Opinion polling for the 2002 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round The Sofres poll conducted from 4 to 5 April 2002, marked with an asterisk (*) below, was conducted specifically for subsample data.

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 19 April 2002. Until the law of 19 February 2002 amended the law of 19 July 1977, the publication of voting intention polls was prohibited in the week before the election. The law of 19 February 2002 also extended the ban on the publication of polls to include surveys conducted before the electoral silence.

Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

28 March to 18 April 2002 Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Laguiller Gluckstein Besancenot Hue Jospin Taubira Chevènement Mamère Lepage Bayrou Chirac Madelin Boutin Miguet Pasqua Saint-Josse Mégret Le Pen 2002 election 21 Apr 2002 – 28.40% 5.72% 0.47% 4.25% 3.37% 16.18% 2.32% 5.33% 5.25% 1.88% 6.84% 19.88% 3.91% 1.19% – – 4.23% 2.34% 16.86% BVA 18 Apr 2002 631 – 8% 0.5% 3.5% 5% 18% 2% 6% 5% 1% 6% 19% 5% 1% – – 4% 2% 14% CSA 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 – 7% 0.5% 3% 5% 18% 2.5% 6.5% 5% 1.5% 6% 19.5% 3.5% 1.5% – – 4% 2.5% 14% Ipsos 17–18 Apr 2002 989 – 7% 0.5% 4% 5% 18% 1% 6.5% 6.5% 1% 6% 20% 4% 1% – – 3% 2.5% 14% Sofres 17–18 Apr 2002 1,000 – 6.5% 0.5% 4% 6% 18% 1.5% 6.5% 6% 1% 6% 19.5% 5% 1.5% – – 4% 1.5% 12.5% Louis Harris 16–17 Apr 2002 592 – 8% 0% 2% 5% 18% 1% 6% 7% 1% 7% 20% 5% 2% – – 3% 2% 13% Ipsos 15–16 Apr 2002 1,005 – 7% 0.5% 2.5% 5.5% 18% 1.5% 6% 6.5% 1% 5% 22% 4% 1% – – 3.5% 3% 13% Sofres 13–15 Apr 2002 1,000 – 8% 0.5% 2.5% 6% 18% 1% 6% 5% 1.5% 6% 20% 5% 1.5% – – 3.5% 2.5% 13% Ifop 12–13 Apr 2002 1,006 – 7% 0.5% 4% 5.5% 16.5% 1.5% 8.5% 6.5% 2% 6.5% 20% 3.5% 0.5% – – 4% 3% 10.5% BVA 10–13 Apr 2002 749 – 9% 0.5% 2% 5% 18% 1.5% 6% 6% 1.5% 6% 18.5% 5% 1% – – 4% 2% 14% Ifop 11–12 Apr 2002 951 – 8% 0.5% 3.5% 5.5% 17% 2% 8% 7% 2% 6.5% 19% 3.5% 0.5% – – 4.5% 3% 9.5% CSA 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 – 8% 0.5% 1.5% 5.5% 19% 1% 7% 6.5% 1.5% 5.5% 21% 3.5% 1% – – 3.5% 3% 12% Sofres 10–11 Apr 2002 1,000 – 8% 0.5% 2.5% 6% 19% 1.5% 6% 4.5% 1.5% 5% 22% 5% 0.5% – – 3% 2% 13% Ifop 5–6 Apr 2002 1,004 – 8.5% 0.5% 1% 5% 17.5% 1% 8% 8% 1.5% 5.5% 21% 3.5% 1% – – 4% 1% 13% Ipsos 5–6 Apr 2002 952 – 11% 0% 1% 5% 19% 0.5% 8.5% 5% 1% 5% 23% 3.5% 0.5% – – 3.5% 1.5% 12% BVA 4–6 Apr 2002 657 – 11% – 1% 5% 20% 1% 6% 6.5% 1.5% 5% 20% 3.5% 0.5% – 0.5% 3.5% 3% 12% Sofres* 4–5 Apr 2002 1,000 – 8.5% 0% 1% 5.5% 21% 1% 6% 7% 1% 6% 21% 3.5% 1.5% – – 3% 1.5% 12.5% CSA 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 – 8.5% 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 0.5% 8% 8.5% 1.5% 4.5% 22% 3% 1.5% – – 5% 