Opinion polling for the 2015 French regional elections

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French regional elections, which were held in two rounds on 6 and 13 December 2015.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

National First round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize EXG PCF PCF-PG-EELV EELV PS-PRG DVG ECO MoDem UDI LR-UDI-MoDem DVD DLF FN UPR DIV 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 50.09% 1.54% 4.06% 2.80% 3.83% 23.43% 1.85% 0.59% 0.39% 0.01% 26.84% 0.66% 3.81% 27.73% (DIV) 2.46% Odoxa 3 Dec 2015 945 – 2% 7% 4.5% 22% – – 29% – 2.5% 30% 1% 2% Harris Interactive 1–3 Dec 2015 1,015 – 1% 5% 6% 24% 2% – 27% – 4% 28% 1% 2% Ifop-Fiducial 1–3 Dec 2015 1,105 51% 1% 5% 2% 4% 23% 1% 28% 1% 3.5% 28.5% 1% 2% Elabe 1–2 Dec 2015 968 50% 1% 5% 6.5% 23% 1% – 28% 0.5% 3% 28.5% – 3.5% Ipsos 29 Nov–2 Dec 2015 8,053 51% 1% 4% 7% 23% 1% – 28.5% 0.5% 3.5% 29.5% 0.5% 1.5% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 23,061 52% 1% 4.5% 6% 22% 1% – 29% 0.5% 3.5% 30% 1% 1.5% Harris Interactive 24–26 Nov 2015 1,005 – 1% 6% 6% 24% 1% – 27% – 5% 28% 1% 1% Ifop 23–25 Nov 2015 926 54% 1% 3% 5% 4% 22% 2% 28% 1% 3% 28% 1% 2% Ipsos 21–24 Nov 2015 939 55% 1% 4% 7% 22% 1.5% – 29% 0.5% 3% 30% 1% 1% TNS Sofres 20–23 Nov 2015 1,522 – 1.5% 4% 7% 22% 2% – 27% 0.5% 4% 29% 1% 2% OpinionWay 18–19 Nov 2015 984 51% 1% 4% 9% 22% – – 28% – 4% 30% – 2% Harris Interactive 17–19 Nov 2015 1,011 – 2% 5% 7% 26% 1% – 25% – 5% 27% 1% 1% OpinionWay 13 Nov 2015 – – 1% 4% 8% 22% – – 30% – 4% 28% – 3% Ipsos 30 Oct–2 Nov 2015 936 60% 1.5% 5% 3.5% 3.5% 20% 1% – 1% 32% – 4% 26% – 2.5% TNS Sofres 13–23 Oct 2015 2,200 – 1% 6% 8% 21% 1% 2% 27% – 3% 28% 2% 1% Ifop 12–16 Oct 2015 – – – – – – 24% – – 31% – – 26% – – Elabe 13–14 Oct 2015 972 60% 0.5% 5% 8.5% 23% 1.5% – 0.5% 30% – 3% 26% – 2% OpinionWay 7–9 Oct 2015 993 55% 2% 5% 3% 3% 23% – – 31% – 2% 28% – 3% Odoxa 24–25 Sep 2015 929 – 2% 7% 3% 23% – – 35% – 3% 26% – 1% Elabe 22–23 Sep 2015 986 57% 1.5% 6% 8.5% 22.5% 1.5% – 1.5% 27% – 3% 26% – 2.5% Harris Interactive 29 Mar 2015 4,286 – 1% 7% 7% 20% – – 5% 7% 25% – 2% 22% – 4% 2010 election 21 Mar 2010 – 53.67% 3.40% 5.84% – 12.18% 29.13% 3.06% – 4.20% – 26.02% 1.24% – 11.42% – 3.52%

Second round Second round configurations were tested across all regions in France. In two regions, Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, the left-wing list withdrew after the first round to block the National Front from winning control.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS-PRG-EELV-PCF-PG LR-UDI-MoDem FN 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 41.59% 32.12% 40.24% 27.10% Harris Interactive 6 Dec 2015 1,029 – 34% 35% 31% Odoxa 6 Dec 2015 2,193 – 34% 35% 31% – 59% 41% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 23,061 – 34% 36% 30% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 10,842 – 33% 36% 31% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 12,408 – 36% 36% 28% 2010 election 14 Mar 2010 – 48.79% 54.06% 36.22% 9.17%

Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine First round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Wostyn Peron Bélier Masseret Richert Jacobelli Wentzel Trouillet Philippot 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 52.09% 1.48% 3.22% 6.70% 16.11% 25.83% 4.78% 1.08% 4.73% 36.07% Elabe 26–30 Nov 2015 922 55% 1% 5% 5% 20% 28% 3% 1% 3% 34% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,218 52% 1% 5% 5% 16% 29% 3% 1% 5% 35% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,203 – 1% 4% 4% 17% 34% 2.5% 1% 3.5% 33% Odoxa 2–5 Nov 2015 1,001 – 1% 6.5% 6% 19% 30% 2.5% 1% 2% 32% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,189 – 1% 7% 6% 19% 31% 2.5% 0.5% 3% 30%

