Opinion polling for the 2012 French presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

First round Starting on 12 January 2012, Ifop-Fiducial published a "rolling" poll for Paris Match and Europe 1 which is listed in the tables below as "Ifop-Fiducial" without an asterisk, while separate polls not conducted as part of the "rolling" poll are listed with an asterisk (*). Polls conducted specifically for subsample data are listed with two asterisks (**).

The publication of first-round polls was prohibited after midnight on 20 April 2012.

Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the eight major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

Jean-Pierre Chevènement of the Citizen and Republican Movement (MRC) withdrew his candidacy on 1 February 2012 after failing to secure significant support. Christine Boutin of the Christian Democratic Party (PCD) renounced her candidacy on 13 February and announced her support for Nicolas Sarkozy, as did Hervé Morin of the New Centre (NC) on 16 February, followed by Frédéric Nihous for Hunting, Fishing, Nature and Traditions (CPNT) on 22 February. On 15 March, Dominique de Villepin of United Republic (RS) announced that he would not secure enough sponsorships to become a candidate "barring a republican miracle", effectively ending his campaign, and Corinne Lepage of Cap21 was absent from the official list of candidates published on 19 March, having also failed to secure at least 500 sponsorships.

Official campaign Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Arthaud Poutou Mélenchon Hollande Joly Bayrou Sarkozy Dupont-Aignan Le Pen Cheminade 2012 election 22 Apr 2012 – 20.52% 0.56% 1.15% 11.10% 28.63% 2.31% 9.13% 27.18% 1.79% 17.90% 0.25% Ifop-Fiducial* 18–20 Apr 2012 1,723 25% 0.5% 1% 13.5% 27.5% 2.5% 10% 27% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Apr 2012 2,592 – 0.5% 1% 13.5% 27% 3% 10.5% 27% 1.5% 16% <0.5% BVA 18–19 Apr 2012 2,161 24% <0.5% 1.5% 14% 30% 2% 10% 26.5% 2% 14% <0.5% CSA 18–19 Apr 2012 1,005 – 1% 1.5% 14.5% 28% 2% 10.5% 25% 1.5% 16% <0.5% Harris Interactive 18–19 Apr 2012 1,068 – 0.5% 1.5% 12% 27.5% 3% 11% 26.5% 2% 16% <0.5% Ipsos 18–19 Apr 2012 1,021 17% <0.5% 1.5% 14% 29% 2% 10% 25.5% 1.5% 16% 0.5% TNS Sofres 18–19 Apr 2012 1,000 22% <0.5% 1% 13% 27% 3% 10% 27% 2% 17% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 16–19 Apr 2012 2,588 – 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26% 2.5% 11% 28% 1.5% 16% <0.5% LH2 17–18 Apr 2012 956 – 1% 1% 15% 27% 2.5% 10% 26.5% 1.5% 15.5% 0% Ifop-Fiducial 14–18 Apr 2012 2,552 – 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26% 3% 11% 27.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5% BVA 16–17 Apr 2012 1,161 – <0.5% 1% 13% 29.5% 2% 12% 27.5% 1% 14% <0.5% CSA 16–17 Apr 2012 886 – 0.5% 1% 15% 29% 2% 10% 24% 1.5% 17% <0.5% OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2012 1,002 26% 0.5% 2% 13% 27.5% 2% 10% 27.5% 1.5% 16% 0% Ifop-Fiducial 14–17 Apr 2012 1,709 – 0.5% 1% 13.5% 26.5% 3% 10.5% 27.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5% Harris Interactive 12–16 Apr 2012 991 – 0.5% 1% 12% 27% 2% 11% 28% 1.5% 17% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial* 12–15 Apr 2012 1,808 – 0.5% 1% 14.5% 28% 3% 9.5% 27% 1% 15.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 12–15 Apr 2012 1,711 – 1% 1% 14% 27.5% 2.5% 10% 27% 1% 16% <0.5% Ipsos 13–14 Apr 2012 894 19% 1% 1% 14.5% 27% 2.5% 10% 27% 1% 15.5% 0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Apr 2012 2,562 – 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 3% 10.5% 28% 1% 16% 0.5% BVA 11–12 Apr 2012 885 – 0.5% 0.5% 13% 30% 2% 11% 27% 0.5% 15% 0.5% TNS Sofres 11–12 Apr 2012 1,000 26% 1% 0.5% 16% 28% 2.5% 9% 26% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 9–12 Apr 2012 2,562 – 0.5% <0.5% 13.5% 27% 3% 10% 28.