Opinion polling for the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 22 September 2015, to the 26–28 February 2019.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Graphical Summary

Polling Results

2019 Date Polling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green E200 Others Lead 3 Mar 2019Election Results28.923.19.811.41.217.81.84.41.65.844.3 – 55.726–28 Feb 2019Kantar Emor26.624.511.910.11.317.32.24.31.82.146.5 – 45.228 Jan–24 Feb 2019Norstat29.525.710.29.2116.42.93.31.83.845.1 – 46.97–20 Feb 2019Turu-uuringute AS24 281110217341449 – 4314–20 Feb 2019Kantar Emor25.724.710.19.20.921.325.60.5144 – 47.912–18 Feb 2019Faktum Ariko25221111218244344 – 4521 Jan–17 Feb 2019Norstat28.827.199.20.916.433.42.21.745.3 – 46.114 Jan–11 Feb 2019Norstat27.9 28.88.97.71172.83.82.10.945.4 – 45.94–7 Feb 2019Kantar Emor24.5 26.511.58.60.718.92.26.40.7246.6 – 44.17 Jan–4 Feb 2019Norstat27 28.79.17.40.717.72.73.731.745.2 – 45.424–29 Jan 2019Kantar Emor26.324.49.77.51.718.24.47.20.61.941.6 – 46.215–28 Jan 2019Turu-uuringute AS25 3376117353846 – 437–13 Jan 2019Norstat 2727107–20225044 – 474–8 Jan 2019Kantar Emor24.423.311.881.420.236.61.31.143.1 – 463–9 Jan 2019Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll)20 26129120174647 – 41

2018 Date Polling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green E200 Others Lead 13–19 Dec 2018Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll)22 25128121362345 – 44December 2018Kantar Emor23 25.99.27.8220.33.58.2–2.942.9 – 45.3December 2018Turu-uuringute AS21 31851183761044 – 43November 2018Turu-uuringute AS23 33751153851045 – 39November 2018Kantar Emor292511521738–441 – 48October 2018Kantar Emor2825145216451344 – 46October 2018Turu-uuringute AS28 301252172–4247 – 47September 2018Kantar Emor27251353203–4.7243 – 50September 2018Turu-uuringute AS27 281432173–6145 – 46August 2018Turu-uuringute AS25 271152194–7243 – 46August 2018Kantar Emor29.823.812.75.24.721.22–0.6641.7 – 55.7July 2018Kantar Emor30241353223–0.7642 – 55June 2018Kantar Emor32231473175––944 – 52June 2018Turu-uuringute AS2827954182–7141 – 50May 2018Kantar Emor322111.95416.73–6.41137.9 – 52.7May 2018Turu-uuringute AS3026953154–8440 – 48April 2018Kantar Emor3021.610.65.85.819.16.1–18.438 – 54.9April 2018Turu-uuringute AS3326643143–9736 – 50 8–21 Mar 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 31 26 10 5 3 13 3– 9 5 41 – 47 8–14 Mar 2018 Kantar Emor 34.1 23.8 10.6 4.1 5.0 18.3 3.6– 0.5 10.3 38.5 – 57.4 7–20 Feb 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 27 27 8 6 4 14 3– 110 41 – 45 Feb 2018 Kantar Emor 34 21 11 6 7 17 4– 0 13 38 – 58 15–29 Jan 2018 Turu-uuringute AS 26 27 11 5 4 12 4– 11 1 43 – 42 18–25 Jan 2018 Kantar Emor 34.2 20.5 11 4.5 5.4 18.4 4.5– 1.5 13.7 36 – 58