Second round After Jean-Pierre Masseret refused to withdraw his list in the second round, PS spokeswoman Corinne Narassiguin announced on 7 December that Masseret would "not have the socialist label" in the second round.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Masseret Richert Philippot 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 40.98% 15.51% 48.40% 36.08% Elabe 8–10 Dec 2015 920 – 16% 43% 41% Elabe 26–30 Nov 2015 922 – 30% 34.5% 35.5% – 56% 44% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,218 – 28% 35% 37% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,203 – 26% 39% 35% Odoxa 2–5 Nov 2015 1,001 – 28% 37% 35% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,189 – 30% 37% 33%

Aquitaine-Limousin-Poitou-Charentes First round The October 2015 BVA poll described the list led by Olivier Dartigolles as one of the French Communist Party, and the June 2015 Ifop poll offered the options of an extreme left, Left Front, and National Front lists without naming a list leader, and also described Samuel Morillon as the list leader for Debout la France.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Perchet Dartigolles Coutant Rousset Boussion Pereira Daniel Camels Setze Douet Colombier Others 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 49.03% 1.41% 4.85% 5.60% 30.39% 1.85% 1.21% – 27.19% 3.35% 0.92% 23.23% – Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,098 51% 1% 7% 5% 27% 0.5% 1% – 29% 2.5% 1% 26% – Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 901 – 0.5% 6.5% 6% 28% 1.5% 2% – 28% 2% 0.5% 25% – BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,212 – 1% 7% 6% 26% 0.5% 3% – 32% 1.5% 1% 22% – BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,200 – 1% 5% 5% 36% – – 1% 30% 2% – 20% – Ifop 5–6 Jun 2015 1,303 – 2% 8% 9% 30% – – – 29% 2% – 19% 1%

Second round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Rousset Camels Colombier 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 42.22% 44.27% 34.06% 21.67% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,098 – 39% 35% 26% Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 901 – 39% 35% 26% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 1,212 – 39% 37% 24% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 1,200 – 46% 33% 21% Ifop 5–6 Jun 2015 1,303 – 49% 33% 18%

Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes First round The January 2015 Ifop poll did not specify list leaders, only parties, and mentioned an "extreme-left" list without reference to Lutte Ouvrière.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Gomez Cukierman Kohlhaas Queyranne Wauquiez Lafond Rambaud Fédèle Boudot Others 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 51.09% 1.25% 5.39% 6.90% 23.93% – 31.73% 1.56% 2.85% 0.87% 25.52% – Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 2015 900 – 1% 5% 7.5% 24% – 31% 1.5% 2.5% 0.5% 27% – Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,977 54% 1.5% 4.5% 6% 23% – 32% 1% 2.5% 0.5% 29% – Ifop 19–23 Nov 2015 822 54% 1% 4% 9% 25% – 32% 1% 2% 1% 25% – BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 931 – 1% 6% 7% 21% – 32% 2.5% 3% 0.5% 27% – Elabe 18–21 Nov 2015 904 55% 1.5% 3% 7.5% 27% – 30% 1% 2.5% 1.5% 26% – OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 2015 805 53% 1% 6% 6% 25% – 30% 1% 2% 1% 28% – Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 2015 908 – 1% 4% 10% 26% – 32% – 2.5% 0.5% 24% – BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 900 – 2% 7% 8.5% 24% – 35% – 2% – 21.5% – Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 2015 903 – 1% 4% 10% 26% – 35% – 1.5% 0.5% 22% – BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 823 – 0.5% 3% 15% 23% 7% 30% – 2.5% – 19% – 1% – 17% 25.5% – 34.5% – 3% – 19% – Ifop 23–27 Jan 2015 1,008 – 2% 2% 17% 17% 7% 30% – – – 23% 2%

Second round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Kohlhaas Queyranne Wauquiez Boudot 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 42.32% – 36.84% 40.62% 22.55% Ifop 8–10 Dec 2015 1,088 – – 37% 38% 25% Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 2015 900 – – 35% 36% 29% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 2,977 – – 36% 37% 27% Ifop 19–23 Nov 2015 822 – – 37% 37% 26% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 931 – – 36% 36% 28% Elabe 18–21 Nov 2015 904 – – 37% 37% 26% OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 2015 805 – – 36% 37% 27% Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 2015 908 – – 37% 37% 26% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 900 – – 37% 40% 23% Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 2015 903 – – 37% 39% 24% BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 2015 823 – – 38% 40% 22% 18% 25% 36% 21%

Bourgogne-Franche-Comté First round The June 2015 Ifop poll was conducted for Alain Joyandet and featured Joyandet leading a list for The Republicans (LR) separate from a Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) list led by François Sauvadet without naming a Left Front list leader, whereas the June 2015 BVA poll was conducted for Sauvadet and featured a unified LR–UDI list.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Rocher Vermorel Prudhomme Dufay Gonzalez Grudler Sauvadet Joyandet Thiébaut Gallois Montel 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 49.44% 1.51% 4.62% 3.92% 22.99% 2.14% 3.26% 24.00% – 5.17% 0.92% 31.48% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,084 53% 2% 7.5% 3% 22% 0.5% 4.5% 24% – 4% 0.5% 32% Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 748 50% 1.5% 8.5% 7% 19% 0.5% 3.5% 26% – 3% 1.5% 30% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 797 – 2% 8% 3% 20% 0.5% 5% 27% – 2% 0.5% 32% BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 803 – 2% 8% 5% 19% – 6% 31% – 3% 0% 26% Ifop 5–8 Jun 2015 807 – – 7% 6% 23% – 4% 10% (UDI) 25% (LR) 2% – 23% BVA 3–8 Jun 2015 937 – – 10% 5% 24% – – 34% – – – 25% – 10% 5% 24% – – – 33% – – 25%