1.5% 11.5% Sofres 3–4 Apr 2002 1,000 – 9% 0% 0.5% 6% 19% 1% 7% 5% 1% 4% 24% 4% 1.5% 0% – 4% 2% 12% Ipsos 29–30 Mar 2002 938 – 10% – 1% 5% 20% 0.5% 8% 5% 0.5% 5% 24% 3% 1% – 2% 3.5% 1.5% 10% 11% – 1% 5% 21% 0.5% 10.5% 5% 0.5% 5.5% 27% 3.5% 1% – 4% 4.5% – – Louis Harris 29–30 Mar 2002 1,001 – 10% – 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 8% 6% 1% 4.5% 21% 3.5% 1.5% – 2% 3% 1% 10% BVA 28–30 Mar 2002 661 – 11% – 0.5% 6% 20% 0.5% 6.5% 6.5% 0.5% 5% 20% 4% 1% – 2% 2% 1.5% 13%

17 October 2001 to 27 March 2002 Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Laguiller Gluckstein Besancenot Hue Jospin Taubira ChevènementDieudonné Mamère Waechter Larrouturou Lepage Lalonde Bayrou Chirac Madelin Boutin Pasqua Saint-Josse Mégret Le Pen Ifop 28–29 Mar 2002 936 10% <0.5% 1% 4.5% 20.5% 1% 9% – 7% 0.5% 0.5% 1% <0.5% 5.5% 21% 2% 0.5% 2% 2.5% 1% 10% CSA 27–28 Mar 2002 1,003 9% 0.5% 1% 5% 20% 0.5% 9% – 5% – – 1% – 4.5% 20% 3.5% 1.5% 1.5% 4.5% 1.5% 12% Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 10% 0% 1% 6% 20% 0.5% 8.5% – 6% – – 0.5% – 4.5% 21% 4% 0.5% 2% 4% 0.5% 11% Sofres 27–28 Mar 2002 1,000 10% 0% 0.5% 6% 21% 0% 8% – 5% – – 0.5% – 5% 22% 4% 0.5% 3% 3% 1.5% 10% Ifop 23–24 Mar 2002 1,005 10% <0.5% 1% 6% 19% 1% 10% 1% 7% <0.5% <0.5% 1% <0.5% 4% 20% 3% 1% 3% 2% <0.5% 10% Ipsos 22–23 Mar 2002 938 10% – 0.5% 5% 22% 0.5% 9% – 5.5% – – 0.5% – 5% 24% 2.5% 1% 2% 2.5% 1% 9% Sofres 22–23 Mar 2002 1,000 10% – 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 7.5% – 5.5% – – 1% – 4% 23% 4% 1% 1.5% 3% 1% 10% BVA 21–23 Mar 2002 647 10% – 1% 5.5% 23% 1% 6.5% – 5.5% – – 1% – 4% 23% 3.5% 0.5% 1% 2.5% 1% 11% Ifop 21–22 Mar 2002 947 8% 0.5% 0.5% 5% 21% <0.5% 9% 1% 5% 0.5% <0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 4% 23% 2.5% 0.5% 3% 2% 1% 12% CSA 20–21 Mar 2002 1,000 8% 1% 5% 21% 0.5% 7% – 6.5% – – 0.5% – 4% 23% 4% 1% 2.5% 3.5% 1.5% 11% Ifop 15–16 Mar 2002 933 10% 0.5% 0.5% 5% 19% 0.5% 11% 1% 6% <0.5% <0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 4% 22% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 8% Ipsos 15–16 Mar 2002 919 9% – 0.5% 5.5% 21% 0.5% 10% – 5.5% – – 1% – 4% 23% 3% 1% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 10% 9.5% – 0.5% 5.5% 22% 0.5% 11% – 5.5% – – 1% – 4.5% 27.5% 3% 1% 6.5% 2% – – BVA 14–16 Mar 2002 739 9% – 1% 6% 22% 0.5% 7% – 5% – – 2% – 3.5% 25% 3.5% 0.5% 1.5% 3% 0.5% 10% Sofres 13–16 Mar 2002 1,000 9.5% – 1% 5.5% 21% 0.5% 6.5% – 6% – – 0.5% – 4.5% 23.5% 4% 1% 2.5% 3% 1% 10% Sofres 14–15 Mar 2002 1,000 9% – 1% 5.5% 20% 0.5% 7% – 6% – – 1% – 4% 24% 4% 1% 3% 2% 1% 11% CSA 13–14 Mar 2002 1,001 7% 0.5% 1% 4.5% 22% 1% 8.5% – 5.5% – – 0.5% – 3% 25.5% 3% 1% 2.5% 3% 2% 9.5% Ipsos 8–9 Mar 2002 933 8% – 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 