Opinion polling for the 2019 Canadian federal election

This page provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2015 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2019 Canadian federal election, which was held on October 21. For riding-specific polls see 2019 constituency polls.

National polls

Campaign period

Polling firm Last dateof polling Link LPC CPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead 2019 election HTML 33.1 34.3 16.0 7.6 6.5 1.6 N/A 18,170,880 N/A 1.2 Nanos Research 31.7 32.5 20.8 7.2 6.0 1.5 ±3.6 pp 800 telephone 0.8 Mainstreet Research 31.6 32.2 18.3 7.9 6.1 2.8 ±2.17 pp 2,032 IVR 0.6 Research Co. 32 31 19 7 8 2 ±3.1 pp 957 online 1 EKOS 34.2 30.0 18.3 5.0 8.1 3.5 ±2.2 pp 1,994 telephone/IVR 4.2 Campaign Research 31.4 31.3 17.8 6.6 9.1 2.7 ±1.4 pp 1,498 online (rolling) 0.1 Ipsos 31 33 18 7 6 3 ±2 pp 3,108 online/telephone 2 Abacus Data 34 32 16 8 8 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 2 Nanos Research 31.0 31.5 18.8 7.0 9.5 1.8 ±2.4 pp 1,600 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.5 Campaign Research 31.7 31.4 17.4 6.6 9.1 2.7 ±1.6 pp 1,554 online (rolling) 0.3 Forum Research 31.7 29.9 17.5 9.0 8.3 3.0 ±3 pp 1,206 IVR 1.8 Leger 33 33 18 8 6 2 ±2.13 pp 2,117 online 0 Mainstreet Research 32.8 31.9 18.3 7.2 5.5 3.3 ±2.11 pp 2,134 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9 Nanos Research 32.6 30.3 18.4 7.1 9.3 1.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3 Campaign Research 31 31 18 7 9 3 ±2.2 pp 1,987 online 0 Innovative Research 33 31 14 9 8 4 N/A 1,964 online 2 Innovative Research 34 30 19 6 8 2 N/A 3,094 online 4 EKOS 31.0 32.5 17.6 5.5 7.9 3.6 ±2.3 pp 1,881 telephone/IVR 1.5 Mainstreet Research 32.1 31.9 18.8 7.6 5.8 3.0 ±2.11 pp 2,163 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2 Nanos Research 31.5 31.6 19.0 6.2 9.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.1 DART/Maru 29 33 21 8 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,518 online 4 Forum Research 30 29 20 7 8 4 ±3 pp 1,028 IVR 1 Mainstreet Research 31.9 30.9 18.6 7.6 7.0 3.2 ±2.12 pp 2,128 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.0 Nanos Research 31.5 32.5 18.9 6.0 9.2 1.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0 Mainstreet Research 30.9 30.6 18.3 7.9 7.7 3.6 ±2.15 pp 2,070 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Nanos Research 31.9 32.5 18.8 5.9 9.4 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.6 Angus Reid 29 33 19 8 8 3 ±2.0 pp 2,100 online 4 EKOS 31.2 31.8 18.4 6.4 6.8 3.4 ±2.3 pp 1,904 telephone/IVR 0.6 Mainstreet Research 30.7 31.1 17.2 8.1 8.5 3.6 ±2.15 pp 2,076 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.4 Ipsos 30 32 20 7 8 2 ±2.4 pp 2,204 online/telephone 2 Mainstreet Research 30.7 32.3 16.6 7.8 8.3 3.4 ±2.11 pp 2,150 IVR (rolling) 1.6 Nanos Research 32.3 32.1 19.2 5.9 9.3 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2 Nanos Research 31.5 32.3 19.7 6.2 9.0 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8 Nanos Research 33.2 32.1 18.1 5.9 8.9 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1 Abacus Data 32 32 18 6 9 2 ±1.9 pp 3,000 online 0 Campaign Research 29 31 19 7 10 3 ±1.54 pp 4,037 online 2 Mainstreet Research 28.9 31.7 16.6 7.6 9.4 4.2 ±2 pp 2,274 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8 Nanos Research 35.4 33.2 15.3 5.3 8.8 