2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Asa Hutchinson won re-election to a second term, winning by more than 33 percentage points and carrying all but seven counties, marking the largest winning margin of any Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared Asa Hutchinson, incumbent governor Jan Morgan, gun range owner

Declined Tim Griffin, lieutenant governor and former U.S. representative (running for re-election) Leslie Rutledge, attorney general (running for re-election) John Thurston, land commissioner (running for Secretary of State)

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error AsaHutchinson JanMorgan UndecidedHendrix CollegeHendrix College April 17–19, 2018 676 ± 3.8% 58% 31% 12%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared Jared Henderson, former Arkansas executive director of Teach For America Leticia Sanders, hairdresser

Declined Keith Ingram, Minority Leader of the Arkansas Senate Jay Martin, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives Kevin Smith, mayor of Helena-West Helena, Arkansas, former Majority Whip of the Arkansas Senate, former Democratic candidate in 1996 United States Senate election in Arkansas

Results

Independents

Candidates

Declined Bobby Bones, radio host

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared Mark West (Libertarian), pastor and nominee for AR-01 in 2016

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Report October 26, 2018The Washington Post November 5, 2018FiveThirtyEight November 5, 2018Rothenberg Political Report November 1, 2018Sabato's Crystal Ball November 5, 2018RealClearPolitics November 4, 2018Daily Kos November 5, 2018Fox News November 5, 2018Politico November 5, 2018Governing November 5, 2018

Debates Dates Location Hutchinson Henderson West LinkSeptember 12, 2018Little Rock, ArkansasDidn't participateParticipantParticipantFull debateFull debate - YouTubeOctober 12, 2018Conway, ArkansasParticipantParticipantParticipantFull debateFull debate - C-SPAN

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Asa JaredHenderson (D) MarkWest (L) Other UndecidedUniversity of ArkansasUniversity of Arkansas October 1–28, 2018 618 ± 3.9% 59% 35% – 6% –Hendrix CollegeHendrix College October 18–19, 2018 528 ± 4.3% 60% 24% 5% – 11%Hendrix CollegeHendrix College September 5–7, 2018 1,701 ± 2.4% 60% 25% 6% – 9%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon March 21–24, 2018 625 ± 4.0% 63% 24% – – 13%

