2010 New Brunswick general election

The 2010 New Brunswick general election was held on September 27, 2010, to elect 55 members to the 57th New Brunswick Legislative Assembly, the governing house of the province of New Brunswick, Canada. The incumbent Liberal government won 13 seats, while the opposition Progressive Conservatives won a landslide majority of 42 seats in the legislature. As leader of the PC party, David Alward became New Brunswick's 32nd premier.

The Lieutenant-Governor of New Brunswick – acting on the advice of the Premier – would have originally been able to call an election earlier or as late as 2011; however a bill in the 56th Legislature has fixed election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning with this election.

With the defeat of Liberals, this election marked the first time in New Brunswick's history that a political party was voted out of office after just one term.

Timeline

2006 October 10, 2006 – Organizers for the Green Party of Canada in New Brunswick announce plans to form a provincial Green Party in time to field a full slate of candidates in this election. November 5, 2006 – Allison Brewer resigns as leader of the New Democratic Party. She will be replaced on an interim basis by Pat Hanratty and permanently upon the election of a new leader in late 2007. December 12, 2006 – An opinion poll conducted November 10 to December 7 by Corporate Research Associates showed the Liberals enjoying an unprecedented lead in opinion polls, standing at 65% in contrast to 27% for the Progressive Conservatives, 6% for the New Democrats and 2% for the Greens.Carl Davies, Grit popularity soars, New Brunswick Telegraph-Journal, page A1, December 12, 2006 December 13, 2006 – Bernard Lord resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives and announces he will resign his seat in the legislature on January 31, 2007.

2007 March 5, 2007 – Liberal Chris Collins wins Lord's former seat in Moncton East changing the standings in the legislature to 30 Liberals, 25 Progressive Conservatives. April 17, 2007 – Progressive Conservatives Joan MacAlpine-Stiles and Wally Stiles cross the floor and join the Liberals changing the standings in the legislature to Liberals 32, Progressive Conservatives 23. May 29, 2007 – Government House Leader Stuart Jamieson tables Bill 75 which would fix election dates to the fourth Monday of September every four years beginning on September 27 in 2010. October 13, 2007 – The NDP elect Roger Duguay as their new leader.

2008 May 17, 2008 – The Green Party of New Brunswick is formed. Mike Milligan is elected as the interim leader of the party until a convention can be held in the fall. October 18, 2008 – David Alward is elected as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party. November 3, 2008 – Progressive Conservative Jack Carr holds a seat previously held by fellow Progressive Conservative Keith Ashfield who was elected as Conservative MP for Fredericton restoring the standings in the legislature to 32 Liberals, 23 Progressive Conservatives.

2009 March 9, 2009 – Liberal Burt Paulin wins a seat previously held by Progressive Conservative Percy Mockler changing the standings in the legislature to 33 Liberals, 22 Progressive Conservatives. December 25, 2009 – Premier Shawn Graham "says he's ready to fight the next election on his controversial plan to sell NB Power to Hydro-Québec."

2010 January 4, 2010 – Justice Minister Michael Murphy unexpectedly resigns his seat to "spend more time with his family and return to practising law". February 5, 2010 – Cabinet Minister Stuart Jamieson is forced to leave his cabinet post for suggesting that the NB power deal be put to a referendum. March 24, 2010 – Premier Shawn Graham announces that the proposed sale of NB Power has been canceled. May 10, 2010 – Premier Shawn Graham shuffles the New Brunswick cabinet. Bernard LeBlanc is reinstated as minister of justice, and also named the first minister responsible for public engagement. Brian Kenny is promoted to the tourism portfolio. Cheryl Lavoie enters cabinet as minister of state for seniors. Donald Arseneault gains title of deputy premier. May 19, 2010 – Progressive Conservatives release Vision for Citizen Engagement and Responsible Government, a pre-campaign document that outlines the PC strategy to improve citizen engagement.http://www.pcnb.ca/content/244022 June 9, 2010 – People's Alliance officially forms the newest N.B. political party under the leadership of former Tory Kris Austin. September 27, 2010 – David Alward is elected into office as Premier of New Brunswick.

Results + Summary of the 2010 Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick electionPartyLeaderCandidatesVotesSeats # ± % Change (pp) 2006 2010 ±David Alward 55 181,397 3,815 48.80 2616Shawn Graham 55 128,078 48,365 34.45 2916Roger Duguay 55 38,686 19,490 10.41 Jack MacDougall 49 16,943 16,943 4.56Kris Austin 14 4,363 4,363 1.17 7 2,275 1,340 0.61 0.36Total 235371,742 100.00% Rejected ballots 3,160 69 Turnout374,902 2,34569.56% 2.04 Registered voters538,965 19,723

