The 2010 congressional elections in Hawaii was held on November 2, 2010, to determine who was to represent the state of Hawaii in the United States House of Representatives for the 112th Congress from January 2011, until their terms of office expire in January 2013.
Hawaii has two seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms. The election coincided with the 2010 gubernatorial election.
Overview United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii, 2010PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/– Democratic 226,430 62.88% 2 +1 Republican 129,127 35.86% 0 -1 Libertarian 3,254 0.90% 0 — Independents 1,310 0.36% 0 — Totals 360,121 100.00% 2 —
By district Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Hawaii by district:
DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 94,140 53.23% 82,723 46.77% 0 0.00% 176,863 100.0% Democratic gainDistrict 2 132,290 72.19% 46,404 25.32% 4,564 2.49% 183,258 100.0% Democratic holdTotal 226,430 62.87% 129,127 35.86% 4,564 1.27% 360,121 100.0%
District 1
Campaign Republican Congressman Charles Djou was first elected in a special election in May 2010, which Republicans heralded as a "significant win" and to which DNC chairman Tim Kaine responded, "Democrats got 60% of the vote in that race. In the November election, it will be one Democrat against one Republican, and we feel very, very confident about winning that race." In the general election, Hawaii State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, also a candidate in the special election, emerged as the Democratic nominee. Though former congressman Ed Case, the other Democratic candidate in the special election, was speculated to run again in November, he ultimately decided against it. In the general election, both parties heavily invested in taking the seat, and polls indicated that the race was close up until election day. On election day, however, Hanabusa edged out Djou by a surprising large six point margin of victory and was sent to Congress for her first term.
Polling Poll source Date(s) administered Samplesize Margin oferror CharlesDjou (R) ColleenHanabusa (D) Other UndecidedAloha Vote/Merriman River GroupAloha Vote/Merriman River Group October 23, 2010 620 ±3.9% 45.3% 49.5% – –Honolulu Star-Advertiser/Ward Research Inc.Honolulu Star-Advertiser/Ward Research Inc. October 12–19, 2010 399 ±4.9% 48% 45% 1% 6%OnMessage Inc. October 17–18, 2010 -- -- 51% 45% – –ccAdvertisingccAdvertising mid-October, 2010 2,747 ±3% 44% 35% -- --The Hill/ANGAThe Hill/ANGA October 2–7, 2010 406 ±4.9% 45% 41% -- 12%Global Strategy Group† October 4–6, 2010 400 -- 44%48% -- --Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 2–3, 2010 643 ±3.9% 47%48% -- 5%Tarrance GroupTarrance Group† July 26–27, 2010 400 ±4.9% 50% 42% -- -- †Internal poll (Tarrance Group for Djou and Global Strategy Group for Hanabusa)
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal BallCrystal Ball, November 1, 2010RCPRealClearPolitics, November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
District 2
Campaign This liberal district that encompasses all of Hawaii but Honolulu, has been represented by Democratic congresswoman Mazie Hirono since she was first elected in 2006. This year, Congresswoman Hirono faced Republican challenger and Tea Party activist John Willoughby in the general election. Though Willoughby attacked Hirono for refusing to debate, polls indicated that the Congresswoman was a shoo-in for re-election.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
References
External links Hawaii Office of Elections U.S. Congress candidates for Hawaii at Project Vote Smart Hawaii U.S. House from OurCampaigns.com Campaign contributions for U.S. Congressional races in Hawaii from OpenSecrets 2010 Hawaii General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com House – Hawaii from the Cook Political Report