The 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arizona. It was held concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as elections for Arizona's congressional seats and various state and local elections.
The primary was held on August 28. Despite considerably closer contests in other Arizona state elections, which included Democratic gains for U.S. Senate, Secretary of State, and Superintendent of Public Instruction, incumbent Governor Doug Ducey won a second term, with a slightly increased majority from his 2014 win and the largest margin of victory of any statewide candidate on the ballot.
Republican primary Candidates Nominee Doug Ducey, incumbent governor
Eliminated in primary Ken Bennett, former secretary of state of Arizona Robert Weber (write-in)
Endorsements
Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DougDucey KenBennett UndecidedEmerson CollegeEmerson College June 21–22, 2018 305 ± 5.9% 44% 22% 35%
Results
Democratic primary Candidates Nominee David Garcia, Arizona State University professor and nominee for Superintendent of Public Instruction in 2014
Eliminated in primary Mirza Fareed "Fareed" Baig (write-in) Steve Farley, state senator Kelly Fryer, nonprofit executive and activist
Declined Terry Goddard, former Arizona Attorney General and nominee for governor in 2010 and 1990 Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. Representative from (ran for U.S. Senate) Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix (ran for U.S. House)
Endorsements
Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error SteveFarley KellyFryer DavidGarcia UndecidedOH Predictive InsightsOH Predictive Insights August 14–15, 2018 589 ± 4.0% 25% 7% 40% 28%Data OrbitalData Orbital June 25–27, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 11% 6% 33% 49%Emerson CollegeEmerson College June 21–22, 2018 260 ± 6.2% 13% 8% 30% 48%Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Garcia)Garin-Hart-Yang (D-Garcia) May 21–23, 2018 400 ± 5.0% 11% 11% 32% 46%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia)Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) January 5–7, 2018 446 – 22% – 43% 36%
Results
Libertarian primary Candidates Disqualified Jeff Funicello, activist Barry Hess (write-in) Kevin McCormick, candidate for president in 2016
Endorsements
Green primary Candidates Nominee Angel Torres (write-in)
Eliminated in primary Noah Dyer (write-in)
Results
Independents Candidates Disqualified Noah Dyer, author, businessman and educator Christian R. Komor, author, psychologist, climate scientist
Declined Tim Jeffries, former director of the Arizona Department of Economic Security
General election Debates Dates Location Ducey Garcia LinkSeptember 24, 2018Tempe, ArizonaParticipantParticipantFull debateFull debate – YouTubeSeptember 25, 2018Tucson, ArizonaParticipantParticipantFull debateFull debate – C-SPAN
Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Report October 26, 2018The Washington Post November 5, 2018FiveThirtyEight November 5, 2018Rothenberg Political Report November 1, 2018Sabato's Crystal Ball November 5, 2018RealClearPolitics November 4, 2018Daily Kos November 5, 2018Fox News November 5, 2018Politico November 5, 2018Governing November 5, 2018
Polling
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DougDucey (R) DavidGarcia (D) AngelTorres (G) Other UndecidedHarrisXHarrisX November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 53% 39% – – –HarrisXHarrisX November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 55% 37% – – –Emerson CollegeEmerson College November 1–3, 2018 758 ± 3.7% 55% 40% – – 5%HarrisX November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 57% 36% – – –Research Co.Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 54% 39% – 2% 5%HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 56% 37% – – –Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 24 – November 2, 2018 1,165 ± 2.9% 53% 40% – – 7%HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 57% 36% – – –HarrisX October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 54% 37% – – –Vox Populi Polling October 27–30, 2018 677 ± 3.7% 54% 46% – – –HarrisXHarrisX October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 57% 35% – – –Fox NewsFox News October 27–29, 2018 643 LV ± 3.5% 55% 37% – 2% 5% 710 RV ± 3.5% 54% 35% – 3% 7%CNN/SSRSCNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018 702 LV ± 4.4% 52% 45% – 0% 1% 867 RV ± 4.0% 52% 43% – 0% 3%HighGround Public AffairsHighGround Public Affairs October 26–28, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 55% 35% 4% – 7%Marist CollegeMarist College October 23–27, 2018 506 LV ± 5.4% 54% 40% 5% <1% 2% 55% 42% – 1% 1% 793 RV ± 4.4% 54% 38% 5% <1% 3% 55% 41% – 1% 3%YouGovYouGov October 23–26, 2018 972 ± 4.1% 52% 41% – 1% 