2020 United States presidential election in New York

The 2020 United States presidential election in New York was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New York voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New York had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College. Trump announced that Florida would be his home state for this election, rather than New York as it had been previously. This was the first presidential election in New York to allow no-excuse absentee voting.

Despite Donald Trump's longtime association with the state, New York was considered to be a state Biden would win or a safe blue state. Statewide elections in New York are dominated by New York City, the most populated city in the US and a Democratic stronghold home to around 43% of the state's population. Biden's victory came from overwhelming strength with Black and Hispanic voters, especially those from New York City, as well as strong support throughout the state, particularly in suburban areas such as Westchester and Nassau counties, from college-educated, suburban, Hispanic, Asian, and Multiracial voters.

Biden was immediately declared the winner of New York's electoral votes when polls closed on Election Day. Biden slightly outperformed Hillary Clinton's margin of victory from 4 years earlier by 0.48% and flipped 4 counties that previously voted for Trump. Biden's 5,244,886 vote total is the highest vote total for a presidential candidate in New York.

New York voted 19% more Democratic than the national average. This was the first time since 1992 that Orange, Oswego, Washington, Madison, and Warren counties voted for the losing presidential candidate, as well as the first since 1976 that a Democrat won without Cayuga, Cortland, Otsego, Seneca, Franklin, Niagara, and St. Lawrence counties, and the first since 1960 that a Democrat won without Sullivan County.

Primary elections The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 28, New York State elections officials moved the primary date to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.

Canceled Republican primary

On March 3, 2020, the New York Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to officially cancel their respective primaries and caucuses. Donald Trump was the only Republican candidate to submit the required number of names of his 162 total delegates, both the 94 primary ones and the alternates. Among Trump's major challengers, Bill Weld only submitted about half of his required delegates, and neither Rocky De La Fuente nor Joe Walsh sent in any names at all. With the cancellation, Trump was automatically able to send his 94 New York pledged delegates to the national convention.

Democratic primary

On April 27, 2020, New York State elections officials had decided to cancel the state's Democratic primary altogether, citing the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden was the only major candidate left in the race after all the others had suspended their campaigns, and canceling it would save the state millions of dollars from printing the extra sheet on the ballot. However, on May 5, a federal judge ruled that the Democratic primary must proceed on June 23 after a suit made by former presidential primary candidate Andrew Yang.

Among the other major candidates were entrepreneur Andrew Yang, Kirsten Gillibrand, one of New York's two current senators, and Bill de Blasio, the mayor of New York City. However, on August 29, 2019, Gillibrand dropped out of the race. Bill de Blasio as well dropped out on September 20, 2019, after failing to qualify for the fourth Democratic debate.

Results

Conservative The Conservative Party of New York State cross-endorsed the Republican ticket, nominating Donald Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president.

Working Families The Working Families Party cross-endorsed the Democratic ticket, nominating Joe Biden for president and Kamala Harris for vice president. Several prominent Democrats, including Senators Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren and Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer encouraged voting for Biden and Harris on the WFP line, in order for the party to keep ballot access.

Green The Green Party of New York nominated the national Green Party ticket; Howie Hawkins for president and Angela Nicole Walker for vice president.

Libertarian primary

Future of Freedom Foundation Founder Jacob Hornberger was the sole candidate to qualify for the New York primary ballot. Therefore, in accordance with state law, he was declared the winner of the primary by default. As the winner of the primary, Libertarian Party of New York rules permitted Hornberger to choose 27 of the state's 48 unbound delegates to the 2020 Libertarian National Convention. The Libertarian Party of New York was the only Libertarian state affiliate to choose any of its delegates on the basis of its presidential primary or caucus.

Independence The Independence Party of New York nominated independent candidates Brock Pierce for president and Karla Ballard for vice president.

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2020Inside ElectionsNovember 3, 2020Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 3, 2020PoliticoNovember 3, 2020RCPNovember 3, 2020Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.November 3, 2020CNNNovember 3, 2020The EconomistNovember 3, 2020CBS NewsNovember 3, 2020270towinNovember 3, 2020ABC NewsNovember 3, 2020NPRNovember 3, 2020NBC NewsNovember 3, 2020538November 3, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMarginReal Clear PoliticsReal Clear PoliticsApril 30 – September 29, 2020November 3, 202059.7%31.0%9.3%Biden +28.7FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202062.3%32.9%4.8%Biden +29.4Average61.0%32.0%7.1%Biden +29.1

