Opinion polling for the 2007 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round During the 2007 presidential election, Ipsos launched the first ever rolling poll in France, described as a "continuous electoral barometer", publishing results every day of the week except Sunday for ten weeks starting on 1 March 2007. The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 26 February 2007, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2007. The TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was an internal survey which was not distributed during the electoral silence.

Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

On 6 November 2006, Jean-Pierre Chevènement announced his candidacy in the presidential election, before withdrawing just a month later on 10 December 2006 after concluding an agreement with the Socialist Party (PS) for an alliance in the subsequent legislative elections. On 7 November, Nicolas Hulot launched an appeal to candidates to commit to an "Ecological Pact", but affirmed that he would on 22 January 2007 that he would not stand as a candidate in the election. In an interview published on 28 December 2006, Michèle Alliot-Marie evoked the possibility of a candidacy without the support of her party, having recently founded the think tank "Le Chêne"; however, she ultimately announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy on 12 January 2007. In an interview published on 11 March, Corinne Lepage announced that she would back François Bayrou despite having "the capacity" to obtain the 500 sponsorships necessary to be a candidate. In an interview published on 17 March, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan announced that he had failed to gather enough sponsorships to stand in the election. Jacques Chirac announced on 11 March that he would not seek a third term, before finally backing the candidacy of Sarkozy on 21 March.

Because the TNS Sofres poll conducted from 20 to 21 April was not published during the electoral silence, it is not included in the average below.

