Opinion polling for the 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Norway. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 11 September 2017, to 13 September 2021, the day of the election. Unlike most nations, Norway's constitution does not allow early elections before the four-year term limit.

Poll results Graphical summary There were several websites tracking party support ahead of the election, using somewhat different methods. Below is a plot of the 30-day moving average of relevant opinion polls.

2021

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize R SV MDG Ap Sp V KrF H FrP Others Lead 2021 election 13 Sep 2021 77.2 4.7 7.6 3.9 26.3 13.5 4.6 3.8 20.4 11.6 3.6 5.9Kantar TNS9–11 Sep 20212,088–5.78.75.124.612.74.53.819.012.33.65.6Opinion Perduco10 Sep 2021––4.67.74.826.914.84.53.318.911.92.58.0Kantar TNS8–10 Sep 20212,38883.65.99.14.924.513.24.44.219.411.33.35.1Kantar TNS7–9 Sep 20212,38781.46.79.24.723.912.74.84.919.110.93.34.8Norfakta7–8 Sep 20211,00384.05.48.25.924.014.83.83.619.111.83.54.9Ipsos MMI6–8 Sep 2021––6.011.84.322.912.26.14.217.011.83.75.9Norstat4–8 Sep 2021––4.69.04.924.611.65.83.918.811.94.95.8Respons Analyse3–8 Sep 20211,000–6.09.44.226.611.13.94.518.012.43.9 8.6Kantar TNS3–8 Sep 20212,582–6.49.34.723.713.44.64.519.111.23.5 4.6Norstat31 Aug–8 Sep 202111,500–4.98.94.924.711.94.94.220.412.03.14.3Kantar TNS1–7 Sep 20212,184–6.28.95.023.813.84.84.318.611.13.55.2Kantar TNS1–6 Sep 20211,686–5.69.54.723.314.04.74.119.410.93.83.9Norstat30 Aug–6 Sep 2021969–5.28.65.423.914.33.63.418.512.44.75.4Kantar TNS25 Aug–3 Sep 20211,388–5.49.44.323.414.04.63.620.510.04.92.9Kantar TNS27 Aug–2 Sep 20211,480–5.19.55.023.212.44.84.321.29.05.42.0Respons Analyse27 Aug–1 Sep 20211,00081.04.610.44.923.212.65.53.620.111.53.63.1Kantar TNS25–31 Aug 20211,200–4.99.75.023.411.04.84.121.510.74.91.9Norstat23–29 Aug 2021––5.010.64.823.112.24.54.719,611.33.93.5Norstat24–28 Aug 2021962–5.410.05.823.712.64.93.719.011.53.44.7Kantar TNS23–27 Aug 2021996–7.210.25.022.611.54.43.819.211.84.33.4Kantar TNS22–25 Aug 2021––6.39.95.322.411.24.83.720.510.75.21.9Sentio17–21 Aug 20211,000–5.48.87.223.913.23.83.919.19.84.94.8Norstat16–22 Aug 2021––4.79.55.326.812.83.83.618.910.54.27.9Kantar TNS16–20 Aug 202199281.75.99.55.122.713.04.43.419.79.37.03.0Respons Analyse13–18 Aug 20211,001–4.79.55.824.911.35.04.220.311.62.74.6Norstat10–13 Aug 2021948–3.27.66.722.117.14.12.921.98.65.80.2Kantar TNS9–13 Aug 2021983–5.19.36.322.813.73.45.121.27.75.6 1.6Norstat28 Jul–11 Aug 202111,400–4.96.94.3 25.516.23.33.121.110.93.9 4.4Norstat6–11 Aug 20211,00079.04.68.65.9 24.016.14.33.219.110.14.1 4.9Respons Analyse5–11 Aug 20211,000–4.39.45.1 24.815.34.03.318.911.43.5 5.9Opinion Perduco3–8 Aug 202196476.03.88.83.5 22.619.23.84.021.29.33.8 1.4Kantar TNS2–6 Aug 2021977 -7.58.64.5 23.516.43.23.818.29.35.0 5.3Norstat22–28 Jul 20211,00074.05.58.04.1 26.915.03.63.019.511.62.8 7.4Norfakta6–7 Jul 20211,00077.06.08.83.9 23.816.94.03.120.210.33.0 3.6Kantar TNS28 Jun–2 Jul 2021982–5.47.34.9 22.419.12.83.819.710.64.1 2.7Ipsos MMI28–30 Jun 20211,000–5.56.65.0 23.919.33.42.720.77.25.7 3.2Norstat17–23 Jun 20211,00075.04.98.84.2 27.015.02.53.521.19.43.5 5.9Norstat15–20 Jun 2021930–5.88.42.8 24.917.52.62.722.19.63.5 2.8Respons Analyse9–14 Jun 20211.000–4.58.23.7 23.618.22.83.321.410.53.7 2.2Sentio8–13 Jun 20211,000–4.87.05.0 23.918.72.83.321.910.12.4 