The 2019 Manitoba general election was held on September 10, 2019, to elect the 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba.Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election . Retrieved June 24, 2012.
The incumbent Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Brian Pallister, were re-elected to a second majority government with a loss of two seats. The NDP, led by Wab Kinew, gained six seats and retained their position as the official opposition. The Liberals, led by Dougald Lamont, won the remaining three seats.
Background Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. As the previous election was held in 2016, the latest possible date for the election was October 6, 2020, or if that would have overlapped with a federal election period, the latest possible date would be April 20, 2021.CCSM c. E30, s. 49.1(3)
However, incumbent Premier Brian Pallister announced instead in June 2019 that he would seek to hold the election over a year early, on September 10, 2019, in order to seek "a new mandate to keep moving Manitoba forward." Pallister visited Lieutenant Governor Janice Filmon on August 12 to officially drop the writ and begin the campaign period.
It had been speculated that Pallister would call an early election in order to take advantage of a large lead in opinion polls, and to get the vote out of the way before new and potentially unpopular budget cuts took effect. A poll taken by the Winnipeg Free Press found that while most respondents disagreed with the early election and agreed that Pallister had moved up the date for partisan reasons, such sentiments were unlikely to imperil Pallister's re-election.
Reorganization of electoral divisions In 2006, the Electoral Divisions Act was amended to provide for the creation of a permanent commission to determine any necessary redistribution of seats in the Legislative Assembly by the end of 2008, and then every tenth year thereafter. Its final report would take effect upon the dissolution of the relevant Legislature. Following a series of hearings and an interim report, the commission's final report was issued in December 2018, which provided for the following changes:
Abolished ridings New ridingsNew ridings Lagimodièrefrom part of Southdale and small parts of Radisson, St. Vital, and Seine River McPhillipsfrom parts of St. Paul, The Maples, and Kildonan Red River Northfrom parts of Selkirk, St. Paul, and a small part of Lac du Bonnet Springfield-Ritchotfrom parts of St. Paul, La Verendrye, Dawson Trail, and Morris Waverleyfrom parts of St. Norbert and Fort WhyteAbolished ridings Morrisparts going to Midland, La Verendrye and Springfield-Ritchot St. PaulMerger of ridings Gimli Interlake Interlake-Gimli Seine River St. Norbert Seine River Kildonan River East Kildonan-River EastRenaming of ridings Arthur-Virden Turtle Mountain Charleswood Roblin Emerson Borderland Fort Garry-Riverview Fort Garry Logan Union Station Minto Notre Dame The Pas The Pas-Kameesak
Timeline 2016 May 3: Government is sworn in May 7: Greg Selinger resigns as leader and Flor Marcelino becomes interim Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba. September 24: Rana Bokhari resigns as Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. October 21: Judy Klassen becomes interim Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2017 January 9: Kevin Chief resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas, causing a by-election. January 31: NDP MLA Mohinder Saran suspended from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations. June 13: Bernadette Smith elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for Point Douglas holding the seat for the NDP with a reduced majority. June 13: Judy Klassen resigns as interim leader to run for Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. Paul Brault becomes acting Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party. June 30: Progressive Conservative MLA Steven Fletcher expelled from the caucus after breaking with the party on multiple issues. September 16: Wab Kinew elected Leader of the New Democratic Party of Manitoba. October 21: Dougald Lamont elected Leader of the Manitoba Liberal Party.
2018 March 7: Greg Selinger resigns as NDP member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, causing a by-election. March 21: NDP MLA for Wolseley, Rob Altemeyer, announces that he will not seek re-election. July 17: Liberal leader Dougald Lamont elected member of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba for St. Boniface, gaining the seat from the NDP and winning official party status for the Liberals. August 13: Steven Fletcher joins the Manitoba Party. September 11: Steven Fletcher becomes Leader of the Manitoba Party. October 22: Progressive Conservative MLA Cliff Graydon expelled from the caucus due to sexual harassment allegations. December 14: Final Report of the Manitoba Electoral Boundaries Commission released. December 14: NDP MLA for Fort Garry-Riverview, James Allum, announces that he will not seek re-election.
