In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.
Background Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation."In India's National Election, Don't Trust the Polls, Jonah Force Hill, February 24, 2014". TheDiplomat.com. Feb 2014.
Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions.
Post-poll surveys or Exit polls, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.
Opinion polls
Various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day. The ECI banned the release of exit polls from 11 April to 19 May, the last phase of the elections. The commission also banned the publication or broadcast in the media of predictions made by astrologers and tarot card readers.
Poll typeDate publishedPolling agencyOthers Majority RefNDAUPAOpinion polls8 April 2019Times Now-VMR279 14911576 April 2019India TV-CNX 275 1261423Mar 2019Times Now-VMR 283 13512511Mar 2019News Nation 270 134139HungMar 2019CVoter 264 141138HungMar 2019India TV-CNX 285 12613213Mar 2019Zee 24 Taas 264 165114Hung Feb 2019VDP Associates 242 148 153Hung Jan 2019Times Now-VMR 252 147 144HungJan 2019ABP News-CVoter 233 167 143HungJan 2019India Today-Karvy 237 166 140Hung Jan 2019VDP Associates 225 167 150Hung Dec 2018India Today 257 146 140HungDec 2018ABP News-CVoter 247 171 125Hung Dec 2018India TV-CNX 281 124 1389Nov 2018ABP News-CVoter 261 119 163Hung Oct 2018ABP News 276 112 1554Aug 2018India Today-Karvy 281 122 1409 May 2018ABP News-CSDS 274 164 1052 Jan 2018CVoter 335 89 11963 Jan 2018India Today 309 102 13237
Vote share Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAMar 2019News Nation34%28% 38% 6%Mar 2019ABP News – C voter41%31%28%10% Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR38.7% 32.6% 28.7%6.1% Jan 2019 CVoter37.6% 32.2% 30.2%5.4% Jan 2019India Today -Karvy35% 33% 32%2%April–May 20142014 General election results36.0%23.0%42.0%13.0%
Polling on politicians
Next Prime Minister
Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi
Date publishedPolling agencyLead Jan 2019 India Today60% 24%36% Jan 2019 India TV - CNX41% 23%18% Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter56% 36%20% Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS60% 34%26% Jan 201866% 28%38% 201769% 26%43%
Narendra Modi vs Priyanka Gandhi
Date publishedPolling agencyLead Yes No Feb 2019ABP news - Cvoter 32%28%
Best Alternative to Narendra Modi amongst the Opposition leaders in 2019 Election
Date publishedPolling agencycan't sayLead Jan 2019 India Today- Karvy32% 3% 3% 3% 7% 12%34% Jul 2018 India Today- Karvy46% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 12%34% Jan 201845% 9% 9% 7% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3% 12%33% Jul 2017 21% 4% 6% 4% 7% 3% 2% 13% 12% 3%22%1% Jan 201728% 4% 3% 2% 7% 2% 3% 13% 9% 3% 24%4% Aug 201623% 4% 4% 2% 12% 3% 3% 13% 9% 3% 21%2% Feb 201632% 2% 5% 10% 1% 3% 8% 15% 2% 15%17%
Approval ratings
Economic performance; compared to previous government Date publishedPolling agencyDon't knowLeadBetterWorse Jan 2019 India Today -Karvy 28% 23%21% Aug 2018 India Today -Karvy 24% 25%27% Jan 2018 India Today -Karvy 21% 23%34%
Issues
Key Issues Date publishedPolling agencyUnemploymentPrice riseCorruptionFarmers' plight Jan 2019 India today - Karvy 19% 15% 12%
Farm distress; Low crop causing farm distress Date publishedPolling agencyDon't knowLeadYesNo Jan 2019 India today - Karvy 25% 10% 40%
Jobs; Enough created Date publishedPolling agencyDon't knowLeadYesNo Jan 2019 India today - Karvy 12% 12% 64%
Alleged corruption in Rafale deal Date publishedPolling agencyYesNoNot aware of dealCan't say Jan 2019 India today - Karvy 30% 23% 15%
Statewise opinion polling
Andhra Pradesh (25) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadTDPYSRCP6 April 2019IndiaTV-CNX 71811
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadTDPYSRCPUPANDA
Arunachal Pradesh (2) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Assam (14) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAIUDF 6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX 5 5 2 Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR8 4 24
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAAIUDF Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR37.0% 32.4% 12.8% 14.3%4.60%
Bihar (40) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA6 April 2019IndiaTV-CNX 291118 Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter35 530 Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter34 628Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS22 18431 922
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Chhattisgarh (11) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA 6 April 2019India TV - CNX 385 March 2019News Nation 561 Jan 2019India TV - CNX 561 Oct 2018Times Now8 35 Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS9 27 Oct 2018Times Now8 35
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAJCC
Goa (2) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX 2 2
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Gujarat (26) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA 6 April 2019 India TV-CNX24 222 March 2019 News Nation21 516
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Haryana (10) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAINLD6 April 2019India TV - CNX91 –8Jan 2019ABP News - Cvoter73 –4Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS6 3 13
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAINLD
Himachal Pradesh (4) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Jammu and Kashmir (6) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA6 April 2019 India TV - CNX242Mar 2019 Times Now242
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAJKPDP
Jharkhand (14) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA 9 April 2019Times Now - VMR1138 8 April 2019News Nation954 6 April 2019India TV - CNX104630 March 2019VDP Associates77 5 January 2019VDP Associates 4106
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAJMMJVM
Karnataka (28) Date publishedPolling agency LeadNDAUPA 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX 16 124
