The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016. He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who at the time of the election was the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election. The primaries were held on June 7.
Republican primary Candidates Ryan Zinke, incumbent
Results
Democratic primary Candidates Denise Juneau, State Superintendent of Public Instruction
Results
General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 7, 2016Daily Kos ElectionsNovember 7, 2016 RothenbergNovember 3, 2016 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 7, 2016RCPOctober 31, 2016
Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RyanZinke (R) DeniseJuneau (D) Other UndecidedMason-DixonMason-Dixon October 10–12, 2016 1,003 ± 3.2% 53% 40% 1%Rick Breckenridge with 1% 6%Montana State University BillingsMontana State University Billings October 3–10, 2016 590 ± 4.0% 50% 31% — 19%
Results
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
References
External links U.S. House election in Montana, 2016 at Ballotpedia Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets