Opinion polling for the 2019 Belgian federal election

In the run up to the 2019 Belgian federal election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous federal election, held on 25 May 2014, to the present day. The results of the opinion polls conducted on a nationwide basis are usually split into separate numbers for the three Belgian regions. They are therefore split across the tables in the sections below, but seat projections for the Belgian Chamber are presented together.

Flanders The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region.

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Newspaper Sample size N-VAVlaams Belang CD&V Open Vld sp.a Groen PVDA Others Lead Lead26 May 20192019 federal election 24.8%18.5%15.4%13.1%10.4%10.1%5.3%2.4% 6.3%28.5% 69.1% 40.6%6–14 May 2019IpsosRTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,003 28.1%14.8%17.1%11.2%11%12.1%4.7%1% 11.0%28.3% 71.7% 43.4%25 Mar–14 Apr 2019KantarVRT / De Standaard / RTBF / La Libre1,006 27.9%9.3%14.7%14.2%12.7%14.6%5.9%0.8% 13.2%28.9% 71.1% 42.2% 5–11 Feb 2019 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 996 27.4% 11.1% 15% 12.7% 11% 15.6% 4.9% 2.3% 11.8% 27.7% 72.3% 44.6% 13–17 Dec 2018 Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad 1,000 30.2% 12% 15.7% 11.6% 9.7% 13.8% 5.5% 1.5% 14.5% 27.3% 72.7% 45.4% 9 Dec 2018 N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration. 19 Nov–8 Dec 2018 TNS La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard 1,038 28.3% 7.6% 18.7% 17.5% 9.2% 16% 2.5% 0.1% 9.6% 64.5% 35.5% 29% 27 Nov–3 Dec 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 998 28.0% 11.7% 14.6% 13.4% 12.3% 12.2% 6.2% 1.6% 13.4% 56.0% 42.4% 13.6% 14 Oct 2018 Provincial elections 24.8% 13.0% 19.7% 13.7% 10.4% 13.2% 3.2% 2.1% 5.1% 58.2% 41.9% 16.3% 20–27 Sep 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,000 25.0% 11.3% 17.2% 12.8% 12.1% 14.1% 4.4% 3.1% 7.8% 55% 41.9% 13.1% 29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,000 26.5% 9.7% 15.3% 13.9% 11.7% 12.4% 6.2% 4.3% 11.2% 55.7% 40% 15.7% 26 Feb–17 Mar 2018 TNS Kantar RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre 1,003 32.4% 7.5% 16.4% 14.7% 9.5% 13.8% 4.9% 1.0% 16.0% 63.5% 35.5% 28.0% 27 Feb–6 Mar 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 965 31.5% 9.0% 15.1% 12.7% 13.0% 10.4% 6.0% 2.5% 16.4% 59.1% 38.4% 20.7% 27 Nov–4 Dec 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 995 29.5% 10.4% 14.1% 12.2% 10.9% 13.2% 5.5% 4.2% 15.4% 55.8% 40.0% 15.8% 11 Sep–8 Oct 2017 TNS Kantar La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard 1,045 28.0% 6.5% 19.4% 15.5% 11.0% 13.9% 5.1% 0.6% 8.6% 62.9% 36.5% 26.4% 25 August–3 Sep 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 959 30.2% 7.9% 16.1% 12.1% 12.2% 13.4% 5.0% 14.1% 58.4% 38.5% 19.9% 23–27 June 2017 Dedicated L'Echo 27.1% 11.7% 16.9% 12.7% 9.5% 12.5% 7.3% 0.7% 10.2% 56.7% 33.7% 23.0% 27 Mar–11 Apr 2017 TNS Media VRT / De Standaard 1,030 26.3% 7.8% 18.6% 14.4% 13.2% 14.7% 4.2% 0.7% 7.7% 59.3% 39.9% 19.4% 