In the run up to the next Ukrainian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voter intention in Ukraine. The results of the polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Ukrainian parliamentary election, held on 21 July, to the day of the next election.

Credibility of polling firms In Ukraine, there are many unknown and unregistered polling firms. They can suddenly establish and then disappear, be influenced by certain politicians, manipulate questions and the sample. These pseudo-organizations make up opinion polls in the interests of certain politicians and parties, especially Viktor Medvedchuk and OPZZh.

There is a whole database Sellers of ratings of the independent edition Texty, which includes 119 organizations and 220 individuals who have been spotted in the publication of dubious opinion polls or in the hidden PR of politicians. For each of them there is a certificate and history of their activities. There are also separately published the names of real companies with a positive reputation. An important criterion of professional organization is membership in the Sociological Association of Ukraine (SAU).

As of January 2022, the following organizations are accredited members of the SAU: Oleksandr Yaremenko Ukrainian Institute for Social Research Vasyl Karazin Kharkiv National University East Ukrainian Foundation for Social Research Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) GfK Ukraine Oleksandr Razumkov Ukrainian Center for Economic and Political Studies (Razumkov Centre) Kantar Ukraine SOCIS Center for Social and Marketing Research (SOCIS) Rating Group Ukraine (Rating) FAMA Sociological Agency Social Monitoring Center (SMC) In 2018, GfK Ukraine employees founded a new company – Info Sapiens.

Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF) also publishes objective data, but it is not a polling firm in the classical sense, but acts as a mediator between the public and polling firms.

Graphical summary The chart below shows opinion polls conducted for the next Ukrainian parliamentary election until the start of the Russian invasion. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS).

Poll results The table below shows the poll results of accredited members of the Sociological Association of Ukraine and the poll results of the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF), which are sorted in reverse chronological order. The percentages that overcome the 5% electoral threshold are displayed in bold and the background of the highest percentages is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When the poll result is a tie, all figures with the highest percentages are shaded.

Since August 2022

DatesconductedPolling firmSamplesize24AugustParty ofZaluzhnyiParty ofArestovychParty ofBudanovParty of Prokopenko AzovParty of UsykParty of GoncharenkoParty of MayorsParty of KhartiiaOthersLead Info Sapiens 1,00016.1 0.7 2.4 7.6 2.5 2.3 3.7 0.2 1.5 4.5 14.1 7.5 4.0 5.3 3.4 5.7 1.7 16.72.0 SOCIS 2,000 12.7 2.8 4.0 7.0 3.6 2.3 6.7 19.4 9.7 3.4 6.7 21.71.5 Info Sapiens 1,000 16.7 0.7 3.8 8.0 1.8 2.7 4.8 0.3 3.4 5.6 13.9 10.4 3.9 8.0 3.7 8.3 2.8 1.42.8 Rating 2,404 16 2 3 8 3 1 3 5 18 12 8 4 12 SOCIS 1,204 11.5 1.3 2.1 8.9 0.7 1.8 2.2 4.9 1.1 1.9 3.7 21.0 15.3 6.0 13.7 3.85.7 Info Sapiens 1,000 16.1 3.8 6.1 0.2 2.1 1.3 0.5 3.5 0.9 2.1 5.3 18.4 6.0 5.5 4.6 2.3 1.02.3 SOCIS 2,600 16.8 3.3 6.6 8.6 6.1 2.6 5.6 29.6 10.5 4.9 4.0 1.512.8 KIIS 547 11.3 1.1 5.0 16.2 1.9 11.9 6.4 8.7 19.9 1.1 10.4 5.0 1.03.7 SOCIS 2,000 21.3 2.1 4.8 8.8 6.5 2.2 3.6 4.5 27.8 7.4 3.5 7.3 6.5 KIIS 1,023 14.0 1.9 3.5 11.4 2.9 11.0 4.8 5.4 23.5 1.3 6.7 12.89.5 Rating 1,600 19.7 1.6 3.6 7.4 2.1 5.9 0.8 3.3 3.7 23.7 0.9 6.4 3.34.0 Rating 2,400 1423 83 81 5 5 221 828 SOCIS 2,000 19.02.6 4.8 7.52.8 6.0 1.1 4.8 5.6 30.1 6.94.93.911.1 KIIS 1,011 16.6 2.0 2.7 10.2 2.8 7.0 5.2 25.3 1.2 6.1 19.9 0.85.4 SOCIS 2,000 11.3 3.6 5.6 3.4 1.1 2.6 3.8 21.910.6 KIIS 1,029 14.4 1.7 3.8 7.9 1.9 6.3 5.3 28.4 1.5 8.5 19.2 0.99.2 KIIS 1,000 12.4 2.2 3.7 7.9 2.0 5.1 6.1 36.2 2.3 4.5 17.1 0.519.1 SOCIS 2,000 10.2 3.1 6.3 4.4 0.9 3.0 4.1 27.1 3.816.9 KIIS 985 11.8 3.0 3.8 9.6 2.8 6.2 6.3 33.2 0.7 5.6 16.5 0.516.7 SMC 1,200 122 6 9 1 1 4 3 6 6 34 1 7 322 SOCIS 3,000 21.1 3.6 7.5 1.7 1.4 7.0 6.8 46.4 1.5 3.225.3 Rating 2,000 32.2 1.9 5.4 0.8 1.3 5.8 1.3 7.6 2.7 36.0 1.01.4 2.73.8

