Various research and polling firms conducted opinion polling before the 2019 Australian federal election in individual electorates across Australia, in relation to voting intentions in the House of Representatives.

New South Wales Gilmore Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 36.2% 29.2% 12.5% 10.0% 3.4% 8.8% 52.6% 47.8% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — — — — 52% 47% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 45.3% 39.2% — 10.5% — 5.0% 49.3% 50.7%

Lindsay Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 46.5% 35.6% 4.9% 2.9% 2.9% 7.3% 55.0% 45.0% 9–11 May 2019 Newspoll 500-580 44% 39% 4% 6% — — 52% 48% 20 Apr 2019 Newspoll 618 41% 40% 4% 7% — 8% 49% 51% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 39.3% 41.1% 3.6% — 2.4% 13.7% 48.9% 51.1%

Macquarie Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 44.9% 38.3% 9.2% 4.0% 3.7% 50.2% 49.8% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — — — 53% 47% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 38.2% 35.5% 11.2% — 15.1% 52.2% 47.8%

Reid Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 48.3% 37.2% 8.1% 1.9% 4.5% 53.2% 46.8% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — — — 52% 48% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 48.8% 36.3% 8.5% — 6.4% 54.7% 45.3%

Warringah Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2CP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 43.5% 39.0% 6.6% 6.1% 1.2% 0.7% 2.9% 57.2% 42.3% — 9 Feb 2019 (released) ReachTEL 618 22.3% 37.7% 15.0% 9.6% 4.9% — 5.7% 54.0% 46.0% — 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election — 51.7% 14.8% 12.2% 12.1% — 9.2% — 61.6% 38.4%

Queensland Flynn Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 37.9% 28.7% 19.6% 4.3% 3.1% 6.6% 58.7% 41.3% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — 11% — — — — 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 37.1% 33.4% 17.2% — 2.8% 9.6% 51.0% 49.0%

Herbert Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 37.1% 25.5% 11.1% 9.8% 7.3% 5.7% 3.5% 58.4% 41.6% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — — — 14% — — — 9–11 May 2019 Newspoll 500-580 35% 30% 7% 13% 7% 7% — 52% 48% 20 Apr 2019 Newspoll 529 31% 29% 9% 10% 5% 14% 2% 50% 50% 24 Jan 2019 Newspoll 509 32% 32% 9% 9% 7% 8% 3% 49% 51% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 35.5% 30.5% 13.5% 6.9% 6.3% 0.4% 7.0% 50.0% 50.0%

Victoria Deakin Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 47.8% 32.5% 9.0% 2.1% 8.6% 54.8% 45.2% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — — — — 51% 49% 20 Apr 2019 Newspoll 535 46% 39% 8% 5% — 51% 49% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 50.0% 31.0% 11.7% — 7.2% 55.7% 44.3%

Flinders Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 49.4% 21.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.2% 1.1% 55.7% 44.3% 24 Jan 2019 ReachTEL/uComms 500–700 36.8% — — — — — 49% 51% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 51.6% 27.0% 3.1% 10.7% — 7.6% 57.8% 42.2%

Higgins Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 47.9% 25.4% 22.5% 1.2% 3.1% 55.7% 44.3% — 13 May 2019 (released) ER&C 400 36% 30% 29% — — 46% — 54% Mid-May 2019 YouGov Galaxy 500+ — — 29% — — 52% — 48% 24 Jan 2019 ReachTEL/uComms 500–700 — — — — — 48% 52% — 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 52.0% 15.0% 25.3% — 7.7% 58.0% — 42.0%

Kooyong Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2CP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 49.4% 21.2% 16.8% 10.2% 1.2% 1.1% 55.7% 44.3% — 13 May 2019 (released) ER&C 1,741 41% 21% 16% 9% — 8% 52% 48% — 11 Dec 2018 ReachTEL 816 40% 16% 29% — — 8% 48% — 52% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 58.2% 18.9% 19.8% 3.1% — — 63.3% — 36.7%

Western Australia Pearce Date Firm Samplesize Marginof error Primary vote 2PP vote 18 May 2019 2019 federal election 43.7% 29.1% 8.7% 8.2% 2.5% 1.3% 6.5% 54.8% 45.2% 20 Apr 2019 Newspoll 509 40% 36% 8% 6% 8% — — 50% 50% 2 Jul 2016 2016 federal election 45.4% 34.3% 11.0% — — 4.7% 4.7% 53.6% 46.4%

See also Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election

Notes

References