16–20 Mar 2017 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 1,038 28.3% 11.9% 14.1% 13.6% 12.9% 11.5% 5.5% 2.2% 14.2% 56.0% 41.8% 14.2% 10–17 Jan 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 964 27.4% 10.3% 14.9% 12.9% 13.2% 12.2% 5.4% 12.5% 55.2% 41.1% 14.1% 24–28 Nov 2016 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 1,007 26.3% 12.3% 16.3% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 4.2% 10.0% 55.0% 42.4% 12.6% 14 Sep–3 Oct 2016 TNS Media VRT / De Standaard 1,013 27.8% 8.1% 16.8% 13.6% 15.8% 13.3% 3.4% 1.2% 11% 58.2% 40.6% 17.6% 19–25 Sep 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste NieuwsGrand baromètre: hausse spectaculaire du PTB, 3e parti francophone, 29 Sep 2016 983 25.9% 12.0% 17.6% 12.5% 13.7% 10.7% 3.9% 8.3% 56.0% 40.3% 15.7% 2–6 Sep 2016 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique Baromètre RTBF-La Libre: le PTB wallon triomphe 1,002 25.2% 13.1% 15.6% 14.0% 14.9% 10.0% 5.1% 2.1% 9.6% 54.8% 43.1% 11.7% 6–12 May 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste NieuwsGrand baromètre politique: le PTB devient le 3e parti de Wallonie, 18 May 2016. 1,045 24.2% 13.9% 13.8% 13.2% 15.6% 11.1% 4.8% 8.6% 51.2% 45.4% 5.8% 31 Mar–4 Apr 2016 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 975 25.6% 12.4% 18.3% 13.3% 14.4% 10.2% 7.3% 57.2% 37.0% 20.2% 22 Feb–9 Mar 2016 TNS Media VRT / De Standaard 1,005 27.3% 8.1% 19.1% 14.1% 14.7% 11.6% 4.0% 8.2% 60.5% 38.4% 22.1% 15–20 Jan 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,043 28.5% 11.6% 16.0% 12.5% 15.2% 10.3% 3.7% 12.5% 57.0% 40.8% 16.2% 3–7 Dec 2015 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 990 29.2% 11.9% 15.0% 12.6% 14.1% 11.6% 14.2% 56.8% 37.6% 19.2% 28 Sep–4 Oct 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,030 28.8% 10.5% 17.8% 12.5% 14.5% 9.0% 4.1% 11.0% 59.1% 38.1% 21% 22 Sep–2 Oct 2015 TNS Media VRT / De Standaard 1,019 31.1% 7.0% 18.4% 14.9% 13.8% 9.9% 3.8% 12.7% 64.4% 34.5% 29.9% 9–14 Sep 2015 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 745 27.5% 9.7% 16.0% 14.4% 16.2% 10.1% 3.8% 11.3% 57.9% 39.8% 18.1% 12–18 May 2015 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 761 28.1% 7.9% 17.2% 15.4% 15.6% 10.0% 3.3% 10.9% 60.7% 36.8% 23.9% 20 Apr–3 May 2015 TNS Media VRT / De Standaard 1,032 28.5% 5.8% 21.2% 16.1% 14.3% 11.6% 1.4% 7.3% 65.8% 33.1% 32.7% 20–24 Apr 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 963 28.3% 8.0% 15.8% 14.0% 15.6% 10.7% 3.2% 12.5% 58.1% 37.5% 20.6% 5–9 Mar 2015 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 691 28.8% 7.4% 16.7% 15.4% 16.4% 9.6% 3.4% 2.3% 12.1% 60.9% 36.8% 24.1% 23–28 Jan 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,035 30.2% 7.6% 17.1% 14.9% 14.7% 10.2% 3.6% 13.1% 62.2% 36.1% 26.1% 5–11 Jan 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,043 27.8% 6.8% 18.3% 14.3% 15.7% 10.4% 3.8% 9.5% 60.4% 36.7% 23.7% 4–5 Dec 2014 AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws 794 28% 6% 17% 12% 16% 14% 2% 11% 57% 38% 19% 27 Nov–1 Dec 2014 