Many scientific, state-wide public opinion polls have been conducted relating to the United States of America (U.S.) presidential election, 2008, matching up Hillary Clinton against John McCain.
One survey group concluded that Hillary Clinton lost some support because of her gender, pointing out that in "head-to-head match-ups, Clinton bests Senator John McCain 48%-43% and Obama wins by the same five-point margin, 47%-42%" but that "given a choice between all three candidates, Obama gets 35% and McCain 37%, both running well ahead of Clinton (28%)" and that "three-way results... reflect an enormous gender gap: Clinton is narrowly the top choice of women with 36%, but only 18% of men pick her first.""Democrats split on nomination fight," Fairleigh Dickinson University's PublicMind, April 3, 2008. Accessed at http://publicmind.fdu.edu/demsplit/See Krista Jenkins, Dan Cassino, and Peter J. Woolley, "Hillary Clinton, Gender and Electoral Viability: An Experimental Analysis," Sixty-Third Annual AAPOR Conference (2008). Program in Public Opinion Quarterly: Volume 72, Issue 3 Fall 2008. Accessed at http://poq.oxfordjournals.org/content/72/3/E1.full
Map of the polling data Clinton vs. McCainClinton leads by over 5% (266)Clinton leads by 1% to 5% (46)Within 1% (17)McCain leads by 1% to 5% (52)McCain leads by over 5% (157)TotalsMcCain leads: 209 electoral votes Clinton leads: 312 electoral votes
The lower map has been adjusted so that state size represents electoral strength. For details see here. Map and totals updated on June 3, 2008.
Opinion polling Alabama 9 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%Capital Survey Research Center/Alabama Education AssociationCapital Survey Research Center/Alabama Education AssociationApril 16-April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36.2% John McCain 55.2%Survey USASurvey USAApril 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 60%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsApril 2, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 51%University of South AlabamaUniversity of South AlabamaMarch 24-March 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 30% John McCain 52%Survey USASurvey USAMarch 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 56%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 57%Survey USASurvey USAJanuary 16-January 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 58%
Alaska 3 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 57%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%
Arizona 10 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Behavior Research CenterBehavior Research Center May 12-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%Arizona State University/KAETArizona State University/KAETApril 24-April 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 53%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 15, 2008 Hillary Clinton 32% John McCain 60%Northern Arizona UniversityNorthern Arizona UniversityMarch 30-April 8, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 56%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 54%Arizona State UniversityArizona State UniversityFebruary 21-February 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 33% John McCain 57%
Arkansas 6 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 39%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 50%Opinion ResearchOpinion Research March 6-March 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 36%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 40%
California 55 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Field Research CorporationField Research Corporation May 16-May 27, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 36%Los Angeles Times/KTLALos Angeles Times/KTLAMay 20-May 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 40%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMay 19-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 35%Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaPublic Policy Institute of California May 12-May 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 39%USA Election PollsUSA Election Polls May 14, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 37%Rasmussen ReportsApril 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 42%Survey USASurvey USA April 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 53% John McCain 40%Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaPublic Policy Institute of California March 11-March 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 43%Survey USASurvey USA March 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 56% John McCain 38%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 39%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 58% John McCain 35%Survey USASurvey USAJanuary 20-January 21, 2008 Hillary Clinton 57% John McCain 38%
Colorado 9 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMay 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 47%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsApril 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 50%New Leadership USA/TargetPointNew Leadership USA/TargetPointMarch 31-April 7, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 52%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMarch 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 38% John McCain 52%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsFebruary 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 49%
Connecticut 7 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 42%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University March 19-March 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 42%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMarch 11, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 44%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 50% John McCain 40%
Delaware 3 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 41%
Florida 27 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac UniversityMay 13-May 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 41%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 19, 2008 Hillary Clinton 47% John McCain 41%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac UniversityApril 23-April 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 49% John McCain 41%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 10, 2008 Hillary Clinton 45% John McCain 44%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac UniversityMarch 24-March 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 42%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy PollingMarch 15-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 47%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%Mason DixonMason DixonFebruary 21-February 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsFebruary 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 49%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac UniversityFebruary 6-February 12, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 44%
Georgia 15 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 48%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsMarch 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 34% John McCain 54%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 56%
Hawaii 4 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 29, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 39%
Idaho 4 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 27% John McCain 63%
Illinois 21 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 37%Research 2000Research 2000January 21-January 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 54% John McCain 40%
Indiana 11 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Downs Center/Survey USAApril 28-April 30, 2008 Hillary Clinton 48% John McCain 45%Research 2000/South Bend TribuneResearch 2000/South Bend TribuneApril 23-April 24, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%Selzer & Co./WTHR/Indianapolis StarSelzer & Co./WTHR/Indianapolis Star April 20-April 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 46%Downs Center/Survey USADowns Center/Survey USAApril 14-April 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 53%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 53%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 3-February 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%
Iowa 7 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsMay 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 45%Research2000Research2000April 21-April 23, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 42%Survey USASurvey USAApril 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 48%Rasmussen ReportsMarch 31, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 51%Survey USASurvey USAMarch 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 46%Des Moines RegisterDes Moines RegisterFebruary 17-February 20, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 49%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports February 18, 2008 Hillary Clinton 37% John McCain 47%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 52%Survey USASurvey USAJanuary 4-January 6, 2008 Hillary Clinton 44% John McCain 48%
Kansas 6 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 39% John McCain 53%Survey USASurvey USAApril 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 57%Survey USASurvey USAMarch 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 55%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 42% John McCain 51%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 15-February 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 35% John McCain 59%Survey USASurvey USAJanuary 16-January 17, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 53%
Kentucky 8 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 22, 2008 Hillary Clinton 51% John McCain 42%Mason Dixon/WKYT/Lexington Herald-LeaderMason Dixon/WKYT/Lexington Herald-LeaderMay 7-May 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 53%Survey USASurvey USAApril 11-April 13, 2008 Hillary Clinton 46% John McCain 48%Survey USASurvey USAMarch 14-March 16, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 50%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 3-February 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton 43% John McCain 53%
Louisiana 9 electoral votes
Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 40% John McCain 47%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen ReportsApril 9, 2008 Hillary Clinton 36% John McCain 58%Survey USASurvey USAFebruary 26-February 28, 2008 Hillary Clinton 41% John McCain 51%
Maine 4 electoral votes