Second round The November 2015 Ifop poll considered three scenarios: one in which the Democratic Movement (MoDem) did not secure enough support to be present in the second round, one in which it allied with the left, and one in which it allied with the right.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Dufay Sauvadet Joyandet Montel 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 38.85% 34.67% 32.89% – 32.44% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,084 – 35% 33% – 32% Ifop 20–24 Nov 2015 748 – 35.5% 34.5% – 30% 36% (MoDem) 34% – 30% 35% 36% (MoDem) – 29% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 797 – 30% 35% – 35% BVA 6–14 Oct 2015 803 – 34% 36% – 30% Ifop 5–8 Jun 2015 807 – 39% – 40% 21% BVA 3–8 Jun 2015 937 – 38% 35% – 27% 39% – 34% 27%

Brittany First round The October 2015 BVA poll tested a Left Front list led jointly by Xavier Compain and Sylvie Larue.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Hamon Roblin Compain Louail Le Drian Le Fur Foucher Gourvenec Pennelle Troadec Deléon 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 48.42% – 1.37% 0.62% 3.74% 6.70% 34.92% 23.46% 2.90% 0.87% 18.17% 6.71% 0.54% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,418 52% – 1.5% 1.5% 6% 5% 29% 24% 2% 1% 22% 7% 1% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 838 – – 1% 1.5% 4.5% 6% 29% 29% 1.5% 0.5% 20% 6% 1% Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 2015 979 – – 0.5% – 6.5% 7.5% 32% 27% 2% 0.5% 16% 8% – BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 806 – 2% 1% 1% 4% 7% 26% 30% 2.5% 0.5% 16% 9% 1%

Second round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Le Drian Le Fur Pennelle 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 43.12% 51.41% 29.72% 18.87% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,418 – 45% 33% 22% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 838 – 42% 35% 23% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 806 – 46% 36% 18% Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 2015 979 – 46% 36% 18%

Centre-Val de Loire First round The September 2015 Ifop poll tested three scenarios: one in which Nicolas Sansu and Charles Fournier presented separate lists for the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens, respectively, and two other scenarios in which Sansu and Fournier led a unified list. The May 2015 OpinionWay poll described Marc Brynhole as leader of the Left Front list, and considered separate lists for the Union of Democrats and Independents led by Philippe Vigier and for the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP), later The Republicans, led by Guillaume Peltier.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Megdoud Sansu Fournier Bonneau Le Moine Fesneau Vigier Peltier Penloup Fouquiau Loiseau Others 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 50.46% 1.70% 4.59% 6.60% 24.31% – – 26.25% – 4.58% 1.48% 30.48% – Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,119 53% 1% 8% 4% 22% – – 29% – 3.5% 1.5% 31% – BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 794 – 1% 9% 5.5% 20% – – 34% – 3% 0.5% 27% – BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 – 1% 9% 4% 22% 2% – 33% – 4% 1% 24% – Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 720 – – 9% 7% 22% – – 35% – 4% – 23% – – 15% (Sansu) 23% – – 35% – 4% – 23% – – 15% (Fournier) 23% – – 34% – 4% – 24% – OpinionWay 12–13 May 2015 963 – – 8% 5% 22% – 7% 7% (UDI) 24% – – 25% 2%

Second round The May 2015 OpinionWay poll tested Guillaume Peltier as the leader of the list of the right in the second round.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Bonneau Vigier Loiseau 2015 election 13 Dec 2015 – 40.78% 35.42% 34.58% 30.00% Ipsos 20–29 Nov 2015 1,119 – 34% 36% 30% BVA 17–23 Nov 2015 794 – 30% 39% 31% BVA 6–15 Oct 2015 800 – 33% 40% 27% Ifop 23–25 Sep 2015 720 – 36% 40% 24% OpinionWay 12–13 May 2015 963 – 35% 38% 27% 43% 57% –

Corsica First round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Bucchini De Gentili Orsucci Giacobbi Zuccarelli Talamoni Benedetti Simeoni Rossi De Rocca Serra Santoni Canioni 2015 election 6 Dec 2015 – 40.34% 5.56% 3.25% 4.13% 18.42% 3.15% 7.73% 2.58% 17.62% 13.17% 12.70% 1.12% 10.58% OpinionWay 24–28 Nov 2015 801 40% 7% 4% 4% 13% 4% 8% 1% 19% 14% 14% 1% 11% OpinionWay 27–30 Oct 2015 805 43% 7% 4% 4% 12% 5% 8% 1% 18% 12% 16% 1% 12%

Île-de-France First round