5%IpsosIpsos October 17–26, 2018 799 ± 4.0% 57% 37% – 2% 3%OH Predictive InsightsOH Predictive Insights October 22–23, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 57% 39% 1% – 3%Change Research (D-Garcia)Change Research (D-Garcia) October 9–10, 2018 783 – 47% 40% – – 11%OH Predictive InsightsOH Predictive Insights October 3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 54% 37% 2% – 7%Data OrbitalData Orbital October 1–3, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 52% 34% 2% 2% 9%Fox NewsFox News September 29 – October 2, 2018 716 LV ± 3.5% 55% 37% – 1% 7% 806 RV ± 3.5% 54% 35% – 2% 9%Vox Populi Polling September 29 – October 1, 2018 702 ± 3.5% 57% 43% – – –Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University September 27–30, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 50% 38% 2% 0% 10%Latino DecisionsLatino Decisions September 10–25, 2018 463 LV – 45% 40% – – 15% 610 RV – 41% 37% – – 19%Emerson CollegeEmerson College September 19–21, 2018 650 ± 4.4% 42% 38% – 6% 14%Marist CollegeMarist College September 16–20, 2018 564 LV ± 4.7% 49% 39% 6% <1% 6% 51% 43% – <1% 5% 763 RV ± 4.2% 48% 37% 7% <1% 7% 51% 42% – 1% 6%CNN/SSRSCNN/SSRS September 11–15, 2018 761 LV ± 4.3% 49% 46% – 0% 2% 854 RV ± 4.1% 48% 45% – 1% 4%IpsosIpsos September 5–14, 2018 1,016 ± 4.0% 51% 39% – 4% 7%TargetSmart (D-ProgressNow AZ)TargetSmart (D-ProgressNow AZ) September 8–13, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 49% 48% – 0% 3%Fox NewsFox News September 8–11, 2018 710 LV ± 3.5% 51% 40% – 1% 8% 801 RV ± 3.5% 49% 39% – 1% 10%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing September 5–7, 2018 882 ± 3.3% 48% 44% – – 9%Data OrbitalData Orbital September 4–6, 2018 550 ± 4.2% 49% 41% – 2%Barry Hess (L) with 2% 8%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia)Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) August 30–31, 2018 554 ± 4.2% 44% 43% – – 13%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing June 27 – July 2, 2018 925 ± 3.2% 41% 42% – – 17%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) January 5–7, 2018 735 ± 4.0% 42% 43% – – 15%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia)Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) June 7–8, 2017 1,020 ± 3.1% 42% 44% – – 14%
with Steve Farley Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DougDucey (R) SteveFarley (D) UndecidedGravis Marketing June 27 – July 2, 2018 925 ± 3.2% 42% 39% 19%GQR Research (D-Farley)GQR Research (D-Farley) February 23 – March 5, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 49% 44% 7%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) January 5–7, 2018 735 ± 4.0% 42% 39% 19%Public Policy Polling (D-Garcia) June 7–8, 2017 1,020 ± 3.1% 42% 40% 18%
with generic Democrat Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DougDucey (R) GenericDemocrat UndecidedMorning ConsultMorning Consult June 29 – July 9, 2018 1,641 ± 2.0% 34% 41% 25%
with Kyrsten Sinema Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DougDucey (R) KyrstenSinema (D) UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling May 13–15, 2016 896 ± 3.3% 43% 36% 21%
Results
By county CountyDavid GarciaDemocraticDoug DuceyRepublicanAngel TorresGreenMarginTotal votes# %# %# %#%Apache14,95559.72%9,17536.64%9123.64%5,78023.08%25,042Cochise14,57632.10%29,63865.26%1,2012.64% -15,062 -33.17%45,415Coconino30,71255.91%22,77841.47%1,4402.62%7,93414.44%54,930Gila5,62327.38%14,44470.34%4682.28% -8,821 -42.96%20,535Graham2,56924.19%7,77673.21%2762.60% -5,207 -49.03%10,621Greenlee83232.64%1,63764.22%803.14% -805 -31.58%2,549La Paz1,12221.99%3,85275.49%1292.53% -2,730 -53.50%5,103Maricopa603,05542.09%800,21055.85%29,4952.06% -197,155 -13.76%1,432,760Mohave13,58018.97%56,68279.18%1,3251.85% -43,102 -60.21%71,587Navajo13,64637.30%21,88059.81%1,0552.88% -8,234 -22.51%36,581Pima195,22750.25%184,62147.52%8,6782.23%10,6062.73%388,526Pinal38,80133.21%75,27264.42%2,7672.37% -36,471 -31.21%116,840Santa Cruz8,40762.46%4,79235.60%2611.94%3,61526.86%13,460Yavapai32,15929.68%74,14868.44%2,0291.87% -41,989 -38.76%108,336Yuma19,07743.47%23,95854.60%8461.93% -4,881 -11.12%43,881Total994,34141.8%1,330,86356.0%50,9622.1%336,52214.2%2,376,166
By congressional district Ducey won six of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.
District David GarciaDemocratic Doug DuceyRepublican Representative 43% 54%Tom O'Halleran 46% 52%Ann Kirkpatrick 58% 39%Raúl Grijalva 25% 73%Paul Gosar 34% 64%Andy Biggs 38% 60%David Schweikert 67% 30%Ruben Gallego 33% 65%Debbie Lesko 52% 45%Greg Stanton
References
External links Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites Doug Ducey (R) for Governor David Garcia (D) for Governor Angel Torres (G) for Governor Christian Komor (No Party; write-in) for Governor Patrick Masoya (No Party; write-in) for Governor