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5% CSA 10–11 Apr 2012 1,013 – 0.5% 0.5% 17% 27% 1.5% 11% 26% 1% 15% 0.5% LH2 10–11 Apr 2012 977 – 1% 1% 13% 29.5% 2.5% 10.5% 27% 1.5% 14% <0.5% OpinionWay 10–11 Apr 2012 1,007 – 1% 0.5% 13% 27% 2.5% 10% 28% 2% 16% 0% Ifop-Fiducial 6–11 Apr 2012 2,285 – 0.5% <0.5% 14% 27% 3% 10% 28% 1.5% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 6–10 Apr 2012 1,425 – 0.5% <0.5% 14% 27.5% 2.5% 9.5% 28% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5% Ipsos 6–7 Apr 2012 955 19% 0.5% 0.5% 14.5% 28.5% 1.5% 9.5% 29% 1% 15% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial* 5–7 Apr 2012 1,869 – 0.5% 0.5% 14% 27% 2.5% 9.5% 28.5% 1% 16.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 5–7 Apr 2012 1,002 – 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 27% 2.5% 10% 28% 1% 17% <0.5% Harris Interactive 3–6 Apr 2012 1,033 – 1% 1% 13% 27% 3% 10% 28% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Apr 2012 1,284 – 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 26.5% 3% 10% 29% 1.5% 16.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 2–5 Apr 2012 1,060 – 0.5% 1% 13% 26.5% 3% 10% 28.5% 1.5% 16% <0.5% OpinionWay 3–4 Apr 2012 969 – 0.5% 1% 14% 26% 2% 11% 28.5% 1% 16% 0% Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 2012 1,432 – 0.5% 1% 12.5% 27% 3% 10.5% 28.5% 1% 16% <0.5% CSA 2–3 Apr 2012 884 – 0.5% 0.5% 15% 29% 1.5% 10% 30% 0.5% 13% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–3 Apr 2012 999 – 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 27.5% 3% 11% 28.5% 1% 15.5% <0.5% Harris Interactive 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 1,059 – 0.5% 0.5% 14% 26% 3% 10% 29% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 29 Mar–2 Apr 2012 893 – 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 27.5% 2.5% 11% 29% 1% 15.5% <0.5% Ipsos 30–31 Mar 2012 881 20% 1% 0.5% 14.5% 27.5% 2% 10% 29.5% 1% 14% <0.5% LH2 30–31 Mar 2012 973 – 0.5% 0.5% 15% 28.5% 2% 12% 27.5% 0.5% 13.5% 0% BVA 29–31 Mar 2012 2,555 – 1% 1% 14% 28% 2% 11% 27% 1% 15% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Mar 2012 957 – 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 27% 2.5% 10.5% 28.5% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 26–29 Mar 2012 950 – 0.5% <0.5% 14% 26.5% 2.5% 11% 28% 1% 16.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 24–28 Mar 2012 1,211 – 0.5% 0.5% 14% 26.5% 2.5% 11% 27.5% 1% 16% 0.5% CSA 26–27 Mar 2012 876 – 0.5% 0.5% 12.5% 26% 2.5% 12.5% 30% 0.5% 15% <0.5% OpinionWay 26–27 Mar 2012 1,148 – 1% 0.5% 11% 27% 2% 12% 28% 1% 17% 0.5% TNS Sofres 26–27 Mar 2012 1,000 26% 0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 28% 2% 10% 29% 1% 15% 0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 24–27 Mar 2012 902 – <0.5% 0.5% 13.5% 26.5% 2.5% 11.5% 28% 1% 16% 0.5% Harris Interactive 22–26 Mar 2012 1,231 – 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 3% 11% 28% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial* 22–25 Mar 2012 1,769 – 0.5% 0.5% 13% 27% 2% 11.5% 28.5% 1% 15.5% 0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 22–25 Mar 2012 887 – 0.5% 0.5% 13% 26.5% 2.5% 12% 28.5% 0.5% 15.5% 0.5% Ipsos 23–24 Mar 2012 978 21% 0.5% 0.5% 13% 28% 2% 11.5% 27.5% 1% 16% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 20–23 Mar 2012 942 – 0.5% 0.5% 12% 27% 3% 12% 28.5% 0.5% 16% <0.5% BVA 21–22 Mar 2012 926 – <0.5% <0.5% 14% 29.5% 2% 12% 28% 1.5% 13% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 19–22 Mar 2012 945 – 0.5% 0.5% 11% 27.5% 3% 12% 28% 0.5% 17% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 17–21 Mar 2012 1,195 – 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 28% 2.5% 12% 28% 1% 17% <0.5% CSA 19–20 Mar 2012 888 – <0.5% <0.5% 13% 28% 2% 13% 30% 0.5% 13.5% <0.5% Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Mar 2012 876 – 0.5% 0.5% 10.5% 28% 2.5% 12% 27.5% 1% 17.5% <0.5%

17 October 2011 to 19 March 2012