Post-election pendulum for the 2009 Queensland state election

The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2009 Queensland state election.

"Very safe" seats require a swing of over 20 per cent to change, "safe" seats require a swing of 10 to 20 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.

Labor seats (51)Marginal ChatsworthSteven KilburnALP0.1% EvertonMurray WattALP1.4% BroadwaterPeta-Kaye CroftALP2.0% CookJason O'BrienALP2.2% Barron RiverSteve WettenhallALP2.3% WhitsundayJan JarrattALP3.2% Toowoomba NorthKerry ShineALP3.2% SouthportPeter LawlorALP3.5% TownsvilleMandy JohnstoneALP4.0% SpringwoodBarbara StoneALP4.1% CairnsDesley BoyleALP4.2% MansfieldPhil ReevesALP4.4% Ferny GroveGeoff WilsonALP4.5% KallangurMary-Anne O'NeillALP4.6% Pine RiversCarolyn MaleALP4.6% Mount OmmaneyJulie AttwoodALP4.8% BurleighChristine SmithALP4.9% PumicestoneCarryn SullivanALP5.0% Mount Coot-thaAndrew FraserALP5.2% RedcliffeLillian van LitsenburgALP5.6% Mount IsaBetty KiernanALP5.7%Fairly safe Brisbane CentralGrace GraceALP6.0% AlbertMargaret KeechALP6.5% MundingburraLindy Nelson-CarrALP6.6% GreenslopesCameron DickALP6.9% AshgroveKate JonesALP7.1% MurrumbaDean WellsALP7.2% StaffordStirling HinchliffeALP7.3% KeppelPaul HoolihanALP7.6% BulimbaDi FarmerALP7.8% MulgraveCurtis PittALP8.1% ThuringowaCraig WallaceALP8.5% YeerongpillySimon FinnALP8.7% MorayfieldMark RyanALP9.1% AlgesterKaren StruthersALP9.2% StrettonStephen RobertsonALP9.5% Ipswich WestWayne WendtALP9.5% CapalabaMichael ChoiALP9.7%Safe SunnybankJudy SpenceALP10.8% LyttonPaul LucasALP12.2% SandgateVicky DarlingALP12.4% LoganJohn MickelALP13.9% NudgeeNeil RobertsALP14.3% South BrisbaneAnna BlighALP15.0% WaterfordEvan MoorheadALP16.5% MackayTim MulherinALP16.7% IpswichRachel NolanALP16.7% RockhamptonRobert SchwartenALP17.9% Very safeBundambaJo-Ann MillerALP21.2%InalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP21.5%WoodridgeDesley ScottALP25.4% Liberal National seats (31)MarginalRedlandsPeter DowlingLNP0.1%ClevelandMark RobinsonLNP0.3%MiraniTed MaloneLNP0.6%GavenAlex DouglasLNP0.7%CoomeraMichael CrandonLNP1.9%BurdekinRosemary MenkensLNP3.1%MudgeerabaRos BatesLNP3.9%AspleyTracy DavisLNP4.5%DalrympleShane KnuthLNP v ONP4.5%Glass HouseAndrew PowellLNP5.8%ClayfieldTim NichollsLNP5.8%IndooroopillyScott EmersonLNP5.9%Fairly safeBundabergJack DempseyLNP6.0%CaloundraMark McArdleLNP6.2%Hervey BayTed SorensenLNP6.5%CurrumbinJann StuckeyLNP6.9% KawanaJarrod BleijieLNP6.9% LockyerIan RickussLNP7.6%Toowoomba SouthMike HoranLNP8.2%BeaudesertAidan McLindonLNP 8.3%SafeMermaid BeachRay StevensLNP10.8%BurnettRob MessengerLNP11.1%MoggillBruce FleggLNP11.3%CondamineRay HopperLNP v IND11.6%MaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP12.8%GregoryVaughan JohnsonLNP14.3%BuderimSteve DicksonLNP14.3%HinchinbrookAndrew CrippsLNP14.7%Surfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP16.5%CallideJeff SeeneyLNP19.4%NoosaGlen ElmesLNP19.8%Very safeSouthern DownsLawrence SpringborgLNP21.1%WarregoHoward HobbsLNP24.3%GympieDavid GibsonLNP27.3%Others (7)NanangoDorothy PrattIND v LNP2.9%GladstoneLiz CunninghamIND v ALP6.1%NicklinPeter WellingtonIND v LNP16.3%MaryboroughChris FoleyIND v LNP16.8%