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.2 Innovative Research 35 31 15 6 10 3 N/A 2,394 online 4 Angus Reid 29 34 17 7 9 3 ±1.8 pp 3,031 online 5 EKOS 30.5 31.7 13.1 5.4 12.8 4.7 ±2.2 pp 1,947 telephone/IVR 1.2 DART/Maru 28 33 20 9 7 2 ±3.1 pp 1,510 online 5 Mainstreet Research 30.2 32.2 15.1 7.2 9.8 4.0 ±2.04 pp 2,309 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.0 Nanos Research 36.9 33.2 14.1 5.1 8.2 1.6 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.7 Leger 31 31 18 7 11 3 ±2.11 pp 2,150 online 0 Forum Research 28 35 13 7 12 3 ±3 pp 1,013 IVR 7 Mainstreet Research 31.7 32.0 14.3 6.1 10.3 4.2 ±2 pp 2,445 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Nanos Research 35.6 34.8 13.4 5.2 9.1 1.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8 Mainstreet Research 32.6 33.1 13.2 6.5 10.1 3.4 ±2.11 pp 2,108 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5 Nanos Research 34.6 34.8 13.5 5.1 9.8 1.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2 Ipsos 35 34 15 7 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,502 online 1 Innovative Research 35 33 13 5 10 4 N/A 2,835 online 2 Mainstreet Research 33.1 33.3 13.3 6.3 9.7 2.9 ±2.13 pp 2,108 IVR (rolling) 0.2 Nanos Research 34.3 33.4 15.0 5.1 9.6 1.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.9 Abacus Data 35 33 16 5 8 1 ±2 pp 1,556 online 2 Nanos Research 36.7 32.7 15.0 4.9 8.0 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.0 Nanos Research 36.2 32.6 15.6 5.8 7.4 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.6 Mainstreet Research 34.3 34.8 11.4 5.8 9.1 3.2 ±2.07 pp 2,207 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5 Nanos Research 36.3 34.3 13.8 5.9 8.2 1.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0 Campaign Research 32 34 14 5 11 3 ±1.4 pp 4,755 online 2 Mainstreet Research 33.4 36.4 11.9 5.7 9.0 2.5 ±2.07 pp 2,234 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.0 Nanos Research 32.9 35.2 14.9 5.5 9.9 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3 Forum Research 34 31 12 6 12 4 ±3 pp 1,853 IVR 3 Mainstreet Research 33.5 36.0 11.6 5.3 10.0 2.8 ±2.06 pp 2,259 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5 Nanos Research 34.2 33.9 15.2 4.5 10.2 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.3 Mainstreet Research 33.3 36.1 11.6 5.3 10.0 2.9 ±2.1 pp 2,183 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8 Nanos Research 32.2 34.5 14.3 4.4 11.1 3.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.3 Leger 34 34 14 5 11 2 ±2.48 pp 1,558 online 0 Angus Reid 30 37 14 7 8 3 ±3 pp 1,522 online 7 Ipsos 34 37 15 5 7 2 ±2.9 pp 1,489 online 3 Mainstreet Research 34.4 34.1 10.9 5.6 10.5 3.4 ±2.12 pp 2,140 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Nanos Research 32.7 34.0 13.2 4.1 12.6 2.5 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.3 EKOS 33.4 31.1 11.4 3.0 13.4 5.1 ±2.5 pp 1,492 telephone/IVR 2.3 Mainstreet Research 34.0 33.7 11.7 5.8 10.1 3.7 ±2.06 pp 2,270 (2/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Nanos Research 32.5 34.2 13.0 4.6 12.6 2.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.7 Nanos Research 32.6 34.1 14.4 3.8 13.2 1.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5 Research Co. 36 33 15 5 9 2 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 3 Mainstreet Research 33.4 35.6 10.7 5.6 9.7 3.7 ±1.98 pp 2,436 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.2 Nanos Research 34.4 33.7 15.0 4.4 10.