11% – 6% – – 0.5% – 3% 24% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1.5% 8% 8.5% – 0.5% 6.5% 23% 0.5% 12.5% – 6% – – 0.5% – 3.5% 27% 3% 1% 4.5% 3% – – Louis Harris 8–9 Mar 2002 626 8% – 1% 5% 23% <0.5% 10% – 5% – – 1% – 3% 24% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 10% Sofres 8–9 Mar 2002 1,000 9% – 0.5% 5.5% 22% 0.5% 7.5% – 5% – – 1% – 4% 23% 4% 1% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 11% Ipsos 1–2 Mar 2002 925 8% – 1% 6% 21% 0.5% 10% – 6% – – 0.5% – 4% 24% 3% 0.5% 2.5% 3% 1% 9% BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002 693 8% – 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 8% – 5% – – 1% – 4% 21% 4% 1% 2% 2.5% 1.5% 11% Ifop 28 Feb–1 Mar 2002 941 9% <0.5% 0.5% 4% 21% 0.5% 10% 2% 7% <0.5% 0.5% 0.5% <0.5% 3% 22% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% 8% CSA 27–28 Feb 2002 1,007 6% 0.5% 5.5% 23.5% 0.5% 11% – 6% – – 0.5% – 4% 21% 3% 1.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2% 10% Sofres 27–28 Feb 2002 1,000 7% – 1% 5.5% 22.5% 0.5% 10% – 6% – – 0.5% – 3% 24% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 11% Ifop 22–23 Feb 2002 937 7% <1% <1% 5% 22% <1% 12% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 23% 4% <1% 3% 3% 1% 7% Ipsos 22–23 Feb 2002 938 7% – 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 11% – 6% – – 0.5% – 3% 25% 3% 0.5% 1.5% 3% 1.5% 9% Sofres 22–23 Feb 2002 1,000 7.5% – 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 10% – 5.5% – – 0.5% – 3% 24% 4.5% 1% 1.5% 2% 0.5% 11% Ifop 21–22 Feb 2002 939 8% <1% <1% 5% 23% <1% 10% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 25% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 7% Ipsos 15–16 Feb 2002 916 7% – 1% 6% 20% 0.5% 12% – 5% – – 0.5% – 3% 25% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% BVA 14–16 Feb 2002 743 7% – 0.5% 5% 23% 0.5% 10% – 6% – – 1% – 4% 24% 3% 0.5% 1% 2.5% 1% 11% Sofres 13–15 Feb 2002 1,000 6% – 0.5% 6% 21.5% 0% 10% – 7% – – 0.5% – 3% 26% 3% 0.5% 3% 3% 1% 9% CSA 13–14 Feb 2002 1,000 5.5% – 0.5% 5% 21.5% 0.5% 10% – 6% – – 1% – 3% 24.5% 5% 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 2% 10% Ipsos 12 Feb 2002 1,018 6% – 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 11% – 5% – – 1% – 3% 27% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 8% Ipsos 8–9 Feb 2002 908 6% – 0.5% 7% 21% 0.5% 12% – 6% – – 0.5% – 3% 23% 4% 1% 3% 1.5% 1% 10% Ifop 7–8 Feb 2002 961 7% <1% 1% 5% 19% <1% 13% 2% 7% <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 23% 4% 1% 3% 2% 1% 7% Ipsos 1–2 Feb 2002 925 6% – 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 12% – 6% – – 1% – 4% 23% 5% 1% 3% – 1% 8% Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 2002 844 6% – 