2017 Date Polling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green Others Lead 8–14 Dec 2017 Kantar Emor 28 22 15 8 6 17 4 0 6 45 – 51 22 Nov–5 Dec 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 24 29 11 8 3 12 3 10 5 48 – 39 1–14 Nov 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 22 27 10 8 4 13 3 13 5 45 – 39 1–9 Nov 2017 Kantar Emor 29.0 26.0 15.1 7.0 5.1 14.4 3.1 0.3 3 48.1 – 48.5 Oct 2017 Kantar Emor 27 27 16 7 4 15 3 10 50 – 46 26 Sep–10 Oct 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 29 10 7 3 13 4 9 4 46 – 41 5–18 Sep 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 27 12 8 4 14 2 8 2 47 – 43 8–14 Sep 2017 Kantar Emor 25.7 23.1 18.7 5.8 6.2 16.7 2.0 1.8 2.6 47.6 – 48,6 9–22 Aug 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 24 29 12 5 6 12 4 8 5 46 – 42 11–17 Aug 2017 TNS Emor 27.6 22.8 14.6 3.8 9.4 17.2 3.7 0.9 4.8 41.2 – 54.2 Jul 2017 TNS Emor 26.4 23.1 14.8 6.3 7.4 15.9 5.4 0.7 3.3 44.2 – 49.7 9–16 June 2017 TNS Emor 25.4 25.1 14.2 6.6 8.5 16.2 3 1 0.3 45.9 – 50.1 25 May–6 Jun 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 26 26 11 6 8 10 3 100 43 – 44 17–22 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23.7 24.7 12.9 6.9 4.6 12.8 5.7 8.7 1 44.5 – 41.1 12–18 May 2017 TNS Emor 27.5 21.8 17.8 5.6 9.9 13.4 3.7 0.3 5.7 45.2 – 50.8 25 Apr–9 May 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 4 8 14 3 8 1 42 – 47 Apr 2017 TNS Emor 25 25 15 5 11 14 5 10 45 – 50 28 Mar–10 Apr 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 20 30 11 8 7 13 2 9 10 49 – 40 1–14 Mar 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 29 11 7 7 8 3 10 4 47 – 40 Mar 2017 TNS Emor 26 27 15 6 10 14 2 0 1 48 – 50 Feb 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 23 29 10 7 8 10 2 11 6 46 – 41 Feb 2017 TNS Emor 25 27 16 7 10 13 2 0 2 50 – 48 19–31 Jan 2017 Turu-uuringute AS 25 31 10 6 7 9 1 11 6 47 – 41

2016 Date Polling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green Others Lead Dec 2016 TNS Emor 23 26 19 7 8 11 4 2 3 52 – 42 Dec 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 20 32 15 8 6 8 1 10 12 55 – 3423 Nov 2016Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in Nov 2016 TNS Emor 23 24 19 9 11 10 3 1 1 Nov 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 29 13 9 9 12 – 7 8

DatePolling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE GreenOthersLead9 Nov 2016Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of no confidence in Riigikogu Oct 2016 TNS Emor 2225 17 8 15 10 3 0 3 47 – 50 Oct 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 7 9 10 – 11 1 44 – 45 Sep 2016 TNS Emor 22 20 19 9 12 13 4 1 2 50 – 45 Sep 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 25 26 12 7 9 10 – 11 1 44 – 45 Aug 2016 TNS Emor 28 23 15 8 9 13 3 1 5 51 – 45 Aug 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 24 15 5 10 13 – 10 1 43 – 47 Jun 2016 TNS Emor 27 21 17 6 11 14 3 1 6 50 – 46 Jun 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 2028 10 7 12 13 2 8 8 37 – 53 May 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 23 12 4 11 14 – 15 2 37 – 48 Apr 2016 TNS Emor 23 22 16 7 15 13 2 2 1 46 – 50 Apr 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 21 25 13 7 12 14 – 8 4 41 – 51 Mar 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 25 13 6 12 13 – 8 2 42 – 50 Mar 2016 TNS Emor 23 25 14 6 15 14 2 1 2 43 – 54 Feb 2016 Turu-uuringute AS 23 29 12 6 12 11 – 7 6 41 – 52 Feb 2016TNS Emor 2222 16 6 16 13 3 20 44 – 51 Jan 2016Turu-uuringute AS 1726 13 7 13 12 – 12 9 37 – 51

2015 Date Polling firm Ref Kesk SDE I EVA EKRE Green Others Lead Dec 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 20 25 14 7 13 10 – 11 5 41 – 48 Dec 2015 TNS Emor 21 25 16 8 15 11 3 1 3 45 – 51 Nov 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 17 33 13 8 11 9 – 9 16 38 – 53 Nov 2015 TNS Emor 20 23 16 7 16 12 3 1 3 43 – 51 Oct 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 19 27 14 8 14 10 – 8 8 41 – 51 Sep 2015 TNS Emor 24 24 18 7 17 7 3 10 49 – 48 Sep 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 21 29 15 9 11 6 – 9 8 45 – 46 Aug 2015 TNS Emor 20 25 16 9 17 9 3 2 5 45 – 51 Jun 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 16 28 18 9 15 6 – 8 10 43 – 49 Jun 2015 TNS Emor 18 26 16 8 19 9 3 1 7 42 – 54 May 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 18 31 13 9 14 7 – 8 13 40 – 52 May 2015 TNS Emor 19 26 17 8 18 8 3 1 7 44 – 52 Apr 2015 Turu-uuringute AS 22 26 17 10 12 7 – 6 4 49 – 45 Mar 2015 TNS Emor 28 24 16 10 12 9 1 0 4 54 – 45 1 Mar 2015 Election results 27.7 24.8 15.2 13.7 8.7 8.1 0.9 0.9 2.9 56.6 – 41.6

References