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7 Abacus Data 35 33 15 5 10 2 ±2.3 pp 1,975 online 2 Mainstreet Research 34.4 35.8 10.7 5.5 9.2 3.4 ±2.1 pp 2,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.4 Nanos Research 35.5 33.6 14.5 4.7 9.5 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.9 Innovative Research 35 31 14 5 10 5 N/A 2,302 online 4 Mainstreet Research 35.2 35.5 10.8 5.2 9.3 2.9 ±2.1 pp 2,389 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Nanos Research 35.3 35.4 12.7 5.5 8.8 2.1 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.1 Leger 34 33 13 5 11 4 ±2.11 pp 2,153 online 1 Innovative Research 35 34 12 5 10 4 N/A 2,496 online 1 Mainstreet Research 34.4 35.9 11.2 4.8 9.6 ±2.03 pp 2,333 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.5 Nanos Research 35.1 33.5 12.9 5.7 10.1 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.6 Angus Reid 30 35 15 6 11 3 ±2.5 pp 1,523 online 5 Ipsos 32 36 15 4 11 2 ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 4 Mainstreet Research 33.7 35.8 ±2.1 pp 2,168 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.1 Nanos Research 33.1 34.3 12.8 5.8 10.6 2.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.2 EKOS 32.0 35.3 10.9 4.9 10.3 4.1 ±2.8 pp 1,272 IVR 3.3 Abacus Data 32 34 15 4 10 3 ±2.3 pp 1,929 online 2 Mainstreet Research 33.9 34.8 11.4 4.9 10.7 3.6 ±2.13 pp 2,124 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9 Forum Research 33 33 11 6 11 5 ±3 pp 2,449 IVR 0 Nanos Research 32.9 35.5 14.0 5.3 9.5 2.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.6 DART/Maru 30 37 15 6 8 3 ±2.9 pp 1,520 online 7 Mainstreet Research 35.9 34.2 10.9 4.8 10.4 3.1 ±2.14 pp 2,087 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7 Nanos Research 32.0 36.8 13.7 5.4 9.0 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.8 Mainstreet Research 36.8 34.2 10.1 4.7 9.8 3.7 ±2.14 pp 2,087 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.6 Nanos Research 34.2 37.4 12.8 3.5 9.3 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.2 Mainstreet Research 37.2 34.4 9.8 4.4 10.1 3.3 ±2.21 pp 1,935 (2/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8 Nanos Research 35.0 37.8 11.8 4.0 7.7 2.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.8 Nanos Research 35.5 37.2 13.6 4.0 7.0 1.7 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.7 Leger 34 33 12 5 11 4 ±2.45 pp 1,598 online 1 Mainstreet Research 36.8 34.8 9.7 4.5 9.4 3.8 ±2.23 pp 1,935 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.0 Nanos Research 34.9 35.9 15.4 4.7 6.5 1.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0 Angus Reid 33 36 13 5 9 4 ±2.0 pp 2,154 online 3 Mainstreet Research 36.5 35.0 9.6 4.3 9.9 3.5 ±2.23 pp 1,935 IVR (rolling) 1.5 Nanos Research 34.0 34.4 16.4 4.4 7.8 2.3 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.4 Innovative Research 35 32 14 4 11 4 N/A 1,622 online 3 Nanos Research 35.2 32.3 16.6 3.8 9.6 2.0 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.9 Ipsos 35 35 14 4 9 2 ±2.2 pp 2,562 online/telephone 0 Nanos Research 35.4 32.8 15.7 3.6 9.5 2.4 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone (rolling) 2.6 DART/Maru 32 35 15 6 8 2 ±2.9 pp 1,517 online 3 Forum Research 32.4 36.3 8.6 4.1 11.6 4.9 ±3 pp 1,001 IVR 3.9

Pre-campaign period