1% 5% 23% 0.5% 13% – 5% – – 1% – 5% 23% 5% <0.5% 2.5% – 1% 9% Sofres 1–2 Feb 2002 1,000 6% – 1% 6.5% 22.5% – 11% – 6% – – – – 4% 24% 5% – 1.5% – 1.5% 11% BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002 788 7% – 1% 5% 22% 1% 10% – 7% – – 1% – 4% 23% 5% 0.5% 2% – 1.5% 10% Ifop 31 Jan–1 Feb 2002 963 7% <1% <1% 4% 22% <1% 11% 1% 6% <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 24% 4% 1% 3% – 2% 10% CSA 29–30 Jan 2002 1,001 6% – 0.5% 5% 22% 1% 14% – 7% – – 0.5% – 4% 23% 5% – 1.5% – 1.5% 9% Ipsos 25–26 Jan 2002 962 7% – 0.5% 5% 22% 0.5% 12% – 5% – – 1% – 4% 26% 5% 0.5% 1% – 1.5% 9% Ifop 17–18 Jan 2002 943 6% <1% <1% 5% 20% <1% 11% – 8% <1% – 1% <1% 5% 24% 5% 1% 3% – 1% 9% CSA 17 Jan 2002 1,006 6% – 0.5% 4.5% 22% 0.5% 11% – 7.5% – – 0.5% – 4% 27% 5% – 1% – 0.5% 10% Ipsos 11–12 Jan 2002 947 6% – 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 10% – 5% – – 0.5% – 5% 28% 4% 0.5% 1% – 1% 8% Sofres 11–12 Jan 2002 1,000 7% – 0.5% 6% 22% – 9% – 6% – – – – 4% 27% 4% – 3.5% – 2% 9% Ifop 10–11 Jan 2002 963 6% – <1% 5% 21% <1% 11% – 8% <1% – 1% <1% 4% 27% 3% 1% 3% – 1% 8% Sofres 5 Jan 2002 800 7% – 0% 6% 24% – 9% – 6% – – – – 3% 27% 4% – 3% – 2% 9% Ipsos 4–5 Jan 2002 955 6% – 0.5% 6% 23% 0.5% 11% – 5% – – 0.5% – 4% 28% 3% 0.5% 2% – 1% 9% Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 2002 1,003 7% – <0.5% 5% 24% – 8% – 7% – – 1% – 3% 27% 4% <0.5% 3% – 2% 9% BVA 2–5 Jan 2002 735 7% – 0.5% 6% 24% 0.5% 11% – 7% – – 0.5% – 5% 21% 4% 0.5% 2% – 1% 10% CSA 3–4 Jan 2002 1,005 5% – 1% 5.5% 21.5% 0.5% 10.5% – 6% – – – – 4% 28% 5% – 1% – 2% 10% Sofres 14–15 Dec 2001 1,000 7% – 0.5% 6.5% 22% – 9% – 7% – – – – 3% 27% 5% – 3% – 1.5% 8.5% CSA 11–12 Dec 2001 1,000 7% – 0.5% 5.5% 22% – 10% – 8% – – – – 5% 25% 5% – 2% – 1% 9% Ipsos 7–8 Dec 2001 840 6% – 0.5% 6% 22% 0.5% 12% – 6% – – 1% – 4% 27% 3% 0.5% 2% – 1.5% 8% BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001 680 5% – 0.5% 5% 24% – 8% – 9% – – 1% – 4% 23% 4% 0.5% 4% – 1% 11% Ifop 29–30 Nov 2001 943 7% – <1% 4% 22% – 10% – 8% <1% – 1% – 5% 26% 5% <1% 4% – 1% 6% Sofres 22–23 Nov 2001 1,000 7% – – 6.5% 22% – 8% – 6% – – – – 4.5% 27% 5% – 4% – 1% 9% CSA 14–15 Nov 2001 1,006 6% – 1% 5% 23% – 10% – 8% – – – – 4.5% 25% 4.5% – 3% – 1% 9% Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2001 927 5% – 0.5% 6% 22% – 11% – 7% – – 0.5% – 4% 27% 4% 0.5% 3% – 1.5% 8% BVA 25–27 Oct 2001 685 7% – 0.5% 5% 22% – 12% – 6% – – 1% – 4% 24% 5% 1% 3% – 0.5% 9% Ipsos 19–20 Oct 2001 829 5% – 0.5% 5% 23% – 12% – 6% – – 0.5% – 5% 26% 5% 0.5% 4% – 1.5% 6% Sofres 19–20 Oct 2001 1,000 6% – – 6% 23% – 8.5% – 5.5% – – – – 5% 27% 5% – 3% – – 11% CSA 17–18 Oct 2001 1,005 7% – 0.5% 5.5% 23% – 9% – 7% – – – – 5% 26% 5% – 3% – 0.5% 8.5%

15 February to 16 October 2001