Opinion polling for the 2015 Israeli legislative election

Israeli polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls report the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminate parties that poll below the threshold and distribute the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who pass it. As a result, parties that poll at or near the threshold can show inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats.

Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.

DatePoll Likud YisraelBeiteinu YeshAtid Labor Hatnuah JewishHome Shas UTJ Meretz Hadash UAL-Ta'al Balad Otzma  Yachad Kulanu  2013 election results 31 19 15 6 12 11 7 6 4 4 3 0 Seats in the outgoing Knesset18 13 19 15 6 12 11 7 6 4 4 3 0 0 0 Final results30 6 11 24 8 7 6 5 13

0 10 201517 MarChannel 1 exit poll27 5 11 26 8 7 6 5 12

0 9 17 MarChannel 2 exit poll28 5 11 27 8 7 6 5 13

0 10 17 MarChannel 10 exit poll27 5 11 27 8 7 7 5 13

0 10 13 Mar Deadline for publishing election polls; under Israeli law, publishing election polls in the last five days before an election is prohibited.New poll: Netanyahu's Likud down to 20 seats, Haaretz, 13 March 2015.Gil Hoffman, A League of His Own, 3 March 2015, Jerusalem Post.13 MarChannel 222 5 12 26 11 7 6 5 13

5 8 13 MarChannel 1020 5 12 24 12 7 7 5 13

5 10 13 MarReshet Bet21 6 11 25 11 9 6 5 13

4 9 13 MarPanels/Jerusalem Post21 4 13 25 11 7 6 5 13

5 10 13 MarTeleseker/Walla23 6 12 25 11 7 7 4 12

4 9 13 MarMidgam/Yedioth Ahronoth22 5 12 26 12 7 6 5 13

4 8 13 MarTeleseker/Channel 122 6 12 25 11 8 7 4 12

4 9 12 MarPanels/Maariv21 5 13 24 12 7 7 5 13

4 9 12 MarSmith/Globes20 6 12 24 12 9 6 5 13

4 9 12 MarMaagar Mochot/Kol Bramah Radio21 5 13 24 13 7 7 5 12

5 8 12 MarDialog/Haaretz21 4 12 24 11 7 6 6 13

5 11 11 MarMidgam/Israel Army Radio (Galatz)21 6 12 24 13 7 7 6 12

4 8 10 MarPanels/Knesset Channel21 5 14 24 12 7 6 5 13

4 9 10 MarChannel 221 6 12 25 13 7 6 5 13

4 8 8 MarGeocartography26 7 12 21 13 8 8 5 12

0 8 6 MarYisrael Hayom23 6 13 23 12 6 6 5 13

5 9 6 MarTeleseker/Walla!24 6 12 24 11 8 7 4 12

4 8 6 MarPanels/Maariv22 5 13 24 12 7 6 6 13

4 8 5 MarChannel 124 6 13 24 11 8 7 4 12

4 7 4 MarDialog/Channel 1023 5 13 23 11 7 6 5 13

4 10 4 MarMidgam/Channel 223 6 12 24 12 6 6 6 13

4 8 3 Mar PM Netanyahu delivers a speech about Iran to a joint meeting of U.S. Congress3 MarPanels/Knesset Channel21 5 13 24 12 7 7 6 13

4 8 3 MarIsrael Army Radio (Galatz)22 7 12 24 12 6 7 6 12

4 8 2 MarMaagar Mochot/Kol Bramah Radio23 6 11 24 12 7 7 5 12

5 8 1 MarGeocartography24 5 11 22 14 4 8 6 12

5 9 27 FebIsrael Radio22 6 12 23 12 8 6 5 13

4 9 27 FebMaariv 23 5 12 25 11 7 7 5 13

4 8 27 FebTeleseker/Walla! 23 6 13 23 13 7 7 4 12

5 7 26 Feb Television debate of the leaders of all parties except Likud, Zionist Union, and UTJ26 FebPanels/Maariv-Jerusalem Post23 5 12 24 12 7 7 5 13

4 8 26 FebChannel 1 24 6 12 24 12 7 7 4 12

5 7 26 Feb Channel 1021 6 13 23 12 7 7 5 12

5 9 24 Feb Midgam /Channel 2Survey: Zionist Union leads Likud by 2 mandates, Ynet, Feb. 24, 2015.22 6 12 24 12 7 7 6 12

