2018 Nevada gubernatorial election

The 2018 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of Nevada. Incumbent Republican governor Brian Sandoval was ineligible to run for re-election due to the absolute two-term limit established by the Nevada Constitution. Nevada is one of eight U.S. states (or nine U.S. states and territory) that prohibits its governors or any other state and territorial executive branch officials from serving more than two terms, even if they are nonconsecutive.

The candidate filing deadline was March 16, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 12, 2018. The Republican nominee was Adam Laxalt and the Democratic nominee was Steve Sisolak. Sisolak won the election, becoming the first Democrat to be elected governor of Nevada since Bob Miller won his second full term in 1994, and the first non-incumbent Democrat to win since 1982. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state won by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.

Republican primary Candidates Nominated Adam Laxalt, Nevada Attorney General

Eliminated in primary William W. Boyd, small business owner Stephanie Carlisle, businesswoman Jared Fisher, small business owner Dan Schwartz, Nevada State Treasurer and candidate for NV-04 in 2012 (endorsed Laxalt)

Declined Mark Amodei, U.S. representative (ran for re-election and won) Joe Heck, former U.S. representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 Dean Heller, U.S. senator (endorsed Laxalt and ran for re-election and lost) Steve Hill, former executive director of the Nevada Governor's Office of Economic Development Mark Hutchison, lieutenant governor (endorsed Laxalt) Ron Knecht, Nevada State Controller (ran for re-election and lost) Brian Krolicki, former lieutenant governor

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error AdamLaxalt DanSchwartz JaredFisher UndecidedThe Mellman GroupThe Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 55% 4% 2% 38%WPA Intelligence (R)WPA Intelligence (R) August 6–8, 2017 302 ± 5.7% 64% 5% – 31%Doug Schoen (D)Doug Schoen (D) July 7–20, 2017 600 ± 4.0% 34% 30% – 35%

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominated Steve Sisolak, chair of the Clark County Commission

Eliminated in primary Kyle Chamberlain, activist and photographer Chris Giunchigliani, vice-chair of the Clark County Commission and candidate for mayor of Las Vegas in 2011

Declined Aaron Ford, Majority Leader of the Nevada Senate (ran for attorney general and won) Vince Juaristi, consultant and former gubernatorial aide Tick Segerblom, state senator (ran for Clark County Commission and won) Dina Titus, U.S. representative for Nevada's 1st congressional district and nominee for governor in 2006 (endorsed Sisolak and ran for re-election and won)

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ChrisGiunchigliani SteveSisolak None ofthese Other UndecidedBenenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!)Benenson Strategy Group (D-Women Vote!) May 21–23, 2018 608 ± 4.0% 35% 38% 11% 2% 13%The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 16% 44% – – 40%Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani)Expedition Strategies (D-Giunchigliani) March 17–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 31% 27% 18% – 23%

Results

Independents Declared Ryan Bundy, rancher

Endorsements

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Report October 26, 2018The Washington Post November 5, 2018FiveThirtyEight November 5, 2018Rothenberg Political Report November 1, 2018Sabato's Crystal Ball November 5, 2018RealClearPolitics November 4, 2018Daily Kos November 5, 2018Fox News November 5, 2018Politico November 5, 2018Governing November 5, 2018

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error AdamLaxalt (R) SteveSisolak (D) JaredLord (L) RyanBundy (I) None ofthese Other UndecidedHarrisXHarrisX November 3–5, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 44% 45% – – – – –HarrisXHarrisX November 2–4, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44% – – – – –Emerson CollegeEmerson College November 1–4, 2018 1,197 ± 3.0% 47% 48% – – – 4% 2%HarrisX November 1–3, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 44% – – – – –HarrisX October 31 – November 2, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 47% 43% – – – – –HarrisX October 30 – November 1, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 46% 43% – – – – –The Trafalgar Group (R)The Trafalgar Group (R) October 29 – November 1, 2018 2,587 ± 1.9% 47% 45% – – – 4% 4%HarrisX October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 45% – – – – –HarrisXHarrisX October 24–30, 2018 1,400 ± 2.6% 43% 45% – – – – –CNN/SSRSCNN/SSRS October 24–29, 2018 622 LV ± 4.8% 45% 46% 2% – 5% 0% 2% 807 RV ± 4.2% 40% 44% 3% – 9% 0% 3%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 24–26, 2018 773 ± 3.5% 44% 46% – – – – 10%IpsosIpsos October 12–19, 2018 1,137 ± 3.0% 46% 41% – – – 4% 9%Vox Populi Polling October 13–15, 2018 614 ± 3.7% 48% 52% – – – – –Emerson CollegeEmerson College October 10–12, 2018 625 ± 4.2% 46% 41% – – – 3% 11%NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeNYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–10, 2018 642 ± 4.0% 46% 45% – – – – 8%Marist CollegeMarist College September 30 – October 3, 2018 574 LV ± 5.5% 44% 40% 8% – 2% <1% 6% 46% 45% – – 3% <1% 6% 780 RV ± 4.5% 41% 40% 8% – 2% <1% 8% 44% 45% – – 4% <1% 7%Kaiser Family Foundation/SSRSKaiser Family Foundation/SSRS September 19 – October 2, 2018 513 ± 5.0% 46% 40% – – – 2% 12%CNN/SSRSCNN/SSRS September 25–29, 2018 693 LV ± 4.6% 41% 45% 5% – 7% 0% 1% 851 RV ± 4.1% 38% 41% 5% – 12% 1% 2%IpsosIpsos September 7–17, 2018 1,039 ± 4.0% 43% 40% – – – 5% 12%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing September 11–12, 2018 700 ± 3.7% 38% 50% – – – – 8%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University September 5–10, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 35% 37% 5% 4% 2% 1%Russell Best (IA) with 1% 15%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University July 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 42% 41% 2% 1% 4% 2%Russell Best (AI) with 2% 7%McLaughlin & Associates (R-Laxalt) July 21–24, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 45% 40% 3% – – 4%Russell Best (AI) with 4% 8%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing June 23–26, 2018 630 ± 3.9% 43% 41% – – – – 17%The Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 37% 43% – – – – 20%TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani)TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 2018 1,103 ± 4.4% 37% 34% – – – – 29%Remington (R-Laxalt)Remington (R-Laxalt) May 23–24, 2017 1,021 ± 3.1% 46% 37% – – – – 17%