Results

By county CountyAsa HutchinsonRepublicanJared HendersonDemocraticMark WestLibertarianMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Arkansas3,53071.14%1,35527.31%771.55%2,17543.83%4,962Ashley4,27869.50%1,75128.45%1262.05%2,52741.06%6,155Baxter10,69474.52%2,97820.75%6794.73%7,71653.77%14,351Benton53,18568.60%22,31628.78%2,0332.62%30,86939.81%77,534Boone9,02877.67%2,20819.00%3873.33%6,82058.68%11,623Bradley1,90666.78%86830.41%802.80%1,03836.37%2,854Calhoun1,33574.54%42323.62%331.84%91250.92%1,791Carroll5,79664.63%2,96833.10%2042.27%2,82831.53%8,968Chicot1,63846.13%1,85752.30%561.58%-219-6.17%3,551Clark3,98859.25%2,61138.79%1321.96%1,37720.46%6,731Clay3,21877.88%78218.93%1323.19%2,43658.95%4,132Cleburne7,85681.63%1,49515.53%2732.84%6,36166.10%9,624Cleveland2,02078.02%51319.81%562.16%1,50758.21%2,589Columbia4,19966.21%2,04432.23%991.56%2,15533.98%6,342Conway4,33967.12%1,96630.41%1602.47%2,37336.71%6,465Craighead17,31366.39%7,40728.40%1,3585.21%9,90637.99%26,078Crawford13,20078.29%3,12018.51%5403.20%10,08059.79%16,860Crittenden5,77548.46%5,83348.94%3102.60%-58-0.49%11,918Cross4,10870.90%1,49825.85%1883.24%2,61045.05%5,794Dallas1,31662.22%77336.55%261.23%54325.67%2,115Desha1,83352.84%1,56044.97%762.19%2737.87%3,469Drew3,65867.78%1,60629.76%1332.46%2,05238.02%5,397Faulkner25,64366.50%11,68930.31%1,2273.18%13,95436.19%38,559Franklin4,20479.40%91617.30%1753.31%3,28862.10%5,295Fulton2,82973.83%90023.49%1032.69%1,92950.34%3,832Garland21,96969.16%8,86527.91%9332.94%13,10441.25%31,767Grant4,52481.53%89816.18%1272.29%3,62665.35%5,549Greene8,27575.55%2,08819.06%5905.39%6,18756.49%10,953Hempstead3,31266.63%1,55431.26%1052.11%1,75835.37%4,971Hot Spring6,36872.87%2,11324.18%2582.95%4,25548.69%8,739Howard2,48970.73%97427.68%561.59%1,51543.05%3,519Independence7,73376.22%1,92819.00%4844.77%5,80557.22%10,145Izard3,42376.56%86919.44%1794.00%2,55457.12%4,471Jackson2,99871.88%1,06725.58%1062.54%1,93146.30%4,171Jefferson9,00545.43%10,40652.50%4092.06%-1,401-7.07%19,820Johnson5,54674.17%1,67222.36%2593.46%3,87451.81%7,477Lafayette1,39565.46%69332.52%432.02%70232.94%2,131Lawrence3,58476.76%90819.45%1773.79%2,67657.31%4,669Lee94744.69%1,13053.33%421.98%-183-8.64%2,119Lincoln2,22773.28%77125.37%411.35%1,45647.91%3,039Little River2,82071.85%1,01425.83%912.32%1,80646.01%3,925Logan4,30377.84%1,04118.83%1843.33%3,26259.01%5,528Lonoke15,79176.61%4,17120.23%6513.16%11,62056.37%20,613Madison4,15174.44%1,28323.01%1422.55%2,86851.43%5,576Marion3,95976.68%1,02719.89%1773.43%2,93256.79%5,163Miller8,39373.42%2,84124.85%1971.72%5,55248.57%11,431Mississippi6,42961.49%3,66035.01%3663.50%2,76926.48%10,455Monroe1,49356.55%1,10441.82%431.63%38914.73%2,640Montgomery2,20477.85%55819.71%692.44%1,64658.14%2,831Nevada1,62864.71%84233.47%461.83%78631.24%2,516Newton2,20371.27%69522.48%1936.24%1,50848.79%3,091Ouachita4,22757.23%3,03141.04%1281.73%1,19616.19%7,386Perry2,73173.79%83822.64%1323.57%1,89351.15%3,701Phillips2,40144.10%2,92353.69%1202.20%-522-9.59%5,444Pike2,70880.64%56316.77%872.59%2,14563.88%3,358Poinsett4,69076.77%1,19419.54%2253.68%3,49657.23%6,109Polk4,90380.96%90414.93%2494.11%3,99966.03%6,056Pope13,43774.83%3,75620.92%7634.25%9,68153.92%17,956Prairie2,25678.88%56019.58%441.54%1,69659.30%2,860Pulaski62,51046.42%69,26551.43%2,8922.15%-6,755-5.02%134,667Randolph4,28575.68%1,06318.77%3145.55%3,22256.91%5,662Saline30,75673.97%9,67623.27%1,1462.76%21,08050.70%41,578Scott2,33180.97%39013.55%1585.49%1,94167.42%2,879Searcy2,51278.65%52416.41%1584.95%1,98862.24%3,194Sebastian23,78571.72%8,31625.07%1,0643.21%15,46946.64%33,165Sevier2,41275.33%68221.30%1083.37%1,73054.03%3,202Sharp4,43078.13%1,03818.31%2023.56%3,39259.82%5,670St. Francis2,66045.78%3,01951.95%1322.27%-359-6.18%5,811Stone3,30274.34%95621.52%1844.14%2,34652.81%4,442Union8,22565.79%4,03632.28%2411.93%4,18933.51%12,502Van Buren4,93778.41%1,15718.38%2023.21%3,78060.04%6,296Washington35,96754.61%28,05142.59%1,8452.80%7,91612.02%65,863White17,61080.07%3,79917.27%5842.66%13,81162.80%21,993Woodruff1,27160.93%76036.43%552.64%51124.50%2,086Yell4,00275.07%1,10820.78%2214.15%2,89454.29%5,331Totals582,40665.33%283,21831.77%25,8852.90%299,18833.56%891,509

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Ashley (largest city: Crossett) Bradley (largest city: Warren) Clark (largest city: Arkadelphia) Dallas (largest city: Fordyce) Desha (largest city: Dumas) Drew (largest city: Monticello) Howard (largest city: Nashville) Jackson (largest city: Newport) Lafayette (largest city: Stamps) Lincoln (largest city: Star City) Little River (largest city: Ashdown) Mississippi (largest city: Blytheville) Monroe (largest city: Brinkley) Nevada (largest city: Prescott) Ouachita (largest city: Camden) Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)

By congressional district Hutchinson won all four congressional districts.

District Hutchinson Henderson Representative69%27%Rick Crawford 59% 39%French Hill 66% 31%Steve Womack 69% 28%Bruce Westerman

2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election

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