Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.
Alabama
9 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorCapital Survey Research Center August 13–16, 2012 Barack Obama 36% Mitt Romney 54%18 452 RV ±4.6%Capital Survey Research Center June 7, 18–19, 26–27, 2012 Barack Obama 36% Mitt Romney 51%15 551 LV ±4.2%
Arizona
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorPublic Policy Polling July 23–25, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 52%11 833 RV ±3.4%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 26, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 54%13 500 LV ±4.5%Project New America/Public Policy Polling (D) June 4–5, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49%3 791 RV ±3.5%Public Policy Polling May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 50%7 500 RV ±4.4%DC London/Magellan Strategies (R) April 30 – May 2, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 52%9 909 LV ±3.25%Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll)) April 9–17, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 40%2 511 RV ±4.4%Arizona State University April 8–14, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 42%2 488 RV ±4.4%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 13, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 51%11 500 LV ±4.5% 44% Rick Santorum 45%1NBC News/Marist College February 19–20, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 45%5 2,487 RV ±1.8% Barack Obama 41% Ron Paul 43%2 Barack Obama 45% Newt Gingrich 40%5 Barack Obama 42% Rick Santorum 45%3Public Policy Polling February 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47%Tie 743 RV ±3.6% Barack Obama 46% Ron Paul 42%4 Barack Obama 48% Newt Gingrich 44%4 Barack Obama 46% Rick Santorum 47%1Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain Poll) January 5–9, 2012 Barack Obama 37% Mitt Romney 43%6 553 RV ±4.3% Barack Obama 44% Ron Paul 36%8 45% Newt Gingrich 35%10 43% Rick Santorum 34%9
Three way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorPublic Policy Polling May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 9%4 500 RV ±4.4%
Arkansas
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorTalk Business/Hendrix College March 26, 2012 Barack Obama 33% Mitt Romney 56.5%23.5 759 LV ±3.6%
California
55 electoral votes(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorPolicy Analysis for California Education/USC Rossier School of Education/Tulchin ResearchAugust 3–7, 2012Barack Obama55.6%Mitt Romney32.7%22.91,041 LV±3.0%CBRT/Pepperdine University/M4 StrategiesJuly 16–17, 2012Barack Obama51.9%Mitt Romney32.6%19.3812 LV±3.4%Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) June 21 – July 2, 2012 Barack Obama 55% Mitt Romney 37%18 848 LV ±3.4%SurveyUSA May 27–29, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 36%21 1,575 RV ±2.5%Field Research Corporation (Field Poll) May 21–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 32%16 710 RV ±3.8%USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint May 17–21, 2012 Barack Obama 56% Mitt Romney 37%19 1,002 RV ±3.5%Public Policy Institute of California May 14–20, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 39%11 894 LV ±4.2%SurveyUSA March 29, 2012 – April 2, 2012 Barack Obama 62% Mitt Romney 31%31 1,995 RV ±2.2%USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times/Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 36%21 1,500 RV ±2.9%Field Research Corporation (Field Poll)February 11–18, 2012Barack Obama55%Mitt Romney35%201,000 RV±3.1%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 8–16, 2012 Barack Obama 57% Mitt Romney 35%22 500 ±4.5% 58% Rick Santorum 30%28SurveyUSA February 8–9, 2012 Barack Obama 60% Mitt Romney 31%29 2,088 RV ±2.1% 63% Newt Gingrich 27%36 61% Ron Paul 29%31 61% Rick Santorum 29%32
Colorado
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorKeating Research/OnSight Public Affairs August 21–22, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44%4 500 LV ±4.4%Purple Strategies August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46%3 600 LV ±4.0%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 6, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47%Tied 500 LV ±4.5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 43%6 779 LV ±3.5%Purple Strategies July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 44%1 600 LV ±4.0%Priorities USA Action/Garin-Hart-Yang-Research Group (D)June 25 – July 5, 2012Barack Obama49%Mitt Romney42%7608 LV±4.%We Ask America June 25, 2012 Barack Obama 46.6% Mitt Romney 43%3.6 1,083 LV ±2.98%Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42%7 799 LV ±3.5%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research June 7, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45%Tied 500 LV ±4.5%Purple Strategies May 31 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 46%2 600 LV ±4.0%NBC News/Marist College May 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45%1 1,030 RV ±3.0%Project New America/Keating Research/Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs (D) May 21–24, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44%4 601 RV ±4.0%Purple StrategiesPurple Strategies April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 47%Tied Not reported ±4.1%Public Policy Polling April 5–7, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 40%13 542 ±4.2% 55% Newt Gingrich 37%18 54% Rick Santorum 38%16 47% Ron Paul 42%5
Three way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorPublic Policy Polling August 2–5, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42% Gary Johnson 4%4 779 ±3.5%Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 39% Gary Johnson 7%8 799 ±3.5%
Connecticut