with Chris Giunchigliani Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error AdamLaxalt (R) ChrisGiunchigliani (D) UndecidedThe Mellman Group April 12–19, 2018 600 ± 4.0% 40% 38% 22%TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani)TargetSmart (D-Giunchigliani) January 3–7, 2018 1,103 ± 4.4% 39% 34% 27%

Results While Sisolak only won two of the state's counties, those two counties account for more than 80% of the total state population. His overwhelming victory in Clark County, home of Las Vegas, and his narrow victory in Washoe County were enough to pull him over the finish line. Sisolak became the first Democrat to be elected Governor of Nevada since Bob Miller's successful re-election bid in 1994.

By county While Laxalt won 15 of Nevada's county-level jurisdictions (14 counties and the independent city of Carson City), Sisolak carried the two largest, Clark (home to Las Vegas) and Washoe (home to Reno). Sisolak ultimately prevailed by winning his home county, Clark, by over 86,000 votes, double his statewide margin of 39,700 votes.

County Steve SisolakDemocratic Adam LaxaltRepublican None ofThese Candidates Ryan BundyIndependent Russell BestIndependent American Jared LordLibertarian Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % # % # % # %Carson City9,24940.78%12,08053.26%4692.07%3671.62%3241.43%1.920.85%-2,831-12.48%22,681Churchill1,86919.45%7,03373.21%1942.02%2782.89%1291.34%1041.08%-5,164-53.75%9,607Clark352,81454.12%266,21640.84%12,7121.95%8,0921.24%6,4620.99%5,6050.86%86,59813.28%651,901Douglas7,96230.57%16,89764.88%4081.57%3451.32%2110.81%2220.85%-8,935-34.31%26,045Elko2,60417.17%11,44475.44%2131.40%6104.02%1400.92%1591.05%-8,840-58.27%15,170Esmeralda5113.75%27373.58%82.16%297.82%71.89%30.81%-222-59.84%371Eureka618.06%60980.45%202.64%476.21%162.11%40.53%-548-72.39%757Humboldt1,06719.25%4,06173.26%1182.13%1833.30%741.34%400.72%-2,994-54.01%5,543Lander31615.11%1,57175.13%572.73%1004.78%261.24%211.00%-1,255-60.02%2,091Lincoln26613.63%1,44073.77%371.90%1799.17%160.82%140.72%-1,174-60.14%1,952Lyon5,26725.19%14,21167.95%4011.92%5512.63%2761.32%2070.99%-8,944-42.77%20,913Mineral54029.85%1,06758.98%784.31%643.54%341.88%261.44%-527-29.13%1,809Nye4,60726.33%11,10363.47%3291.88%9915.66%2991.71%1650.94%-6,496-37.13%17,494Pershing36020.41%1,25571.15%382.15%804.54%191.08%120.68%-895-50.74%1,764Storey72130.56%1,47662.57%401.70%612.59%341.44%271.14%-755-32.01%2,359Washoe91,68448.74%87,22646.37%3,6691.95%1,7420.93%1,9611.04%1,8160.97%4,4582.37%188,098White Pine56917.54%2,35872.69%742.28%1725.30%481.48%230.71%-1,789-55.15%3,244Totals480,00749.39%440,32045.31%18,8651.94%13,8911.43%10,0761.04%8,6400.89%39,6874.08%971,799

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Clark (largest municipality: Las Vegas) Washoe (largest municipality: Reno)

By congressional district Sisolak won three of four congressional districts. District Sisolak Laxalt Representative 62% 32%Dina Titus 41% 53%Mark Amodei 50% 46%Susie Lee 50% 44%Steven Horsford

2018 Nevada gubernatorial election

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