The 2018 Christian Democratic Union leadership election took place during the party's 31st Congress in Hamburg at the Messehallen convention center on 7–8 December following Angela Merkel's decision in October 2018 not to stand for party leader at the 2018 party conference following the party's bad performance in the 2018 Hessian state election and the party's consistently low numbers in national polls.

In the subsequent party executive meeting on 29 October 2018, both the CDU's General Secretary Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer and the Federal Minister of Health Jens Spahn announced their candidacy in the election. This was followed by Merkel's former arch-rival Friedrich Merz, who announced his bid and his return to politics on 30 October 2018.Wer löst Merkel ab?, n-tv, 29 Oct 2018 Spahn was eliminated after the first round, and Kramp-Karrenbauer subsequently won close-run second round of voting by 18 votes.

Candidates Declared To be able to run as candidate for CDU leader, a person needs to be endorsed by a subdivision of the party (either the federal executive board or a state, district or local association) or the proposal by a delegate during the party convention.

Running The following people ran in the leadership election, having fulfilled the criteria to become a candidate in the convention. Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer — General Secretary of the CDU (2018), Minister-President of Saarland (2011–2018), Leader of the CDU Saar (2011–2018), Minister for Family and Social Affairs in Saarland (2009–2011), Minister for Education in Saarland (2007–2009), Minister for the Interior in Saarland (2000–2007), Member of Landtag of Saarland (1999–2018), Member of Bundestag (1998).Zwei Konservative, eine Merkel-Treue, ZEIT, 219 Oct 2018 Kramp-Karrenbauer was endorsed by the Saarland state association of the CDU. Friedrich Merz — Leader of the Opposition and Parliamentary Leader of the CDU (2000–2002), Member of Bundestag (1994–2009), Member of the European Parliament (1989–1994). Merz was endorsed by the local associations of Fulda and of Hochsauerland. Jens Spahn — Minister for Health (2018–2021), Parliamentary Secretary of State for Finance (2015–2018), Member of Bundestag (2002–present). Spahn was endorsed by the local association of Borken.

Announced The following CDU politicians announced their intention to run for CDU leadership, but did not receive an endorsement by either a subdivision or a delegate. Jan-Philipp Knoop – commissioner for Social-Media in Tempelhof-SchönebergJan-Philipp Knoop will für den CDU-Bundesvorsitz kandidieren. In: berliner-woche.de (1. Oktober 2018). Detlef Felix Hartmann – Candidate for the Leadership of the CDU Hamburg Jörg Paulusch – City councillor of Friedhelm Kölsch – Lord mayor candidate in Essen Andreas RitzenhoffHessischer Unternehmer Ritzenhoff will gegen Merkel antreten. In: welt.de (3. Oktober 2018). Norbert Stegner Christian Fleisinger Sabine Herrenbruch

Withdrew The following politicians intended to run for the office, but withdrew their candidacy. — Member of the Scientific Advisory Council on Biodiversity and Genetic Resources of the Federal Ministry of Food and Agriculture and Member of the Sixth Advisory Council of the Federal Academy for Security Policy„Die CDU sehnt sich nach einer programmatischen Erneuerung“. In: deutschlandfunk.de (8. Oktober 2018). Angela Merkel — Chancellor (2005–2021), Leader of the Opposition (2002–2005), CDU Leader (2000–today), General Secretary of the CDU (1998–2000), Federal Minister for Environment (1994–1998), Federal Minister for Youth and Women (1991–1994), Member of Bundestag (1990–today)

Declined Daniel Günther — Minister-President of Schleswig-Holstein (2017–today), Leader of the CDU Schleswig-Holstein (2016–today), Member of Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein (2009–today) Armin Laschet — Minister-President of North Rhine-Westfalia (2017–2021), Deputy Leader of the CDU (2012–2021), Leader of the CDU North Rhine-Westfalia (2012–201), Opposition Leader in North Rhine-Westfalia (2010–2017), Member of Landtag of North Rhine-Westfalia (2010–2021), Minister for Social Affairs in North-Rhine Westfalia (2005–2010), Member of European Parliament (1999–2005), Member of Bundestag (1994–1999) Ursula von der Leyen — Minister for Defence (2013–2019), Deputy Leader of the CDU (2009–2019), Minister for Social Affairs (2009–2013), Member of Bundestag (2009–2019), Minister for Family (2005–2009), Minister for Social Affairs in Lower Saxony (2003–2005), Member of Landtag of Lower Saxony (2003–2005) Julia Klöckner — Minister of Food and Agriculture (2018–2021), candidate for Minister-President of Rhineland-Palatinate in 2016 and 2011, Deputy Leader of the CDU (2012–2022), Opposition Leader in Rhineland-Palatinate (2011–2018), Member of Landtag of Rhineland-Palatinate (2011–2018), Leader of the CDU Rhineland-Palatinate (2010–2022), Member of Bundestag (2002–2011)Klöckner will nicht Merkel-Nachfolgerin werden , SWR, 30 Oct 2018 Wolfgang Schäuble — President of Bundestag (2017–2023), Minister for Finances (2009–2017), Minister of the Interior (2005–2009, 1989–1991), Leader of the CDU (1998–2000), Parliamentary Leader of the CDU (1991–2000), Chief of the Chancellery (1984–1989), Member of Bundestag (1972–2023)

Endorsements

Opinion polling Publication date Poll source Günther Klöckner Kramp-Karrenbauer Laschet von der Leyen Merz Spahn None/Others 7 Dec 2018 Forsa — — 41 — — 28 5 26 6 Dec 2018 Infratest dimap — — 45 — — 30 10 15 30 Nov 2018 Infratest dimap — — 39 — — 26 9 26 23 Nov 2018 FGW — — 30 — — 24 6 40 17 Nov 2018 Emnid — — 30 — — 31 12 27 15 Nov 2018 Infratest dimap — — 43 — — 32 10 15 11 Nov 2018 Emnid — — 32 — — 30 9 29 9 Nov 2018 FGW — — 31 — — 25 6 38 4 Nov 2018 Emnid — — 27 — — 38 13 22 1 Nov 2018 YouGov — — 17 — — 23 7 53 30 Oct 2018 Civey 6.4 2.4 19.2 6.2 2.1 33.7 6.2 23.8 30 Oct 2018 YouGov — — 18 6 — 21 6 49 30 Oct 2018 Forsa(Multiple choice) — — 46 28 — 45 22

Among Delegates Publication date Poll source Kramp-Karrenbauer Merz Spahn None/Others 1 Dec 2018 BILD 96 144 29 732(42 either Kramp-K. or Merz)

Only Union/CDU Voters Publication date Poll source Kramp-Karrenbauer Laschet Merz Spahn None/Others 7 Dec 2018 Forsa 49 — 35 6 10 6 Dec 2018 Infratest dimap 47 — 37 12 4 30 Nov 2018 Infratest dimap 48 — 35 2 15 23 Nov 2018 FGW 38 — 29 6 27 17 Nov 2018 Emnid 32 — 49 7 12 15 Nov 2018 Infratest dimap 46 — 31 12 11 9 Nov 2018 FGW 35 — 33 7 25 4 Nov 2018 Emnid 39 — 44 9 8 30 Oct 2018 Forsa(Multiple choice) 62 36 53 29

Results

Candidate First Round Second Round Votes % Votes % Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer 450 45.05 517 51.75 Friedrich Merz 392 39.24 482 48.25 Jens Spahn 157 15.72 Total valid votes 999 100.0 999 100.0Invalid/blank votes – – – – Total votes 999 100.0 999 100.0Source: BR Welt

References