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorQuinnipiac University August 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Mitt Romney 45%7 1,472 LV ±2.6%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 21, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 43%8 500 LV ±4.5%Quinnipiac University May 29, 2012 – June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 38%12 1,408 ±2.6%Quinnipiac University March 14–19, 2012 Barack Obama 53% Mitt Romney 37%16 1,622 ±2.4% 55% Rick Santorum 35%20
Florida
29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorCNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation August 22–26, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46% 4 776 LV ±3.5%CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University August 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 46% 3 1,241 LV ±2.8%Gravis Marketing August 20, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 728 LV ±3.8%Foster McCollum White Baydoun/Douglas Fulmer & Associates August 17, 2012 Barack Obama 39.9% Mitt Romney 54.46% 14.56 1,503 LV ±2.53%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research August 15, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 45% 2 500 LV ±4.5%Purple Strategies August 13–14, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 48% 1 600 LV ±4.0%CBS News/New York Times/Quinnipiac University July 24–30, 2012 Barack Obama 51% Mitt Romney 45% 6 1,177 LV ±3.0%Public Policy Polling July 26–29, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 47%1 871 LV ±3.3%WFLA-TV Tampa/SurveyUSA July 17–19, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 43%5 647 LV ±3.9%Purple Strategies July 9–13, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 48% 3 600 LV ±4.0%Mason-Dixon Polling & Research July 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45%1 800 RV ±3.5%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research July 9, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46% 1 500 LV ±4.5%Priorities USA/Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D)June 25 – July 3, 2012Barack Obama48%Mitt Romney44%4608 LV±4.0%We Ask America July 1–2, 2012 Barack Obama 46.1% Mitt Romney 45.3%0.8 1,127 LV ±2.9%Quinnipiac University June 19–25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 41%4 1,200 RV ±2.8%Quinnipiac University June 12–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 42%4 1,697 RV ±2.4%Purple Strategies May 31, 2012 – June 5, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 49%4 600 LV ±4.0%Public Policy Polling May 31 – June 3, 2012 Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 46%4 642 RV ±3.9%Quinnipiac University May 15–21, 2012 Barack Obama 41% Mitt Romney 47%6 1,722 RV ±2.4%NBC News/Marist College May 17–20, 2012 Barack Obama 48% Mitt Romney 44%4 1,078 RV ±3.0%Suffolk University/7News May 6–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45%1 600 RV ±4%Quinnipiac University April 25 – May 1, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 44%1 1,169 RV ±2.9%Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research April 25, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 46%1 500 LV ±4.5%Purple Strategies April 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 47%2 600 LV ±4.1%Fox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & CompanyFox News/Anderson Robbins/Shaw & Company April 15–17, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 43%2 757 RV ±4.0%Public Policy Polling April 12–15, 2012 Barack Obama 52% Newt Gingrich 40%8 700 LV ±3.7% 50% Ron Paul 40%10 50% Mitt Romney 45%5Quinnipiac University March 20–26, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 42%7 1,228 RV ±2.8% 50% Rick Santorum 37%13Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research March 13, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 43%3 500 LV ±4.5% 45% Rick Santorum 43%2Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research February 9, 2012 Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 44%3 500 LV ±4.5% 47% Rick Santorum 46%1NBC News/Marist College January 25–27, 2012 Barack Obama 49% Mitt Romney 41%8 1,739 LV ±2.7% 52% Newt Gingrich 35%17 50% Ron Paul 36%14 50% Rick Santorum 35%15Mason-Dixon Research & Polling/Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald January 24–26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Mitt Romney 48%4 800 LV ±3.5% Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 41%9 50% Rick Santorum 39%11Suffolk University January 22–24, 2012 Barack Obama 42% Mitt Romney 47%5 600 RV Not reported Barack Obama 49% Newt Gingrich 40%9Quinnipiac University January 19–23, 2012 Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 45%Tied 1,518 RV ±2.5% Barack Obama 50% Newt Gingrich 39%11 47% Ron Paul 39%8 49% Rick Santorum 40%9Everglades Foundation/Tarrance Group (R) January 4–8, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% 1 607 LV ±4.1%Quinnipiac University January 4–8, 2012 Barack Obama 43% Mitt Romney 46%3 1,412 RV ±2.8% Barack Obama 45% Rick Santorum 43%2
Three way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of errorMason Dixon July 9–11, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% Gary Johnson 2%1 800 ±3.5%
Georgia
16 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error20/20 Insight August 15–18, 2012 Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 49%3 1,158 LV ±2.9%Majority Opinion Research/InsiderAdvantage May 22, 2012 Barack Obama 40% Mitt Romney 52%12 438 Not reportedRosetta Stone Communications/Landmark Communications May 10, 2012 Barack Obama 40.2% Mitt Romney 51.1%10.9 600 RV ±4.0%SurveyUSA February 23–26, 2012 Barack Obama 44% Newt Gingrich 48%4 1,156 RV ±2.9% 42% Mitt Romney 49%7 43% Rick Santorum 47%4 43% Ron Paul 46%3
Illinois
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%