October 2021 – July 2022

DatesconductedPolling firmSamplesize24AugustOthersLead 8 Jun – 12 Jul 2022Banning of 16 pro-Russian parties, including OPZZh, OB, Nashi, PSh and SPU Info Sapiens 1,000 52.0 5.2 12.6 0.6 0.6 5.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.4 3.1 9.5 3.9 0.839.4 11 pro-Russian parties including OPZZh, OB, Nashi and PSh are suspended by the National Security and Defense Council for the period of martial law due to their ties to Russia Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine Russia officially recognizes independence of Donetsk People's Republic and Luhansk People's Republic Info Sapiens 2,076 19.2 9.6 10.5 17.1 1.3 4.0 6.3 3.8 5.8 2.5 3.5 1.6 0.5 1.2 7.9 5.3 0.02.1 Rating 4,800 19.6 9.5 11.5 17.7 3.9 7.6 5.4 4.8 3.2 3.1 3.2 6.7 3.91.9 UIF 2,400 20 13 12 17 1 3 6 5 4 2 2 1 0.5 2 4 8 13 SOCIS 2,000 16.2 10.7 10.0 23.2 2.1 2.3 7.1 6.3 6.2 1.8 3.2 1.5 8.5 0.97.0 Rating 2,000 18.3 9.7 10.8 17.1 1.7 4.7 5.2 5.5 4.0 3.4 2.8 1.1 2.8 5.3 5.9 1.81.2 KIIS 2,000 16.4 10.1 11.5 22.9 0.7 4.3 5.1 6.2 3.8 2.8 2.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.8 2.2 0.1 5.8 1.66.5 Razumkov 1,206 18.4 9.0 12.6 25.2 2.3 1.8 4.8 5.3 3.2 1.7 2.2 2.2 8.7 2.76.8 KIIS 1,205 13.7 11.6 13.3 18.9 1.6 4.6 7.4 5.5 4.7 2.8 3.1 4.5 7.6 1.05.2 DIF/Razumkov 2,018 20.4 9.9 10.6 17.3 1.0 1.9 6.7 0.4 5.2 4.4 0.7 3.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.6 0.2 10.5 2.43.1 Rating 2,500 19.2 10.5 11.1 14.1 2.2 4.2 6.5 5.7 6.8 2.6 3.5 1.6 4.0 6.0 2.25.1 KIIS 2,025 17.6 13.6 13.7 16.5 1.6 3.4 5.5 4.4 4.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 1.9 3.5 6.5 1.21.1 Rating 2,000 19.1 10.5 11.2 13.5 1.9 4.2 7.3 5.6 6.0 3.4 3.0 1.7 3.8 6.2 2.55.6 KIIS 1,203 17.4 12.5 11.5 15.4 1.3 5.0 6.4 4.9 5.8 2.5 4.9 3.7 7.6 1.22.0 SOCIS 2,000 17.9 11.5 12.2 18.1 2.2 1.9 6.2 5.3 5.2 2.6 5.3 2.1 8.1 1.30.2 KIIS 2,000 18.4 9.0 9.1 19.8 1.7 5.2 7.0 4.4 5.1 4.0 3.3 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.5 2.6 0.2 4.8 1.11.4 UIF 2,400 19 13 14 16 1 2 5 5 4 2 2 2 0.1 2 3 9 1.13 SMC 10,000 19.2 12.8 10.3 15.3 1.0 2.5 6.1 6.8 3.7 1.4 2.6 0.8 0.4 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.0 7.7 0.93.9 Rating 2,500 18.0 11.4 11.4 13.7 1.8 4.0 6.0 5.2 6.2 3.1 3.0 2.1 4.2 7.5 2.34.3 KIIS 1,203 15.0 9.2 13.3 17.1 1.8 5.4 6.7 5.3 5.7 2.7 2.8 4.5 0.2 9.9 0.32.1 Razumkov 2,018 22.7 12.7 8.8 18.8 0.2 2.9 5.7 0.2 4.3 4.4 0.7 3.5 1.5 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.5 2.4 7.0 2.63.9 Rating 2,500 18.0 10.7 10.1 13.9 1.7 4.5 6.4 5.5 5.0 3.1 2.1 1.6 1.5 3.7 1.1 1.8 7.9 1.64.1 Rating 5,000 17.3 11.0 12.2 14.0 1.4 4.8 5.8 4.9 5.2 3.2 3.3 1.7 2.1 3.1 1.1 6.8 2.03.3 Ex-chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Dmytro Razumkov announces the creation of the political group Smart Politics SOCIS 2,000 23.8 12.3 10.9 18.5 2.3 2.0 6.6 5.3 4.7 2.9 3.4 1.3 5.7 0.95.3 UIF 2,400 18 16 16 15 1 2 7 6 4 3 3 2 0.4 2 3 2.53 KIIS 2,028 18.3 17.0 15.4 15.1 1.7 4.5 5.6 2.3 3.7 2.2 2.7 1.2 0.3 2.6 0.7 0.2 4.5 2.01.3 Razumkov 1,200 22.5 11.3 10.8 18.6 1.5 3.2 5.4 4.7 6.9 1.8 2.4 0.5 8.2 2.73.9 Rating 2,500 20.4 12.0 10.9 15.8 2.2 4.8 6.4 6.3 5.3 3.8 2.9 1.9 4.2 3.34.6 Razumkov 2,018 21.6 12.9 11.1 15.8 0.4 2.5 6.0 0.4 6.4 3.8 1.7 2.0 2.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.7 2.2 8.05.8 KIIS 1,200 15.5 13.0 13.6 15.7 1.6 5.6 8.6 5.7 5.6 3.6 4.4 1.8 1.2 2.4 1.1 0.70.2 Verkhovna Rada votes to dismiss Dmytro Razumkov from his post as Chairman of the Parliament