Polls Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenHowieHawkinsOtherUndecidedSurveyMonkey/AxiosSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20206,548 (LV)± 2%35%63% – – – –Research Co.Research Co.Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%34%64% - -2%4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 202010,220 (LV) –34%63% - - – –SwayableOct 23–26, 2020495 (LV)± 5.8%33%65%1%1% – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 202010,007 (LV) –34%64% - - –2%Siena CollegeSiena College Sep 27–29, 2020 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 29%61% 0% 1% 2% 7%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 20209,969 (LV) –34%64% - - –2%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Aug 20–22, 2020 1,029 (V) ± 3.1% 32%63% - - – 5%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 202010,280 (LV) –34%63% - - –2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 20204,555 (LV) –33%65% - - –2%Siena CollegeSiena College Jun 23–25, 2020 806 (RV) ± 3.9% 32%57% - - – 10%Siena CollegeSiena College May 17–21, 2020 767 (RV) ± 3.7% 32%57% - - – 11%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University Apr 30 – May 4, 2020 915 (RV) ± 3.2% 32%55% - - 5% 8%Siena CollegeSiena College Apr 19–23, 2020 803 (RV) ± 3.7%29%65% - - – 6%Siena CollegeSiena College Mar 22–26, 2020 566 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% - - – 10%Siena CollegeSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 36% 55% - - – 5%with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) MichaelBloomberg (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 33% 58% – 9%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) PeteButtigieg (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Bill de Blasio Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) Billde Blasio (D) Other UndecidedSiena CollegeSiena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 36% 48% 13% 3%

with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) KirstenGillibrand (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Jun 2–6, 2019 812 (RV) ± 4.1% 34% 58% 5% 3%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) AmyKlobuchar (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 37% 53% – 10%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) BernieSanders (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 38% 56% – 7%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) ElizabethWarren (D) Other UndecidedSiena College Feb 16–20, 2020 658 (RV) ± 4.5% 39% 53% – 8%

Electoral slates These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state: Joe Biden andKamala HarrisDemocratic PartyWorking Families Party Donald Trump andMike PenceRepublican PartyConservative Party Jo Jorgensen andSpike CohenLibertarian Party Howie Hawkins andAngela WalkerGreen Party Brock Pierce andKarla BallardIndependence Party June O'NeillXiao WangKatherine M. SheehanThomas J. GarryLovely WarrenGary S. LaBarberaStuart H. ApplebaumMary SullivanGeorge K. GreshamRandi WeingartenMario F. CilentoAlphonso DavidHazel Nell DukesChristine QuinnByron BrownCorey JohnsonScott StringerAndrea Stewart-CousinsCarl HeastieJay JacobsLetitia JamesThomas DiNapoliKathy HochulAndrew CuomoHillary ClintonBill ClintonRubén Díaz Jr.Judith HunterAnastasia Somoza Brendan LantryJesus GarciaSusan McNeilJoseph CairoWilliam NapierKarl SimmethChristine BenedictJoann AriolaCarl ZeilmanJennifer Saul RichCharlie JoyceAdrian AndersonRob OrttWill BarclayJohn BurnettChloe SunElie HirschfeldYechezkel MoskowitzShaun Marie LevineChristopher KendallFrancis Vella-MarroneAndrea CatsimatidisJohn GereauRodney StrangeTodd RouseTrisha TurnerRobert KeisNick LangworthyTom Dadey Daniel P. DonnellyDuane J. WhitmerRobert M. ArrigoMark N. AxinnErin M. BeckerRachel E. BeckerRichard BellKari R. BittnerMark S. BraimanJay A. CarrTucker C. CoburnAnthony D'OrazioKevin A. WilsonMilva E. DordalPietro S. GeraciPaul M. GrindleMark E. GlogowskiShawn HannonAndrew M. KolsteePeyton D. KunselmanBrandon G. LyonLeonard E. MorlockLora L. NewellGary PopkinThomas D. QuiterIlya SchwartzburgPaul C. SechristLarry SharpeWilliam C. Anderson Stephen BloomPeter A. LaveniaCassandra J. LemsPaul W. GilmanDarin RobbinsBarbara A. KidneyJoseph R. NahamMichael E. O'NeilEric M. JonesCarol S. PrzybylakTatianna M. MoragneJames R. Brown IIIJames McCabeCandace CarponterMichael D. EmperorJennifer R. WhiteAllan D. HunterMary B. HouseSerena L. SealsDavid Sutliff-AtiasCraig A. SeemanDaneilla LieblingAdrienne R. Craig-WilliamsChristopher J. ArcherClaudia FlanaganGil OblerDebra A. RosarioGloria MatteraDavid L. Giannascoli Kenneth BayneScott R. MajorRobert G. PilnickBarbara PilnickGary P. NewmanArthur AbbateJoseph W. FullerMaryann H. MajorAndrew J. BogardtAnna C. BogardtRobert J. BogardtTrisha L. SterlingThomas HatfieldThomas A. ConnollyAtef S. ZeinaLee KolesnikoffJoseph L. BaruthPaul E. CaputoEdward G. MillerThomas S. ConnollyDennis R. ZackMichael AmoRichard S. BellandoMaryellen BellandoWilliam BogardtTeresa BogardtFrank M. MacKayKristin A. MacKayCarolyn P. Major

Results

New York City results