KantarKan 1131 19 4 8 8 7 7 4 4 9 9 5 5 17–18 Mar 21SmithMako31 19 4 8 8 7 7 4 4 9 9 5 5 16–18 Mar 21Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom29 18 4 10 9 7 8 5 10 10 5 5 16 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1230 18 4 8 8 7 7 4 4 10 10 6 4 15 Mar 21Panels Politics103fm28 20 4 8 7 7 7 4 4 11 10 5 5 14 Mar 21Camil FuchsChannel 1328 20 4 8 6 7 7 4 4 11 9 6 6 11 Mar 21Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom30 18 5 9 8 7 7 4 11 10 6 5 11 Mar 21Panels PoliticsThe Jerusalem Post/Maariv27 20 4 8 8 7 8 4 4 11 10 5 4 11 Mar 21KantarKan 1129 19 5 8 8 7 7 4 12 11 6 4 10 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 19 4 9 8 7 7 4 13 11 6 4 9 Mar 21Camil FuchsChannel 1329 20 4 8 6 7 7 4 4 11 9 6 5 8 Mar 21Panels Politics103fm28 20 5 8 8 6 8 4 12 11 6 4 4 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 20 5 9 8 7 7 12 12 7 4 4 Mar 21Panels PoliticsMaariv27 20 4 8 8 7 9 4 12 12 5 4 4 Mar 21Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom29 17 5 10 8 7 7 4 4 10 11 4 4 4 Mar 21KantarKan 1129 20 5 8 7 7 7 4 11 12 6 4 3 Mar 21Direct Polls–29 18 6 8 8 7 9 13 11 6 5 2 Mar 21Camil FuchsChannel 1327 19 4 8 7 7 7 4 4 11 11 6 5 2 Mar 21Maagar MohotChannel 2029 18 5 10 8 7 7 4 10 13 5 4 2 Mar 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 19 5 9 8 6 7 12 14 7 5 28 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm28 19 4 9 8 7 7 4 11 13 6 4 25 Feb 21Panels PoliticsMaariv29 17 5 9 8 7 7 4 11 14 5 4 25 Feb 21Camil FuchsChannel 1327 18 4 8 7 7 6 5 4 11 13 6 4 23 Feb 21KantarKan 1129 18 4 9 8 7 7 4 – 11 13 6 4 23 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm28 18 4 9 8 7 7 4 12 13 6 4 23 Feb 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 18 5 9 8 7 7 4 11 13 6 4 18 Feb 21Panels PoliticsMaariv28 18 9 8 7 8 5 12 15 5 5 16 Feb 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 18 4 9 8 7 7 4 10 13 6 5 15 Feb 21Camil FuchsChannel 1328 17 4 8 7 7 5 5 4 11 13 6 5 14 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm29 18 9 8 7 7 4 13 14 6 5 11 Feb 21Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom29 16 5 10 9 7 6 5 10 13 5 5 11 Feb 21Panels PoliticsMaariv28 19 4 8 8 7 7 4 12 13 6 4 10 Feb 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 18 4 9 8 7 7 4 11 13 6 5 9 Feb 21KantarKan 1129 18 4 9 8 7 6 13 14 7 5 8 Feb 21Maagar MohotChannel 2031 18 5 10 8 7 6 4 10 11 6 4 7 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm30 18 4 8 8 7 7 4 11 14 5 4 6–7 Feb 21Direct Polls–31 14 4 7 8 7 9 4 11 14 7 4 5 Feb 21Camil FuchsChannel 1330 17 4 7 7 6 5 4 4 11 13 7 5 – 5 Feb 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 17 4 9 8 7 7 4 11 14 6 4 4 Feb 21Panels PoliticsMaariv29 16 – 10 8 7 8 5 11 16 6 4 4 Feb 21Deadline for submitting the lists of candidates4 Feb 21Gesher announces a joint run with Likud4 Feb 21The Israelis, Tnufa and The Jewish Home drop out of the race

