2014 United States House of Representatives election in Montana

The 2014 congressional election in Montana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. Between 1993 and 2023, Montana had one at-large seat in the House.

Incumbent Republican Congressman Steve Daines was first elected in 2012. Instead of running for re-election, he successfully ran for the U.S. Senate election in 2014. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected will serve in the 114th United States Congress from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2017.

Republican primary Candidates Declared Elsie Arntzen, state representative Matt Rosendale, state senator Corey Stapleton, former state senator and candidate for governor in 2012 Drew Turiano, real estate investor and candidate for Secretary of State of Montana in 2012 Ryan Zinke, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2012

Withdrew Brad Johnson, former Secretary of State of Montana (running for Montana Public Service Commission)

Declined Steve Daines, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for the U.S. Senate) Champ Edmunds, state representative (running for the U.S. Senate) Denny Rehberg, former U.S. Representative, former lieutenant governor and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012 Scott Reichner, state representative Jon Sonju, state senator and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2012

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BradJohnson MatthewRosendale CoreyStapleton RyanZinke Other UndecidedPPPPPP November 15–17, 2013 469 ±4.5% 20% 9% 32% 9% — 31%

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Declared John Driscoll, former Public Service Commissioner, former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives and nominee for the seat in 2008 John Lewis, former state director for U.S. Senator Max Baucus

Withdrew Melinda Gopher, writer and candidate for the seat in 2010

Declined Pam Bucy, Montana Commissioner of Labor and Industry and nominee for Attorney General of Montana in 2012 Shane Colton, attorney and former commissioner of the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks Amanda Curtis, state representative John Engen, Mayor of Missoula Kim Gillan, state senator and nominee for the seat in 2012 Denise Juneau, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction Jesse Laslovich, former state senator, Chief Legal Counsel to Montana State Auditor Monica Lindeen and candidate for Attorney General of Montana in 2012 Monica Lindeen, Montana State Auditor Kendall Van Dyk, state senator John Walsh, United States Senator former Lieutenant Governor of Montana and former Adjutant General of the Montana National Guard (running for the U.S. Senate) Carol Williams, former Majority Leader of the Montana State Senate John Patrick Williams, former U.S. Representative Whitney Williams, former director of operations for Hillary Clinton Franke Wilmer, state representative

Endorsements

Primary results

Libertarian nomination Candidates Declared Mike Fellows, businessman and chair of the Libertarian Party of Montana

Independents Candidates Withdrawn Shawn White Wolf, counselor for the Montana United Indian Association and candidate for the Montana House of Representatives in 2010

General election Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RyanZinke (R) JohnLewis (D) MikeFellows (L) UndecidedGravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 23–24, 2014 604 ± 4% 53% 41% — 6%The MSU-Billings PollThe MSU-Billings Poll October 6–11, 2014 410 ± 5% 40% 33% 2% 25%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing September 29–30, 2014 535 ± 4% 51% 41% — 8%Vox Populi Polling August 3–4, 2014 798 ± 3.5% 44% 37% — 19%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing July 20–22, 2014 741 ± 4% 47% 35% 6% 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% — 30%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BradJohnson (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 43% 32% — 26%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MatthewRosendale (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 37% 32% — 31%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror CoreyStapleton (R) JohnLewis (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling November 15–17, 2013 952 ± 3.2% 44% 31% — 25%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Hill (largest city: Havre)

See also United States Senate election in Montana, 2014 2014 United States House of Representatives elections 2014 United States elections

References

External links U.S. House elections in Montana, 2014 at Ballotpedia Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites John Lewis for Congress Ryan Zinke for Congress