On 12 December 2019, the 2019 United Kingdom general election was held in Wales, to elect all 650 members of the House of Commons, across the 40 Welsh constituencies.
The Labour Party won the most votes and seats in Wales, but the Conservative Party made gains in Wales and won across the UK.
Compared to the 2017 general election, Labour lost six seats, each of which was won by the Conservatives. This reflected a decrease in vote share of 8% from the Labour Party, matched by increases in vote share for the Brexit Party and Conservative Party of 5.4% and 2.5%, respectively. However, the Labour Party remained the party receiving the most votes, with a 40.9% vote share. Having gained Brecon and Radnorshire in the 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election earlier in the year, the Welsh Liberal Democrats lost to the Conservatives. Plaid Cymru retained its four seats. The party did not make any gains, and its total vote share was down 0.5%.
Overall, 1,544,357 votes were cast in Wales, reflecting a turnout of 66.6% of the electorate.
Electoral system MPs are elected in 40 Single Member constituencies by the first-past-the-post system.
History and background The election was called on 29 October 2019, when its date was fixed as 12 December.
In the European Elections in Wales of June 2019, the Brexit Party, newly formed, had taken 32.5% of the votes and won two seats, Plaid Cymru had come second with 20% and one MEP, Jill Evans, and Labour had finished third, with 15.3% and also one MEP, Jackie Jones.Statement of Parties Nominated and Notice of Poll / Datganiad o’r Pleidiau a Enwebwyd a Rhybudd o Etholiad Cardiff City Council
In the run-up to the general election, the Conservative party suspended the whip of one of its MPs, Guto Bebb of Aberconwy, who then sat as an independent until the end of the parliament and did not seek re-election. Additionally, the Conservative party lost a by-election in Brecon and Radnorshire to the Liberal Democrats. Before the election, the numbers were 28 Labour MPs, six Conservative, four Plaid, one Liberal Democrat, and one Independent (Bebb).
Plaid Cymru had gained one seat in the previous election. The party was for stopping Brexit and holding a second referendum on the Brexit withdrawal agreement, which was at odds with how Wales had voted in the 2016 referendum. The party did not make any gains, and its total vote share was down 0.5%.
Target seats Labour Arfon, Plaid Cymru (Plaid hold) Preseli Pembrokeshire, Conservative (Conservative hold)
Plaid Cymru Ynys Môn, Labour (Conservative gain) Llanelli, Labour (Labour hold)
Results
+PartySeatsAggregate Votes Total Gains LossesNet Of all (%)Total Of all (%)Difference 22 0 6 6 55.0 632,035 40.9 8.0 14 6 0 6 35.0 557,234 36.1 2.5 4 0 0 10.0 153,265 9.9 0.5 0 0 0 0.0 92,171 6.0 1.5 0 colspan="3" — 83,908 5.4 0 0 0 — 15,828 1.0 0.7 0 0 0 0.0 6,220 0.4 n/a 0 colspan="3" — 1,515 0.1 0 colspan="3" — 1,322 0.1 0 0 0 — 345 0.0 0 colspan=3 — 245 0.0 0 colspan=3 — 181 0.0 0 0 0 — 88 0.0 Total 40 1,544,357 66.6 2.0
Results by constituency
Constituency County 2017result2019 winning party TurnoutVotesParty Votes Share MajorityLab Con PCLDBrxGrn Other Total Aberavon WGM Lab Lab 17,00853.8%10,49062.3%17,0086,5182,7111,0723,10845073131,598 Aberconwy CON Con Con14,687 46.1%2,03471.3%12,65314,6872,7041,821 31,865 Alyn and DeesideCON LabLab18,27142.5%21368.5%18,27118,0581,4532,5482,678 43,003 ArfonGWN PCPC13,13445.2%2,78168.9%10,3534,42813,134 1,159 29,074 Blaenau GwentGNT LabLab14,86249.2%8,64759.6%14,8625,7491,7221,2856,215386 30,219 Brecon and RadnorshirePOW ConCon21,95853.1%7,13174.5%3,94421,958 14,827 59041,319 BridgendMGM LabCon18,19343.1%1,15766.7%17,03618,1932,0132,3681,811815 42,236 CaerphillyGNT LabLab18,01844.9%6,83363.5%18,01811,1856,424 4,490 40,117 Cardiff CentralSGM LabLab25,60561.2%17,17965.3%25,6058,426 6,2981,006 48741,822 Cardiff NorthSGM LabLab26,06449.5%6,98277.0%26,06419,0821,6063,5801,31182020352,666 Cardiff South and PenarthSGM LabLab27,38254.1%12,73764.2%27,38214,6452,3862,9851,9991,182 50,579 Cardiff WestSGM LabLab23,90851.8%10,98667.4%23,90812,9223,8642,7311,6191,133 45,817 Carmarthen East and DinefwrDFD PCPC15,93938.9%1,80971.4%8,62214,13015,939 2,311 40,456 Carmarthen West and South PembrokeshireDFD ConCon22,18352.7%7,74571.8%14,43822,1833,6331,860 42,114 CeredigionDFD PCPC15,20837.9%6,32971.3%6,3178,87915,2086,9752,063663 40,105 Clwyd SouthCON LabCon16,22244.7%1,23967.3%14,98316,2222,1371,4961,468 36,306 Clwyd WestCON ConCon20,40350.7%6,74769.7%13,65620,4033,9072,237 40,203 Cynon ValleyMGM LabLab15,53351.4%8,82259.1%15,5336,7112,5629493,045 