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 773 30.9% 5.7% 18.2% 13.3% 15.2% 10.2% 4.0% 2.5% 12.7% 62.4% 35.1% 27.3% 9–10 Oct 2014 AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws 801 30% 8% 14% 16% 18% 9% 3% 12% 60% 38% 22% 22 Sep–3 Oct 2014 TNS Media De Standaard / VRT 1,023 29.9% 6.5% 20.0% 14.4% 15.7% 9.8% 3.2% 9.9% 64.3% 35.2% 29.1% 5–9 Sep 2014 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 792 31.9% 5.5% 17.7% 15.4% 15.0% 9.6% 3.1% 1.8% 14.2% 65.0% 33.2% 31.8% July 2014 AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws 880 32.9% 5.8% 17.7% 15.4% 14.6% 9.0% 3.1% 15.2% 66.0% 32.5% 33.5% June 2014 AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws Unknown 38.4% 5.2% 15.5% 13.8% 13.1% 7.8% 3.3% 22.9% 67.7% 29.4% 38.3% 25 May 2014 Federal election 32.4% 5.8% 18.6% 15.5% 14.0% 8.6% 2.8% 2.2% 13.9% 66.5% 31.2% 35.3%

Wallonia The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Newspaper Sample size PS MR Ecolo PTB cdH DéFI PP DC Others Lead Lead26 May 20192019 federal election26.2%21.4%14.5%13.7%11.0%4.1%3.7%?5.1%4.8%21.4% 73.5% 52.1%6–14 May 2019IpsosRTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,00028.5%22.7%19.1%9.2%9.7%3.9%3.5%?4.4%5.8%22.7%77.3%54.6%26 Apr - 30 Apr 2019DedicatedLe Soir1,61126.9%20.7%16.3%13.9%8.6%4.3%4.9%?4.4%6.2%20.7%79.3%58.6%25 Mar - 14 Apr 2019TNS KantarRTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre1,00424.7%18.3%22.0%14.8%9.3%3.9%3.5%?3.5%2.7%18.3%81.7%63.4% 5 February-11 Feb 2019 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 99524.3% 19.4% 16.8% 10.7% 10.8% 4.3% 5.4% 1.6% 6.7%4.9% 19.4%80.6%61.2%9 Dec 2018N-VA quit the government; the other three parties continue as a minority government. The crisis is due to divergent positions on the Global Compact for Migration. 19 November–8 Dec 2018 TNS La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard 1,016 25.4% 19.9% 19.7% 14.0% 10.4% 3.3% 5.1% ? 2.2%5.5% 19.9% 77.9%58.0% 27 November-3 Dec 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,00324.9% 20.7% 13.5% 13.1% 11.3% 4.2% 6.2% 2.3% 3.8% 4.2% 20.7%75.5%54.8% 14 Oct 2018 Provincial elections25.4% 23.7% 16.2% 10.0% 12.8% 4.6% 3.1% ? 4.2%1.7% 23.7%72.1% 48.4% 20–27 Sep 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,000 23.6% 20.6% 10.9% 13.1% 10.1% 6.9% 6.7% 2.1% 6.0%3% 20.6% 73.4%52.8% 29 May–6 June 2018 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,00023.4% 20% 13.2% 12.8% 9% 5.9% 7.3% 2.1% 6.3%3.4% 20% 71.6%51.6% 26 February–17 Mar 2018 TNS Kantar RTBF / VRT / De Standaard / La Libre 1,003 23.2%24.1% 17.5% 10.6% 11.1% 5.6% 3.4% 1.0% 3.5%0.9% 23.2% 71.4%48.2% 27 February–6 March Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 98323.9% 21.2% 13.5% 17.3% 7.2% 6.5% 4.3% 1.1% 5.2%2.7% 21.2% 73.6%52.4% 27 November–3 Dec 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 999 19.5%22.1% 11.0% 18.9% 8.3% 6.3% 3.9% 2.2% 7.2%2.6% 22.1% 68.5%46.4% 11 September–8 Oct 2017 TNS Kantar La Libre / RTBF / VRT / De Standaard 1,07621.5% 21.4% 18.5% 14.8% 8.7% 5.8% 0.7% 8.6%0.1% 