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidB&WJointListTa'alRa'amShasUTJYBMeretzYaminaLaborNewHopeRZOtzmaYehudit-NoamJHIsraelisNEPPre-election seats36 15 13 8 3 4 9 7 7 4 3 2 2 2 – 1 – – 3 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm29 17 10 8 7 8 5 11 6 14 5 – 3 Feb 21Religious Zionist Party announces a joint list with Noam-Otzma Yehudit3 Feb 21Ta'al rejoins the Joint List; Ra'am confirms independent run2 Feb 21Panels PoliticsWalla!31 18 108 8 7 5 12 6 15 2 Feb 21Camil FuchsChannel 1329 16 4 107 8 7 5 10 8 16 – 1 Feb 21Panels Politics103fm32 19 108 8 7 4 13 5 14 – 1 Feb 21Telem drops out of the race1 Feb 21Maagar MohotChannel 2031 17 4 118 8 7 4 12 4 14 – 31 Jan 21Midgam/iPanel30 17 4 9 8 8 7 4 13 6 14 – – – – – 31 Jan 21Noam and Otzma Yehudit announce a joint listRa'am and Ta'al officially split from the Joint List

DatePolling firmPublisherLikudYeshAtidJointListWhiteShasUTJYaminaMeretzLaborTelemNewHopeGesherIsraelisTnufaNEPPre-election seats36 15 15 13 9 7 7 3 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 – – – – 28 Jan 21Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom28 15 11 5 9 7 6 11 6 5 13 – 4 28 Jan 21Panels PoliticsMaariv30 18 10 4 8 8 7 12 5 4 14 – – 26 Jan 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 16 10 4 8 8 7 14 5 4 15 24 Jan 21Panels Politics103fm31 16 10 4 7 7 7 11 5 14 4 – 4 24 Jan 21Camil FuchsChannel 1332 18 10 4 6 7 6 10 5 4 14 – – 4 24 Jan 21Merav Michaeli is elected chairwoman of the Israeli Labor Party21 Jan 21Panels PoliticsMaariv31 16 10 4 8 8 7 11 5 – 16 – – 4 – 20 Jan 21Religious Zionist Party officially splits from Yamina19 Jan 21Hagit Moshe is elected chairwoman of The Jewish Home19 Jan 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1230 14 10 5 8 8 7 13 6 15 4 18 Jan 21Panels Politics103fm30 14 10 4 8 6 7 11 5 17 4 4 14 Jan 21Panels PoliticsMaariv32 14 11 5 8 8 7 12 6 17 – 14 Jan 21Maagar MohotChannel 2029 13 12 4 9 7 7 10 5 – – 14 4 – – 6 – 12 Jan 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 13 10 5 8 8 7 13 5 16 6 10 Jan 21Panels Politics103fm27 13 10 4 8 7 7 14 4 – – 17 4 – – – 5 – – 10 Jan 21Yesh Atid and Telem split