June 2021 – September 2021 DatesconductedPolling firmSamplesize24AugustOthersLead UIF 2,400 23 16 14 15 2 2 7 4 4 3 3 2 0.3 2 3 2.37 SOCIS 2,000 26.4 12.7 10.3 19.1 2.3 2.7 7.7 0.9 4.8 4.3 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.5 3.07.3 SMC 3,010 24.7 17.1 11.2 15.9 1.6 2.7 5.8 0.7 4.8 1.1 2.4 0.6 2.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 2.57.6 KIIS 2,002 20.0 11.6 10.8 17.4 0.6 5.0 7.8 5.5 5.0 3.5 1.8 1.0 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.6 2.1 1.52.6 Rating 2,500 25.8 12.4 10.6 14.1 1.8 4.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 3.6 2.5 1.5 3.4 0.6 3.2 2.111.7 SMC 3,012 24.9 16.2 12.6 15.2 0.9 2.8 5.9 0.9 4.7 1.3 2.8 0.8 2.4 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.48.7 Razumkov Centre 2,019 26.6 16.2 11.4 17.0 1.1 2.9 5.9 0.7 2.9 2.1 3.0 1.5 0.9 0.3 1.2 0.5 5.99.6 SOCIS 2,000 24.3 15.0 9.9 17.9 2.1 3.1 7.4 0.9 3.8 5.7 2.5 3.5 0.7 1.0 2.36.4 KIIS 2,028 20.2 18.3 16.0 14.2 2.1 4.0 6.3 1.8 4.7 2.3 3.6 1.6 0.6 2.8 0.3 1.11.9 Rating 2,500 24.1 12.4 12.8 14.3 2.0 4.8 4.1 4.8 5.0 2.6 3.4 1.7 1.2 4.3 2.49.8 SMC 3,011 25.8 15.9 11.9 15.5 1.2 3.3 5.8 0.8 3.4 2.0 2.2 1.0 2.6 0.3 0.9 0.9 2.29.9 Rating 2,500 24.9 12.8 12.3 13.5 2.0 4.7 4.8 4.3 4.5 3.7 2.6 2.6 1.8 4.1 1.311.4 SOCIS 2,000 24.8 13.3 10.8 18.1 2.9 2.0 8.3 1.5 2.1 4.9 2.9 3.6 1.6 0.7 2.66.7 KIIS 2,031 20.6 16.9 14.7 15.0 1.9 5.7 7.0 1.7 5.1 3.7 2.2 1.5 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.23.7 UIF 2,400 23 18 14 14 2 3 6 4 3 3 2 2 0.5 2 3.85 Razumkov Centre 2,018 28.1 15.0 10.5 19.1 1.1 2.5 6.0 1.2 3.7 0.8 2.7 3.0 0.4 0.1 1.8 0.2 3.89.0 SMC 3,004 23.3 15.9 11.1 15.3 1.8 4.2 4.9 1.0 4.5 2.8 1.8 0.9 2.3 0.4 0.9 0.7 5.17.4 KIIS 2,003 20.3 11.9 12.0 18.5 2.1 4.2 7.2 4.2 4.2 3.4 1.8 0.9 3.5 1.5 0.8 1.1 2.1 0.51.8 SOCIS 2,000 21.0 13.5 12.9 18.2 3.2 2.8 7.0 0.7 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.5 2.2 1.1 4.72.8 KIIS 2,000 17.7 14.7 13.9 15.4 2.9 5.0 8.0 0.5 4.6 5.8 4.5 3.4 1.4 0.9 1.22.3

November 2020 – May 2021