21.4% 70.0%48.6% 25 August–3 Sep 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 960 20.7%21.4% 12.7% 17.5% 8.7% 6.2% 4.5% 0.7% 21.4% 70.3%48.9% 23–27 June 2017 Dedicated L'Echo 625 16.0% 23.2% 11.4%24.9% 9.8% 3.9% 2.6% 8.2%1.7% 23.2% 66.0%42.8% 16–20 Mar 2017 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 946 20.3%22.7% 11.2% 20.5% 9.9% 3.0% 2.2% 10.2%2.2% 22.7% 67.1%44.4% 16–17 Feb 2017 iVox Sudpresse 1,000 21.3% 20.7% 13.7% 17.4% 10.1% 4.5% 6.9% 5.5%0.6% 20.7% 73.9%53.2% 10–17 Jan 2017 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 961 23.6% 19.4% 11.2% 16.3% 11.2% 2.8% 5.0% 3.6%4.2% 19.4% 70.1%50.7% 24–28 Nov 2016 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 892 25.4% 23.1% 9.2% 18.2% 9.4% 2.2% 4.0% 2.3% 23.1% 68.6%45.5% 19–25 Sep 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 983 24.7% 22.3% 7.5% 16.3% 9.8% 2.4% 6.0% 2.4% 22.3% 66.7%44.4% 2–6 Sep 2016 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 962 25.6% 23.5% 9.2% 14.6% 10.5% 3.9% 5.3% 7.4%2.1% 23.5% 69.1%45.6% 6–12 May 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,003 25.8% 20.1% 10.1% 13.5% 12.0% 3.3% 5.5% 5.7% 20.1% 70.2%50.1% 31 March–4 Apr 2016 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 967 26.4% 23.9% 11.1% 10.4% 12.8% 2.4% 5.5% 2.5% 23.9% 68.6%44.7% 15–20 Jan 2016 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,034 26.7% 23.1% 9.2% 8.8% 11.1% 3.4% 5.2% 3.6% 23.1% 64.4%41.3% 3–7 Dec 2015 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 910 27.2% 24.7% 9.5% 10.3% 13.5% 3.2% 5.4% 2.5% 24.7% 69.1%44.4% 28 September–4 Oct 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,017 26.0% 23.3% 9.0% 8.5% 13.3% 1.7% 4.6% 2.7% 23.3% 63.1%39.8% 9–14 Sep 2015 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 643 29.7% 24.2% 9.2% 9.7% 13.5% 2.6% 4.1% 3.5% 24.2% 68.8%44.6% 12–18 May 2015 Dedicated RTBf / La Libre Belgique 68029.7% 25.5% 8.9% 9.0% 12.8% 2.9% 4.6% 4.2% 25.5% 67.9%42.4% 20–24 Apr 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 952 25.8%26.1% 9.1% 8.5% 13.1% 2.2% 5.0% 0.3% 26.1% 63.7%37.6% 5–9 Mar 2015 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 678 28.7% 25.2% 8.3% 8.3% 14.3% 2.9% 3.5% 8.8%3.5% 25.2% 66.0%40.8% 23–28 Jan 2015 Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,042 27.4% 26.0% 8.4% 7.3% 13.9% 2.2% 4.7% 1.4% 26.0% 63.9%37.9% 5–11 Jan 2015 ] Ipsos RTL TVi / Le Soir / VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 1,053 30.1% 25.3% 7.8% 7.7% 12.6% 2.1% 3.5% 4.8% 25.3% 63.8%38.5% 27 November–1 Dec 2014 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 655 30.1% 23.9% 8.1% 7.6% 13.4% 2.7% 4.9% 6.2% 23.9% 67.7%43.8% 5–9 Sep 2014 Dedicated RTBF / La Libre Belgique 67631.0% 26.6% 8.5% 8.1% 12.7% 1.8% 5.0% 6.3% 4.4% 26.6%67.1%40.5% 25 May 2014 Federal election32.0% 25.8% 8.2% 5.5% 14.0% 2.4% 4.5% 1.2% 6.4%6.2% 25.8%66.6%40.8%

Brussels

The table below shows the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Brussels Region, and for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Brussels Region.