Official campaign Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Schivardi Laguiller Besancenot Buffet Bové Royal Voynet Nihous Bayrou Sarkozy Villiers Le Pen 2007 election 22 Apr 2007 – 16.23% 0.34% 1.33% 4.08% 1.93% 1.32% 25.87% 1.57% 1.15% 18.57% 31.18% 2.23% 10.44% TNS Sofres 20–21 Apr 2007 1,000 – 0.5% 1.5% 4% 2% 1.5% 25% 1% 1% 18% 30% 2.5% 13% BVA 20 Apr 2007 810 – 0.5% 2.5% 5% 2.5% 1% 26% 1% 1% 17% 29% 2% 12.5% CSA 20 Apr 2007 1,002 – <0.5% 2% 5% 2.5% 1.5% 25.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16% 26.5% 1.5% 16.5% Ipsos 19–20 Apr 2007 1,598 – 0.5% 2% 4.5% 2.5% 1% 23.5% 1.5% 2% 17% 30% 2% 13.5% CSA 18–19 Apr 2007 1,002 – <0.5% 1% 5% 1.5% 3% 26% 1.5% 1% 17% 27% 1% 16% Ipsos 18–19 Apr 2007 1,209 – 0.5% 1.5% 4% 2.5% 1.5% 23% 1.5% 2% 18% 30% 2.5% 13% TNS Sofres 18–19 Apr 2007 1,000 – <0.5% 1.5% 5% 2.5% 1.5% 24% 1% 1.5% 19.5% 28% 1.5% 14% Ifop-Fiducial 17–19 Apr 2007 952 – 0.5% 2% 4% 3% 1.5% 22.5% 1.5% 1.5% 20% 28% 2.5% 13% Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2007 1,212 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 23.5% 1.5% 2% 18.5% 30% 2% 13% BVA 16–17 Apr 2007 887 – 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 25% 1% 1% 15% 29% 3% 13% Ipsos 16–17 Apr 2007 1,009 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 24.5% 1.5% 2% 18.5% 29.5% 1.5% 13.5% TNS Sofres 16–17 Apr 2007 1,000 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1% 25% 1.5% 1.5% 19% 28.5% 1.5% 14% CSA 16 Apr 2007 1,006 – <0.5% 1% 4% 2% 1.5% 25% 2% 1.5% 19% 27% 1.5% 15.5% Ifop 14–16 Apr 2007 954 – 0.5% 3% 4% 3% 1.5% 22.5% 1.5% 2% 19% 28% 2.5% 12.5% Ipsos 14–16 Apr 2007 1,357 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 3% 1.5% 25% 1% 2% 18.5% 28.5% 1.5% 14% LH2 13–15 Apr 2007 1,004 – 0.5% 2.5% 5% 2.5% 1.5% 23% 2% 1.5% 19% 27% 1.5% 14% Ipsos 12–14 Apr 2007 1,355 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 3% 2% 25% 1% 1.5% 17.5% 29.5% 1.5% 13.5% Ifop 12–13 Apr 2007 928 – 0.5% 2% 4% 3% 2% 24% 1% 2% 18% 28.5% 2% 13% Ipsos 11–13 Apr 2007 1,279 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 24.5% 1.5% 2% 17.5% 29.5% 1.5% 14% CSA 11–12 Apr 2007 918 – 0.5% 2% 4% 2.5% 1.5% 23% 1% 2% 21% 26% 1.5% 15% TNS Sofres 11–12 Apr 2007 1,000 – <0.5% 2.5% 4% 2.5% 2% 26% 1.5% 1.5% 17% 30% 1% 12% Ipsos 10–12 Apr 2007 1,207 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2% 1.5% 24% 1.5% 2% 18.5% 30% 1.5% 13.5% CSA 10–11 Apr 2007 876 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 2% 25% 1.5% 1.5% 19% 27% 1% 15% Ipsos 9–11 Apr 2007 1,209 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 1.5% 2% 24% 1.5% 1.5% 19% 29.5% 1% 14% BVA 10 Apr 2007 867 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 3% 2% 24% 1% 2% 18% 28% 2% 14% Ipsos 7–10 Apr 2007 1,300 – 0.5% 2% 4% 1.5% 2.5% 23.5% 1% 1.5% 19% 30% 1% 13.5% Ipsos 6–9 Apr 2007 1,355 – 0.5% 2% 4.5% 2% 2% 23% 1% 1% 19.5% 30.5% 1% 13% LH2 6–7 Apr 2007 1,009 – 0.5% 1.5% 4% 2.5% 2% 24% 2% 1% 18% 28% 1.5% 15% Ipsos 5–7 Apr 2007 1,355 – 0.5% 2% 5% 2.5% 1.5% 22.5% 1% 1% 19.5% 30.5% 1% 13% Ifop 5–6 Apr 2007 953 – 0.5% 2% 4.5% 2.5% 2% 22% 1.5% 1.5% 19% 29.5% 1% 14% Ipsos 4–6 Apr 2007 1,263 – 0.5% 2% 4.5% 2.5% 1% 23.5% 1% 1% 19% 31.5% 1% 12.5% CSA 4–5 Apr 2007 881 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 1.5% 23.5% 1.5% 1.5% 21% 26% 1% 16% TNS Sofres 4–5 Apr 2007 1,000 – <0.5% 2.5% 4% 3% 2% 23.5% 1% 1.5% 20% 28% 1.5% 13% Ipsos 3–5 Apr 2007 1,208 – 0.5% 2% 4% 2.5% 1.5% 24% 1% 1% 18.5% 31% 1% 13% Ipsos 2–4 Apr 2007 1,209 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 24.5% 1% 1% 18.5% 31.5% 1% 13% BVA 2–3 Apr 2007 860 – 0.5% 3% 4% 2.5% 2% 24% 1% 1% 18% 29.5% 2.5% 12% Ipsos 31 Mar–3 Apr 2007 1,272 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 2.5% 1% 25% 1.5% 1% 18.5% 31.5% 1% 13% Ifop 31 Mar–2 Apr 2007 846 – 0.5% 2% 5% 2% 2% 23% 1% 1.5% 20% 27.5% 1.5% 14% Ipsos 30 Mar–2 Apr 2007 1,344 – 0.5% 1.5% 4% 2% 1% 24% 1% 1% 19% 31.5% 1% 13.5% LH2 30–31 Mar 2007 1,003 – <0.5% 1% 5% 3% 2% 26% 1% 1% 18% 29% 1% 13% Ipsos 29–31 Mar 2007 1,341 – 0.5% 1.5% 4.5% 2% 1% 24.5% 1% 1% 19% 31% 1% 13% Ipsos 28–30 Mar 2007 1,277 – 0.5% 1.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5% 24% 0.5% 1.5% 18.5% 32% 1% 12% CSA 28–29 Mar 2007 922 – 0.5% 2% 3% 4% 2% 24.5% 1% 1% 19.5% 26% 1.5% 15% TNS Sofres 28–29 Mar 2007 1,000 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 2.5% 2.5% 27% 1% 1% 18% 30% 1% 12% Ipsos 27–29 Mar 2007 1,104 – 0.5% 2% 4% 2.5% 1.5% 25% 0.5% 1.5% 17.5% 31.5% 1.5% 12% Ifop-Fiducial 26–28 Mar 2007 954 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 23% 1% 1% 21% 28% 2.5% 13.5% Ipsos 26–28 Mar 2007 1,006 – 0.5% 2% 4.5% 2% 1.5% 24.5% 0.5% 1.5% 18% 31% 1.5% 12.5% BVA 26–27 Mar 2007 873 – 0.5% 3% 4.5% 2% 1% 27% 1% <0.5% 20% 28% 1% 12% Ipsos 24–27 Mar 2007 1,110 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 2% 25% 0.5% 1% 18.5% 30.5% 1.5% 13% Ipsos 23–26 Mar 2007 1,247 – 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 25.5% 0.5% 1% 18.5% 31% 1% 13% LH2 23–24 Mar 2007 1,004 – 0.5% 2.5% 3% 2% 1.5% 27% 1% 2% 20% 27% 1.5% 12% Ipsos 22–24 Mar 2007 1,245 – 0.5% 2% 3% 2% 1.5% 25.5% 1% 1% 19% 30% 1% 13.5% Ifop 22–23 Mar 2007 872 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 1% 25% 1% 0.5% 22% 26% 2% 14.5% Ipsos 21–23 Mar 2007 1,143 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 1.5% 25% 1% 0.5% 18.5% 31% 1.5% 13% CSA 21–22 Mar 2007 894 – 0.5% 2% 3.5% 3% 2% 26% 1% 0.5% 21% 26% 1.5% 13% TNS Sofres 21–22 Mar 2007 1,000 – <0.5% 2% 3.5% 2% 2.5% 26.5% 1% 1% 21.5% 28% 1% 11% Ipsos 20–22 Mar 2007 1,006 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 1.5% 2% 24.5% 1% 0.5% 19% 31.5% 1.5% 13.5% Ipsos 19–21 Mar 2007 1,009 – 0.5% 1% 3.5% 1.5% 2.5% 25.5% 1% 0.5% 18.5% 30.5% 2% 13% BVA 19–20 Mar 2007 854 – 0.5% 2% 4% 4% 2% 24% 1% 0.5% 17% 31% 1% 13% Ipsos 17–20 Mar 2007 1,069 – 0.5% 1.5% 4% 1% 2% 25.5% 1% 0.5% 20.5% 29.5% 1.5% 12.5%

17 November 2006 to 19 March 2007