= New party

Synopsis of results + 2010 New Brunswick general election – synopsis of riding results Riding Winning party Turnout Votes 2006 1st place Votes Share Margin# Margin% 2nd place PC Lib NDP Green PA Total  Albert  PC  PC 3,985 62.28% 2,712 42.38%  Lib 67.46% 3,985 1,273 409 448 284 – 6,399 Bathurst  Lib  Lib 2,899 44.99% 78 1.21%  PC 69.55% 2,821 2,899 620 104 – – 6,444 Campbellton-Restigouche Centre  Lib  PC 3,914 54.92% 1,461 20.50%  Lib73.94% 3,914 2,453 524 236 – – 7,127 Caraquet  Lib  Lib 3,661 50.08% 620 8.48%  PC81.26% 3,041 3,661 406 202 – – 7,310 Carleton  PC  PC 3,885 61.76% 2,176 34.59%  Lib69.75% 3,885 1,709 316 380 – – 6,290 Centre-Péninsule-Saint-Sauveur  Lib  Lib 4,652 63.87% 3,168 43.49%  PC79.43% 1,484 4,652 1,148 – – – 7,284 Charlotte-Campobello  PC  PC 2,977 48.09% 1,461 23.60%  Lib 68.61% 2,977 1,516 798 498 401 – 6,190 Charlotte-The Isles  Lib  Lib 3,176 51.36% 892 14.42%  PC70.81% 2,284 3,176 303 174 247 – 6,184 Dalhousie-Restigouche East  Lib  Lib 3,634 46.34% 1,005 12.82%  PC76.90% 2,629 3,634 1,406 173 – – 7,842 Dieppe Centre-Lewisville  PC  Lib 4,542 46.28% 1,116 11.37%  PC 68.39% 3,426 4,542 1,152 694 – – 9,814 Edmundston-Saint-Basile  PC  PC 5,551 75.89% 4,192 57.31%  Lib69.85% 5,551 1,359 223 182 – – 7,315 Fredericton-Fort Nashwaak  Lib  PC 3,582 47.29% 1,006 13.28%  Lib 65.61% 3,582 2,576 866 550 – – 7,574 Fredericton-Lincoln  Lib  PC 2,713 39.60% 249 3.63%  Lib 64.97% 2,713 2,464 1,009 665 – – 6,851 Fredericton-Nashwaaksis  Lib  PC 3,720 47.56% 960 12.27%  Lib69.93% 3,720 2,760 601 741 – – 7,822 Fredericton-Silverwood  Lib  PC 2,955 38.50% 448 5.84%  Lib 67.39% 2,955 2,507 1,234 912 – 67 7,675 Fundy-River Valley  Lib  PC 3,629 57.52% 1,814 28.75%  Lib 68.38% 3,629 1,815 427 221 217 – 6,309 Grand Falls-Drummond-Saint-André  Lib  PC 3,057 49.16% 347 5.58%  Lib73.38% 3,057 2,710 292 159 – – 6,218 Grand Lake-Gagetown  Lib  PC 3,190 44.73% 1,072 15.03%  Lib77.73% 3,190 2,118 234 174 1,416 – 7,132 Hampton-Kings  PC  PC 4,302 57.49% 2,634 35.20%  Lib 68.66% 4,302 1,668 1,193 320 – – 7,483 Kent  Lib  Lib 3,817 55.35% 1,995 28.93%  PC77.54% 1,822 3,817 1,040 217 – – 6,896 Kent South  PC  PC 5,054 60.37% 2,607 31.14%  Lib78.26% 5,054 2,447 499 372 – – 8,372 Kings East  PC  PC 4,470 66.74% 3,055 45.61%  Lib 67.37% 4,470 1,415 487 326 – – 6,698 Lamèque-Shippagan-Miscou  PC  PC 4,270 58.89% 1,971 27.18%  Lib80.94% 4,270 2,299 682 – – – 7,251 Madawaska-les-Lacs  PC  PC 3,378 54.17% 1,393 22.34%  Lib70.88% 3,378 1,985 229 – – 644 6,236 Memramcook-Lakeville-Dieppe  Lib  Lib 3,423 50.82% 1,252 18.59%  PC69.63% 2,171 3,423 708 433 – – 6,735 Miramichi Bay-Neguac  Lib  PC 2,908 42.71% 363 5.33%  Lib76.89% 2,908 2,545 1,131 92 132 – 6,808 Miramichi Centre  Lib  PC 3,183 48.08% 622 9.40%  Lib74.29% 3,183 2,561 379 174 323 – 6,620 Miramichi-Bay du Vin  Lib  Lib 3,290 49.65% 676 10.20%  PC75.41% 2,614 3,290 507 215 – – 6,626 Moncton East  PC  Lib 2,641 41.58% 179 2.82%  PC 59.80% 2,462 2,641 650 599 – – 6,352 Moncton North  Lib  PC 2,349 44.95% 439 8.40%  Lib 55.47% 2,349 1,910 511 365 91 – 5,226 Moncton West  PC  PC 2,981 48.52% 975 15.87%  Lib 61.54% 2,981 2,006 576 503 – 78 6,144 Moncton Crescent  PC  PC 4,168 50.56% 1,628 19.75%  Lib 61.36% 4,168 2,540 806 729 – – 8,243 Nepisiguit  Lib  PC 2,454 41.03% 510 8.53%  Lib71.76% 2,454 1,944 1,474 109 – – 5,981 New Maryland-Sunbury West  PC  PC 4,099 63.60% 2,591 40.20%  Lib72.25% 4,099 1,508 549 289 – – 6,445 Nigadoo-Chaleur  Lib  Lib 3,649 49.77% 851 11.61%  PC73.38% 2,798 3,649 706 179 – – 7,332 Oromocto  PC  PC 3,660 81.21% 3,093 68.63%  Lib 58.78% 3,660 567 280 – – – 4,507 Petitcodiac  PC  PC 4,133 55.69% 2,361 31.81%  Lib 68.40% 4,133 1,772 661 856 – – 7,422 Quispamsis  Lib  PC 4,076 50.67% 1,324 16.46%  Lib 69.29% 4,076 2,752 918 298 – – 8,044 Restigouche-La-Vallée  PC  PC 3,727 53.49% 1,238 17.77%  Lib75.45% 3,727 2,489 550 202 – – 6,968 Riverview  PC  PC 4,358 62.88% 2,731 39.40%  Lib 65.15% 4,358 1,627 458 488 – – 6,931 Rogersville-Kouchibouguac  PC  Lib 3,438 46.04% 269 3.60%  PC82.83% 3,169 3,438 860 – – – 7,467 Rothesay  PC  PC 3,372 56.64% 1,682 28.25%  Lib 67.21% 3,372 1,690 534 357 – – 5,953 Saint John East  Lib  PC 2,135 37.86% 269 4.77%  Lib 54.66% 2,135 1,866 1,335 303 – – 5,639 Saint John Harbour  Lib  PC 1,333 30.68% 7 0.16%  Lib 49.94% 1,333 1,326 1,203 236 – 247 4,345 Saint John Lancaster  Lib  PC 3,429 50.75% 1,143 16.92%  Lib 66.74% 3,429 2,286 688 246 108 – 6,757 Saint John Portland  PC  PC 2,925 50.18% 863 14.81%  Lib 62.31% 2,925 2,062 573 189 80 – 5,829 Saint John-Fundy  Lib  PC 2,908 52.02% 1,174 21.00%  Lib 57.62% 2,908 1,734 592 185 171 – 5,590 Shediac-Cap-Pelé  Lib  Lib 5,243 61.36% 3,123 36.55%  PC73.48% 2,120 5,243 668 409 – 104 8,544 Southwest Miramichi  Lib  PC 3,786 58.57% 1,835 28.39%  Lib75.61% 3,786 1,951 201 203 323 – 6,464 Tantramar  PC  PC 2,707 56.68% 1,801 37.71%  Lib 66.29% 2,707 906 511 652 – – 4,776 Tracadie-Sheila  PC  PC 3,806 48.83% 1,295 16.61%  NDP83.10% 3,806 1,478 2,511 – – – 7,795 Victoria-Tobique  Lib  PC 2,687 52.85% 647 12.73%  Lib 68.16% 2,687 2,040 97 120 – 140 5,084 Woodstock  PC  PC 4,672 67.31% 3,677 52.98%   Ind 68.67% 4,672 709 278 102 185 995 6,941 York  PC  PC 3,576 56.18% 2,143 33.67%  Lib71.69% 3,576 1,433 998 358 – – 6,365 York North  PC  PC 4,492 63.33% 3,255 45.89%  Lib 69.31% 4,492 1,237 675 304 385 – 7,093

= Open seat = Turnout is above provincial average = Winning candidate was in previous Legislature = Incumbent had switched allegiance = Previously incumbent in another riding = Not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature = Incumbency arose from byelection gain = Other incumbents renominated = Previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada = Multiple candidates

Results by region

Party NameCentralNorth EastNorth WestSouth EastSouth WestTotalProgressiveConservative Seats97781142 Popular Vote52.26%43.93%59.76%45.24%50.41%48.84%Liberal Seats0606113 Popular Vote27.72%40.52%28.86%37.78%31.04%34.42%New Democratic Seats000000 Popular Vote10.48%12.88%4.45%9.58%12.07%10.41%Green Seats000000 Popular Vote6.46%1.81%2.56%6.83%4.50%4.54%People's Alliance Seats000000 Popular Vote2.97%0.86%0.41%0.38%1.65%1.18%Independent Seats000000 Popular Vote0.11%0.00%3.95%0.19%0.34%0.61%Total seats9137141255

Results by place

+ Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party Parties 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th42 13 13 40 2 1 43 9 2 1 2 1 3 6 36 6 2 4 8

Target ridings The following is a list of ridings which were narrowly lost by the indicated party. For instance, under the Liberal column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Conservatives, while under the Conservative column are the 10 seats in which they came closest to winning from the Liberals. Listed is the name of the riding, and the margin, in terms of percentage of the vote, by which the party lost.