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Kerala (20) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUDFLDFNDA 15–19 April 2019 Twenty Four News10-12 8-10 0-20-4 14 April 2019 Asianet News - AZ Research13 6 17 8 April 2019 Mathrubhoomi News - Nielson14 5 19 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX14 5 19 March 2019 News Nation15 4 111 March 2019 Times Now-VMR16 3 112 Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS12 6 26 Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUDFLDFNDA 15-19 Apr 2019 Twenty Four News42% 39% 15% 3% 14 April 2019 Asianet News – AZ Research41% 34% 19% 7% 8 April 2019 Mathrubhoomi News – Nielson41% 37% 16% 4% Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR45% 29.2% 21.7% 15.8%
Madhya Pradesh (29) Date publishedPolling agency LeadNDAUPA6 April 2019IndiaTV-CNX21813Mar 2019Times Now-VMR24519Jan 2019ABP News -Cvoter23617 Jan 2019India TV - CNX18 117 Nov 2018ABP News - C Voters22 715 Oct 2018 Times Now21 813Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS23 617 Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR49.20%39.70%4.30%9.5%
Maharashtra (48) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDASHSUPANCP 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX341321 Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter28208 Jan 2019VDP Associates23 223 Jan 2019India TV - CNX22 8184 Nov 2018ABP News- C Voter23 5 14 69 Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS 16 2301436122422 7 11 811
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDASHSUPANCP
Manipur (2) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANDANPF Mar 2019 Times Now 1 1 0 –
Meghalaya (2)
Mizoram (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPAMNFNDA Mar 2019 Times Now 011
Nagaland (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANPFNDA March 2019 Times Now-VMR 01 01
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANPFOthers Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR 30.1%68.7% 5.9% 38.6%
Odisha (21) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPABJD 6 April 2019India TV - CNX 6 1148Jan 2019ABP News - Cvoter1293 Nov 2018ABP News- C Voter13 3 56Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS13 2 67
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPABJD
Punjab (13) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAAP6 April 2019India TV 39 16Mar 2019Zee 24 Taas 110 26Mar 2019India TV 39 16Jan 2019ABP News - Cvoter 112 011 Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS 112 011 Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAAP
Rajasthan (25) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX17 89 March 2019News Nation17 89 Jan 2019India TV - CNX15 105 Jan 2019VDP Associates12131 Nov 2018ABP News- C Voters17 89 Oct 2018Times Now24 123 Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS18 711
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Sikkim (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPASDFNDA 8 April 2019 News X 011 6 April 2019 India TV - CNX 011 March 2019 Times Now 011
Tamil Nadu (39)
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANDAAIADMK 8 April 2019 Times Now-VMR33627 8 April 2019 PuthiyaThalaimurai TV31-336-8 27 6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX21138 5 April 2019 People studies-Loyola College333-528 Mar 2019 News Nation24159 Mar 2019 Times18 15 63 Mar 2019 India TV-CNX22 15 27
AIADMK is part of NDA alliance in Tamil Nadu.
Telangana (17) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadTRSUPABJPAIMIM6 April 2019India TV - CNX12 4 0 18Mar 2019Times Now-VMR12 1 2 110
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPATRSAIMIMNDAMar 2019Times Now-VMR 30.30%41.20% 7.4% 17.60%10.9%
Tripura (2) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadLDFNDAUPA Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR 02 02 March 2019 India TV-CNX 1 1 0 – Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR 02 02 Dec 2018 India Today 1 1 0 –
Uttar Pradesh (80)
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAMGB8 April 2019News Nation3724146 April 2019India TV - CNX4143563 April 2019 ABP News - Nielsen 36 24261 April 2019India TV - CNX 464301619 March 2019Times Now - VMR 42236612 March 2019News Nation3524388 March 2019India TV - CNX 41435631 January 2019 Times Now - VMR 27 2512424 January 2019 ABP News - Cvoter 25 4512623 January 2019India Today 18 458402 November 2018ABP News - CVoter 31 544135 October 2018ABP News- CSDS 36 2426
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAMGB
Uttarakhand (5) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA Jan 2019 India TV - CNX4 13
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
West Bengal (42) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAITCLF6 April 2019India TV - CNX12128 116 Mar 2019ABP News- Nielsen 8 331 23Jan 2019Spick Media8430 022 Nov 2018Spick Media 5 432 127 Nov 2018ABP News- C Voter 9 132 23
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAITCLF
Union territories
Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Chandigarh (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAAP
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPAAAP
Dadra and Nagar Haveli (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPA Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadNDAUPA
Daman and Diu (1)
Lakshadweep (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANDA
Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANDANCP
Puducherry (1) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadUPANDA
Date publishedPolling agencyOthersLeadUPANDA
NCT of Delhi (7) Date publishedPolling agencyLeadNDAUPAAAP 6 April 2019India TV - CNX7 0 07 March 2019News Nation6 0 15 Jan 2019India TV - CNX5 1 14 Oct 2018ABP News- CSDS4 31
Exit polls Poll typeDate publishedPolling agencyOthers Majority RefNDAUPAExit pollsIndia Today-Axis News24-Today's Chanakya News18-IPSOSCNN-IBN-IPSOS 336 82 12464VDP Associates 333 115 9461Sudarshan News 313 121 10941Times Now-VMR Suvarna News 305 124 10233India TV-CNX India News-Polstrat 287 128 12715CVoter 287 128 12715News Nation 286 122 13414ABP-CSDS 277 130 1355NewsX-Neta 242 164 137Hung
See also Opinion polling for the 2014 Indian general election
References
External links Election Commission of India website Lok Sabha (General) Elections 2019 Date, Seats, Opinion Poll, Results