5 7 24 FebDialog/Haaretz23 6 12 23 12 7 7 5 12

4 9 24 FebPanels/Knesset Channel24 5 12 24 11 7 7 5 13

4 8 22 FebTeleseker/Nana 1023 4 11 25 14 5 7 6 12

5 8 22 FebGeocartography27 7 11 23 11 4 7 4 12

5 9 20 FebSmith/Israel Radio24 5 10 24 13 8 7 5 12

4 8 20 FebTeleseker/Walla24 6 12 23 13 7 7 4 12

4 8 19 FebPanels/Maariv22 5 12 24 13 7 7 6 12

4 8 19 FebTeleseker/Channel 124 6 11 24 13 7 7 4 12

4 8 18 FebChannel 1022 5 12 23 13 7 7 5 12

4 10 17 FebTRI/Bizportal23 4 12 24 14 4 8 4 12

5 10 17 FebPanels/Knesset Channel23 6 12 24 12 7 7 6 12

4 7 15 FebMidgam/Channel 224 7 11 25 11 6 7 5 12

5 7 15 FebGeocartography27 6 8 24 11 7 8 6 12

4 7 13 FebSmith/Israel Radio25 5 9 24 13 8 7 5 13

4 7 13 FebTeleseker/Walla25 7 9 23 13 7 7 5 12

4 8 13 FebPanels/Maariv24 6 12 23 11 6 7 6 13

5 7 12 FebSmith/Globes24 6 9 24 13 8 7 5 12

4 8 11 FebTeleseker/Channel 127 7 10 23 11 6 8 5 12

4 7 10 FebPanels/Knesset Channel23 5 12 23 12 7 7 5 12

5 9 9 Feb202 Strategies/Times of Israel23 7 11 27 11 5 7 4 11

4 10 8 FebMidgam/Channel 1023 5 10 23 14 6 6 5 13

5 10 7 Feb Teleseker/Channel 127 6 11 23 11 6 8 5 12

4 7 6 FebMaagar Mochot/NRG25 4 11 24 14 6 6 6 12

4 8 6 FebSmith/Israel Radio26 5 9 25 14 9 8 5 12

0 7 6 FebPanels/Maariv26 5 11 22 13 6 8 6 12

4 7 6 FebMidgam/Yedioth Ahronoth24 6 11 25 12 7 7 5 12

4 7 5 FebTeleseker/Walla26 7 10 23 12 7 7 4 12

4 8 3 FebPanels/Knesset Channel25 5 11 24 13 6 7 5 12

4 8 1 FebDialog/Haaretz25 6 9 23 14 6 8 5 12

4 8 30 JanSmith/Israel Radio26 5 8 26 15 9 7 5 12

0 7 30 JanTeleseker/Walla27 6 8 26 12 7 7 4 12

4 7 30 JanPanels/Maariv25 5 11 24 14 7 8 6 12

0 0 8 29 Jan Deadline for parties to submit final Knesset candidate lists to the Central Elections Commission29 Jan Otzma Yehudit and Yachad reach agreement to run a joint list29 JanSmith/GlobesTzvi Ben-Gedalyahu, New Poll Shows All Parties Going Full Blast in Neutral, Jewish Press, 29 January 2015.24 5 9 25 16 8 8 5 12

0 0 8 29 JanTeleseker/Channel 127 7 8 26 14 7 8 5 12

0 0 6 28 JanChannel 1023 4 10 25 16 6 6 5 12

0 4 9 27 JanPanels/Knesset Channel23 6 11 25 15 7 7 6 12

0 0 8 26 JanChannel 2/Midgam23 7 9 26 15 7 7 6 12

0 0 8 24 JanPanels 22 7 11 22 13 6 7 6 11

7 8 23 JanIsrael Radio25 5 9 25 16 9 7 5 12

0 0 7 22 Jan United Arab List, Ta'al, Hadash, Balad and Islamic Movement in Israel reach agreement to run as a united list22 JanTeleseker/Channel 126 7 8 24 15 9 8 5 11

0 0 7 20 JanKnesset Channel/NRG40 5 11 24 40 4 7 6 11

0 6 6 20 JanKnesset Channel/NRG23 5 11 24 16 5 7 6 12

0 4 8 16 JanPanels/Maariv22 6 11 25 17 6 7 6 11

0 0 9 16 JanTeleseker/Walla24 5 8 26 18 7 8 5 11

0 0 8 15 JanMidgam/Channel 223 6 11 25 16 6 6 5 11

0 0 11 15 JanChannel 1020 5 10 24 16 6 7 6 12

0 4 10 14 JanSmith/Globes24 6 9 25 15 8 7 6 6 5 0 0 9 13 JanPanels/Knesset Channel23 7 12 24 16 6 7 6 5 5 0 0 0 9 11 JanTeleseker24 7 10 23 15 6 8 6 3 6 2 0 0 10 9 JanTeleseker/Walla-Maariv25 6 9 24 15 6 8 6 11