2019 April 3: Progressive Conservative MLA for Kildonan, Nic Curry announces that he will not seek re-election. August 12: Premier Pallister visits the lieutenant governor and calls the election for September 10. September 10: The election is held.
Movement in seats held
+ 41st Manitoba Legislature - Movement in seats held up to the election (2016-2019)Party2016Gain/(loss) due to2019 Resignationas MLA Expulsion/Suspension Switchingallegiance Byelection gain Byelection hold40 (2) 3814 (2) (1) 1 123 1 4– 1 1– 3 (1) 2Total 57 (2) – – 1 1 57
+ Changes in seats held (2016–2019) Seat Before Change Date Member Party Reason Date Member PartyPoint DouglasJanuary 9, 2017Kevin ChiefResignationJune 13, 2017Bernadette SmithThe MaplesJanuary 31, 2017Mohinder SaranSuspended from caucusAssiniboia June 30, 2017Steven FletcherExpelled from caucusSeptember 11, 2018Becomes leader of new partySt. BonifaceMarch 7, 2018Greg SelingerResignationJuly 17, 2018Dougald LamontEmersonOctober 22, 2018Cliff GraydonExpelled from caucus
Historical results from 1990 onwards
Campaign + Riding contests, by number of candidates (2019) CandidatesPCNDPLibGrnMFWM1STCommIndTotal313 13 13 39429 29 29 28 1 116510 10 10 10 2 4 2 2 5065 5 5 5 4 2 3 1 30Total57 57 57 43 7 6 5 3 235
Opinion polls Polling firm Last dateof polling Link PC NDP Liberal Green OtherForum ResearchSeptember 9, 2019432917101Research Co.September 9, 201944311671Mainstreet ResearchSeptember 4, 2019Manitoba PC Government most likely outcomeMainstreet Research 43.334.215.16.21.2Research Co.August 29, 201946301481Probe Research IncAugust 24, 2019402918103Mainstreet ResearchAugust 19, 201942.534.711.99.61.4 ConversoAugust 7, 201935.021.012.08.01.0 Probe Research IncJune 17, 2019422616143Probe Research Inchttp://www.probe-research.com/documents/190402%20March%202019%20MB%20Omni%20Prov%20Party%20Standings.pdf 4230187Mainstreet Research44.832.113.16.73.3Mainstreet Research 44.628.016.84.66.0Probe Research Inc 44272153Mainstreet Research 42.328.718.16.04.9Probe Research Inc 4425208Mainstreet Research 44.929.313.68.73.4Probe Research Inc 42301611Mainstreet Research 45.630.213.07.8Probe Research Inc4428198Mainstreet Research 39.636.713.310.4Probe Research Inc4026258Probe Research Inc3630248Probe Research Inc4230207Mainstreet Research47231911Probe Research Inc4327208Probe Research Inc4924198Probe Research Inc4820265Probe Research Inc46271882016 election53.025.714.55.11.7Polling firmLast dateof pollingLinkOtherPCNDPLiberalGreen
Results
!rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Party !rowspan="2"|Leader !rowspan="2"|Candidates !colspan="4"|Seats !colspan="3"|Popular vote |- !2016 !Dissolution !2019 !+/- !Votes !% !+/-
|align=left| |57 ||40 |||38||36 ||-4 ||222,569||46.81 || -6.27
|align=left|Wab Kinew |57 ||14 ||12 ||18 ||+4 ||150,016||31.55|| +5.77
|align=left|Dougald Lamont |57 ||3 ||4 || 3|| – ||69,497||14.62||+0.22
|align=left| |43 ||– ||– ||–||–||30,295||6.37||+1.30
|align=left|Manitoba Forward |align=left|Wayne Sturby |7 ||– ||–||–||–||1,339||0.28 ||
|align=left|Manitoba First |align=left|Douglas Petrick |6 ||– ||1 ||–|| – ||647||0.14||-0.98
|align=left|Darrell Rankin |5 ||– ||– ||–||–||214||0.05||-0.02
| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Independents |3 ||– ||2 || –|| –||854||0.18||-0.29
| colspan="4" style="text-align:left;"|Vacant | |0||||| –|| || || |- | colspan="5" | |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Valid votes | || || ||||||478,926|| 99.27 || |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Blank and invalid votes | || || ||||||3,495|| 0.73 || |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Total |235 ||57 ||57 ||57||||482,421|| 100|| |- | style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Registered voters/turnout | || || ||||||870,137||55.44 ||
Vote and seat summaries
Results by riding Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.
Northern Manitoba
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Flin Flon | |Theresa Wride 1,294 - 30.7% || |Tom Lindsey 2,435 - 57.8% | |James Lindsay 270 - 6.6% | |Saara Murnick 203 - 4.8% || |Tom Lindsey |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Keewatinook | |Arnold Flett 355 - 13.6% || |Ian Bushie 1,723 - 66.1% | |Jason Harper 530 - 20.3%
|Judy Klassen |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Swan River || |Rick Wowchuk 5,529 - 69.0% | |Shelley Wiggins 2,064 - 25.8% | |David Teffaine 417 - 5.2%
|Rick Wowchuk |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|The Pas-Kameesak | |Ron Evans 1,324 - 24.8% || |Amanda Lathlin 3,054 - 57.2% | |Ken Brandt 178 - 3.3% | |Ralph McLean 780 - 14.6% || |Amanda Lathlin The Pas |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Thompson | |Kelly Bindle 1,750 - 35.9% || |Danielle Adams 2,651 - 54.4% | |Darla Contois 177 - 3.6% | |Meagan Jemmett 294 - 6.0% || |Kelly Bindle
Westman/Parkland
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Agassiz || |Eileen Clarke 5,688 - 75.6% | |Kelly Legaspi 954 - 12.7% | |Hector Swanson 462 - 6.1% | |Liz Clayton 417 - 5.5% || |Eileen Clarke |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Turtle Mountain || |Doyle Piwniuk 6,202 - 67.5% | |Angie Herrera-Hildebrand 1,003 - 10.9% | |Richard Davies 623 - 6.8% | |David M. Neufeld 1,356 - 14.8% || |Doyle PiwniukArthur-Virden |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon East || |Len Isleifson 3,272 - 51.3% | |Lonnie Patterson 2,311 - 36.2% | |Kim Longstreet 799 - 12.5%
|Len Isleifson |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Brandon West || |Reg Helwer 4,307 - 58.5% | |Nick Brown 1,747 - 23.7% | |Sunday Frangi 564 - 7.7% | |Robert Brown 744 - 10.1% || |Reg Helwer |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Dauphin || |Brad Michaleski 4,799 - 50.5% | |Darcy Scheller 4,022 - 42.4% | |Cathy Scofield-Singh 674 - 7.1%
|Brad Michaleski |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Riding Mountain || |Greg Nesbitt 6,117 - 66.1% | |Wayne Chacun 1,961 - 21.2% | |Jordan Fleury 454 - 4.9% | |Mary Lowe 723 - 7.8% || |Greg Nesbitt |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Spruce Woods || |Cliff Cullen 5,657 - 68.1% | |Justin Shannon 1,316 - 15.8% | |Jennifer Harcus 515 - 6.2% | |Gordon Beddome 816 - 9.8% || |Cliff Cullen
Central Manitoba
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Borderland || |Josh Guenter 4,885 - 66.1% | |Liz Cronk 287 - 3.9% | |Loren Braul 1,226 - 16.6% | |Ken Henry 250 - 3.4% | |Cliff Graydon 739 - 10.0% || |Cliff Graydon Emerson |- | style="background:whitesmoke;" rowspan="3"|Interlake-Gimli | rowspan="3" | |rowspan=3|Derek Johnson 6,199 - 58.8% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Sarah Pinsent 3,472 - 32.9% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Mary Lou Bourgeois 400 - 3.8% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3|Dwight Harfield 473 - 4.5% |rowspan=3| |rowspan=3| || |Jeff Wharton‡Gimli |- | style="text-align:center;" colspan=2 |Merged District
|Derek JohnsonInterlake |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Lakeside || |Ralph Eichler 6,394 - 68.7% | |Dan Rugg 2,054 - 22.1% | |Ilsa Regelsky 854 - 9.2%
|Ralph Eichler |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Midland || |Blaine Pedersen 6,700 - 75.0% | |Cindy Friesen 1,370 - 15.3% |