2.0Norstat26 May–11 Jun 202111,400–4.27.83.7 24.117.72.73.623.010.23.2 1.1Opinion Perduco1–7 Jun 202196474.04.76.14.7 24.318.72.33.722.810.32.5 1.5Norfakta31 May–4 Jun 2021––5.68.14.0 23.517.62.92.922.310.92.3 1.2Norstat25–31 May 2021953–5.97.34.2 24.717.03.13.021.210.73.0 3.3Kantar TNS 25–31 May 20211,179–6.58.54.5 24.517.54.13.418.29.82.7 6.5Ipsos MMI 24–26 May 20211,00074.04.07.64.7 25.716.42.63.321.110.14.5 4.6Norstat 18–25 May 2021967–4.97.52.6 25.016.22.73.623.79.94.0 1.3Norstat 20–24 May 2021999–3.97.85.3 24.516.23.22.922.810.92.6 1.7Sentio11–16 May 20211,000–4.67.35.1 25.314.63.43.822.112.01.7 3.2Opinion Perduco 13 May 2021––4.49.35.0 25.616.33.34.122.08.71.4 3.6Respons Analyse5–10 May 20211,001–4.08.04.221.518.33.64.1 22.010.83.5 0.5Norfakta 4–5 May 20211,000–4.28.03.8 24.414.83.93.923.910.03.1 0.5Norstat 27 April–3 May 2021958–4.48.84.0 23.117.53.14.221.111.32.4 2.0Kantar TNS 26–30 Apr 2021976–4.68.12.121.118.44.14.5 24.38.64.1 3.2Ipsos MMI 26–28 Apr 20211,00073.04.58.53.9 23.517.53.74.020.49.54.5 3.1Norstat 20–24 Apr 2021963–3.77.43.6 25.617.83.13.821.810.03.2 3.8Norstat 7–20 Apr 202111,413–3.77.03.923.317.12.93.4 24.711.13.0 1.4Sentio 13–19 Apr 20211,000–4.17.34.4 24.817.12.93.124.110.02.1 0.7Opinion Perduco 14 Apr 2021––4.07.75.7 23.119.03.33.121.79.53.0 1.4Respons Analyse 7–12 Apr 20211,00075.04.87.74.425.414.03.23.2 26.68.32.4 1.2Norfakta 6–7 Apr 20211,00074.04.09.84.122.518.81.92.4 24.210.51.7 1.7Kantar TNS 29 Mar–7 Apr 20211,002–4.08.44.320.618.72.34.1 24.210.22.7 3.6Norstat 23–28 Mar 2021968–3.86.94.923.316.64.03.2 25.210.21.8 1.9Ipsos MMI 22–24 Mar 20211,00077.04.97.43.4 24.316.72.92.920.911.55.1 3.4Norstat 16–21 Mar 2021961–4.17.53.320.520.52.44.1 23.89.94.1 3.3Sentio 9–14 Mar 20211,000–4.17.83.3 23.518.62.92.422.712.02.7 0.8Respons Analyse 5–10 Mar 20211,001–4.77.73.622.218.63.32.5 27.87.81.8 5.6Opinion Perduco 1–8 Mar 202196672.04.97.84.122.720.72.22.9 22.89.22.6 0.1Norfakta 2–3 Mar 20211,000–3.87.53.5 24.317.73.92.723.910.02.9 0.4Norstat 22–28 Feb 2021957–2.87.43.921.022.22.83.9 24.69.71.6 2.4Kantar TNS 22–26 Feb 2021981–6.88.64.018.219.22.93.3 25.67.24.2 6.4Ipsos MMI 22–24 Feb 20211,00075.52.77.83.720.317.74.63.3 23.112.93.9 2.8Norstat 15–21 Feb 2021961–4.86.15.220.618.62.33.6 27.68.33.0 7.0Sentio 9–14 Feb 20211,000–3.88.64.721.018.42.73.3 26.97.53.0 5.9Opinion Perduco 1–8 Feb 2021964–2.97.44.024.619.13.23.2 25.18.12.5 0.5Norfakta 2–3 Feb 20211,000–3.87.55.021.319.74.02.7 27.36.42.3 6.0Respons Analyse 27 Jan–2 Feb 20211,000–4.27.33.822.818.81.93.4 26.38.72.8 3.5Norstat 25–31 Jan 202194574.73.98.34.820.721.92.43.5 22.88.33.3 0.9Kantar TNS 25–29 Jan 202197476.25.25.95.020.019.94.22.8 25.37.74.1 5.3Ipsos MMI 25–27 Jan 20211,00073.45.37.71.820.421.42.52.9 25.49.53.1 4.0Norstat 18–24 Jan 2021954–3.87.63.024.219.61.62.7 25.610.01.9 1.4Sentio 12–16 Jan 20211,000–3.37.86.421.319.62.62.9 23.08.44.6 1.8InFact 13 Jan 20213,245–4.08.75.818.420.52.14.7 24.18.63.1 3.6Opinion Perduco 13 Jan 2021––4.48.03.419.020.12.73.4 26.99.82.3 6.8Kantar TNS 4–8 Jan 2021976–5.37.63.422.421.72.33.3 24.27.42.2 1.8Norfakta 5–6 Jan 20211,00178.03.18.24.517.522.62.73.4 24.311.12.6 1.7Respons Analyse 4–6 Jan 20211,000–3.47.73.820.519.23.43.4 26.59.32.8 6.0Norstat 28 Dec 2020–2 Jan 2021962–3.78.93.920.121.32.53.7 22.611.32.0 1.3 2017 election 11 Sep 2017 78.3 2.4 6.0 3.2 27.4 10.3 4.4 4.2 25.0 15.2 1.7 2.4

2020