0 0 10 7 JanDialog/Haaretz22 6 12 23 16 5 7 6 5 5 0 0 4 9 6 JanTeleseker/Channel 125 7 9 24 15 6 8 7 11

0 0 8 6 JanPanels/Knesset Channel 24 7 12 23 15 6 8 6 11

0 0 8 2 JanTeleseker/Walla 26 7 9 23 16 6 7 7 11

0 0 8 2 JanPanels/Galay Israel Radio 23 7 9 24 16 7 7 7 6 5 0 0 9 201431 DecChannel 10 21 7 9 23 17 5 7 6 11

0 4 10 30 DecPanels/Knesset Channel 23 5 10 24 16 5 8 8 12

0 0 9 29 DecMidgam/Channel 224 8 9 24 16 6 7 5 0 6 5 0 0 10 25 DecSarid/Channel 2 22 10 9 25 17 4 7 7 12

0 0 7 24 DecJerusalem Post and Maariv/Panels 23 5 11 24 17 4 7 7 5 6 0 0 4 7 23 DecTRI/Nana 10 20 7 19 21 16 5 8 6 11

0 4 19 23 DecChannel 10 21 9 10 22 17 4 7 6 5 6 0 0 4 9 22 DecPanels/Knesset Channel 21 7 11 23 16 5 7 7 5 5 0 0 4 9 21 DecArutz 7/Geocartography 27 8 7 25 11 9 7 7 10

0 0 9 19 DecSmith/Reshet Bet 22 8 8 23 13 7 7 7 10

0 6 9 19 DecSmith/Globes 23 9 8 23 16 8 7 6 5 6 0 0 9 18 DecPanels/Maariv 21 8 10 23 16 4 7 7 5 5 0 0 4 10 17 DecHaaretz/Dialog 21 8 11 21 16 4 8 6 5 5 0 0 3 12 16 DecGeocartography 23 10 9 21 16 6 7 7 5 5 0 4 0 11 16 DecPanels/Knesset Channel 22 9 10 22 15 4 7 7 5 5 0 0 4 10 15 Dec Former Shas chairman Eli Yishai forms a new party, Yachad12 DecPanels/NRG 20 10 9 24 17 6 8 6 5 5 0 0 10 12 DecGeocartography 25 9 8 18 11 10 11 6 10

0 12 11 DecSmith/Walla Poll 18 10 10 21 17 9 8 6 10

0 9 11 DecMidgam/Channel 2 23 8 8 24 15 9 8 5 11

0 9 11 DecPanels/Maariv 20 10 9 24 17 6 8 6 5 5 0 0 10 10 Dec Labor (led by Isaac Herzog) and Hatnuah (led by Tzipi Livni) agree to run on a joint list, called Zionist UnionMoran Azulay, Herzog, Livni to unite against 'radical right', Ynet News 11 December 2014.10 DecChannel 10 20 11 10 22 15 7 7 6 5 5 0 0 13 8 Dec 19th Knesset dissolved, elections called8 DecPanelPolitics 21 9 9 23 18 7 8 6 5 5 0 0 9 8 DecPanels / Knesset Channel 21 10 12 17 0 18 7 8 7 5 5 0 0 10 5 DecGalay Israel/Maagar Mochot 21 9 11 14 4 18 7 8 8 5 4 0 0 11 5 DecNRG/Makor Rishon Maagar Mochot 25 13 9 13 4 15 7 7 6 10

0 10 5 DecNew Wave/Yisrael Hayom 22 10 10 12 4 16 8 8 6 5 4 2 0 13 5 DecJerusalem Post/Maariv Panels 21 9 11 14 4 18 7 8 8 5 4 0 0 11 4 DecSmith/Globes 23 11 10 15 2 16 9 7 7 5 3 3 0 10 3 DecTeleseker/Walla 23 12 11 12 5 17 7 8 5 3 5 2 0 10 2 DecDialog/Channel 10 22 12 9 13 4 17 7 8 7 9

0 12 2 DecMidgam/Channel 2 22 10 9 13 4 17 9 8 7 11