In the run-up to the 2011 Scottish Parliament election, several polling organisations carried out public opinion polling in regards to voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below. The first figure for each party is for the 1st, first-past-the-post (constituency) vote; the second figure is for the 2nd, proportional representation (regional) vote.
ARPO, ICM, Ipsos MORI, Populus, TNS-BMRB (formerly TNS System Three) and YouGov were members of the British Polling Council, and abided by its disclosure rules. Progressive Partnership-Scottish Opinion and Panelbase, although members of the Market Research Society, were not members of the BPC and did not publish detailed methodology and findings.
Graphical summary The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.
Constituency vote Graphical summary
Poll results Constituency vote (FPTP)Firm/Client Survey end date SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Others 2011 Scottish Parliament election45.39% 31.69% 13.91% 7.93% 1.8% YouGov 4 May 201142% 35% 11% 8% TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 201145% 27% 15% 10% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 201142% 34% 12% 7% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 201145% 32% 10% 8% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 201140% 37% 11% 8% 4% Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 201146% 36% 9% 6% panelbase/The Sunday Times 4 April 201137%37% 13% 8% YouGov/The Scotsman (tables) 28 March 201140% 39% 11% 5% 5% TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 2011 37%38% 15% 7% 3% YouGov 18 March 2011 38%41% 10% 6% 5% ICM/SNP 15 March 2011 35%39% 12% 10% - Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 2011 37%43% 11% 5% 4% TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 2011 29%44% 12% 11% - YouGov/Greens 22 February 2011 32%41% 15% 8% 4% Ipsos MORI 14 February 201137% 36% 13% 10% 4% TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 2011 33%49% 9% 7% 2% Ipsos MORI 26 November 2010 31%41% 13% 11% 5% YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 2010 34%40% 14% 8% 5% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 2010 29%39% 16% 11% 5% TNS-BMRB 31 August 2010 32%42% 12% 12% 2% Ipsos MORI 19 August 2010 34%37% 11% 13% 4% YouGov/SNP 18 August 2010 35%36% 14% 12% 3% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 2010 32%46% 10% 11% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 2010 29%45% 13% 11% 2% YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 201034% 31% 14% 17% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 2010 31%33% 13% 18% 5% Populus/Times 26 April 201031% 30% 12% 23% 4% YouGov/Sky News 23 April 201034% 31% 12% 19% 5% ARPO/Greens 19 April 2010 27%31% 19% 19% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 2010 30%34% 14% 16% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 201034% 31% 14% 14% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 2010 28%33% 16% 16% 6% Ipsos MORI 21 February 201036% 29% 14% 15% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 2010 35%37% 13% 12% 3% YouGov/SNP 13 January 201035% 32% 14% 13% 7% Ipsos MORI 23 November 200936% 32% 12% 12% 8% YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 2009 32%33% 14% 15% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 200940% 32% 13% 11% 5% YouGov/Greens 28 October 200934% 31% 16% 14% 5% YouGov/SNP 2 September 200936% 28% 16% 14% 7% Ipsos MORI/Holyrood Magazine 31 August 200938% 25% 15% 15% 6% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 200934% 27% 16% 16% 6% YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 200933% 31% 16% 16% 5% TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 200939% 32% 12% 11% 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 200939% 26% 14% 14% 7% TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 2009 32%36% 19% 9% 4% YouGov/SNP 22 April 200937% 30% 15% 13% 5% YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 200935% 34% 14% 12% 4% YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 200938% 32% 13% 12% 5% 2007 Scottish Parliament election32.9% 32.2% 16.6% 16.2%
Regional vote Graphical summary
Poll results Regional vote (AMS)Firm/ClientSurvey end date SNP Lab Con Lib Dem GreenOthers 2011 Scottish Parliament election44.04% 26.31% 12.36% 5.2% 4.38% YouGov 4 May 201135% 32% 13% 7% 6% 3% TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 201138% 25% 16% 9% 8% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 201135% 33% 12% 6% 7% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 201139% 29% 12% 7% 7% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 201135% 33% 12% 7% 6% 7% Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 201138% 37% 10% 9% 5% panelbase/Sunday Times 4 April 201137% 32% 11% 7% 5% YouGov/Scotsman (tables) 28 March 2011 32%39% 12% 5% 6% 6% TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 2011 35% 35% 14% 8% 5% 3% YouGov 18 March 2011 32%39% 11% 6% 5% 7% ICM/SNP 15 March 2011 34%37% 13% 9% 4% 7% Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 2011 37%44% 11% 4% 2% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 2011 29%39% 11% 10% 6% 5% YouGov/Greens 22 February 2011 26%40% 15% 7% 6% 5% Ipsos MORI 14 February 201135% 33% 13% 10% 6% 3% TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 2011 33%47% 9% 7% 3% 2% Ipsos MORI 26 November 2010 32%36% 12% 8% - 10% YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 2010 31%36% 15% 8% 6% 4% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 2010 26%36% 15% 12% 6% 5% TNS-BMRB 31 August 2010 30%42% 11% 12% 3% 3% Ipsos MORI 19 August 2010 29%38% 12% 12% - - TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 2010 30%42% 11% 12% 3% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 2010 28%41% 12% 12% 4% 3% YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 2010 29%30% 15% 16% 5% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 2010 26%32% 15% 17% 6% 5% Populus/Times 26 April 2010 29%30% 12% 22% 3% 3% YouGov/Sky News 23 April 201029% 28% 13% 18% 6% 6% ARPO/Greens 19 April 201027% 21% 15% 21% 8% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 2010 27%31% 15% 17% 5% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 2010 30%31% 14% 13% 5% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 2010 26%31% 17% 14% 7% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 2010 30%37% 12% 12% 5% 3% YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 2009 29%30% 14% 14% 6% 8% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 200937% 29% 12% 12% 4% 6% YouGov/Greens 28 October 2009 29% 29% 16% 14% 6% 6% YouGov/SNP 2 September 200930% 26% 17% 12% 7% 9% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 200930% 26% 16% 16% 7% 5% YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 2009 27%28% 17% 15% 6% 7% TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 200939% 29% 10% 12% 5% 5% YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 200934% 26% 14% 13% 7% 7% TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 200940% 30% 13% 10% 4% 7% YouGov/SNP 22 April 200937% 28% 15% 13% - 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 2009 30%32% 15% 11% 5% 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 200934% 28% 15% 11% 6% 7% 2007 Scottish Parliament election31.0% 29.2% 13.9% 11.3% 4.0%