DatePolling firmPublisherLikud-TelemJointListWhiteShasUTJYaminaNewHopeMeretzLaborGesherIsraelisTnufaNEPPre-election seats36 18 15 13 9 7 7 5 2 3 3 1 1 – – – – 8 Jan 21Camil FuchsChannel 1331 16 10 4 7 7 6 13 16 5 – 5 7 Jan 21SmithThe Jerusalem Post30 19 11 – 8 8 6 11 18 5 – – – – 4 – – 7 Jan 21Panels PoliticsMaariv28 14 10 4 8 7 7 13 18 5 6 5 Jan 21Midgam/iPanelChannel 1227 13 10 5 8 8 6 14 18 5 – 6 5 Jan 21Jewish Home leader, Rafi Peretz, announces his retirement from politics4 Jan 21Former Mossad head Danny Yatom announces his intention to form a new political party for retirees, later named the Israeli Veterans Party31 Dec 20Panels PoliticsMaariv29 14 11 8 8 7 13 17 5 – – – 8 30 Dec 20Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 13 11 4 8 8 6 12 17 5 – 8 – 30 Dec 20Camil FuchsChannel 1329 11 10 5 8 8 6 12 17 5 – – – – 9 – – 30 Dec 20KantarKan 1128 13 11 4 8 7 5 14 18 4 – – – – 8 – – 30 Dec 20Former accountant general Yaron Zelekha forms the New Economic Party29 Dec 20Panels Politics103fm26 12 12 4 8 7 8 13 17 5 – – – – 8 – 29 Dec 20Tel Aviv Mayor Ron Huldai forms The Israelis27 Dec 20Midgam/iPanelChannel 1228 16 11 5 8 8 7 13 19 5 – 24 Dec 20Panels PoliticsMaariv26 15 11 4 8 7 7 14 21 7 MK Ofer Shelah leaves Yesh Atid with plans to start his own political party, later named Tnufa

DatePolling firmPublisherLikud-TelemJointListWhiteShasUTJYisraelBeiteinuYaminaNewHopeMeretzLaborJewishHomeGesherOtzmaYehuditPre-election seats36 17 15 14 9 7 7 5 2 3 3 1 1 – 23 Dec 20Panels Politics103fm25 15 11 4 8 7 7 15 22 6 – – – 23 Dec 20Likud Minister Ze'ev Elkin and MK Sharren Haskel join New Hope23 Dec 20Minister Amir Peretz announces that he will not run for Labor Party leadership23 Dec 20The 23rd Knesset is dispersed22 Dec 20Panels Politics103fm28 15 11 5 8 8 7 14 18 6 – – – – 22 Dec 20KantarKan 1128 13 11 6 8 7 6 15 20 6 – – – – 22 Dec 20Midgam/iPanelChannel 1229 16 11 5 8 8 7 13 18 5 – 22 Dec 20Likud MK Michal Shir joins New Hope21 Dec 20Panels PoliticsKnesset Channel29 13 11 6 8 7 7 14 20 5 – – – – 20 Dec 20Camil FuchsChannel 1328 16 11 5 7 7 6 14 19 7 – – – – 17 Dec 20Panels PoliticsMaariv29 13 11 7 8 8 7 13 19 5 – – – – 15–16 Dec 20Maagar Mohot103fm27 14 11 7 8 8 8 11 20 6 – – – – 15 Dec 20Panels Politics103fm27 15 11 5 8 8 7 14 20 5 – – – – 15 Dec 20Midgam/iPanelChannel 1227 14 11 6 8 8 6 13 21 6 – 15 Dec 20Likud MK Yifat Shasha-Biton joins New Hope11 Dec 20Maagar MohotIsrael Hayom28 12 13 7 9 7 6 12 20 6 – 9–10 Dec 20Panels PoliticsMaariv27 13 12 7 9 7 8 16 16 5 9 Dec 20KantarKan 1125 15 11 7 8 7 6 17 18 6 – – – – 9 Dec 20Camil FuchsChannel 1328 16 11 6 7 7 7 16 15 7 – – – – 9 Dec 20Midgam/iPanelChannel 1226 15 11 6 8 8 6 18 16 6 – – – – 9 Dec 20Derekh Eretz MKs Zvi Hauser and Yoaz Hendel join New Hope8–9 Dec 20Direct Polls–28 13 11 6 10 8 8 16 16 4 – – – – 8 Dec 20Panels Politics103fm25 14 11 6 9 7 7 19 17 5 – – – – 8 Dec 20Likud MK Gideon Sa'ar forms New Hope

Legend Gov. — Sum of the 35th government parties: Likud, Blue & White, Shas, United Torah Judaism (UTJ), Labor (not including MK Merav Michaeli), Derekh Eretz, Jewish Home and Gesher.