1,43630,236 DelynCON LabCon16,75643.7%86570.3%15,89116,7561,4062,3461,971 38,370 Dwyfor MeirionnyddGWN PCPC14,44748.3%4,74067.5%3,9989,70714,447 1,776 29,928 GowerWGM LabLab20,20845.4%1,83772.0%20,20818,3712,2882,2361,379 44,482 IslwynGNT LabLab15,35644.7%5,46462.0%15,3569,8922,2861,3134,834669 34,350 LlanelliDFD LabLab16,12542.2%4,67063.2%16,12511,4557,048 3,605 38,233 Merthyr Tydfil and RhymneyGNT LabLab16,91352.4%10,60657.3%16,9136,3072,4461,1163,604 1,86032,246 MonmouthGNT ConCon26,16052.1%9,98274.8%16,17826,1601,1824,909 1,35343550,217 MontgomeryshirePOW ConCon20,02058.5%12,13869.8%5,58520,020 7,882 72734,241 NeathWGM LabLab 15,92043.3%5,63765.2%15,92010,2834,4951,4853,18472866136,756 Newport EastGNT LabLab16,12544.4%1,99262.0%16,12514,1338722,1212,454577 36,282 Newport WestGNT LabLab18,97743.7%90265.2%18,97718,0751,1872,5651,727902 43,433 OgmoreMGM LabLab17,60249.7%7,80561.5%17,6029,7972,9191,4602,991621 35,390 PontypriddMGM LabLab 17,38144.5%5,88764.7% 17,38111,4944,990 2,917 2,27839,060 Preseli PembrokeshireDFD ConCon21,38150.4%5,06271.2%16,31921,3812,7761,943 42,419 RhonddaMGM LabLab16,11554.4%11,44059.0%16,1154,6754,0696123,733438 29,642 Swansea EastWGM LabLab17,40551.8%7,97057.4%17,4059,4351,9051,4092,842583 33,579 Swansea WestWGM LabLab18,49351.6%8,11662.8%18,49310,3771,9842,9931,983 35,830 TorfaenGNT LabLab15,54641.8%3,74260.2%15,54611,8041,4411,8315,742812 37,176 Vale of ClwydCON LabCon17,27046.4%1,82765.7%15,44317,2701,5521,4711,477 37,213 Vale of GlamorganSGM ConCon27,30549.8%3,56271.6%23,74327,305 3,25150854,807 WrexhamCON LabCon15,19945.3%2,13167.4%13,06815,1992,1511,4471,222445 33,532 Ynys MônGWN LabCon12,95935.5%1,96870.4%10,99112,95910,418 2,184 36,552 Total for all constituencies Turnout TotalLabConPCLDBrxGrn OtherVotes 66.6% 632,035 557,234 153,265 92,171 83,908 15,828 9,916 1,544,357 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.6% 100.0%Seats 22 14 4 0 0 0 0 40 55% 35% 10% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100.0%
Opinion polling
(Includes polls in which polling concluded on or before: 31 May 2019)
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)conducted Samplesize Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem UKIP Green Change UK Brexit Other Lead 2019 general election 12 Dec 2019 – 40.9% 36.1% 9.9% 6.0% – 1.0% – 5.4% 0.6% 4.8% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 22–25 Nov 2019 1,116 38% 32% 11% 9% – 1% – 8% 1% 6% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 1,136 29% 28% 12% 12% 0% 3% 0% 15% 1% 1% YouGov/ITV News 10–14 October 2019 1,071 25% 29% 12% 16% — 4% — 14% 1% 4% 1 August 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 23–28 July 2019 1,071 22% 24% 15% 16% — 3% — 18% 1% 2% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–20 May 2019 1,009 25% 17% 13% 12% 1% 5% 2% 23% 2% 2% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–5 Apr 2019 1,025 33% 26% 15% 7% 3% 2% 9% 4% 1% 7% 4 April 2019 Newport West by-election ICM/BBC Wales 7–23 Feb 2019 1,000 42% 33% 13% 6% 3% 1% – – 2% 9% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 19–22 Feb 2019 1,025 35% 29% 14% 8% 6% 3% – – 4% 6% Sky Data/Cardiff University 7–14 Dec 2018 1,014 45% 32% 14% 3% 4% 2% – – 1% 13% 6–13 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Dec 2018 1,024 43% 31% 13% 6% 3% 3% – – 1% 12% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,031 42% 33% 10% 7% 4% 2% – – 1% 9% Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 1,177 47% 30% 13% 6% 3% 2% – – 0% 17% 28 September 2018 Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru 6 September 2018 Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Jun–2 Jul 2018 1,031 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 13% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 12–15 Mar 2018 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% – – 1% 13% ICM/BBC Wales 8–25 Feb 2018 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% – – 0% 17% YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 21–24 Nov 2017 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 2% – – 1% 16% 3 November 2017 Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Sep 2017 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% – – 1% 18% 2017 general election 8 June 2017 – 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% – – 0.2% 15.4%
See also 2019 United Kingdom general election in England 2019 United Kingdom general election in Scotland 2019 United Kingdom general election in Northern Ireland List of MPs for constituencies in Wales (2019–2024)
Notes
References