Post-election pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2012 Queensland state election.

"Very safe" seats require a swing of more than 20 points to change, "safe" seats10–20 points to change, "fairly safe" seats 6–10 points, and "marginal" seats less than 6 points.

Liberal National seatsMarginal BulimbaAaron DillawayLNP0.1 pointsMaryboroughAnne MaddernLNP v IND0.3 points WaterfordMike LatterLNP1.0 points ThuringowaSam CoxLNP v KAP1.4 points Yeerongpilly Carl Judge LNP 1.4 points LyttonNeil SymesLNP1.6 points GreenslopesIan KayeLNP2.5 points SandgateKerry MillardLNP2.9 points NudgeeJason WoodforthLNP3.1 points CookDavid KemptonLNP3.4 pointsHinchinbrookAndrew CrippsLNP v KAP3.6 points CapalabaSteve DaviesLNP3.7 points IpswichIan BerryLNP4.2 points LoganMichael PucciLNP4.8 points TownsvilleJohn HathawayLNP4.8 points Brisbane CentralRobert CavallucciLNP4.9 points Mount Coot-thaSaxon RiceLNP5.4 points MorayfieldDarren GrimwadeLNP5.6 points AshgroveCampbell NewmanLNP5.7 pointsFairly safe KeppelBruce YoungLNP6.4 points StaffordChris DavisLNP7.1 points Ipswich WestSean ChoatLNP7.2 pointsBurnettStephen BennettLNP v IND8.5 points CairnsGavin KingLNP8.9 pointsNanangoDeb FrecklingtonLNP v KAP9.0 points AlgesterAnthony ShortenLNP9.1 points Barron RiverMichael TroutLNP9.5 points Ferny GroveDale ShuttleworthLNP9.5 points MurrumbaReg GulleyLNP9.5 points StrettonFreya OstapovitchLNP9.6 points Toowoomba NorthTrevor WattsLNP9.6 pointsSafe RedcliffeScott DriscollLNP10.1 points MundingburraDavid CrisafulliLNP10.2 points SunnybankMark StewartLNP10.2 points BeaudesertJon KrauseLNP v KAP10.6 points WhitsundayJason CostiganLNP10.7 points BurleighMichael HartLNP11.0 points MansfieldIan WalkerLNP11.1 pointsMiraniTed MaloneLNP11.2 points BroadwaterVerity BartonLNP11.3 points AlbertMark BoothmanLNP11.9 points PumicestoneLisa FranceLNP12.1 points KallangurTrevor RuthenbergLNP12.4 pointsBurdekinRosemary MenkensLNP v KAP12.5 points EvertonTim ManderLNP13.2 pointsCallideJeff SeeneyLNP v KAP13.5 points Pine RiversSeath HolswichLNP13.7 points ChatsworthSteve MinnikinLNP13.9 points SouthportRob MolhoekLNP14.7 points LockyerIan RickussLNP v KAP14.9 points SpringwoodJohn GrantLNP15.4 points Mount OmmaneyTarnya SmithLNP16.5 pointsGympieDavid GibsonLNP v KAP17.3 pointsClevelandMark RobinsonLNP18.1 pointsBundabergJack DempseyLNP18.2 pointsGavenAlex DouglasLNP19.1 pointsIndooroopillyScott EmersonLNP19.5 pointsVery safeCondamineRay HopperLNP v KAP20.1 pointsCurrumbinJann StuckeyLNP20.2 pointsGlass HouseAndrew PowellLNP20.4 pointsClayfieldTim NichollsLNP20.4 pointsMaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP20.6 pointsRedlandsPeter DowlingLNP20.9 pointsCaloundraMark McArdleLNP21.2 pointsToowoomba SouthJohn McVeighLNP21.6 pointsAspleyTracy DavisLNP21.7 pointsHervey BayTed SorensenLNP21.7 pointsCoomeraMichael CrandonLNP23.3 pointsMoggillBruce FleggLNP23.9 pointsWarregoHoward HobbsLNP v IND25.1 pointsGregoryVaughan JohnsonLNP25.5 pointsNoosaGlen ElmesLNP v GRN25.5 pointsMudgeerabaRos BatesLNP25.9 pointsBuderimSteve DicksonLNP26.0 pointsMermaid BeachRay StevensLNP26.0 points KawanaJarrod BleijieLNP26.3 pointsSurfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP29.5 pointsSouthern DownsLawrence SpringborgLNP v KAP29.8 points

Labor seatsMarginal MackayTim MulherinALP0.5 points MulgraveCurtis PittALP1.1 pointsBundambaJo-Ann MillerALP1.8 points RockhamptonBill ByrneALP3.9 points South Brisbane Anna Bligh ALP 4.7 pointsWoodridgeDesley ScottALP5.8 pointsFairly safeInalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP6.9 pointsKatter's Australian Party Mount IsaRob KatterKAP v LNP10.0 pointsDalrympleShane KnuthKAP v LNP15.2 pointsIndependentsNicklinPeter WellingtonIND v LNP4.9 pointsGladstoneLiz CunninghamIND v ALP14.0 points